3265 Woodhollow Cir · Abilene, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 8/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 13.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +10.9/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.6/10.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Schools +2.8/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$264,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This 3-bedroom, 2.5-bath home offers a spacious layout with great potential for customization. Featuring vaulted ceilings in the main living area, the home provides an open and airy feel, complemented by an eat-in kitchen as well as a wet bar just off the living room adding convenience for entertaining. The floor plan includes a Jack-and-Jill bathroom connecting two secondary bedrooms, while the primary suite offers privacy and functionality with an en-suite bath and walk-in closet. Additional highlights include a half bath for guests and a layout designed for both everyday living and gatherings. The property does require updates and is being sold as-is, presenting an excellent opportunity
Key facts
- 0.27 acre lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1978
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Municipal Utility District: No
- Financial info: Listing terms: Cash or Conventional; No second mortgage
- HOA & community: No homeowners association
Exterior
- Parking: 2 covered spaces; 2-car attached garage with garage door opener and inside entrance; Driveway; Alley access; On-street parking; On-site parking; Garage faces rear
- Utilities: City water; City sewer; Electricity connected; Cable available; Curbs; Alley access
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Built in 1978; Brick construction; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Property faces unknown
- Construction: Brick exterior; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Year built: 1978
- Exterior features: Private yard; Storage; Patio; Rear porch; Shed(s); Landscaped; Interior lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Electric range; Pantry
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (primary bedroom on main level)
- Flooring: Carpet; Linoleum; Varies
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air; Ceiling fan(s)
- Interior features: Built-in features; Cable TV available; Double vanity; Eat-in kitchen; High-speed internet available; Pantry; Vaulted ceilings; Walk-in closets; One living area; One dining area; 2 total rooms (aside from bedrooms and baths)
- Laundry & utility: Full-size washer/dryer area; Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup; Utility room; Washer/dryer area on site; Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $265k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $265k).
- Recommended offer: $257k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.6% vs local median 6.8% in Abilene — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#142 in TX, #4,037 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D, commute F.
- Abilene ISD (urban): math 32% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #575 of 826 in TX (top 70%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Ward El (math 38% / reading 40%, grade F, #1,651 of 4,322 statewide, top 39%, 494 students, 52% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+40.7%/yr); 291 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 508 units permitted in Taylor County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,873/mo this rent would consume 59% of the median local household income ($79k/yr) (locally 1181% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Taylor County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $74k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 45 days — a 3% lower offer ($257k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 45 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.46% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.62%
- Cash-on-cash
- 19.03%
- DSCR
- 1.85
- GRM
- 5.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $286,626
- List price
- $264,900
- Delta
- -7.58%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3297 Woodlake Dr | 0.13mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,035 (-1%) | 1mo | $359,900 | $177 | 84 |
| 4858 Jennifer Ln | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 | 2,120 (+3%) | 2mo | $345,000 | $163 | 68 |
| 2549 Woodlake Dr | 0.55mi | 3/2.5 | 1,969 (-4%) | 2mo | $374,900 | $190 | 66 |
| 4082 Esman Ct | 0.55mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,034 (-1%) | 0mo | $390,000 | $192 | 66 |
| 3226 Pheasant Dr | 0.43mi | 3/2.0 | 1,841 (-10%) | 4mo | $315,000 | $171 | 58 |
| 9 Tamarisk Cir | 0.69mi | 3/2.5 | 2,139 (+4%) | 5mo | $385,000 | $180 | 57 |
| 29 Pebble Bch | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 | 2,270 (+10%) | 1mo | $320,000 | $141 | 54 |
| 3142 Winter Hawk Dr | 0.58mi | 3/2.0 | 1,832 (-11%) | 2mo | $309,900 | $169 | 51 |
| 3834 Westchester Dr | 0.59mi | 3/2.0 | 2,293 (+12%) | 2mo | $229,900 | $100 | 49 |
| 94 Glen Abbey St | 0.60mi | 3/2.5 | 2,310 (+12%) | 5mo | $409,000 | $177 | 47 |
| 2941 Red Oak Cir | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 | 1,811 (-12%) | 2mo | $289,000 | $160 | 45 |
| 2833 Stonecrest Dr | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 | 1,829 (-11%) | 4mo | $285,000 | $156 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 16.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.71×
- Total profit
- $52,539
- Equity at exit
- $39,497
- IRR
- 28.6%
- Equity multiple
- 4.18×
- Total profit
- $235,733
- Equity at exit
- $22,904
Cash invested: $74,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 79606
- Rents YoY
- 40.7%
- Active inventory
- 291
- Price-to-rent
- 5.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,873 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,389
- Tax from tax record
- −$384 /mo · $4,610/yr
- Insurance
- −$110
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$813
- Net cashflow
- $1,176
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,326 | -5% $1,251 | +0% $1,176 | +5% $1,101 | +10% $1,026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $870 | -5% $1,023 | +0% $1,176 | +5% $1,329 | +10% $1,482 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,309 | -0.5pp $1,243 | base $1,176 | +0.5pp $1,107 | +1.0pp $1,038 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $66,225
