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203 3rd St S
B+ Composite 77.47
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.3/10.0
  • Schools +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$94,000

203 3rd St S · Virginia, MN 55792
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,100 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 75 Days on market
Built 1917 3,049 sqft lot Est $134k · 30% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Charming move in ready home in the heart of Virginia. 2 bedroom, 1 bathroom home with modern finishes. Beautifully remodeled bathroom. Sun porch and detached garage. Large basement offers lots of storage or possibility for finishing. Additionally, there is an upper floor that is unfinished - potential for another bedroom and/or bathroom! Recent updates include new wiring, plumbing, and water heater. Steam conversion completed with no loan. As an added bonus, best pizza in town is right next door!

Key facts

  • Remodeled bathroom
  • Sun porch
  • Large basement

Tags

MODERN FINISHESREMODELED BATHROOMSUN PORCHDETACHED GARAGELARGE BASEMENTUNFINISHED UPPER FLOOR

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Above grade finished area and main level finished area are 880 square feet; Below grade area 880 (basement); total building area 1,980

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached or attached 1-car garage (12 x 24)
  • Utilities: City water connected; City sewer connected; 200+ amp electric service; Fuel: Other
  • Home design: Residential property; Two levels; Main entry on main level
  • Construction: Block foundation; Built with above-grade finished area and additional below-grade space
  • Exterior features: Lot approximately 0.07 acres; Lot dimensions 120 x 25

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen on main level (14 x 12)
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms (both on main level)
  • Bathrooms: 1 three-quarter bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Baseboard heating; Steam heating; No central air / no cooling
  • Interior features: Full basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $94k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $513 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $94k).
  • Recommended offer: $88k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 12.8% vs local median 7.5% in Virginia — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#664 in MN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, crime D, health & safety D.
  • Market conditions: 64 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 639 units permitted in St. Louis County in 2024 (338 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($54k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $650 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $26k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 75 days — a 6% lower offer ($88k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $16k (15%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $69k; 36% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1917 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $88,360 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 75 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1917 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.43%
Cap rate
12.84%
Cash-on-cash
23.38%
DSCR
2.04
GRM
5.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$134,200
Comps found
8
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
223 S 4th St 0.08mi 3/2.0 1,260 (+14%) 11mo $90,000 $71 63
605 13th St S 0.72mi 2/1.2 (-1) 1,080 (-2%) 15mo $122,000 $113 42
502 12th St St S 0.66mi 3/1.5 984 (-10%) 9mo $132,500 $135 42
222 3rd St N 0.35mi 2/0.8 (-1) 936 (-15%) 10mo $73,000 $78 41
504 10th St St S 0.56mi 3/1.0 1,022 (-7%) 21mo $125,000 $122 40
622 12th St S 0.75mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,164 (+6%) 17mo $129,000 $111 34
815 6th St St S 0.63mi 3/1.8 1,258 (+14%) 23mo $160,000 $127 27
301 S 10th Ave 0.70mi 3/1.5 1,251 (+14%) 22mo $165,000 $132 24

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
16.4%
Equity multiple
1.66×
Total profit
$17,389
Equity at exit
$14,016
10-year hold
IRR
25.0%
Equity multiple
3.17×
Total profit
$57,034
Equity at exit
$8,127

Cash invested: $26,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
46 Balanced
State Minnesota
46 Balanced · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
2024 reforms strengthened tenant protections; ramsey/hennepin courts paced moderate to slow.

