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PENWELL Plan 🏗️ New Construction
C Composite 57.89
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +23.7/30.0
  • DSCR +7.6/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +6.2/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.8/5.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.5/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$318,900

PENWELL Plan · Dothan, AL 36301
4 bd · 2.5 ba · 2,175 sqft · SingleFamily · 802 Days on market
Excellent condition

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

The Penwell is one of our two-story floorplans featured in our Halls Creek Communities in Dothan, Alabama. With 2 exteriors to choose from, the Penwell is sure to be a favorite. Offering 4-bedrooms, 2.5-bathrooms home, you'll find 2,175 square feet of desirable living space. The first floor showcases an open concept and spacious great room where your kitchen and living areas blend seamlessly into a space perfect for everyday entertaining. The first floor also features a flex room in the front of the home that provides an area for work or play. Relax on the outdoor patio looking out to your backyard. The kitchen features quartz countertops, stainless steel appliances and a spacious walk-in pantry which are sure to make meal prep easy. The island is the perfect spot for your guests to sit and visit. As we head up to the second floor, we are greeted with the primary bedroom that features a bathroom as well as three additional bedrooms, a full bathroom, and a laundry area. In every bedroom you'll have carpeted floors and a closet. Whether these rooms become bedrooms office spaces, or other bonus rooms, there is sure to be comfort. Like all homes in Halls Creek, the Penwell includes a Home is Connected smart home technology package which allows you to control your home with your smart device while near or away. Pictures may be of a similar home and not necessarily of the subject property. Pictures are representational only. The Penwell is a must-see floor plan so schedule your to

Key facts

  • 2 garage spots
  • Listed 801 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏗️ New construction. The $318,900 list price is a builder figure, so every metric below is computed on the value from comparable previous sales — $288,740.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $319k. Condition is rated excellent.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $549 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $319k).
  • Recommended offer: $281k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.6% vs local median 4.4% in Dothan — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#146 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D, crime F, amenities F.
  • Dothan City (urban): math 19% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #73 of 129 in AL (top 57%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Selma Street Elementary School (math 13% / reading 33%, grade F, #431 of 627 statewide, top 69%, 413 students, 93% FRL); Dothan Preparatory Academy (math 12% / reading 38%, grade F, #163 of 257 statewide, top 64%, 1,133 students, 78% FRL) — zoned schools average 85% FRL vs 59% district-wide (26 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 412 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 463 units permitted in Houston County in 2024 (96 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Houston County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 802 days — a 12% lower offer ($281k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $280,632 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 802 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.12%
Cap rate
8.58%
Cash-on-cash
8.16%
DSCR
1.36
GRM
7.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$288,740
List price
$318,900
Delta
10.45%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
105 Halls Creek Ln 0.08mi 4/2.0 2,076 (-5%) 3mo $315,000 $152 84
200 Oliver Dr 0.02mi 5/3.0 (+1) 2,016 (-7%) 1mo $295,110 $146 79
221 Mairead Dr 0.26mi 4/2.5 2,175 (0%) 13mo $312,000 $143 77
501 Oliver Dr 0.27mi 4/2.5 2,175 (0%) 13mo $308,000 $142 77
100 Littleleaf Ct 0.41mi 4/2.0 2,272 (+4%) 1mo $374,000 $165 70
414 Oliver Dr 0.21mi 5/3.0 (+1) 2,016 (-7%) 8mo $290,000 $144 65
2203 Saddlewood Trl 0.56mi 4/2.0 2,197 (+1%) 10mo $254,000 $116 61
206 Glen Oaks Dr 0.47mi 3/2.5 (-1) 2,045 (-6%) 11mo $333,000 $163 54
374 Taylor Rd 0.66mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,000 (-8%) 1mo $494,000 $247 48
607 Lakewood Dr 0.65mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,004 (-8%) 7mo $241,500 $121 44
103 Shadowood Dr 0.72mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,305 (+6%) 13mo $279,700 $121 39
2017 Fern Dr 0.71mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,850 (-15%) 10mo $323,000 $175 27

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-3.9%
Equity multiple
0.85×
Total profit
$-11,746
Equity at exit
$43,052
10-year hold
IRR
5.8%
Equity multiple
1.43×
Total profit
$35,029
Equity at exit
$24,965

Cash invested: $80,847 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 36301

Home prices YoY
-24.9%
Active inventory
412
Price-to-rent
8.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,221 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,514
Tax est. 1.5%
$361 /mo · $4,331/yr
Insurance
$120
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$676
Net cashflow
$549

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,526
Max offer price $288,740
Occupancy floor 78%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $749 -5% $649 +0% $549 +5% $450 +10% $350
Rent -10% $295 -5% $422 +0% $549 +5% $677 +10% $804
Rate -1.0pp $695 -0.5pp $623 base $549 +0.5pp $475 +1.0pp $398

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$72,185
Closing costs
$8,662
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1605 Ivy Dr Dothan, AL 3.0 2.0 1888 $3,400 $1.80 45d 1 0.84mi
413 Christopher Dr Miami, AL 3.0 2.0 1482 $2,900 $1.96 45d 1 1.18mi

