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1609 High St
B Composite 73.16
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +27.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +9.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.1/5.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +3.8/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$110,000

1609 High St · West Fairview, PA 17025
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 936 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 137 Days on market
Built 1900 9,148 sqft lot Est $164k · 33% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Lovely one floor living. Completely redone - new kitchen, flooring, paint, windows, patio door, deck, new appliances included -refrigerator, electric range, washer & dryer. Live in country setting with view of river in fall/winter. Public access at point. Own your own home instead of renting. Yard with pavilion, shed/garage has electric & AC wall unit. Take a look at all the new living features.

Key facts

  • 9,148 sq ft lot
  • 3 parking spots
  • Built 1900

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $110k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $308 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $110k).
  • Recommended offer: $97k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#344 in PA, #3,029 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, amenities F.
  • East Pennsboro Area SD (suburban): math 30% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #275 of 539 in PA (top 51%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: East Pennsboro Area Shs (math 82% / reading 72%, grade A-, #22 of 437 statewide, top 5%, 761 students, 36% FRL).
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 77% at this address vs 44% district-wide (+34 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the East Pennsboro Area SD average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.5%/yr); 126 active listings in the ZIP; 21 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,052 units permitted in Cumberland County in 2024 (310 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $761 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Cumberland County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.5% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 137 days — a 12% lower offer ($97k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 10y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $80k (42%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→14/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $96,800 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 137 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.25%
Cap rate
9.65%
Cash-on-cash
11.99%
DSCR
1.53
GRM
6.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$163,800
Comps found
9
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1 E Locust St 0.32mi 2/1.0 915 (-2%) 8mo $200,000 $219 74
1208 Locust St 0.25mi 3/1.0 (+1) 874 (-7%) 19mo $110,000 $126 56
13 W Locust St 0.44mi 3/2.0 (+1) 970 (+4%) 10mo $170,000 $175 56
13 W Beale Ave 0.62mi 2/1.0 928 (-1%) 22mo $157,000 $169 52
8 W Locust St 0.42mi 2/1.5 1,024 (+9%) 23mo $160,150 $156 44
19 W Pine St 0.52mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,008 (+8%) 18mo $260,000 $258 43
122 Creekside Dr 0.68mi 2/1.0 1,056 (+13%) 10mo $200,000 $189 39
309 Lincoln St 0.38mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,056 (+13%) 22mo $150,000 $142 38
939 S Humer St 0.71mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,008 (+8%) 21mo $220,000 $218 32

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.46% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
5.5%
Equity multiple
1.22×
Total profit
$6,785
Equity at exit
$16,401
10-year hold
IRR
17.9%
Equity multiple
2.73×
Total profit
$53,185
Equity at exit
$9,511

Cash invested: $30,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 17025

Home prices YoY
-25.3%
Rents YoY
6.5%
Active inventory
126
Price-to-rent
6.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,379 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$577
Tax from tax record
$159 /mo · $1,908/yr
Insurance
$46
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$290
Net cashflow
$308

Break-even live

Break-even rent $989
Max offer price $110,000
Occupancy floor 73%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$27,500
Closing costs
$3,300
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 21 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
7 Adams St Unit 08 Enola, PA 2.0 1.0 700 $1,300 $1.86 23d 1 0.52mi
400 W Crestwood Dr Camp Hill, PA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1042 $1,634 $1.57 14d 14 0.94mi
2311 N Front St Harrisburg, PA 1.0 1.0 463 $995 $2.15 14d 5 1.05mi
150 Erford Rd Camp Hill, PA 1.0–2.0 1.5–2.0 879 $1,680 $1.91 14d 38 1.31mi
2312 Orange St Harrisburg, PA 2.0 1.0 754 $1,230 $1.63 44d 1 1.31mi
2020 N 3rd St Apt 1 Harrisburg, PA 1.0 1.0 850 $1,095 $1.29 23d 1 1.36mi
2020 N 3rd St Apt 7 Harrisburg, PA 1.0 1.0 600 $1,045 $1.74 44d 1 1.36mi
420 Wiconisco St Apt 5 Harrisburg, PA 2.0 1.0 628 $995 $1.58 44d 1 1.36mi
269 Peffer St Harrisburg, PA 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,195 $1.20 44d 1 1.39mi
2609 N 5th St Harrisburg, PA 2.0 1.0 809 $1,525 $1.89 23d 1 1.39mi
1823 N 2nd St Unit 1 Harrisburg, PA 1.0 1.0 800 $1,150 $1.44 23d 1 1.39mi
1823 N 2nd St Unit 1 Harrisburg, PA 1.0 1.0 1000 $1,150 $1.15 44d 1 1.39mi
1821 N 2nd St Unit 2 Harrisburg, PA 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,299 $1.30 14d 1 1.40mi
2042 N 4th St Harrisburg, PA 3.0 1.0 1090 $1,400 $1.28 44d 1 1.44mi
1839 Green St Harrisburg, PA 1.0–2.0 1.0 815 $1,595 $1.96 14d 1 1.44mi
1701 N Front St Unit 1R Harrisburg, PA 1.0 1.0 600 $1,545 $2.58 44d 1 1.46mi
1700 N 2nd St Apt 28 Harrisburg, PA 2.0 1.0 720 $1,095 $1.52 44d 1 1.48mi
1700 N 2nd St Apt 4 Harrisburg, PA 1.0 1.0 555 $985 $1.77 14d 1 1.48mi
1700 N 2nd St Apt 3 Harrisburg, PA 1.0 1.0 565 $1,095 $1.94 23d 1 1.48mi
1700 N 2nd St Apt 6 Harrisburg, PA 2.0 1.0 725 $1,145 $1.58 14d 1 1.48mi
1800 Green St Unit 5 Harrisburg, PA 1.0 1.0 803 $1,395 $1.74 23d 1 1.48mi

