4753 Maffitt Ave · St. Louis, MO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Appreciation +3.9/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.2/10.0
$15,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
ATTENTION INVESTORS! This is the one - Historic two story brick charmer, great location, close to all St Louis sights, new NGA Campus, shopping, restaurants, highways and all other amenities! Bring this great sized 2 story home back to its beauty. This is an awesome buy for investors or a homeowner occupant with a vision! Great investment opportunity - could be a tear down & build a brand new home or rehab it's current structure and bring it back to life. Tons of brick could also be used to re-sell. STL City has lots of opportunities for investors - this property may qualify for credits/ benefits due to its location. Opportunity Zones are economically-distressed areas where new investments may be eligible for preferential tax treatment. Utilize the large lot and make it cash flow again. Last chance to make a smart investment move this quarter/ end of year. Priced to sell. Could also be purchased with 4762 Labadie Avenue, St Louis, Missouri 63115 as a package deal. CALL NOW!!
Key facts
- Great location
- Large lot
- New nga campus
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $15k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $949 ($11k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $15k).
- Recommended offer: $13k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 82.2% vs local median 5.0% in St. Louis — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- St. Louis City (urban): math 10% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #312 of 324 in MO (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 58 active listings in the ZIP; 20 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 60% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 294 units permitted in St. Louis city in 2024 (227 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-2.1%/yr); year-one equity from $104 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $322 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- St. Louis County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-2.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $4k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 172 days — a 12% lower offer ($13k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 9 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 172 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 8.84% ✓
- Cap rate
- 82.22%
- Cash-on-cash
- 271.16%
- DSCR
- 13.07
- GRM
- 0.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $55,074
- List price
- $15,000
- Delta
- -72.76%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4743 Maffitt Ave | 0.02mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,550 (0%) | 5mo | $154,900 | $100 | 88 |
| 4725 Maffitt Ave | 0.05mi | 3/1.5 | 1,508 (-3%) | 9mo | $45,000 | $30 | 84 |
| 4741 Greer Ave | 0.22mi | 3/2.0 | 1,766 (+14%) | 0mo | $10,000 | $6 | 62 |
| 2504 N Euclid Ave N | 0.25mi | 3/1.0 | 1,728 (+12%) | 8mo | $19,900 | $12 | 62 |
| 3208 N Taylor Ave | 0.51mi | 3/1.5 | 1,500 (-3%) | 10mo | $24,900 | $17 | 61 |
| 5237 Wabada | 0.72mi | 3/1.0 | 1,550 (0%) | 10mo | $20,000 | $13 | 58 |
| 5041 Lotus Ave | 0.54mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,500 (-3%) | 10mo | $30,000 | $20 | 54 |
| 3526 Paris Ave | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 | 1,624 (+5%) | 6mo | $25,000 | $15 | 52 |
| 4898 Margaretta Ave | 0.69mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,530 (-1%) | 11mo | $100,000 | $65 | 48 |
| 5071 Lotus Ave | 0.59mi | 3/1.0 | 1,734 (+12%) | 14mo | $22,900 | $13 | 41 |
| 5069 Lotus Ave | 0.59mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,734 (+12%) | 12mo | $34,700 | $20 | 36 |
| 4472 Natural Bridge Ave | 0.65mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,338 (-14%) | 9mo | $25,000 | $19 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-2.14% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 14.95×
- Total profit
- $58,576
- Equity at exit
- $2,815
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 31.81×
- Total profit
- $129,391
- Equity at exit
- $2,312
Cash invested: $4,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 63113
- Home prices YoY
- -2.0%
- Active inventory
- 58
- Price-to-rent
- 0.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,326 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$79
- Tax from tax record
- −$13 /mo · $159/yr
- Insurance
- −$6
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$278
- Net cashflow
- $949
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $3,750
- Closing costs
- $450
