1005 Ambrose Ave · East Liverpool, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.9/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +8.7/10.0
- 1% rule +6.3/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$63,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Investment Opportunity! This 2 bedroom 1 bath home would make a great investment. It has a one car garage in the basement and a larger yard.
Key facts
- Renovated bathroom
- Mechanical upgrades
- Double lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $63k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $154 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($712 rent vs $63k).
- Recommended offer: $61k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#613 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- East Liverpool City (town): math 28% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #571 of 656 in OH (top 87%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 78% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 114 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 49 units permitted in Columbiana County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent is only 17% of the median local income ($51k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $436 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Columbiana County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 32 days — a 3% lower offer ($61k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 10 sale attempts since 8y ago; this cycle's ask is 5% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
- Current owner paid $9k; list at $63k implies a 600% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 32 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.13% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.23%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.50%
- DSCR
- 1.47
- GRM
- 7.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $82,896
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 755 Minerva St | 0.14mi | 2/1.0 | 1,320 (+5%) | 6mo | $87,700 | $66 | 80 |
| 946 Bank St | 0.13mi | 2/1.0 | 1,136 (-10%) | 2mo | $19,000 | $17 | 76 |
| 1052 Huston Ave | 0.09mi | 2/1.5 | 1,160 (-8%) | 16mo | $45,000 | $39 | 68 |
| 1507 Saint Clair Ave | 0.65mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,232 (-2%) | 2mo | $28,000 | $23 | 60 |
| 931 Mckinnon Ave | 0.55mi | 2/1.0 | 1,158 (-8%) | 3mo | $102,500 | $89 | 59 |
| 213 Blakely St | 0.32mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,188 (-5%) | 11mo | $18,500 | $16 | 58 |
| 401 Ray St | 0.50mi | 2/1.0 | 1,188 (-5%) | 12mo | $78,000 | $66 | 58 |
| 420 Vine St | 0.20mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,440 (+15%) | 3mo | $119,000 | $83 | 57 |
| 920 Mckinnon Ave | 0.52mi | 2/1.5 | 1,400 (+12%) | 4mo | $55,000 | $39 | 52 |
| 600 Marcus St | 0.73mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,232 (-2%) | 8mo | $137,500 | $112 | 49 |
| 1520 Smithfield St | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,190 (-5%) | 7mo | $21,000 | $18 | 45 |
| 562 California Ave | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,376 (+10%) | 9mo | $133,000 | $97 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -0.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.98×
- Total profit
- $-386
- Equity at exit
- $9,394
- IRR
- 9.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.70×
- Total profit
- $12,297
- Equity at exit
- $5,447
Cash invested: $17,640 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 43920
- Home prices YoY
- -29.3%
- Active inventory
- 114
- Price-to-rent
- 7.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $712 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$330
- Tax from tax record
- −$52 /mo · $623/yr
- Insurance
- −$26
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$150
- Net cashflow
- $154
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $190 | -5% $172 | +0% $154 | +5% $136 | +10% $119 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $98 | -5% $126 | +0% $154 | +5% $182 | +10% $211 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $186 | -0.5pp $170 | base $154 | +0.5pp $138 | +1.0pp $121 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $15,750
- Closing costs
- $1,890
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 707 Saint Clair Ave Unit 06 East Liverpool, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $725 | $0.81 | 44d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 707 Saint Clair Ave Unit 03 East Liverpool, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $700 | $0.78 | 44d | 1 | 0.42mi |
Listing history 43 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $63,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $63,000 Active 31 DOM
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2026-06-16pricedays on market $63,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $60,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $60,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $60,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $60,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $60,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $60,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $60,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $60,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $60,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-05-18$60,000 Active
-
2024-11-06historical
-
2024-08-31status Active
-
2024-08-27historical Contingent
-
2024-08-05price $21,000
-
2024-05-30status Active
-
2024-05-24historical Contingent
-
2024-05-16price $12,000
-
2024-04-23price $45,000
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2024-04-22$39,000 Active
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2021-06-15soldstatus $9,000 Closed 140-char remark
Show marketing remark (140 chars)
Investment Opportunity! This 2 bedroom 1 bath home would make a great investment. It has a one car garage in the basement and a larger yard.
-
2021-05-14status Pending 140-char remark
Show marketing remark (140 chars)
Investment Opportunity! This 2 bedroom 1 bath home would make a great investment. It has a one car garage in the basement and a larger yard.
