263 Norfolk Ave · Bristol, VA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $666 – $1,236
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.8/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +6.7/10.0
- Schools +5.2/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$130,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
(BACK ON THE MARKET - PREVIOUS BUYER'S FINANCING FELL THROUGH) Great opportunity for a starter home or for someone who is downsizing and your mortgage payment would be much less than a rent payment . .. or for an investor wanting a rental property since the average rent has increased 19% in the last 12 months. This home offers 2 bedrooms, 1 full bathroom, a large living room and large eat-in kitchen. There's a laundry/mud room off the kitchen which then leads to the back yard. Check this one out! (Previous address - 705 Norfolk Ave) (Inspections welcome. Property being sold as-is. )
Key facts
- Covered front porch
- Retro cabinets
- Copper backsplash
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Security: Smoke detectors
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single family residence; One story; Residential property; Zoned R-2
- Construction: Metal siding; Shingle siding
- Exterior features: Shingle roof; Level lot
Interior
- Flooring: Wood
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Electric heating; Heat pump; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Wood flooring; Crawl space basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $130k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $437 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $130k).
- Recommended offer: $126k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.3% vs local median 4.9% in Bristol — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#140 in VA, #4,544 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, commute F, employment F.
- Bristol City Public School District (urban): math 57% / reading 70% proficiency, ranked #53 of 131 in VA (top 40%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Highland View Elementary (math 42% / reading 62%, grade C-, #696 of 1,108 statewide, top 66%, 175 students, 98% FRL); Virginia Middle (math 56% / reading 71%, grade B+, #128 of 342 statewide, top 39%, 487 students, 101% FRL); Virginia High (math 62% / reading 77%, grade B, #159 of 319 statewide, top 53%, 637 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 58% district-wide (42 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 156 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 14d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 15 units permitted in Bristol city in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $899 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Bristol County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 35 days — a 3% lower offer ($126k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $74k; list at $130k implies a 76% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1921 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 35 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1921 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.17% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.33%
- Cash-on-cash
- 14.42%
- DSCR
- 1.64
- GRM
- 7.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $109,521
- List price
- $130,000
- Delta
- 18.70%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 723 Portsmouth Ave | 0.09mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,180 (+5%) | 4mo | $180,000 | $153 | 80 |
| 905 Barker Street St | 0.40mi | 2/1.0 | 1,101 (-2%) | 4mo | $156,000 | $142 | 74 |
| 938 Barker St | 0.47mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,170 (+4%) | 9mo | $79,000 | $68 | 59 |
| 124 Reservoir St | 0.27mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,005 (-11%) | 8mo | $132,000 | $131 | 58 |
| 510 Mcdowell St | 0.38mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,246 (+11%) | 9mo | $36,000 | $29 | 52 |
| 116 Elizabeth St | 0.68mi | 2/2.0 | 1,064 (-6%) | 4mo | $185,550 | $174 | 52 |
| 159 King Mill Pike | 0.71mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,095 (-3%) | 6mo | $175,000 | $160 | 50 |
| 108 Lily St | 0.63mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,040 (-8%) | 1mo | $195,000 | $188 | 50 |
| 934 Massachusetts Ave | 0.29mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 957 (-15%) | 8mo | $125,000 | $131 | 46 |
| 837 E State St | 0.52mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,248 (+11%) | 4mo | $200,000 | $160 | 45 |
| 474 Whitt St | 0.62mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,232 (+9%) | 6mo | $162,000 | $131 | 43 |
| 382 Texas Ave | 0.64mi | 2/1.0 | 973 (-14%) | 6mo | $99,000 | $102 | 43 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 4.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.18×
- Total profit
- $6,731
- Equity at exit
- $19,383
- IRR
- 14.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.14×
- Total profit
- $41,484
- Equity at exit
- $11,240
Cash invested: $36,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State Virginia
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 24201
- Active inventory
- 156
- Price-to-rent
- 7.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,517 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$682
- Tax from tax record
- −$25 /mo · $304/yr
- Insurance
- −$54
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$319
- Net cashflow
- $437
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $511 | -5% $474 | +0% $437 | +5% $401 | +10% $364 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $318 | -5% $377 | +0% $437 | +5% $497 | +10% $557 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $503 | -0.5pp $470 | base $437 | +0.5pp $404 | +1.0pp $369 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $32,500
- Closing costs
- $3,900
