1022 W Victory Dr · Savannah, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 7 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 8 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +4.3/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$80,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Investment opportunity in the historic Cuyler-Brownville area on iconic Victory Drive. This 2 bedroom, 1 bath home built in 1925 offers endless potential to renovate or rebuild. Features include a covered front porch and alley access with potential for off-street parking. Located just minutes from Downtown Savannah with convenient access to I-16, Truman Parkway, shopping, dining, and more. Excellent opportunity for investors, builders, or buyers looking to restore a historic property in a rapidly growing area.
Key facts
- Covered front porch
- Alley access
- 3,136 sq ft lot
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single family residence; Single-story
- Construction: Asbestos construction material
- Exterior features: Underground utilities
Interior
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Interior features: Has a view
- Laundry & utility: Laundry: Other
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $80k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $801 ($10k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $80k).
- Recommended offer: $78k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 18.3% vs local median 4.0% in Savannah — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 86/100 on livability (#1 in GA, #397 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, amenities A+, commute A+; Watch: employment D, schools F.
- Savannah-Chatham County (urban): math 20% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #134 of 174 in GA (top 77%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 78 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 42% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,694 units permitted in Chatham County in 2024 (973 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,745/mo this rent would consume 56% of the median local household income ($37k/yr) (locally 613% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $553 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Chatham County population projected at +33% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 32 days — a 3% lower offer ($78k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 32 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.18% ✓
- Cap rate
- 18.31%
- Cash-on-cash
- 42.90%
- DSCR
- 2.91
- GRM
- 3.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $250,425
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 705 W 44th St | 0.24mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,144 (+3%) | 2mo | $95,000 | $83 | 77 |
| 819 W 42nd St | 0.11mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,104 (-1%) | 9mo | $250,000 | $226 | 77 |
| 2411 Harden St | 0.22mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,045 (-6%) | 1mo | $92,500 | $89 | 74 |
| 821 W 42nd St | 0.11mi | 2/2.0 | 1,008 (-9%) | 4mo | $227,000 | $225 | 72 |
| 814 W 48th St | 0.30mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,056 (-5%) | 2mo | $115,000 | $109 | 70 |
| 1025 W 40th St | 0.13mi | 2/2.0 | 1,026 (-8%) | 9mo | $220,000 | $214 | 69 |
| 603 W 42nd St | 0.37mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,080 (-3%) | 9mo | $247,000 | $229 | 62 |
| 2114 Bulloch St | 0.33mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,036 (-7%) | 4mo | $236,000 | $228 | 61 |
| 905 W 41st St | 0.17mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,264 (+14%) | 5mo | $125,000 | $99 | 61 |
| 2403 Florance St | 0.27mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 992 (-11%) | 8mo | $250,000 | $252 | 53 |
| 808 W 53rd St | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,170 (+5%) | 6mo | $260,000 | $222 | 52 |
| 316 W 38th St | 0.60mi | 2/1.5 | 1,000 (-10%) | 6mo | $555,000 | $555 | 48 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 39.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.70×
- Total profit
- $38,085
- Equity at exit
- $11,928
- IRR
- 46.1%
- Equity multiple
- 5.42×
- Total profit
- $99,013
- Equity at exit
- $6,917
Cash invested: $22,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 31415
- Home prices YoY
- -21.4%
- Active inventory
- 78
- Price-to-rent
- 3.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,745 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$420
- Tax from tax record
- −$125 /mo · $1,502/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$367
- Net cashflow
- $801
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $846 | -5% $823 | +0% $801 | +5% $778 | +10% $756 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $663 | -5% $732 | +0% $801 | +5% $870 | +10% $939 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $841 | -0.5pp $821 | base $801 | +0.5pp $780 | +1.0pp $759 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $20,000
- Closing costs
- $2,400
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1005 W Victory Dr Savannah, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1056 | $1,950 | $1.85 | 24d | 1 | 0.04mi |
| 2705 Stevens St Savannah, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,585 | $1.76 | 45d | 1 | 0.06mi |
| 1109 W 41st St Savannah, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $1,620 | $1.69 | 45d | 1 | 0.09mi |
| 1026 W 41st St Savannah, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1128 | $1,500 | $1.33 | 15d | 1 | 0.09mi |
| 906 W Victory Dr Savannah, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1176 | $2,400 | $2.04 | 24d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 1011 W 40th St Savannah, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1125 | $1,995 | $1.77 | 15d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 1003 W 46th St Savannah, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,625 | $1.48 | 15d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 1024 W 39th St Savannah, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 860 | $1,399 | $1.63 | 24d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 2221 Harden St Savannah, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,550 | $1.55 | 45d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 2203 Harden St Unit A Savannah, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $2,100 | $2.33 | 15d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 2123 Harden St Savannah, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,550 | $1.55 | 24d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 714 W 38th St Savannah, GA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $1,650 | $1.38 | 24d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 607 W 44th St Unit B Savannah, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,650 | $1.57 | 45d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 909 W 36th St Savannah, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1404 | $1,450 | $1.03 | 45d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 620 W 38th St Unit B Savannah, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1076 | $1,600 | $1.49 | 45d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 628 W 48th St Savannah, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 975 | $1,699 | $1.74 | 15d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 3302 Bulloch St Savannah, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 744 | $995 | $1.34 | 24d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 601 W 37th St Unit B Savannah, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $2,000 | $1.54 | 45d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 516 W 38th St Unit 1/2 Savannah, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1176 | $1,600 | $1.36 | 24d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 516 W 38th St Unit 1/2 Savannah, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1176 | $1,500 | $1.28 | 15d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 1019 W 35th St Unit B Savannah, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1071 | $2,199 | $2.05 | 15d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 2613 Montgomery St Unit A207 Savannah, GA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 719 | $2,876 | $4.00 | 45d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 2613 Montgomery St Unit A211 Savannah, GA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 718 | $3,411 | $4.75 | 45d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 2613 Montgomery St Unit A208 Savannah, GA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 718 | $2,836 | $3.95 | 45d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 2613 Montgomery St Unit A212 Savannah, GA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 719 | $2,948 | $4.10 | 45d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 2613 Montgomery St Unit B303 Savannah, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 879 | $3,472 | $3.95 | 45d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 620 W 36th St Unit B Savannah, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 812 | $1,650 | $2.03 | 45d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 3212 Burroughs St Savannah, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 814 | $1,400 | $1.72 | 24d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 310 W 42nd St Savannah, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $1,800 | $1.38 | 45d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 316 W 40th St Unit D Savannah, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,500 | $2.14 | 22d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 316 W 40th St Unit E Savannah, GA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 700 | $1,500 | $2.14 | 22d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 1014 W 53rd St Savannah, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1048 | $1,600 | $1.53 | 15d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 2604 Jefferson St Savannah, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 910 | $1,900 | $2.09 | 45d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 513 W 35th St Unit A LOWER Savannah, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 930 | $1,350 | $1.45 | 15d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 513 W 35th St Savannah, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 930 | $1,450 | $1.56 | 15d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 315 W 38th St Savannah, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 864 | $1,600 | $1.85 | 45d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 211 W 40th St Unit B Savannah, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $3,200 | $2.29 | 24d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 213 W 39th St Unit B Savannah, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $2,250 | $2.25 | 24d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 508 Kline St Savannah, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $2,000 | $2.22 | 15d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 201 W 37th St Savannah, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $2,595 | $2.60 | 45d | 1 | 0.68mi |
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $80,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $80,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $80,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $80,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $80,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $80,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $80,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $80,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $80,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $80,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $80,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $80,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $80,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $80,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $80,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $80,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $80,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-05-20$80,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,502 · $125/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,502 · $125/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 5/10 Major 7 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,945
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,481
- − Property taxes
- −$1,502
- − Insurance
- −$400
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,676
- − Management
- −$1,676
- − Depreciation
- −$2,327
- Taxable income
- $8,883
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,132
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,478/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Savannah-Chatham County
- NCES district ID
- 1301020
- Math proficiency
- 20% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 26% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,443
- Composite
- 20.14/100
- National rank
- #8639
- State rank
- #134 of 174 in GA
Livability — Savannah
- Score
- 86/100
- State rank
- #1
- US rank
- #397
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Savannah, GA
- County
- Chatham County · 271,602 people
- City population
- 216,564
- Metro
- Savannah, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 11,082
- Household income
- $37,109
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 613.0
Population outlook (Chatham County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 332,584 people
- By 2030
- 355,508 · +6.9%
- By 2040
- 400,030 · +20.3%
- By 2050
- 443,019 · +33.2%
- By 2075
- 534,579 · +60.7%
- By 2100
- 583,863 · +75.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (89%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 89% White 5% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 3%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Chatham
- 2024 margin
- D (+18.0) · D 58.6% · R 40.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.6pp toward D · 2008: 14.4pp · 2024: 18.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+18.0 2020: D+18.8 2016: D+14.5 2012: D+12.0 2008: D+14.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -55.36%
- Current HPI
- 203.0696
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Savannah, GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
||
| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-20 Listed $80,000 Hive MLS
Property tax history
+12.3%/yrLatest (2025): $1,502 · +54.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…