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1022 W Victory Dr
B- Composite 68.81
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +4.3/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$80,000

1022 W Victory Dr · Savannah, GA 31415
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,113 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 32 Days on market
Built 1925 3,136 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Investment opportunity in the historic Cuyler-Brownville area on iconic Victory Drive. This 2 bedroom, 1 bath home built in 1925 offers endless potential to renovate or rebuild. Features include a covered front porch and alley access with potential for off-street parking. Located just minutes from Downtown Savannah with convenient access to I-16, Truman Parkway, shopping, dining, and more. Excellent opportunity for investors, builders, or buyers looking to restore a historic property in a rapidly growing area.

Key facts

  • Covered front porch
  • Alley access
  • 3,136 sq ft lot

Tags

COVERED FRONT PORCHALLEY ACCESSMINUTES FROM DOWNTOWN SAVANNAHCONVENIENT ACCESS TO I-16

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single family residence; Single-story
  • Construction: Asbestos construction material
  • Exterior features: Underground utilities

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Interior features: Has a view
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry: Other

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $80k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $801 ($10k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $80k).
  • Recommended offer: $78k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 18.3% vs local median 4.0% in Savannah — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 86/100 on livability (#1 in GA, #397 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, amenities A+, commute A+; Watch: employment D, schools F.
  • Savannah-Chatham County (urban): math 20% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #134 of 174 in GA (top 77%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 78 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 42% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,694 units permitted in Chatham County in 2024 (973 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,745/mo this rent would consume 56% of the median local household income ($37k/yr) (locally 613% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $553 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Chatham County population projected at +33% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 32 days — a 3% lower offer ($78k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $77,600 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 32 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.18%
Cap rate
18.31%
Cash-on-cash
42.90%
DSCR
2.91
GRM
3.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$250,425
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
705 W 44th St 0.24mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,144 (+3%) 2mo $95,000 $83 77
819 W 42nd St 0.11mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,104 (-1%) 9mo $250,000 $226 77
2411 Harden St 0.22mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,045 (-6%) 1mo $92,500 $89 74
821 W 42nd St 0.11mi 2/2.0 1,008 (-9%) 4mo $227,000 $225 72
814 W 48th St 0.30mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,056 (-5%) 2mo $115,000 $109 70
1025 W 40th St 0.13mi 2/2.0 1,026 (-8%) 9mo $220,000 $214 69
603 W 42nd St 0.37mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,080 (-3%) 9mo $247,000 $229 62
2114 Bulloch St 0.33mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,036 (-7%) 4mo $236,000 $228 61
905 W 41st St 0.17mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,264 (+14%) 5mo $125,000 $99 61
2403 Florance St 0.27mi 3/2.0 (+1) 992 (-11%) 8mo $250,000 $252 53
808 W 53rd St 0.56mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,170 (+5%) 6mo $260,000 $222 52
316 W 38th St 0.60mi 2/1.5 1,000 (-10%) 6mo $555,000 $555 48

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
39.7%
Equity multiple
2.70×
Total profit
$38,085
Equity at exit
$11,928
10-year hold
IRR
46.1%
Equity multiple
5.42×
Total profit
$99,013
Equity at exit
$6,917

Cash invested: $22,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 31415

Home prices YoY
-21.4%
Active inventory
78
Price-to-rent
3.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,745 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$420
Tax from tax record
$125 /mo · $1,502/yr
Insurance
$33
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$367
Net cashflow
$801

Break-even live

Break-even rent $732
Max offer price $80,000
Occupancy floor 49%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $846 -5% $823 +0% $801 +5% $778 +10% $756
Rent -10% $663 -5% $732 +0% $801 +5% $870 +10% $939
Rate -1.0pp $841 -0.5pp $821 base $801 +0.5pp $780 +1.0pp $759