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 20 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4642 Farlin Ave Unit 1F St. Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1056 | $800 | $0.76 | 43d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 4040 Shreve Ave Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1201 | $1,250 | $1.04 | 43d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 5223 Ashland Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2200 | $1,250 | $0.57 | 43d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 5223 Ashland Ave Unit 2 St. Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2200 | $1,450 | $0.66 | 43d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 4247 Maffitt Ave St. Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1700 | $1,000 | $0.59 | 4d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 5333 Patton Ave St. Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1262 | $1,250 | $0.99 | 43d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 5096 Minerva Ave Unit C St. Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1800 | $1,395 | $0.78 | 43d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 1320 Academy Ave Unit A St. Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1600 | $1,090 | $0.68 | 43d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 1420 Union Blvd Unit 2F St. Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1096 | $995 | $0.91 | 43d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 5345 Wells Ave Unit 2ND St. Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1127 | $1,095 | $0.97 | 23d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 763 Walton Ave Unit 763 St. Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,100 | $1.00 | 43d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 4223 Red Bud Ave Unit 1F St. Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1167 | $895 | $0.77 | 43d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 625 N Euclid Ave St. Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 984 | $3,120 | $3.17 | 1d | 16 | 1.31mi |
| 4400 Delmar Blvd St. Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1450 | $1,600 | $1.10 | 43d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 4901 Washington Blvd Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1620 | $2,500 | $1.54 | 11d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 4738 Olive St Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1413 | $1,925 | $1.36 | 23d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 5130 Kensington Ave Unit 1 St. Louis, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,245 | $1.04 | 23d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 4500 Olive St Unit D St. Louis, MO | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,725 | $1.44 | 43d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 4466 Olive St Saint Louis, MO | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1222 | $2,495 | $2.04 | 1d | 7 | 1.43mi |
| 401 N Euclid Ave St. Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1025 | $1,875 | $1.83 | 1d | 4 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-04-27status Active 993-char remark
Show marketing remark (993 chars)
ATTENTION INVESTORS! This is the one - Historic two story brick charmer, great location, close to all St Louis sights, new NGA Campus, shopping, restaurants, highways and all other amenities! Bring this great sized 2 story home back to its beauty. This is an awesome buy for investors or a homeowner occupant with a vision! Great investment opportunity - could be a tear down & build a brand new home or rehab it's current structure and bring it back to life. Tons of brick could also be used to re-sell. STL City has lots of opportunities for investors - this property may qualify for credits/ benefits due to its location. Opportunity Zones are economically-distressed areas where new investments may be eligible for preferential tax treatment. Utilize the large lot and make it cash flow again. Last chance to make a smart investment move this quarter/ end of year. Priced to sell. Could also be purchased with 4762 Labadie Avenue, St Louis, Missouri 63115 as a package deal. CALL NOW!!
-
2026-04-08status Active 993-char remark
Show marketing remark (993 chars)
ATTENTION INVESTORS! This is the one - Historic two story brick charmer, great location, close to all St Louis sights, new NGA Campus, shopping, restaurants, highways and all other amenities! Bring this great sized 2 story home back to its beauty. This is an awesome buy for investors or a homeowner occupant with a vision! Great investment opportunity - could be a tear down & build a brand new home or rehab it's current structure and bring it back to life. Tons of brick could also be used to re-sell. STL City has lots of opportunities for investors - this property may qualify for credits/ benefits due to its location. Opportunity Zones are economically-distressed areas where new investments may be eligible for preferential tax treatment. Utilize the large lot and make it cash flow again. Last chance to make a smart investment move this quarter/ end of year. Priced to sell. Could also be purchased with 4762 Labadie Avenue, St Louis, Missouri 63115 as a package deal. CALL NOW!!
-
2026-03-11historical Active Under Contract 993-char remark
Show marketing remark (993 chars)
ATTENTION INVESTORS! This is the one - Historic two story brick charmer, great location, close to all St Louis sights, new NGA Campus, shopping, restaurants, highways and all other amenities! Bring this great sized 2 story home back to its beauty. This is an awesome buy for investors or a homeowner occupant with a vision! Great investment opportunity - could be a tear down & build a brand new home or rehab it's current structure and bring it back to life. Tons of brick could also be used to re-sell. STL City has lots of opportunities for investors - this property may qualify for credits/ benefits due to its location. Opportunity Zones are economically-distressed areas where new investments may be eligible for preferential tax treatment. Utilize the large lot and make it cash flow again. Last chance to make a smart investment move this quarter/ end of year. Priced to sell. Could also be purchased with 4762 Labadie Avenue, St Louis, Missouri 63115 as a package deal. CALL NOW!!
