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425 Buena Vista Way
D Composite 40.53
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +12.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +8.1/15.0
  • Rent growth +3.9/5.0
  • DSCR +3.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Schools +3.2/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.4/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$230,000

425 Buena Vista Way · Prattville, AL 36067
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,509 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 108 Days on market
Built 2017 7,840 sqft lot $152/sqft · at area comps Est $233k · at est. $13/mo HOA · 1% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to this charming 2017-built, 3-bed, 2-bath home offering 1,500 sq ft of modern comfort. Enjoy an open floor plan with a spacious kitchen island, perfect for hosting. Cozy up by the fireplace or retreat to the primary suite with elegant tray ceilings. The fenced backyard provides privacy and space to relax. Situated in a desirable area of Prattville, this home is ready for you!

Key facts

  • Open floor plan
  • Primary suite
  • Fenced backyard

Tags

OPEN FLOOR PLANSPACIOUS KITCHEN ISLANDFENCED BACKYARDPRIMARY SUITETRAY CEILINGS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $230k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-23 ($-282/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $226k (1.8% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $171k (25.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $171k (25.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 4.2% in Prattville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#11 in AL, #3,273 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment B+; Watch: amenities D, commute F.
  • Autauga County (rural): math 23% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #34 of 129 in AL (top 26%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Daniel Pratt Elementary School (math 36% / reading 60%, grade D, #135 of 627 statewide, top 22%, 1,002 students, 54% FRL); Prattville High School (math 32% / reading 41%, grade F, #42 of 305 statewide, top 13%, 1,929 students, 48% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.8%/yr); 133 active listings in the ZIP; 221 units permitted in Autauga County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($66k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Autauga County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 108 days — a 9% lower offer ($209k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $165k; 40% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $171,016 (25.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 108 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 26% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.74%
Cap rate
6.17%
Cash-on-cash
-0.44%
DSCR
0.98
GRM
11.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$233,260
List price
$230,000
Delta
-1.40%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
423 Buena Vista Way 0.01mi 3/2.0 1,395 (-8%) 1mo $220,000 $158 86
1674 Buena Vista Blvd 0.10mi 3/2.0 1,464 (-3%) 6mo $245,000 $167 85
1822 Cotton Blossom Way 0.10mi 3/2.0 1,454 (-4%) 8mo $230,000 $158 82
475 Buena Vista Way 0.15mi 3/2.0 1,448 (-4%) 5mo $239,900 $166 82
1669 Buena Vista Blvd 0.14mi 3/2.0 1,438 (-5%) 10mo $240,000 $167 78
572 Old Mill Way 0.07mi 3/2.0 1,395 (-8%) 8mo $234,000 $168 77
1660 Buena Vista Blvd 0.15mi 3/2.0 1,395 (-8%) 8mo $227,500 $163 73
1654 Buena Vista Blvd 0.18mi 3/2.0 1,390 (-8%) 8mo $215,000 $155 72
1808 Cotton Blossom Way 0.15mi 3/2.0 1,337 (-11%) 3mo $200,000 $150 72
606 Vintage Way 0.37mi 3/2.0 1,625 (+8%) 1mo $284,000 $175 69
719 Buena Vista Loop 0.40mi 3/2.0 1,425 (-6%) 10mo $217,000 $152 64
736 Buena Vista Loop 0.41mi 3/2.0 1,398 (-7%) 10mo $212,000 $152 60

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.78% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-14.4%
Equity multiple
0.47×
Total profit
$-33,954
Equity at exit
$34,294
10-year hold
IRR
-2.2%
Equity multiple
0.84×
Total profit
$-10,564
Equity at exit
$19,886

Cash invested: $64,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 36067

Home prices YoY
-12.4%
Rents YoY
5.8%
Active inventory
133
Price-to-rent
11.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,710 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,206
Tax from tax record
$60 /mo · $714/yr
Insurance
$96
HOA
$13
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$359
Net cashflow
$-23

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,740
Max offer price $225,855
Occupancy floor 96%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $107 -5% $42 +0% $-23 +5% $-89 +10% $-154
Rent -10% $-159 -5% $-91 +0% $-23 +5% $44 +10% $112
Rate -1.0pp $92 -0.5pp $35 base $-23 +0.5pp $-83 +1.0pp $-144

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$57,500
Closing costs
$6,900
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$13 · $156/yr

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $230,000 Active 108 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $230,000 Active 105 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $230,000 Active 104 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $230,000 Active 103 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $230,000 Active 102 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $230,000 Active 100 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $230,000 Active 99 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $230,000 Active 97 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    statusdays on market $230,000 Active 96 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $230,000 Contingent 95 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    statusdays on market $230,000 Contingent 94 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $230,000 Active 90 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $230,000 Active 89 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $230,000 Active 88 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $230,000 Active 87 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    pricedays on market $230,000 Active 86 DOM
  17. 2026-05-01
    price $235,000 387-char remark
    Show marketing remark (387 chars)

    Welcome to this charming 2017-built, 3-bed, 2-bath home offering 1,500 sq ft of modern comfort. Enjoy an open floor plan with a spacious kitchen island, perfect for hosting. Cozy up by the fireplace or retreat to the primary suite with elegant tray ceilings. The fenced backyard provides privacy and space to relax. Situated in a desirable area of Prattville, this home is ready for you!

