15 Kyle Rd · Brattleboro, VT
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.96%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $480 – $892
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 94°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 9.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.5/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$150,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Bring your tools and some love for this spacious home located on almost a half acres of nice land, close to town, just off pavement. Big yard for all the outside fun, full basement for storage and a great laundry room/mud room right off the kitchen. Needs some TLC, but at this price, worth the effort. A must see
Key facts
- 0.42 acre lot
- Built 1996
- Listed 14 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Home design: Built in 1996
- Construction: Living area approximately 1080
- Exterior features: Lot of approximately 0.41 acres
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $150k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $641 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
- Cap rate 11.9% vs local median 4.5% in Brattleboro — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#42 in VT) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: schools A+, health & safety A+, cost of living B; Watch: crime F, amenities D-, commute F.
- Market conditions: 82 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 188 units permitted in Windham County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($66k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Windham County population projected at -26% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $47k; list at $150k implies a 219% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.45% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.87%
- Cash-on-cash
- 19.91%
- DSCR
- 1.89
- GRM
- 5.7
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 10.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.40×
- Total profit
- $16,610
- Equity at exit
- $22,365
- IRR
- 19.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.60×
- Total profit
- $67,318
- Equity at exit
- $12,969
Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 41 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Vermont
- 41 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 05301
- Home prices YoY
- -19.2%
- Active inventory
- 82
- Price-to-rent
- 5.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,181 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$787
- Tax from tax record
- −$177 /mo · $2,123/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$56 /mo · $666/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$458
- Net cashflow
- $641
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,500
- Closing costs
- $4,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 60 Brookside Dr #3 Brattleboro, VT | 2.0 | 1.0 | 930 | $2,200 | $2.37 | 14d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 60 Brookside Dr #3 Brattleboro, VT | 2.0 | 1.0 | 930 | $2,200 | $2.37 | 43d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 110 Estey St Unit 1 Brattleboro, VT | 3.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $2,500 | $2.94 | 14d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 100 Clark St Unit 2 Brattleboro, VT | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,650 | $1.38 | 14d | 1 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $150,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $150,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $150,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $150,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $150,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $150,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $150,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $150,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $150,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $150,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $150,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $150,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $150,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $150,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $150,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-05-06$150,000 Active
-
2014-02-28soldstatus $47,000 313-char remark
Show marketing remark (313 chars)
Bring your tools and some love for this spacious home located on almost a half acres of nice land, close to town, just off pavement. Big yard for all the outside fun, full basement for storage and a great laundry room/mud room right off the kitchen. Needs some TLC, but at this price, worth the effort. A must see
-
2013-10-04$49,900 313-char remark
Show marketing remark (313 chars)
Bring your tools and some love for this spacious home located on almost a half acres of nice land, close to town, just off pavement. Big yard for all the outside fun, full basement for storage and a great laundry room/mud room right off the kitchen. Needs some TLC, but at this price, worth the effort. A must see
-
2010-12-16soldstatus $46,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast VT · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,123 · $177/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,487 · $207/mo
- Expected delta
- +$363/yr (+$30/mo · 17.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 96% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 6 d/yr ≥94°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 9% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,173
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,402
- − Property taxes
- −$2,123
- − Insurance
- −$1,416
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,094
- − Management
- −$2,094
- − Depreciation
- −$4,364
- Taxable income
- $5,680
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,363
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,335/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — Brattleboro
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #42
- US rank
- #10223
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- West Brattleboro, VT
- County
- Windham County · 16,955 people
- City population
- 16,955
- Metro
- nan
- Population (ZIP)
- 16,955
- Household income
- $65,910
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 594.0
Population outlook (Windham County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 40,432 people
- By 2030
- 38,472 · -4.8%
- By 2040
- 33,954 · -16.0%
- By 2050
- 29,774 · -26.4%
- By 2075
- 22,351 · -44.7%
- By 2100
- 15,961 · -60.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (90%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 90% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 7% Romanian 5% Italian 4%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Windham
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+42.7) · D 69.6% · R 26.9% · Other 3.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.4pp toward R · 2008: 48.1pp · 2024: 42.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+42.7 2020: D+47.3 2016: D+42.0 2012: D+49.2 2008: D+48.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -67.19%
- Current HPI
- 283.2338
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- nan
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+226.1% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-06 Listed $150,000 FSBO.com
- 2014-02-28 Sold (MLS) $47,000 PrimeMLS
- 2013-10-04 Listed $49,900 PrimeMLS
- 2010-12-16 Sold (Public Records) $46,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-3.9%/yrLatest (2024): $2,123 · +11.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…