- Closing costs
- $7,947
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 13 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5400 Ridgeline Dr Abilene, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2571 | $6,000 | $2.33 | 25d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 3134 Winterhawk Dr Abilene, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1800 | $2,795 | $1.55 | 8d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 3826 Crest Way Abilene, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1721 | $2,695 | $1.57 | 45d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 4617 Catclaw Dr Abilene, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2263 | $2,500 | $1.10 | 14d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 3726 Pensacola Dr Abilene, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2126 | $7,000 | $3.29 | 0d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 2418 Helena Cir Abilene, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2478 | $3,700 | $1.49 | 11d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 2510 Gilmer Ave Abilene, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1974 | $2,995 | $1.52 | 45d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 5733 Legacy Dr Abilene, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1843 | $5,000 | $2.71 | 6d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 6901 Glen Abbey St Abilene, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1648 | $3,795 | $2.30 | 22d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 3626 Yamini Dr Abilene, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1788 | $2,799 | $1.57 | 22d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 7045 Phoenix Dr Abilene, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1571 | $2,714 | $1.73 | 25d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 7061 Tin Cup Dr Abilene, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1648 | $3,495 | $2.12 | 13d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 6609 Summerwood Trl Abilene, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1851 | $3,195 | $1.73 | 6d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $264,900 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $264,900 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $264,900 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-17price $264,900 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $279,900 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $279,900 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $279,900 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $279,900 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $279,900 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $279,900 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $279,900 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $279,900 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $279,900 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $279,900 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $279,900 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $279,900 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $279,900 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-05-05$284,900 Active 772-char remark
-
1999-08-09soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $4,610 · $384/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,848 · $404/mo
- Expected delta
- +$237/yr (+$20/mo · 5.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 8/10 Severe
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 13% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $46,478
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,839
- − Property taxes
- −$4,610
- − Insurance
- −$1,324
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,718
- − Management
- −$3,718
- − Depreciation
- −$7,706
- Taxable income
- $10,562
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,535
- After-tax cash flow
- $11,578/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Abilene ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4807440
- Math proficiency
- 32% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,782
- Composite
- 27.71/100
- National rank
- #6909
- State rank
- #575 of 826 in TX
Livability — Abilene
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #142
- US rank
- #4037
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Abilene, TX
- County
- Taylor County · 136,672 people
- City population
- 136,672
- Metro
- Abilene, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 29,182
- Household income
- $79,196
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1181.0
Population outlook (Taylor County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 145,270 people
- By 2030
- 150,050 · +3.3%
- By 2040
- 159,417 · +9.7%
- By 2050
- 168,883 · +16.3%
- By 2075
- 194,436 · +33.8%
- By 2100
- 203,163 · +39.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (69%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 69% Hispanic / Latino 19% Two or more races 11% Black 6% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 14%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 4% Slovak 2% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 10% Tagalog/Filipino 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Taylor
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+49.8) · D 24.6% · R 74.4% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -4.2pp toward R · 2008: -45.6pp · 2024: -49.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+49.8 2020: R+45.3 2016: R+51.1 2012: R+53.6 2008: R+45.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -167.33%
- Current HPI
- 179.2555
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 40.73%
- Metro
- Abilene, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
-7.0% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-16 Price Changed $264,900 NTREIS
- 2026-05-19 Price Changed $279,900 NTREIS
- 2026-05-05 Listed $284,900 NTREIS
- 1999-08-09 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+3.9%/yrLatest (2025): $4,610 · -0.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…