182 Mill Creek Rd · Arlington Heights, PA 18301

$64,900

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,134 sqft · Manufactured public records · 7 Days on market

Built 1986 30 ac lot Est $76k · 15% under $38/mo HOA · 2% of rent

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Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• ARV discount +14.1/15.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• Rent growth +5.0/5.0
• Livability +3.9/5.0
• Schools +3.6/10.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Renovated Mobile Home. New Windows to be installed 1st week of June. New Baths, New Flooring. Freshly Painted. Primary Suite with WIC and Full Bath. Oil heat. Wall AC. Good home or Investment Property.

Key facts

• New baths
• New flooring
• Primary suite

Tags

• RENOVATED MOBILE HOME
• NEW WINDOWS
• NEW BATHS
• NEW FLOORING
• PRIMARY SUITE
• FULL BATH

Property features AI

Finance

• HOA & community: Homeowners association with an annual fee of $450 (approximately $37.50/month); Association fee includes water and sewer; Association lists no additional amenities

Exterior

• Parking: Open parking (2 spaces)
• Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Propane
• Home design: Mobile home (single wide); Property is attached
• Construction: Metal skirting
• Exterior features: Front porch; Paved road access; Publicly maintained road; City street frontage; 30-acre lot; Residential zoning

Interior

• Kitchen: Range; Gas range; Refrigerator
• Bedrooms: 7 total rooms (bedroom count not specified)
• Flooring: Vinyl
• Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
• Interior features: Pantry; Laminate counters; Walk-in closet(s); Open floor plan; Unfurnished
• Laundry & utility: Main level laundry; Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $65k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $65k).
• Cap rate 25.6% vs local median 3.7% in Arlington Heights — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 77/100 on livability (#317 in PA, #2,815 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: amenities D, employment D, schools F.
• Stroudsburg Area SD (suburban): math 33% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #315 of 539 in PA (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+10.4%/yr); 196 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 75% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 278 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (52 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Monroe County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $64,900

Questions for the listing agent

1. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 2.89% ✓
• Cap rate: 25.63%
• Cash-on-cash: 69.06%
• DSCR: 4.07
• GRM: 2.9

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $75,978
• Comps found: 1

Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
211 Jen St	0.55mi	3/2.0	1,120 (-1%)	0mo	$75,000	$67	72

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 74.1%
• Equity multiple: 4.63×
• Total profit: $66,010
• Equity at exit: $9,677

10-year hold

• IRR: 79.3%
• Equity multiple: 11.37×
• Total profit: $188,390
• Equity at exit: $5,611

Cash invested: $18,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 62 Landlord-Friendly
• State Pennsylvania: 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 18301

• Rents YoY: 10.4%
• Active inventory: 196
• Price-to-rent: 2.9×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,874 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$340
• Tax from tax record: −$29 /mo · $347/yr
• Insurance: −$27
• HOA: −$38
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$393
• Net cashflow: $1,046

Break-even live

Break-even rent $550

Max offer price $64,900

Occupancy floor 39%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $16,225
• Closing costs: $1,947
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 4 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
106 Madison St Unit G3 East Stroudsburg, PA	2.0	1.0	700	$1,450	$2.07	44d	1	0.22mi
115 E 5th St East Stroudsburg, PA	2.0	1.0	950	$1,795	$1.89	2d	1	0.93mi
111 Lenox Ave Unit 3 & 4 East Stroudsburg, PA	4.0	2.0	1100	$1,850	$1.68	43d	1	1.32mi
118 Barnum St East Stroudsburg, PA	4.0	1.0	1094	$1,800	$1.65	43d	1	1.37mi

HOA detail

• Monthly dues: $38 · $456/yr

Listing history 1 events

1. 2026-05-20
   listed $64,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

• Current annual tax: $347 · $29/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $686 · $57/mo
• Expected delta: +$339/yr (+$28/mo · 97.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 24% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 13% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $22,482
• − Mortgage interest: −$3,635
• − Property taxes: −$347
• − Insurance: −$324
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,799
• − Management: −$1,799
• − HOA: −$456
• − Depreciation: −$1,888
• Taxable income: $12,234
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$2,936
• After-tax cash flow: $9,613/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Stroudsburg Area SD
• NCES district ID: 4222860
• Math proficiency: 33% ▼ -10.00%
• Reading proficiency: 49% ▼ -15.00%
• Median HH income: $59,061
• Composite: 36.13/100
• National rank: #4747
• State rank: #315 of 539 in PA

Livability — Arlington Heights

• Score: 77/100
• State rank: #317
• US rank: #2815

Category grades

Amenities D Commute B- Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment D Housing A Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Arlington Heights, PA
• County: Monroe County · 59,057 people
• Metro: East Stroudsburg, PA
• Population (ZIP): 28,977
• Household income: $90,522
• Rent vs Own: 26.0% rent · 74.0% own
• Severe rent burden: 672.0

Population outlook (Monroe County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 164,099 people
• By 2030: 161,412 · -1.6%
• By 2040: 154,616 · -5.8%
• By 2050: 146,710 · -10.6%
• By 2075: 140,830 · -14.2%
• By 2100: 138,472 · -15.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
• Race & ethnicity: White 53% Black 21% Hispanic / Latino 18% Two or more races 10% Asian 2%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Puerto Rican 8% Dominican 3%
• Common ancestry: Romanian 6% Lithuanian 3% Portuguese 1%
• Foreign-born: 12% · Canada, China, Jamaica
• Languages at home: 82% English-only · Spanish 9% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2% Other Indo-European 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Monroe

• 2024 margin: Toss-up / Even · D 49.1% · R 49.9%
• 2008→2024 swing: -17.1pp toward R · 2008: 16.3pp · 2024: -0.8pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+0.8 2020: D+6.4 2016: D+0.3 2012: D+14.0 2008: D+16.3

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -109.90%
• Current HPI: 154.4762
• Rent YoY: ▲ 10.44%
• Metro: East Stroudsburg, PA
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 1.68%
• F500 in state: 34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Healthcare	2	$309B
▸Insurance	2	$27B
▸Telecommunications / Media	1	$124B
▸Industrial Distribution	1	$22B
▸Financial Services	1	$20B
▸Chemicals / Materials	1	$18B

Price history

1 event — show timeline

• 2026-05-20 Listed $64,900 PMAR

Property tax history

-7.0%/yr

Latest (2026): $347 · -0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.