Listing history 23 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $318,900 Active 802 DOM
  2. 2026-06-21
    days on market $318,900 Active 801 DOM
  3. 2026-06-19
    days on market $318,900 Active 799 DOM
  4. 2026-06-18
    days on market $318,900 Active 798 DOM
  5. 2026-06-17
    days on market $318,900 Active 797 DOM
  6. 2026-06-16
    days on market $318,900 Active 796 DOM
  7. 2026-06-15
    days on market $318,900 Active 795 DOM
  8. 2026-06-14
    days on market $318,900 Active 793 DOM
  9. 2026-06-12
    days on market $318,900 Active 792 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $318,900 Active 789 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $318,900 Active 788 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $318,900 Active 787 DOM
  13. 2026-06-05
    days on market $318,900 Active 784 DOM
  14. 2026-06-03
    days on market $318,900 Active 783 DOM
  15. 2026-06-02
    days on market $318,900 Active 782 DOM
  16. 2026-06-01
    days on market $318,900 Active 781 DOM
  17. 2026-05-31
    days on market $318,900 Active 780 DOM
  18. 2026-05-30
    days on market $318,900 Active 779 DOM
  19. 2024-10-02
    price $318,900 1499-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1499 chars)

    The Penwell is one of our two-story floorplans featured in our Halls Creek Communities in Dothan, Alabama. With 2 exteriors to choose from, the Penwell is sure to be a favorite. Offering 4-bedrooms, 2.5-bathrooms home, you'll find 2,175 square feet of desirable living space. The first floor showcases an open concept and spacious great room where your kitchen and living areas blend seamlessly into a space perfect for everyday entertaining. The first floor also features a flex room in the front of the home that provides an area for work or play. Relax on the outdoor patio looking out to your backyard. The kitchen features quartz countertops, stainless steel appliances and a spacious walk-in pantry which are sure to make meal prep easy. The island is the perfect spot for your guests to sit and visit. As we head up to the second floor, we are greeted with the primary bedroom that features a bathroom as well as three additional bedrooms, a full bathroom, and a laundry area. In every bedroom you'll have carpeted floors and a closet. Whether these rooms become bedrooms office spaces, or other bonus rooms, there is sure to be comfort. Like all homes in Halls Creek, the Penwell includes a Home is Connected smart home technology package which allows you to control your home with your smart device while near or away. Pictures may be of a similar home and not necessarily of the subject property. Pictures are representational only. The Penwell is a must-see floor plan so schedule your to

  20. 2024-04-17
    status Active 1499-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1499 chars)

    The Penwell is one of our two-story floorplans featured in our Halls Creek Communities in Dothan, Alabama. With 2 exteriors to choose from, the Penwell is sure to be a favorite. Offering 4-bedrooms, 2.5-bathrooms home, you'll find 2,175 square feet of desirable living space. The first floor showcases an open concept and spacious great room where your kitchen and living areas blend seamlessly into a space perfect for everyday entertaining. The first floor also features a flex room in the front of the home that provides an area for work or play. Relax on the outdoor patio looking out to your backyard. The kitchen features quartz countertops, stainless steel appliances and a spacious walk-in pantry which are sure to make meal prep easy. The island is the perfect spot for your guests to sit and visit. As we head up to the second floor, we are greeted with the primary bedroom that features a bathroom as well as three additional bedrooms, a full bathroom, and a laundry area. In every bedroom you'll have carpeted floors and a closet. Whether these rooms become bedrooms office spaces, or other bonus rooms, there is sure to be comfort. Like all homes in Halls Creek, the Penwell includes a Home is Connected smart home technology package which allows you to control your home with your smart device while near or away. Pictures may be of a similar home and not necessarily of the subject property. Pictures are representational only. The Penwell is a must-see floor plan so schedule your to

  21. 2024-04-17
    price $317,900 1499-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1499 chars)

    The Penwell is one of our two-story floorplans featured in our Halls Creek Communities in Dothan, Alabama. With 2 exteriors to choose from, the Penwell is sure to be a favorite. Offering 4-bedrooms, 2.5-bathrooms home, you'll find 2,175 square feet of desirable living space. The first floor showcases an open concept and spacious great room where your kitchen and living areas blend seamlessly into a space perfect for everyday entertaining. The first floor also features a flex room in the front of the home that provides an area for work or play. Relax on the outdoor patio looking out to your backyard. The kitchen features quartz countertops, stainless steel appliances and a spacious walk-in pantry which are sure to make meal prep easy. The island is the perfect spot for your guests to sit and visit. As we head up to the second floor, we are greeted with the primary bedroom that features a bathroom as well as three additional bedrooms, a full bathroom, and a laundry area. In every bedroom you'll have carpeted floors and a closet. Whether these rooms become bedrooms office spaces, or other bonus rooms, there is sure to be comfort. Like all homes in Halls Creek, the Penwell includes a Home is Connected smart home technology package which allows you to control your home with your smart device while near or away. Pictures may be of a similar home and not necessarily of the subject property. Pictures are representational only. The Penwell is a must-see floor plan so schedule your to