-
2021-04-28$9,500 Active 140-char remark
Show marketing remark (140 chars)
Investment Opportunity! This 2 bedroom 1 bath home would make a great investment. It has a one car garage in the basement and a larger yard.
-
2020-12-03historical
-
2020-08-10price $20,000
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2020-06-03$25,000 Active
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2020-04-15historical
-
2019-10-15$25,000 Active
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2019-10-02historical
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2019-09-26price $25,000
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2019-08-02price $26,000
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2019-07-18price $27,000
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2019-06-24price $27,500
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2019-06-12price $29,000
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2019-05-14price $31,200
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2019-04-02$32,000 Active
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2018-06-11soldstatus $7,500 Sold
-
2018-05-31status Pending
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2018-03-11status Active
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2018-03-04status Pending
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2018-01-03$9,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $623 · $52/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $803 · $67/mo
- Expected delta
- +$180/yr (+$15/mo · 28.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $8,550
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,529
- − Property taxes
- −$623
- − Insurance
- −$315
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$684
- − Management
- −$684
- − Depreciation
- −$1,833
- Taxable income
- $882
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$212
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,640/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- East Liverpool City
- NCES district ID
- 3904391
- Math proficiency
- 28% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 37% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $34,021
- Composite
- 26.72/100
- National rank
- #7148
- State rank
- #571 of 656 in OH
Livability — East Liverpool
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #613
- US rank
- #10580
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- East Liverpool, OH
- County
- Columbiana · 99,532 people
- Population (ZIP)
- 21,124
- Household income
- $50,820
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 12.6
Population outlook (Columbiana County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 98,353 people
- By 2030
- 94,225 · -4.2%
- By 2040
- 85,169 · -13.4%
- By 2050
- 76,157 · -22.6%
- By 2075
- 58,451 · -40.6%
- By 2100
- 42,805 · -56.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (90%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 90% Two or more races 6% Black 3% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Slovak 2% Serbian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 0%
Political lean MEDSL · Columbiana
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+49.0) · D 25.1% · R 74.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -41.4pp toward R · 2008: -7.6pp · 2024: -49.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+49.0 2020: R+44.9 2016: R+41.6 2012: R+12.0 2008: R+7.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -81.53%
- Current HPI
- 196.3908
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
|
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Price history
+506.1% since first listed31 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-18 Listed $60,000 FSBO.com
- 2024-11-06 Listing Removed — MLSNOW
- 2024-08-31 Relisted — MLSNOW
- 2024-08-27 Contingent — MLSNOW
- 2024-08-05 Price Changed $21,000 MLSNOW
- 2024-05-30 Relisted — MLSNOW
- 2024-05-24 Contingent — MLSNOW
- 2024-05-16 Price Changed $12,000 MLSNOW
- 2024-04-23 Price Changed $45,000 MLSNOW
- 2024-04-22 Listed $39,000 MLSNOW
- 2021-06-15 Sold (MLS) $9,000 MLSNOW
- 2021-05-14 Pending — MLSNOW
- 2021-04-28 Listed $9,500 MLSNOW
- 2020-12-03 Listing Removed — MLSNOW
- 2020-08-10 Price Changed $20,000 MLSNOW
- 2020-06-03 Listed $25,000 MLSNOW
- 2020-04-15 Listing Removed — MLSNOW
- 2019-10-15 Listed $25,000 MLSNOW
- 2019-10-02 Listing Removed — MLSNOW
- 2019-09-26 Price Changed $25,000 MLSNOW
- 2019-08-02 Price Changed $26,000 MLSNOW
- 2019-07-18 Price Changed $27,000 MLSNOW
- 2019-06-24 Price Changed $27,500 MLSNOW
- 2019-06-12 Price Changed $29,000 MLSNOW
- 2019-05-14 Price Changed $31,200 MLSNOW
- 2019-04-02 Listed $32,000 MLSNOW
- 2018-06-11 Sold (MLS) $7,500 MLSNOW
- 2018-05-31 Pending — MLSNOW
- 2018-03-11 Relisted — MLSNOW
- 2018-03-04 Pending — MLSNOW
- 2018-01-03 Listed $9,900 MLSNOW
Property tax history
+4.2%/yrLatest (2025): $623 · +28.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…