ZIP-level market 55792

Home prices YoY
-26.5%
Active inventory
64
Price-to-rent
5.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,346 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$493
Tax from tax record
$18 /mo · $222/yr
Insurance
$39
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$283
Net cashflow
$513

Break-even live

Break-even rent $697
Max offer price $94,000
Occupancy floor 57%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $566 -5% $539 +0% $513 +5% $486 +10% $460
Rent -10% $406 -5% $460 +0% $513 +5% $566 +10% $619
Rate -1.0pp $560 -0.5pp $537 base $513 +0.5pp $488 +1.0pp $464

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$23,500
Closing costs
$2,820
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
117 2nd St N Unit 2 Virginia, MN 3.0 1.0 970 $1,535 $1.58 13d 1 0.29mi

Listing history 36 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $94,000 Active 75 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $94,000 Active 74 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $94,000 Active 73 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $94,000 Active 72 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $94,000 Active 71 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $94,000 Active 69 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $94,000 Active 68 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $94,000 Active 66 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $94,000 Active 65 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $94,000 Active 64 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $94,000 Active 63 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $94,000 Active 60 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $94,000 Active 59 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $94,000 Active 58 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $94,000 Active 57 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $94,000 Active 56 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $94,000 Active 55 DOM
  18. 2026-05-11
    price $94,000 501-char remark
    Show marketing remark (501 chars)

    Charming move in ready home in the heart of Virginia. 2 bedroom, 1 bathroom home with modern finishes. Beautifully remodeled bathroom. Sun porch and detached garage. Large basement offers lots of storage or possibility for finishing. Additionally, there is an upper floor that is unfinished - potential for another bedroom and/or bathroom! Recent updates include new wiring, plumbing, and water heater. Steam conversion completed with no loan. As an added bonus, best pizza in town is right next door!

  19. 2026-05-11
    price $94,000 501-char remark
    Show marketing remark (501 chars)

    Charming move in ready home in the heart of Virginia. 2 bedroom, 1 bathroom home with modern finishes. Beautifully remodeled bathroom. Sun porch and detached garage. Large basement offers lots of storage or possibility for finishing. Additionally, there is an upper floor that is unfinished - potential for another bedroom and/or bathroom! Recent updates include new wiring, plumbing, and water heater. Steam conversion completed with no loan. As an added bonus, best pizza in town is right next door!

  20. 2026-05-11
    price $94,000
    Show marketing remark (501 chars)

    Charming move in ready home in the heart of Virginia. 2 bedroom, 1 bathroom home with modern finishes. Beautifully remodeled bathroom. Sun porch and detached garage. Large basement offers lots of storage or possibility for finishing. Additionally, there is an upper floor that is unfinished - potential for another bedroom and/or bathroom! Recent updates include new wiring, plumbing, and water heater. Steam conversion completed with no loan. As an added bonus, best pizza in town is right next door!

  21. 2026-05-01
    price $99,000 501-char remark
    Show marketing remark (501 chars)

    Charming move in ready home in the heart of Virginia. 2 bedroom, 1 bathroom home with modern finishes. Beautifully remodeled bathroom. Sun porch and detached garage. Large basement offers lots of storage or possibility for finishing. Additionally, there is an upper floor that is unfinished - potential for another bedroom and/or bathroom! Recent updates include new wiring, plumbing, and water heater. Steam conversion completed with no loan. As an added bonus, best pizza in town is right next door!

  22. 2026-04-14
    price $104,000
    Show marketing remark (501 chars)

    Charming move in ready home in the heart of Virginia. 2 bedroom, 1 bathroom home with modern finishes. Beautifully remodeled bathroom. Sun porch and detached garage. Large basement offers lots of storage or possibility for finishing. Additionally, there is an upper floor that is unfinished - potential for another bedroom and/or bathroom! Recent updates include new wiring, plumbing, and water heater. Steam conversion completed with no loan. As an added bonus, best pizza in town is right next door!

  23. 2026-04-14
    price $104,000 501-char remark
    Show marketing remark (501 chars)

    Charming move in ready home in the heart of Virginia. 2 bedroom, 1 bathroom home with modern finishes. Beautifully remodeled bathroom. Sun porch and detached garage. Large basement offers lots of storage or possibility for finishing. Additionally, there is an upper floor that is unfinished - potential for another bedroom and/or bathroom! Recent updates include new wiring, plumbing, and water heater. Steam conversion completed with no loan. As an added bonus, best pizza in town is right next door!

