2737 Oliver Rd · Westlake, LA 70669

$130,000

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,280 sqft · Manufactured · 13 Days on market

Built 2016 8,712 sqft lot Est $122k · 7% over

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Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• 1% rule +9.4/10.0
• ARV discount +4.4/15.0
• Livability +3.3/5.0
• Schools +3.1/10.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

2016 - 16 x 80 mobile home with 3 bedrooms and 2 baths and a 12 x 50 carport, 10 x 10 shop with 4 ft awning. Home is well-kept, clean & neat, and all of the kitchen appliances are included in the sale (like new stove).

Key facts

• Modern appliances
• Large island
• Ample cabinet space

Tags

• OPEN-CONCEPT LAYOUT
• LARGE ISLAND
• AMPLE CABINET SPACE
• MODERN APPLIANCES
• FULLY FENCED BACKYARD
• COVERED PATIO AREA

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $130k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $695 ($8k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $130k).
• Cap rate 12.7% vs local median 6.4% in Westlake — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 66/100 on livability (#120 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
• Calcasieu Parish (other): math 30% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #29 of 98 in LA (top 30%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Zoned schools: Western Heights Elementary School (math 33% / reading 45%, grade F, #238 of 646 statewide, top 37%, 341 students, 56% FRL); S. P. Arnett Middle School (math 25% / reading 51%, grade F, #73 of 218 statewide, top 34%, 370 students, 55% FRL); Westlake High School (math 37% / reading 42%, grade F, #80 of 265 statewide, top 32%, 529 students, 44% FRL) — zoned schools at 51% FRL track the district average.
• Market conditions: 148 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,298 units permitted in Calcasieu Parish in 2024 (526 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($69k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $899 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Calcasieu County population projected at +11% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
• 2 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• Current owner paid $94k; 38% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $130,000

Questions for the listing agent

1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
2. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.44% ✓
• Cap rate: 12.71%
• Cash-on-cash: 22.93%
• DSCR: 2.02
• GRM: 5.8

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $121,600
• Comps found: 2

Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
2737 Oliver Rd	0.00mi	3/2.0	1,280 (0%)	1mo	$122,000	$95	99
3023 Hereford Rd Rd	0.39mi	3/2.0	1,280 (0%)	4mo	$52,500	$41	78

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 15.8%
• Equity multiple: 1.64×
• Total profit: $23,180
• Equity at exit: $19,383

10-year hold

• IRR: 24.5%
• Equity multiple: 3.12×
• Total profit: $77,034
• Equity at exit: $11,240

Cash invested: $36,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Louisiana: 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

5-day notice; no state rent control; civil-law jurisdiction; landlord-favorable.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 70669

• Active inventory: 148
• Price-to-rent: 5.8×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,867 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$682
• Tax from tax record: −$44 /mo · $524/yr
• Insurance: −$54
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$392
• Net cashflow: $695

Break-even live

Break-even rent $987

Max offer price $130,000

Occupancy floor 58%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $32,500
• Closing costs: $3,900
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 1 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
2900 Westwood Rd Westlake, LA	1.0–2.0	1.0–2.0	1003	$2,336	$2.33	13d	13	0.77mi

Listing history 5 events

1. 2026-03-30
   status Pending
2. 2026-03-17
   listed $130,000 Active
3. 2019-09-06
   soldstatus $94,000
4. 2019-09-05
   soldstatus 224-char remark

   Show marketing remark (224 chars)

   2016 - 16 x 80 mobile home with 3 bedrooms and 2 baths and a 12 x 50 carport, 10 x 10 shop with 4 ft awning. Home is well-kept, clean & neat, and all of the kitchen appliances are included in the sale (like new stove).

5. 2019-07-23
   listed $94,000 224-char remark

   Show marketing remark (224 chars)

   2016 - 16 x 80 mobile home with 3 bedrooms and 2 baths and a 12 x 50 carport, 10 x 10 shop with 4 ft awning. Home is well-kept, clean & neat, and all of the kitchen appliances are included in the sale (like new stove).

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $524 · $44/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $715 · $60/mo
• Expected delta: +$191/yr (+$16/mo · 36.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $22,404
• − Mortgage interest: −$7,282
• − Property taxes: −$524
• − Insurance: −$650
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,792
• − Management: −$1,792
• − Depreciation: −$3,782
• Taxable income: $6,582
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$1,580
• After-tax cash flow: $6,765/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Calcasieu Parish
• NCES district ID: 2200330
• Math proficiency: 30% ▼ -39.00%
• Reading proficiency: 44% ▼ -33.00%
• Median HH income: $44,700
• Composite: 31.45/100
• National rank: #5979
• State rank: #29 of 98 in LA

Livability — Westlake

• Score: 66/100
• State rank: #120
• US rank: #11457

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• County: Calcasieu Parish · 170,889 people
• City population: 9,552
• Metro: Lake Charles, LA
• Population (ZIP): 9,552
• Household income: $69,106
• Rent vs Own: 21.3% rent · 78.7% own
• Severe rent burden: 178.0

Population outlook (Calcasieu County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 212,179 people
• By 2030: 218,199 · +2.8%
• By 2040: 228,486 · +7.7%
• By 2050: 236,208 · +11.3%
• By 2075: 251,696 · +18.6%
• By 2100: 247,848 · +16.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (82%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 82% Black 9% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 3%
• Common ancestry: Lithuanian 7% Serbian 2% Italian 1%
• Foreign-born: 3% · Canada, South Korea
• Languages at home: 93% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 3% Spanish 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Calcasieu

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+39.6) · D 29.5% · R 69.0% · Other 1.5%
• 2008→2024 swing: -15.0pp toward R · 2008: -24.6pp · 2024: -39.6pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+39.6 2020: R+35.2 2016: R+33.3 2012: R+28.7 2008: R+24.6

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -107.45%
• Current HPI: 81.9801
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: Lake Charles, LA
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.29%
• F500 in state: 10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Telecommunications	2	$23B
▸Utilities	1	$12B
▸Wholesale / Distribution	1	$5B
▸Advertising	1	$2B

Price history

+38.3% since first listed

5 events — show timeline

• 2026-03-30 Pending — SWLAR
• 2026-03-17 Listed $130,000 SWLAR
• 2019-09-06 Sold (Public Records) $94,000 Public Records
• 2019-09-05 Sold (MLS) — SWLAR
• 2019-07-23 Listed $94,000 SWLAR

Property tax history

+4.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $524 · +3.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.