  22. 2024-01-12
    historical 1499-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1499 chars)

    The Penwell is one of our two-story floorplans featured in our Halls Creek Communities in Dothan, Alabama. With 2 exteriors to choose from, the Penwell is sure to be a favorite. Offering 4-bedrooms, 2.5-bathrooms home, you'll find 2,175 square feet of desirable living space. The first floor showcases an open concept and spacious great room where your kitchen and living areas blend seamlessly into a space perfect for everyday entertaining. The first floor also features a flex room in the front of the home that provides an area for work or play. Relax on the outdoor patio looking out to your backyard. The kitchen features quartz countertops, stainless steel appliances and a spacious walk-in pantry which are sure to make meal prep easy. The island is the perfect spot for your guests to sit and visit. As we head up to the second floor, we are greeted with the primary bedroom that features a bathroom as well as three additional bedrooms, a full bathroom, and a laundry area. In every bedroom you'll have carpeted floors and a closet. Whether these rooms become bedrooms office spaces, or other bonus rooms, there is sure to be comfort. Like all homes in Halls Creek, the Penwell includes a Home is Connected smart home technology package which allows you to control your home with your smart device while near or away. Pictures may be of a similar home and not necessarily of the subject property. Pictures are representational only. The Penwell is a must-see floor plan so schedule your to

  23. 2024-01-06
    listed $314,900 Active 1499-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1499 chars)

    The Penwell is one of our two-story floorplans featured in our Halls Creek Communities in Dothan, Alabama. With 2 exteriors to choose from, the Penwell is sure to be a favorite. Offering 4-bedrooms, 2.5-bathrooms home, you'll find 2,175 square feet of desirable living space. The first floor showcases an open concept and spacious great room where your kitchen and living areas blend seamlessly into a space perfect for everyday entertaining. The first floor also features a flex room in the front of the home that provides an area for work or play. Relax on the outdoor patio looking out to your backyard. The kitchen features quartz countertops, stainless steel appliances and a spacious walk-in pantry which are sure to make meal prep easy. The island is the perfect spot for your guests to sit and visit. As we head up to the second floor, we are greeted with the primary bedroom that features a bathroom as well as three additional bedrooms, a full bathroom, and a laundry area. In every bedroom you'll have carpeted floors and a closet. Whether these rooms become bedrooms office spaces, or other bonus rooms, there is sure to be comfort. Like all homes in Halls Creek, the Penwell includes a Home is Connected smart home technology package which allows you to control your home with your smart device while near or away. Pictures may be of a similar home and not necessarily of the subject property. Pictures are representational only. The Penwell is a must-see floor plan so schedule your to

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$38,656
− Mortgage interest
−$16,174
− Property taxes
−$4,331
− Insurance
−$1,444
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,092
− Management
−$3,092
− Depreciation
−$8,400
Taxable income
$2,123
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$509
After-tax cash flow
$6,084/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Excellent 95/100 None rehab

This two-story home in Dothan, Alabama, is in excellent condition with a modern design and well-maintained exterior. It offers a spacious open concept living area and a good-sized kitchen, making it an ideal move-in-ready property.

Value-add opportunities

  • Resale Painting the exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and can increase property value.
  • Resale Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and can increase property value.
  • Both Adding a smart home system — Improves convenience and can increase property value for both resale and rental.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Resale Painting the exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and can increase property value.
  • Resale Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and can increase property value.
  • Both Adding a smart home system — Improves convenience and can increase property value for both resale and rental.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Dothan City
NCES district ID
0101230
Math proficiency
19% ▼ -23.00%
Reading proficiency
39% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$42,279
Composite
24.56/100
National rank
#7640
State rank
#73 of 129 in AL

Livability — Dothan

Score
64/100
State rank
#146
US rank
#13662

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Dothan, AL
City population
47,783
Population (ZIP)
38,627

Population outlook (Houston County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
110,280 people
By 2030
112,668 · +2.2%
By 2040
116,149 · +5.3%
By 2050
117,805 · +6.8%
By 2075
118,577 · +7.5%
By 2100
110,940 · +0.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
Race & ethnicity
White 59% Black 31% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3%
Common ancestry
Slovak 1% Italian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Houston

2024 margin
Solid R (+47.8) · D 25.7% · R 73.5%
2008→2024 swing
-7.0pp toward R · 2008: -40.8pp · 2024: -47.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+47.8 2020: R+42.7 2016: R+47.6 2012: R+40.3 2008: R+40.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -53.46%
Current HPI
161.1212
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+1.3% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2024-10-02 Price Changed $318,900 Zillow
  • 2024-04-17 Price Changed $317,900 Zillow
  • 2024-04-17 Relisted Zillow
  • 2024-01-12 Delisted Zillow
  • 2024-01-06 Listed $314,900 Zillow

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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