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 279 Reservoir St Bristol, VA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1300 | $1,600 | $1.23 | 13d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 135 Kingsolver St Bristol, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,400 | $1.40 | 21d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 1733 Dunlap St Bristol, VA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,250 | $1.39 | 13d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 1001 Virginia Ave Unit 2 Bristol, TN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,375 | $1.72 | 21d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 816 Goode St Bristol, VA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 822 | $2,000 | $2.43 | 13d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 1206 Golf St Bristol, TN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $1,500 | $1.56 | 13d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 1216 Norway St Unit 102 Bristol, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1215 | $1,600 | $1.32 | 13d | 1 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $130,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $130,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $130,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $130,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $130,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $130,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $130,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $130,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $130,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $130,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $130,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $130,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $130,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $130,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $130,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $130,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-05-15$130,000 Active 886-char remark
-
2023-03-08soldstatus $74,000
Show marketing remark (590 chars)
(BACK ON THE MARKET - PREVIOUS BUYER'S FINANCING FELL THROUGH) Great opportunity for a starter home or for someone who is downsizing and your mortgage payment would be much less than a rent payment . .. or for an investor wanting a rental property since the average rent has increased 19% in the last 12 months. This home offers 2 bedrooms, 1 full bathroom, a large living room and large eat-in kitchen. There's a laundry/mud room off the kitchen which then leads to the back yard. Check this one out! (Previous address - 705 Norfolk Ave) (Inspections welcome. Property being sold as-is. )
-
2023-03-08soldstatus $74,000
Show marketing remark (590 chars)
(BACK ON THE MARKET - PREVIOUS BUYER'S FINANCING FELL THROUGH) Great opportunity for a starter home or for someone who is downsizing and your mortgage payment would be much less than a rent payment . .. or for an investor wanting a rental property since the average rent has increased 19% in the last 12 months. This home offers 2 bedrooms, 1 full bathroom, a large living room and large eat-in kitchen. There's a laundry/mud room off the kitchen which then leads to the back yard. Check this one out! (Previous address - 705 Norfolk Ave) (Inspections welcome. Property being sold as-is. )
-
2022-02-26$76,900
Show marketing remark (590 chars)
(BACK ON THE MARKET - PREVIOUS BUYER'S FINANCING FELL THROUGH) Great opportunity for a starter home or for someone who is downsizing and your mortgage payment would be much less than a rent payment . .. or for an investor wanting a rental property since the average rent has increased 19% in the last 12 months. This home offers 2 bedrooms, 1 full bathroom, a large living room and large eat-in kitchen. There's a laundry/mud room off the kitchen which then leads to the back yard. Check this one out! (Previous address - 705 Norfolk Ave) (Inspections welcome. Property being sold as-is. )
-
2018-03-03$44,900
-
2006-04-28soldstatus $33,646
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $304 · $25/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,066 · $89/mo
- Expected delta
- +$762/yr (+$64/mo · 251.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 8 d/yr ≥98°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,207
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,282
- − Property taxes
- −$304
- − Insurance
- −$650
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,457
- − Management
- −$1,457
- − Depreciation
- −$3,782
- Taxable income
- $3,276
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$786
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,463/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bristol City Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 5100450
- Math proficiency
- 57% ▼ -24.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 70% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $33,978
- Composite
- 52.4/100
- National rank
- #1579
- State rank
- #53 of 131 in VA
Livability — Bristol
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #140
- US rank
- #4544
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Bristol, VA
- City population
- 16,039
- Population (ZIP)
- 16,039
Population outlook (Bristol County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 16,113 people
- By 2030
- 15,510 · -3.7%
- By 2040
- 14,121 · -12.4%
- By 2050
- 12,847 · -20.3%
- By 2075
- 9,870 · -38.7%
- By 2100
- 7,883 · -51.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (85%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 85% Black 7% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 4% Serbian 1% Iranian 0%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Bristol
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+39.7) · D 29.8% · R 69.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -13.6pp toward R · 2008: -26.0pp · 2024: -39.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+39.7 2020: R+38.9 2016: R+43.8 2012: R+31.1 2008: R+26.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -206.40%
- Current HPI
- 196.2099
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.40%
- F500 in state
- 50
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 4 | $236B |
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| Technology / Defense | 3 | $32B |
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| Financial Services | 2 | $176B |
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| Utilities | 2 | $27B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $25B |
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| Technology | 2 | $15B |
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Price history
+286.4% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-15 Listed $130,000 SWVAR
- 2023-03-08 Sold (Public Records) $74,000 Public Records
- 2023-03-08 Sold (MLS) $74,000 TVRMLS
- 2022-02-26 Listed $76,900 TVRMLS
- 2018-03-03 Listed $44,900 SWVAR
- 2006-04-28 Sold (Public Records) $33,646 Public Records
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…