1207 Logan Rd · Mackville, KY
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Schools +3.1/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$50,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Charming single-family home situated on approximately 1 acre in Springfield. This 3-bedroom, 2 full bath property offers 1,120 square feet of above-grade living space with a functional layout designed for everyday comfort. Built in 1993, the home provides a solid foundation with opportunity for personalization. Enjoy a spacious outdoor setting with room to expand, garden, or relax in a peaceful rural environment. Ideal for buyers seeking a manageable home with land and privacy while remaining convenient to local amenities.
Key facts
- 1 acre lot
- Built 1993
- Listed 2 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Septic tank; Cable available; Electricity connected; Water connected
- Home design: One-level property
- Construction: Metal roof; Other construction materials; Other foundation type; Built area approximately 1,120 square feet
- Exterior features: Ramped access; Barn(s) and workshop on the property; Rural, trees/woods, and water views
Interior
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Central air conditioning; Ceiling fans; Electric cooling
- Interior features: Carpet and laminate flooring; Seven total rooms; No fireplace
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $50k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $436 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($989 rent vs $50k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#319 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Washington County (rural): math 33% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #50 of 165 in KY (top 30%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Washington County Elementary School (math 27% / reading 37%, grade F, #348 of 676 statewide, top 55%, 460 students, 63% FRL); Washington County Middle School (math 37% / reading 42%, grade F, #64 of 217 statewide, top 30%, 203 students, 64% FRL); Washington County High School (math 32% / reading 37%, grade F, #76 of 254 statewide, top 34%, 521 students, 47% FRL) — zoned schools at 58% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 77 active listings in the ZIP; 18 units permitted in Washington County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $346 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Washington County population projected at +11% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.98% ✓
- Cap rate
- 16.76%
- Cash-on-cash
- 37.38%
- DSCR
- 2.66
- GRM
- 4.2
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 33.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.41×
- Total profit
- $19,687
- Equity at exit
- $7,455
- IRR
- 40.3%
- Equity multiple
- 4.78×
- Total profit
- $52,968
- Equity at exit
- $4,323
Cash invested: $14,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kentucky
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 40069
- Home prices YoY
- -12.6%
- Active inventory
- 77
- Price-to-rent
- 4.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $989 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$262
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$62 /mo · $750/yr
- Insurance
- −$21
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$208
- Net cashflow
- $436
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $12,500
- Closing costs
- $1,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-04-12status Pending
-
2026-04-10$50,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,873
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,801
- − Property taxes
- −$750
- − Insurance
- −$250
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$950
- − Management
- −$950
- − Depreciation
- −$1,455
- Taxable income
- $4,718
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,132
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,101/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Washington County
- NCES district ID
- 2105760
- Math proficiency
- 33% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 41% ▼ -15.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,210
- Composite
- 31.33/100
- National rank
- #5999
- State rank
- #50 of 165 in KY
Livability — Mackville
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #319
- US rank
- #15282
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 7,802
Population outlook (Washington County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 12,884 people
- By 2030
- 13,241 · +2.8%
- By 2040
- 13,877 · +7.7%
- By 2050
- 14,302 · +11.0%
- By 2075
- 15,476 · +20.1%
- By 2100
- 15,160 · +17.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (85%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 85% Black 8% Two or more races 7%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Lithuanian 1% Scotch-Irish 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Washington
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+50.3) · D 24.2% · R 74.5% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -23.5pp toward R · 2008: -26.8pp · 2024: -50.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+50.3 2020: R+45.6 2016: R+46.1 2012: R+35.0 2008: R+26.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -32.67%
- Current HPI
- 227.5606
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.81%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $118B |
|
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| Food / Beverage | 1 | $7B |
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-12 Pending — ImagineMLS
- 2026-04-10 Listed $50,000 ImagineMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…