70200 Dillon Rd #665 · Desert Edge, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- A
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,009 – $1,996
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 4 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 12 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 8 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$120,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This extensively renovated 2-bedroom, 1-bath park model home encompasses approximately 800 square feet and features impressive mountain views along with pristine water features, situated on the 4th hole of the golf course. The property includes a well-designed two-car covered carport and golf cart, complemented by a California room constructed with quality craftsmanship and tasteful updates throughout, such as granite countertops, dishwasher and updated plumbing. Additional recent improvements include updated flooring, an upgraded HVAC system, a new hot water tank, appliances, and ceiling fans. The spacious covered deck and private yard are ideal for entertaining or relaxation, and an outdoor heater provides comfort on cooler evenings. Located within the premier 55+ Caliente Springs Resort, residents enjoy access to exceptional amenities including a mineral hot spring-fed pool and spas, a state-of-the-art fitness center, a 9-hole golf course, eight pickleball courts, tennis courts, laundry facilities, a library, and a vibrant community environment. Space rent is $950 per month; lot ownership is not included.
Key facts
- Covered deck
- Private yard
- Water features
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $120k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $512 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $120k).
- Recommended offer: $113k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#297 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, schools F, commute D-.
- Palm Springs Unified (suburban): math 21% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #328 of 517 in CA (top 63%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 216 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 9,195 units permitted in Riverside County in 2024 (1,512 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $830 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Riverside County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 72 days — a 6% lower offer ($113k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $125/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone A (mandatory federal flood insurance); extreme-heat days projected 4→12/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 72 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.55% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.66%
- Cash-on-cash
- 22.74%
- DSCR
- 2.01
- GRM
- 5.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $68,500
- List price
- $120,000
- Delta
- 75.18%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 70200 Dillon Rd #664 | 0.00mi | 2/1.5 | 800 (0%) | 3mo | $95,000 | $119 | 95 |
| 70200 Dillon Rd #102 | 0.16mi | 2/1.5 | 800 (0%) | 0mo | $72,000 | $90 | 90 |
| 70200 Dillon Rd #437 | 0.00mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 780 (-2%) | 1mo | $65,000 | $83 | 90 |
| 70200 Dillon Rd #550 | 0.16mi | 2/2.0 | 800 (0%) | 1mo | $122,000 | $153 | 88 |
| 70200 Dillon Rd #376 | 0.27mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 800 (0%) | 3mo | $60,000 | $75 | 80 |
| 70200 Dillon Rd #536 | 0.27mi | 2/1.5 | 750 (-6%) | 1mo | $90,000 | $120 | 75 |
| 70200 Dillon Rd #436 | 0.01mi | 2/1.0 | 700 (-12%) | 7mo | $98,000 | $140 | 73 |
| 70200 Dillon Rd #569 | 0.27mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 700 (-12%) | 4mo | $74,000 | $106 | 59 |
| 70200 Dillon Rd #157 | 0.27mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 700 (-12%) | 6mo | $54,800 | $78 | 57 |
| 17625 Langlois #105 | 0.70mi | 2/2.0 | 840 (+5%) | 1mo | $55,000 | $65 | 54 |
| 17555-2 Corkill Rd #28 | 0.67mi | 2/2.0 | 880 (+10%) | 3mo | $99,990 | $114 | 45 |
| 17625 Langlois #9 | 0.70mi | 2/1.0 | 700 (-12%) | 3mo | $15,000 | $21 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 10.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.39×
- Total profit
- $13,242
- Equity at exit
- $17,892
- IRR
- 19.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.60×
- Total profit
- $53,911
- Equity at exit
- $10,375
Cash invested: $33,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 92241
- Home prices YoY
- -22.8%
- Active inventory
- 216
- Price-to-rent
- 5.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,856 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$629
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$150 /mo · $1,800/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$125 /mo · $1,502/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$390
- Net cashflow
- $512
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $30,000
- Closing costs
- $3,600
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 69360 Poolside Dr Desert Hot Springs, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 648 | $1,800 | $2.78 | 2d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 70875 Dillon Rd Desert Hot Springs, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 720 | $2,200 | $3.06 | 44d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 18070 Langlois Rd #257 Desert Hot Springs, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1056 | $1,850 | $1.75 | 44d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 18070 Langlois Rd Dsrt Hot Spgs, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 950 | $1,850 | $1.95 | 24d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 15935 Mary Cir Desert Hot Springs, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 550 | $1,350 | $2.45 | 18d | 1 | 1.29mi |
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $120,000 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $120,000 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $120,000 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $120,000 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $120,000 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $120,000 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $120,000 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $120,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $120,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $120,000 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $120,000 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $120,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $120,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $120,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-04-07$120,000 Active 1125-char remark
Show marketing remark (1125 chars)
This extensively renovated 2-bedroom, 1-bath park model home encompasses approximately 800 square feet and features impressive mountain views along with pristine water features, situated on the 4th hole of the golf course. The property includes a well-designed two-car covered carport and golf cart, complemented by a California room constructed with quality craftsmanship and tasteful updates throughout, such as granite countertops, dishwasher and updated plumbing. Additional recent improvements include updated flooring, an upgraded HVAC system, a new hot water tank, appliances, and ceiling fans. The spacious covered deck and private yard are ideal for entertaining or relaxation, and an outdoor heater provides comfort on cooler evenings. Located within the premier 55+ Caliente Springs Resort, residents enjoy access to exceptional amenities including a mineral hot spring-fed pool and spas, a state-of-the-art fitness center, a 9-hole golf course, eight pickleball courts, tennis courts, laundry facilities, a library, and a vibrant community environment. Space rent is $950 per month; lot ownership is not included.
