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19 Maple St
C+ Composite 62.29
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +23.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +14.1/15.0
  • DSCR +7.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.1/10.0
  • Schools +3.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$250,000

19 Maple St · South Seaville, NJ 08210
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 968 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 30 Days on market
Built 1950 $258/sqft · 15% below area Est $293k · 15% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Investor Special or Handy Buyer Opportunity! Located in desirable Dennis Township and just minutes from Sea Isle City, this 3-bedroom, 1-bath home offers endless potential for the right buyer ready to bring their vision to life. Situated on just under an acre in a quiet neighborhood setting, this property features an unfinished basement, natural gas heating, and an enclosed back porch complete with a cozy wood stove—perfect for added living space or future renovation possibilities. The home requires significant updates and repairs, making it ideal for investors, contractors, or buyers looking to build equity. Enjoy a prime location close to beaches, shopping, dining, and local attrac

Key facts

  • Enclosed back porch
  • Natural gas heating
  • Unfinished basement

Tags

UNFINISHED BASEMENTNATURAL GAS HEATINGENCLOSED BACK PORCHPRIME LOCATION

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Utilities: Well water; Hot water: natural gas; Sewer: Other (see remarks)
  • Home design: Single-family property listed for sale

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas forced-air heating
  • Interior features: Five total rooms; Full basement with inside entrance and masonry floors/walls

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $250k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $482 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $250k).
  • Recommended offer: $246k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Dennis Township School District (suburban): math 26% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #284 of 472 in NJ (top 60%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 18% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Market conditions: 144 active listings in the ZIP; 877 units permitted in Cape May County in 2024 (35 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Cape May County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 30 days — a 2% lower offer ($246k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $246,250 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.11%
Cap rate
8.61%
Cash-on-cash
8.26%
DSCR
1.37
GRM
7.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$292,736
List price
$250,000
Delta
-14.60%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
3 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
132 Academy Ln 0.57mi 2/1.0 (-1) 988 (+2%) 2mo $274,900 $278 63

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-3.7%
Equity multiple
0.86×
Total profit
$-9,798
Equity at exit
$37,276
10-year hold
IRR
6.0%
Equity multiple
1.44×
Total profit
$31,102
Equity at exit
$21,615

Cash invested: $70,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
21 Tenant-Leaning
State New Jersey
21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Anti-eviction Act requires just-cause statewide; rent control in 100+ municipalities; one of the most tenant-friendly states.

ZIP-level market 08210

Home prices YoY
-22.3%
Active inventory
144
Price-to-rent
7.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,775 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,311
Tax from tax record
$296 /mo · $3,548/yr
Insurance
$104
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$583
Net cashflow
$482

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,166
Max offer price $250,000
Occupancy floor 78%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$62,500
Closing costs
$7,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-06-03
    status $250,000 Under Contract 30 DOM
  2. 2026-06-02
    days on market $250,000 Active 30 DOM
  3. 2026-06-01
    days on market $250,000 Active 29 DOM
  4. 2026-05-31
    days on market $250,000 Active 28 DOM
  5. 2026-05-03
    listed $250,000 Active 966-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NJ · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,548 · $296/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,887 · $407/mo
Expected delta
+$1,338/yr (+$112/mo · 37.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 5/10 Major 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$33,305
− Mortgage interest
−$14,004
− Property taxes
−$3,548
− Insurance
−$1,250
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,664
− Management
−$2,664
− Depreciation
−$7,273
Taxable income
$1,902
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$456
After-tax cash flow
$5,324/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Dennis Township School District
NCES district ID
3403840
Math proficiency
26% ▼ -27.00%
Reading proficiency
41% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$72,052
Composite
31.16/100
National rank
#6055
State rank
#284 of 472 in NJ

Livability — South Seaville

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
South Seaville, NJ
Population (ZIP)
17,278

Population outlook (Cape May County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
88,234 people
By 2030
84,144 · -4.6%
By 2040
75,146 · -14.8%
By 2050
67,389 · -23.6%
By 2075
55,732 · -36.8%
By 2100
44,972 · -49.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (80%)
Race & ethnicity
White 80% Hispanic / Latino 8% Black 7% Two or more races 6% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% Subsaharan African 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Cape May

2024 margin
R (+19.2) · D 39.7% · R 58.9% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-10.6pp toward R · 2008: -8.7pp · 2024: -19.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+19.2 2020: R+15.9 2016: R+19.9 2012: R+8.9 2008: R+8.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -100.23%
Current HPI
349.1624
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.05%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-02 Pending CMCMLS
  • 2026-05-03 Listed $250,000 CMCMLS

Property tax history

+2.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,548 · +12.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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