Listing history 9 events

  1. 2026-03-20
    price $110,000
  2. 2026-02-14
    status Pending
  3. 2025-11-05
    price $175,000
  4. 2025-10-21
    price $185,000
  5. 2025-10-01
    listed $190,000 Active
  6. 2025-09-22
    historical $190,000
  7. 2017-04-24
    soldstatus $110,000
  8. 2017-04-21
    soldstatus $110,000 410-char remark
    Show marketing remark (410 chars)

    Lovely one floor living. Completely redone - new kitchen, flooring, paint, windows, patio door, deck, new appliances included -refrigerator, electric range, washer & dryer. Live in country setting with view of river in fall/winter. Public access at point. Own your own home instead of renting. Yard with pavilion, shed/garage has electric & AC wall unit. Take a look at all the new living features.

  9. 2016-10-16
    listed $110,000 410-char remark
    Show marketing remark (410 chars)

    Lovely one floor living. Completely redone - new kitchen, flooring, paint, windows, patio door, deck, new appliances included -refrigerator, electric range, washer & dryer. Live in country setting with view of river in fall/winter. Public access at point. Own your own home instead of renting. Yard with pavilion, shed/garage has electric & AC wall unit. Take a look at all the new living features.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,908 · $159/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,908 · $159/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 5% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,550
− Mortgage interest
−$6,162
− Property taxes
−$1,908
− Insurance
−$550
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,324
− Management
−$1,324
− Depreciation
−$3,200
Taxable income
$2,082
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$500
After-tax cash flow
$3,195/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
East Pennsboro Area SD
NCES district ID
4208580
Math proficiency
30% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
57% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$60,120
Composite
38.26/100
National rank
#4239
State rank
#275 of 539 in PA

Livability — West Fairview

Score
77/100
State rank
#344
US rank
#3029

Category grades

Amenities F Commute B- Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
West Fairview, PA
County
Cumberland County · 257,673 people
Metro
Harrisburg-Carlisle, PA
Population (ZIP)
17,648
Household income
$91,285
Rent vs Own
27.1% rent · 72.9% own
Severe rent burden
317.0

Population outlook (Cumberland County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
267,950 people
By 2030
278,105 · +3.8%
By 2040
296,552 · +10.7%
By 2050
312,937 · +16.8%
By 2075
349,233 · +30.3%
By 2100
361,875 · +35.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (79%)
Race & ethnicity
White 79% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 6% Two or more races 6% Black 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 2% Dominican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Italian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada, South Korea, Vietnam
Languages at home
88% English-only · Other Indo-European 5% Spanish 4% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Cumberland

2024 margin
Lean R (+9.4) · D 44.6% · R 54.1% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
+4.2pp toward D · 2008: -13.6pp · 2024: -9.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+9.4 2020: R+10.6 2016: R+18.6 2012: R+18.5 2008: R+13.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -85.21%
Current HPI
251.939
Rent YoY
▲ 6.46%
Metro
Harrisburg-Carlisle, PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-20 Price Changed $110,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-02-14 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-11-05 Price Changed $175,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-10-21 Price Changed $185,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-10-01 Listed $190,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-09-22 Coming Soon $190,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2017-04-24 Sold (Public Records) $110,000 Public Records
  • 2017-04-21 Sold (MLS) $110,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2016-10-16 Listed $110,000 BRIGHT MLS

Property tax history

+22.1%/yr

Latest (2026): $1,908 · +1.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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