-
2023-06-30soldstatus $135,000 Closed 817-char remark
Show marketing remark (817 chars)
Breathtaking views of the mountains, pristine water ponds all situated on the beautiful 4th hole of the golf course in this magnificent 2 bedroom, 1 bath, ~800 sq. ft. Park model home that has been completely renovated inside and boasts pride of ownership! New flooring, new HVAC, new hot water tank, new appliances, new ceiling fans, outdoor heater on deck. Large fully covered deck and private yard space. Now being offered in the exquisite premiere 55+ Caliente Springs Resort. The park boasts top notch amenities including mineral hot spring fed pool and spas, state of the art fitness center, 9-hole golf course, 12 pickleball courts, tennis courts, laundry facilities, library, and a fun active community. Park approval and proof of funds must be presented with all offers. Space rent is $862, lot is not owned.
-
2023-06-05status Pending 817-char remark
Show marketing remark (817 chars)
Breathtaking views of the mountains, pristine water ponds all situated on the beautiful 4th hole of the golf course in this magnificent 2 bedroom, 1 bath, ~800 sq. ft. Park model home that has been completely renovated inside and boasts pride of ownership! New flooring, new HVAC, new hot water tank, new appliances, new ceiling fans, outdoor heater on deck. Large fully covered deck and private yard space. Now being offered in the exquisite premiere 55+ Caliente Springs Resort. The park boasts top notch amenities including mineral hot spring fed pool and spas, state of the art fitness center, 9-hole golf course, 12 pickleball courts, tennis courts, laundry facilities, library, and a fun active community. Park approval and proof of funds must be presented with all offers. Space rent is $862, lot is not owned.
-
2023-05-21$135,000 Active 817-char remark
Show marketing remark (817 chars)
Breathtaking views of the mountains, pristine water ponds all situated on the beautiful 4th hole of the golf course in this magnificent 2 bedroom, 1 bath, ~800 sq. ft. Park model home that has been completely renovated inside and boasts pride of ownership! New flooring, new HVAC, new hot water tank, new appliances, new ceiling fans, outdoor heater on deck. Large fully covered deck and private yard space. Now being offered in the exquisite premiere 55+ Caliente Springs Resort. The park boasts top notch amenities including mineral hot spring fed pool and spas, state of the art fitness center, 9-hole golf course, 12 pickleball courts, tennis courts, laundry facilities, library, and a fun active community. Park approval and proof of funds must be presented with all offers. Space rent is $862, lot is not owned.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone A · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 4 d/yr ≥109°F today · 12 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 5/10 Major 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,269
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,722
- − Property taxes
- −$1,800
- − Insurance
- −$2,102
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,782
- − Management
- −$1,782
- − Depreciation
- −$3,491
- Taxable income
- $4,591
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,102
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,037/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This well-maintained 2-bedroom, 1-bath park model home offers a good condition with recent updates and a great location.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value
- Both Replace carpet with hardwood flooring — Improves aesthetics and increases value
- Both Upgrade kitchen appliances — Modernizes the space and adds value
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Both Replace carpet with hardwood flooring — Improves aesthetics and increases value ↑
- Both Upgrade kitchen appliances — Modernizes the space and adds value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Palm Springs Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0629550
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 42% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,638
- Composite
- 26.76/100
- National rank
- #7131
- State rank
- #328 of 517 in CA
Livability — Desert Edge
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #297
- US rank
- #9953
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Desert Edge, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 8,624
Population outlook (Riverside County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,664,475 people
- By 2030
- 2,802,692 · +5.2%
- By 2040
- 3,050,904 · +14.5%
- By 2050
- 3,256,783 · +22.2%
- By 2075
- 3,655,058 · +37.2%
- By 2100
- 3,766,594 · +41.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Race & ethnicity
- White 50% Hispanic / Latino 46% Two or more races 16% Asian 2% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 36%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2% Portuguese 2%
- Foreign-born
- 28% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 57% English-only · Spanish 38% Chinese 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Riverside
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.0% · R 49.3% · Other 2.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.6pp toward R · 2008: 2.3pp · 2024: -1.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+1.3 2020: D+8.0 2016: D+4.3 2012: R+0.4 2008: D+2.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -118.23%
- Current HPI
- 400.5663
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
-11.1% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-07 Listed $120,000 GPSMLS
- 2023-06-30 Sold (MLS) $135,000 GPSMLS
- 2023-06-05 Pending — GPSMLS
- 2023-05-21 Listed $135,000 GPSMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…