-
2025-11-11$15,000 Active 993-char remark
Show marketing remark (993 chars)
ATTENTION INVESTORS! This is the one - Historic two story brick charmer, great location, close to all St Louis sights, new NGA Campus, shopping, restaurants, highways and all other amenities! Bring this great sized 2 story home back to its beauty. This is an awesome buy for investors or a homeowner occupant with a vision! Great investment opportunity - could be a tear down & build a brand new home or rehab it's current structure and bring it back to life. Tons of brick could also be used to re-sell. STL City has lots of opportunities for investors - this property may qualify for credits/ benefits due to its location. Opportunity Zones are economically-distressed areas where new investments may be eligible for preferential tax treatment. Utilize the large lot and make it cash flow again. Last chance to make a smart investment move this quarter/ end of year. Priced to sell. Could also be purchased with 4762 Labadie Avenue, St Louis, Missouri 63115 as a package deal. CALL NOW!!
-
2025-10-24status Active
-
2025-10-24price $15,000
-
2025-10-12price $17,000
-
2025-09-09price $17,900
-
2025-04-10$19,900 Active
-
2025-03-09historical
-
2024-12-12status Active
-
2024-12-06status Pending
-
2024-11-20$20,000 Active
-
2024-10-30historical
-
2024-10-20price $24,800
-
2024-08-18price $24,900
-
2024-07-25$32,000 Active
-
2023-09-01soldstatus $13,500
-
2023-08-25soldstatus Closed
-
2023-08-08status Pending
-
2023-07-31price $14,500
-
2023-05-10price $15,500
-
2023-03-24$16,500 Active
-
1997-05-09soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $159 · $13/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $159 · $13/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,908
- − Mortgage interest
- −$840
- − Property taxes
- −$159
- − Insurance
- −$75
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,273
- − Management
- −$1,273
- − Depreciation
- −$436
- Taxable income
- $11,852
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,844
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,544/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- St. Louis City
- NCES district ID
- 2929280
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 18% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,685
- Composite
- 11.54/100
- National rank
- #9699
- State rank
- #312 of 324 in MO
Livability — St. Louis
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- St. Louis, MO
- City population
- 283,259
- Population (ZIP)
- 11,610
Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 315,737 people
- By 2030
- 313,865 · -0.6%
- By 2040
- 305,439 · -3.3%
- By 2050
- 296,529 · -6.1%
- By 2075
- 271,028 · -14.2%
- By 2100
- 255,359 · -19.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (91%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 91% White 6% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+64.7) · D 81.4% · R 16.7% · Other 2.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.5pp toward R · 2008: 68.2pp · 2024: 64.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+64.7 2020: D+66.2 2016: D+63.7 2012: D+66.6 2008: D+68.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -2.14%
- Current HPI
- 107.1335
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
||
| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
|
||
| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $16B |
|
||
| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
|
||
Price history
-9.1% since first listed24 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-27 Relisted — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-08 Relisted — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-11 Contingent — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-11-11 Listed $15,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-24 Relisted — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-24 Price Changed $15,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-12 Price Changed $17,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-09-09 Price Changed $17,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-04-10 Listed $19,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-03-09 Delisted — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-12-12 Relisted — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-12-06 Pending — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-11-20 Listed $20,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-10-30 Delisted — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-10-20 Price Changed $24,800 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-08-18 Price Changed $24,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-07-25 Listed $32,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-09-01 Sold (Public Records) $13,500 Public Records
- 2023-08-25 Sold (MLS) — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-08-08 Pending — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-07-31 Price Changed $14,500 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-05-10 Price Changed $15,500 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-03-24 Listed $16,500 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1997-05-09 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
-7.5%/yrLatest (2024): $159 · +4.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…