  18. 2026-03-03
    listed $240,000 Active 387-char remark
    Show marketing remark (387 chars)

    Welcome to this charming 2017-built, 3-bed, 2-bath home offering 1,500 sq ft of modern comfort. Enjoy an open floor plan with a spacious kitchen island, perfect for hosting. Cozy up by the fireplace or retreat to the primary suite with elegant tray ceilings. The fenced backyard provides privacy and space to relax. Situated in a desirable area of Prattville, this home is ready for you!

  19. 2017-10-13
    soldstatus $164,704 1269-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1269 chars)

    This home is under contract, but we have more! We have many affordable efficient floor plans with raised ceilings. very popular starter home in a great community. Come find out why we are the leading builder in Central Alabama of energy efficient homes under $180,000.00. Open floor plan with family room and dining area to enjoy and entertain in. Wood burning fireplace in living room. Roomy master bedroom features an en suite to relax in the garden tub. The best feature of the home is what you cannot see. The home is built following strict high performance construction guidelines and George Goodwyn's uncompromising standards. The all foam insulated home carries a High Performance Guarantee, stating your heating and cooling bills will not exceed $53 a month. This is an average savings of over $80.00 a month compared with standard construction of this identical home. You can visit the high performance guarantee portion of our website to get more information regarding what goes into building a high performance home. All of our homes come with a full builder warranty. We have also included a super high efficiency hot water heater to further reduce your overall power bill. We pay $3000.00 toward closing cost. Many plans under construction to walk through.

  20. 2017-10-11
    listed $164,704 1269-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1269 chars)

    This home is under contract, but we have more! We have many affordable efficient floor plans with raised ceilings. very popular starter home in a great community. Come find out why we are the leading builder in Central Alabama of energy efficient homes under $180,000.00. Open floor plan with family room and dining area to enjoy and entertain in. Wood burning fireplace in living room. Roomy master bedroom features an en suite to relax in the garden tub. The best feature of the home is what you cannot see. The home is built following strict high performance construction guidelines and George Goodwyn's uncompromising standards. The all foam insulated home carries a High Performance Guarantee, stating your heating and cooling bills will not exceed $53 a month. This is an average savings of over $80.00 a month compared with standard construction of this identical home. You can visit the high performance guarantee portion of our website to get more information regarding what goes into building a high performance home. All of our homes come with a full builder warranty. We have also included a super high efficiency hot water heater to further reduce your overall power bill. We pay $3000.00 toward closing cost. Many plans under construction to walk through.

  21. 2017-05-01
    soldstatus $24,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$714 · $60/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$943 · $79/mo
Expected delta
+$229/yr (+$19/mo · 32.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,522
− Mortgage interest
−$12,884
− Property taxes
−$714
− Insurance
−$1,150
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,642
− Management
−$1,642
− HOA
−$156
− Depreciation
−$6,691
Taxable loss
−$4,356
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,045
After-tax cash flow
$764/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Autauga County
NCES district ID
0100240
Math proficiency
23% ▼ -31.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$52,974
Composite
31.77/100
National rank
#5892
State rank
#34 of 129 in AL

Livability — Prattville

Score
76/100
State rank
#11
US rank
#3273

Category grades

Amenities D Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B- Employment B+ Housing A+ Health & safety B+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Prattville, AL
County
Autauga County · 50,925 people
City population
50,925
Metro
Montgomery, AL
Population (ZIP)
28,293
Household income
$65,593
Rent vs Own
23.0% rent · 77.0% own
Severe rent burden
389.0

Population outlook (Autauga County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
55,958 people
By 2030
55,810 · -0.3%
By 2040
54,892 · -1.9%
By 2050
53,062 · -5.2%
By 2075
49,425 · -11.7%
By 2100
45,110 · -19.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (72%)
Race & ethnicity
White 72% Black 20% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Lithuanian 2% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Autauga

2024 margin
Solid R (+46.3) · D 26.4% · R 72.7%
2008→2024 swing
+1.6pp toward D · 2008: -47.8pp · 2024: -46.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+46.3 2020: R+44.4 2016: R+49.5 2012: R+46.0 2008: R+47.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -29.98%
Current HPI
211.1676
Rent YoY
▲ 5.78%
Metro
Montgomery, AL
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+879.2% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-01 Price Changed $235,000 MAAR
  • 2026-03-03 Listed $240,000 MAAR
  • 2017-10-13 Sold (MLS) $164,704 MAAR
  • 2017-10-11 Listed $164,704 MAAR
  • 2017-05-01 Sold (Public Records) $24,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+18.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $714 · +6.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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