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$20,000
Closing costs
$2,400
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1005 W Victory Dr Savannah, GA 3.0 2.0 1056 $1,950 $1.85 24d 1 0.04mi
2705 Stevens St Savannah, GA 3.0 1.0 900 $1,585 $1.76 45d 1 0.06mi
1109 W 41st St Savannah, GA 3.0 1.0 960 $1,620 $1.69 45d 1 0.09mi
1026 W 41st St Savannah, GA 3.0 1.0 1128 $1,500 $1.33 15d 1 0.09mi
906 W Victory Dr Savannah, GA 3.0 2.0 1176 $2,400 $2.04 24d 1 0.12mi
1011 W 40th St Savannah, GA 3.0 2.0 1125 $1,995 $1.77 15d 1 0.12mi
1003 W 46th St Savannah, GA 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,625 $1.48 15d 1 0.20mi
1024 W 39th St Savannah, GA 2.0 1.0 860 $1,399 $1.63 24d 1 0.26mi
2221 Harden St Savannah, GA 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,550 $1.55 45d 1 0.27mi
2203 Harden St Unit A Savannah, GA 3.0 1.0 900 $2,100 $2.33 15d 1 0.29mi
2123 Harden St Savannah, GA 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,550 $1.55 24d 1 0.30mi
714 W 38th St Savannah, GA 3.0 1.5 1200 $1,650 $1.38 24d 1 0.32mi
607 W 44th St Unit B Savannah, GA 3.0 1.0 1050 $1,650 $1.57 45d 1 0.35mi
909 W 36th St Savannah, GA 2.0 1.0 1404 $1,450 $1.03 45d 1 0.38mi
620 W 38th St Unit B Savannah, GA 2.0 1.0 1076 $1,600 $1.49 45d 1 0.39mi
628 W 48th St Savannah, GA 3.0 1.0 975 $1,699 $1.74 15d 1 0.40mi
3302 Bulloch St Savannah, GA 2.0 1.0 744 $995 $1.34 24d 1 0.41mi
601 W 37th St Unit B Savannah, GA 2.0 2.0 1300 $2,000 $1.54 45d 1 0.46mi
516 W 38th St Unit 1/2 Savannah, GA 3.0 1.0 1176 $1,600 $1.36 24d 1 0.47mi
516 W 38th St Unit 1/2 Savannah, GA 3.0 1.0 1176 $1,500 $1.28 15d 1 0.47mi
1019 W 35th St Unit B Savannah, GA 3.0 2.0 1071 $2,199 $2.05 15d 1 0.47mi
2613 Montgomery St Unit A207 Savannah, GA 1.0 1.0 719 $2,876 $4.00 45d 1 0.47mi
2613 Montgomery St Unit A211 Savannah, GA 1.0 1.0 718 $3,411 $4.75 45d 1 0.47mi
2613 Montgomery St Unit A208 Savannah, GA 1.0 1.0 718 $2,836 $3.95 45d 1 0.47mi
2613 Montgomery St Unit A212 Savannah, GA 1.0 1.0 719 $2,948 $4.10 45d 1 0.47mi
2613 Montgomery St Unit B303 Savannah, GA 2.0 2.0 879 $3,472 $3.95 45d 1 0.47mi
620 W 36th St Unit B Savannah, GA 3.0 1.0 812 $1,650 $2.03 45d 1 0.49mi
3212 Burroughs St Savannah, GA 3.0 1.0 814 $1,400 $1.72 24d 1 0.49mi
310 W 42nd St Savannah, GA 3.0 2.0 1300 $1,800 $1.38 45d 1 0.52mi
316 W 40th St Unit D Savannah, GA 2.0 1.0 700 $1,500 $2.14 22d 1 0.54mi
316 W 40th St Unit E Savannah, GA 2.0 1.5 700 $1,500 $2.14 22d 1 0.54mi
1014 W 53rd St Savannah, GA 3.0 2.0 1048 $1,600 $1.53 15d 1 0.55mi
2604 Jefferson St Savannah, GA 2.0 1.0 910 $1,900 $2.09 45d 1 0.56mi
513 W 35th St Unit A LOWER Savannah, GA 2.0 1.0 930 $1,350 $1.45 15d 1 0.57mi
513 W 35th St Savannah, GA 2.0 1.0 930 $1,450 $1.56 15d 1 0.57mi
315 W 38th St Savannah, GA 2.0 2.0 864 $1,600 $1.85 45d 1 0.58mi
211 W 40th St Unit B Savannah, GA 3.0 1.0 1400 $3,200 $2.29 24d 1 0.60mi
213 W 39th St Unit B Savannah, GA 3.0 2.0 1000 $2,250 $2.25 24d 1 0.61mi
508 Kline St Savannah, GA 2.0 2.0 900 $2,000 $2.22 15d 1 0.63mi
201 W 37th St Savannah, GA 3.0 2.0 1000 $2,595 $2.60 45d 1 0.68mi

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $80,000 Active 32 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $80,000 Active 29 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $80,000 Active 28 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $80,000 Active 27 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $80,000 Active 26 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $80,000 Active 24 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $80,000 Active 23 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $80,000 Active 21 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $80,000 Active 20 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $80,000 Active 19 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $80,000 Active 18 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $80,000 Active 15 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $80,000 Active 14 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $80,000 Active 13 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $80,000 Active 12 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $80,000 Active 11 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $80,000 Active 10 DOM
  18. 2026-05-20
    listed $80,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,502 · $125/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,502 · $125/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 5/10 Major 7 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,945
− Mortgage interest
−$4,481
− Property taxes
−$1,502
− Insurance
−$400
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,676
− Management
−$1,676
− Depreciation
−$2,327
Taxable income
$8,883
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,132
After-tax cash flow
$7,478/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Savannah-Chatham County
NCES district ID
1301020
Math proficiency
20% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
26% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$47,443
Composite
20.14/100
National rank
#8639
State rank
#134 of 174 in GA

Livability — Savannah

Score
86/100
State rank
#1
US rank
#397

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Savannah, GA
County
Chatham County · 271,602 people
City population
216,564
Metro
Savannah, GA
Population (ZIP)
11,082
Household income
$37,109
Rent vs Own
56.1% rent · 43.9% own
Severe rent burden
613.0

Population outlook (Chatham County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
332,584 people
By 2030
355,508 · +6.9%
By 2040
400,030 · +20.3%
By 2050
443,019 · +33.2%
By 2075
534,579 · +60.7%
By 2100
583,863 · +75.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (89%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 89% White 5% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 3%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Chatham

2024 margin
D (+18.0) · D 58.6% · R 40.6%
2008→2024 swing
+3.6pp toward D · 2008: 14.4pp · 2024: 18.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+18.0 2020: D+18.8 2016: D+14.5 2012: D+12.0 2008: D+14.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -55.36%
Current HPI
203.0696
Rent YoY
Metro
Savannah, GA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-05-20 Listed $80,000 Hive MLS

Property tax history

+12.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,502 · +54.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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