619 Thomas St · Bonham, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 24.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +3.2/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$34,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Corner lot • 0.3 acres • Infill Development Opportunity • Investment or Redevelopment • Utilities on Site 0.3-acre corner parcel in Bonham positioned for residential infill development or investment redevelopment. Existing 1910 structure (2 bed, 1 bath, approx. 1,124 sq ft) and detached barn are in advanced disrepair and are not safe for entry—property is being offered at lot value with all improvements conveying as-is. No interior access or showings permitted. Corner positioning allows multiple access points and flexible site planning for new construction, including potential for single-family build, spec home, or long-term hold. Lot size and layout support red
Key facts
- Utilities on site
- Corner lot
- 0.3 acre lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $35k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $764 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $35k).
- Cap rate 32.6% vs local median 3.5% in Bonham — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#785 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, schools D-, amenities F.
- Bonham ISD (town): math 37% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #477 of 826 in TX (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 277 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 87% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 82 units permitted in Fannin County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $241 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Fannin County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $10k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 4.1% of price; built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.92% ✓
- Cap rate
- 32.56%
- Cash-on-cash
- 93.81%
- DSCR
- 5.17
- GRM
- 2.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $201,196
- Comps found
- 10
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1104 W 13th | 0.44mi | 2/1.5 | 1,143 (+2%) | 1mo | $199,000 | $174 | 74 |
| 509 Allen Ave | 0.69mi | 2/1.0 | 1,176 (+5%) | 1mo | $60,000 | $51 | 60 |
| 1304 S 5th St | 0.59mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,120 (-0%) | 6mo | $97,000 | $87 | 58 |
| 710 Union Ave | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,164 (+4%) | 12mo | $125,000 | $107 | 49 |
| 612 W 7th St | 0.29mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,244 (+11%) | 18mo | $230,000 | $185 | 45 |
| 513 Allen Ave | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,218 (+8%) | 1mo | $154,900 | $127 | 44 |
| 501 S 5th St | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,217 (+8%) | 6mo | $224,900 | $185 | 41 |
| 118 W 10th St | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,160 (+3%) | 22mo | $208,800 | $180 | 39 |
| 810 S 4th St | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,217 (+8%) | 17mo | $230,000 | $189 | 33 |
| 906 Benton St | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,243 (+11%) | 11mo | $223,000 | $179 | 30 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 94.7%
- Equity multiple
- 5.41×
- Total profit
- $43,065
- Equity at exit
- $5,204
- IRR
- 97.5%
- Equity multiple
- 11.28×
- Total profit
- $100,420
- Equity at exit
- $3,018
Cash invested: $9,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 75418
- Home prices YoY
- -8.9%
- Active inventory
- 277
- Price-to-rent
- 2.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,367 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$183
- Tax from tax record
- −$118 /mo · $1,418/yr
- Insurance
- −$15
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$287
- Net cashflow
- $764
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $8,725
- Closing costs
- $1,047
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 15 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 913 W 12th St Bonham, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1355 | $1,700 | $1.25 | 44d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 406 W 6th St Bonham, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1198 | $1,350 | $1.13 | 44d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 805 S 6th St Unit 1 Bonham, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1229 | $1,450 | $1.18 | 44d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 708 Union Ave Bonham, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 828 | $1,100 | $1.33 | 44d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 406 S 6th St Unit 1 Bonham, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1198 | $1,300 | $1.09 | 44d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 317 Jones St Bonham, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1067 | $1,500 | $1.41 | 44d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 412 E 7th St Unit 2 Bonham, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1366 | $1,500 | $1.10 | 44d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 1624 Cedar St Bonham, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1004 | $1,275 | $1.27 | 44d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 1014 Pine St Bonham, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,475 | $1.23 | 44d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 613 E 3rd St Bonham, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1197 | $1,299 | $1.09 | 22d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 608 E 3rd St Unit 2 Bonham, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1197 | $1,295 | $1.08 | 44d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 1803 Franklin St Unit 1 Bonham, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1006 | $1,100 | $1.09 | 44d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 224 E Boyd St Bonham, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1196 | $1,245 | $1.04 | 44d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 808 E 12th St Bonham, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1234 | $1,595 | $1.29 | 19d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 229 E Evans Ave Bonham, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1090 | $1,264 | $1.16 | 44d | 1 | 1.27mi |
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-04-09status Pending
-
2026-04-04historical Active Option Contract
-
2026-04-01$34,900 Active
-
2000-01-19soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,418 · $118/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,418 · $118/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 24% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,399
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,955
- − Property taxes
- −$1,418
- − Insurance
- −$174
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,312
- − Management
- −$1,312
- − Depreciation
- −$1,015
- Taxable income
- $9,213
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,211
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,956/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bonham ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4810800
- Math proficiency
- 37% ▼ -1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 38% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,740
- Composite
- 31.63/100
- National rank
- #5937
- State rank
- #477 of 826 in TX
Livability — Bonham
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #785
- US rank
- #14360
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Bonham, TX
- County
- Fannin County · 15,155 people
- City population
- 15,155
- Metro
- Bonham, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 15,155
- Household income
- $68,918
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 281.0
Population outlook (Fannin County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 33,423 people
- By 2030
- 33,035 · -1.2%
- By 2040
- 32,250 · -3.5%
- By 2050
- 31,462 · -5.9%
- By 2075
- 29,447 · -11.9%
- By 2100
- 25,459 · -23.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (68%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 68% Hispanic / Latino 17% Black 10% Two or more races 8%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 16%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Slovak 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, Philippines
- Languages at home
- 85% English-only · Spanish 14%
Political lean MEDSL · Fannin
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+67.4) · D 15.9% · R 83.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -27.8pp toward R · 2008: -39.6pp · 2024: -67.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+67.4 2020: R+63.4 2016: R+61.9 2012: R+52.5 2008: R+39.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -25.59%
- Current HPI
- 262.7177
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Bonham, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
4 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-09 Pending — NTREIS
- 2026-04-04 Contingent — NTREIS
- 2026-04-01 Listed $34,900 NTREIS
- 2000-01-19 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+11.4%/yrLatest (2025): $1,418 · +1.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…