122 Roesler · San Antonio, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +18.1/30.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +7.3/10.0
- DSCR +5.7/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.4/10.0
$140,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Investor Special! This duplex is the perfect opportunity to build your portfolio. Each unit offers 2 bedrooms and 1 bathroom, with plenty of potential for updates and increased value. Situated on a large lot with a detached garage, the property is centrally located near shopping, dining, and schools. Don't miss this excellent investment opportunity!
Key facts
- Centrally located
- Large lot
- Detached garage
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $140k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $122 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $140k).
- Recommended offer: $123k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.3% vs local median 3.8% in San Antonio — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#31 in TX, #1,616 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F.
- San Antonio ISD (urban): math 12% / reading 22% proficiency, ranked #805 of 826 in TX (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Hirsch El (math 10% / reading 16%, grade F, #4,152 of 4,322 statewide, top 96%, 533 students, 95% FRL); Houston H S (math 12% / reading 18%, grade F, #1,507 of 1,632 statewide, top 93%, 856 students, 95% FRL) — zoned schools average 95% FRL vs 80% district-wide (15 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 113 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 8,308 units permitted in Bexar County in 2024 (2,506 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $15k of equity ($968 loan paydown + $14k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Bexar County population projected at +50% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 0.5% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$38k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 132 days — a 12% lower offer ($123k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.8% of price; built in 1953 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 132 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1953 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.23% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.34%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.73%
- DSCR
- 1.17
- GRM
- 6.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $344,772
- Comps found
- 3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4226 Boxwood Rd | 0.67mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,074 (-6%) | 15mo | $350,000 | $169 | 40 |
| 224 Grobe Dr | 0.36mi | 3/3.0 (-1) | 1,910 (-13%) | 18mo | $239,900 | $126 | 37 |
| 2417 Jupe Dr | 0.74mi | 4/2.5 | 1,909 (-13%) | 24mo | $299,000 | $157 | 22 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 0.53% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 25.9%
- Equity multiple
- 3.04×
- Total profit
- $80,016
- Equity at exit
- $126,123
- IRR
- 22.0%
- Equity multiple
- 6.67×
- Total profit
- $222,268
- Equity at exit
- $271,989
Cash invested: $39,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 78220
- Home prices YoY
- 9.1%
- Rents YoY
- 0.5%
- Active inventory
- 113
- Price-to-rent
- 6.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,723 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$734
- Tax from tax record
- −$447 /mo · $5,364/yr
- Insurance
- −$58
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$362
- Net cashflow
- $122
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $201 | -5% $161 | +0% $122 | +5% $82 | +10% $43 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-14 | -5% $54 | +0% $122 | +5% $190 | +10% $258 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $192 | -0.5pp $157 | base $122 | +0.5pp $85 | +1.0pp $49 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $35,000
- Closing costs
- $4,200
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 Leesburg St San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1506 | $1,545 | $1.03 | 44d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 319 Charcliff Dr San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1890 | $1,495 | $0.79 | 44d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 5026 Benham Dr San Antonio, TX | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1700 | $1,750 | $1.03 | 18d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 1415 Semlinger Rd San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1508 | $1,850 | $1.23 | 13d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 231 Noblewood Dr San Antonio, TX | 1.0–4.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1084 | $1,605 | $1.48 | 24d | 1 | 1.43mi |
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-02-06status Pending
-
2026-01-24price $140,000
-
2025-12-19status Back on Market
-
2025-12-17historical Active Option
-
2025-11-06price $150,000
-
2025-09-27$160,000 New
-
2024-12-09soldstatus $1,076,400
-
2024-06-02historical
-
2024-05-23status Back on Market
-
2024-05-19historical
-
2024-05-02price $180,000
-
2024-05-01status Back on Market
-
2024-04-19historical Active Option
-
2024-03-26status Back on Market
-
2024-03-21historical Active Option
-
2024-03-15status Back on Market
-
2024-03-07historical Active Option
-
2024-03-04$185,000 New
-
1996-09-11soldstatus $59,850
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $5,364 · $447/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,364 · $447/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,677
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,842
- − Property taxes
- −$5,364
- − Insurance
- −$700
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,654
- − Management
- −$1,654
- − Depreciation
- −$4,073
- Taxable loss
- −$610
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$146
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,607/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- San Antonio ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4838730
- Math proficiency
- 12% ▼ -21.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 22% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $30,952
- Composite
- 13.57/100
- National rank
- #9512
- State rank
- #805 of 826 in TX
Livability — San Antonio
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #31
- US rank
- #1616
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- San Antonio, TX
- County
- Bexar County · 1,990,555 people
- City population
- 1,806,925
- Metro
- San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 19,423
- Household income
- $41,710
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 705.0
Population outlook (Bexar County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,336,851 people
- By 2030
- 2,560,728 · +9.6%
- By 2040
- 3,020,569 · +29.3%
- By 2050
- 3,493,522 · +49.5%
- By 2075
- 4,668,459 · +99.8%
- By 2100
- 5,533,242 · +136.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Hispanic (60%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 60% Black 30% Two or more races 22% White 8%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 47% Puerto Rican 1%
- Foreign-born
- 11% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 63% English-only · Spanish 36%
Political lean MEDSL · Bexar
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+9.8) · D 54.3% · R 44.6% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.2pp toward D · 2008: 5.6pp · 2024: 9.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+9.8 2020: D+18.2 2016: D+13.5 2012: D+4.6 2008: D+5.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 23.86%
- Current HPI
- 284.9844
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.53%
- Metro
- San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
+133.9% since first listed19 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-06 Pending — LERA
- 2026-01-24 Price Changed $140,000 LERA
- 2025-12-19 Relisted — LERA
- 2025-12-17 Contingent — LERA
- 2025-11-06 Price Changed $150,000 LERA
- 2025-09-27 Listed $160,000 LERA
- 2024-12-09 Sold (Public Records) $1,076,400 Public Records
- 2024-06-02 Listing Removed — LERA
- 2024-05-23 Relisted — LERA
- 2024-05-19 Listing Removed — LERA
- 2024-05-02 Price Changed $180,000 LERA
- 2024-05-01 Relisted — LERA
- 2024-04-19 Contingent — LERA
- 2024-03-26 Relisted — LERA
- 2024-03-21 Contingent — LERA
- 2024-03-15 Relisted — LERA
- 2024-03-07 Contingent — LERA
- 2024-03-04 Listed $185,000 LERA
- 1996-09-11 Sold (Public Records) $59,850 Public Records
Property tax history
+7.9%/yrLatest (2025): $5,364 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…