  24. 2026-04-14
    price $104,000 501-char remark
    Show marketing remark (501 chars)

    Charming move in ready home in the heart of Virginia. 2 bedroom, 1 bathroom home with modern finishes. Beautifully remodeled bathroom. Sun porch and detached garage. Large basement offers lots of storage or possibility for finishing. Additionally, there is an upper floor that is unfinished - potential for another bedroom and/or bathroom! Recent updates include new wiring, plumbing, and water heater. Steam conversion completed with no loan. As an added bonus, best pizza in town is right next door!

  25. 2026-03-30
    listed $110,000 Active 501-char remark
    Show marketing remark (501 chars)

    Charming move in ready home in the heart of Virginia. 2 bedroom, 1 bathroom home with modern finishes. Beautifully remodeled bathroom. Sun porch and detached garage. Large basement offers lots of storage or possibility for finishing. Additionally, there is an upper floor that is unfinished - potential for another bedroom and/or bathroom! Recent updates include new wiring, plumbing, and water heater. Steam conversion completed with no loan. As an added bonus, best pizza in town is right next door!

  26. 2026-03-30
    listed $110,000 Active 501-char remark
    Show marketing remark (501 chars)

    Charming move in ready home in the heart of Virginia. 2 bedroom, 1 bathroom home with modern finishes. Beautifully remodeled bathroom. Sun porch and detached garage. Large basement offers lots of storage or possibility for finishing. Additionally, there is an upper floor that is unfinished - potential for another bedroom and/or bathroom! Recent updates include new wiring, plumbing, and water heater. Steam conversion completed with no loan. As an added bonus, best pizza in town is right next door!

  27. 2026-03-30
    listed $110,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (501 chars)

    Charming move in ready home in the heart of Virginia. 2 bedroom, 1 bathroom home with modern finishes. Beautifully remodeled bathroom. Sun porch and detached garage. Large basement offers lots of storage or possibility for finishing. Additionally, there is an upper floor that is unfinished - potential for another bedroom and/or bathroom! Recent updates include new wiring, plumbing, and water heater. Steam conversion completed with no loan. As an added bonus, best pizza in town is right next door!

  28. 2024-03-18
    soldstatus $69,000
  29. 2024-03-11
    soldstatus $69,000 Closed
  30. 2024-03-11
    soldstatus $69,000
  31. 2024-03-11
    soldstatus $69,000 Sold
  32. 2024-02-12
    status Pending
  33. 2024-02-12
    status Pending
  34. 2024-02-01
    listed $69,000 Active
  35. 2024-02-01
    listed $69,000
  36. 2024-02-01
    listed $69,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$222 · $18/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$637 · $53/mo
Expected delta
+$415/yr (+$35/mo · 187.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥91°F today · 12 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,153
− Mortgage interest
−$5,265
− Property taxes
−$222
− Insurance
−$470
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,292
− Management
−$1,292
− Depreciation
−$2,735
Taxable income
$4,877
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,170
After-tax cash flow
$4,983/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

No district data.

Livability — Virginia

Score
63/100
State rank
#664
US rank
#15991

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety D User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Virginia, MN
County
Saint Louis County · 115,152 people
City population
9,663
Metro
Duluth, MN-WI
Population (ZIP)
9,663
Household income
$53,750
Rent vs Own
37.5% rent · 62.5% own
Severe rent burden
286.0

Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
202,411 people
By 2030
203,234 · +0.4%
By 2040
202,520 · +0.1%
By 2050
200,853 · -0.8%
By 2075
200,943 · -0.7%
By 2100
192,058 · -5.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (90%)
Race & ethnicity
White 90% Two or more races 4% Native American 3% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 12% Romanian 4% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis

2024 margin
D (+13.7) · D 55.9% · R 42.2% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
-18.8pp toward R · 2008: 32.5pp · 2024: 13.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+13.7 2020: D+15.6 2016: D+11.8 2012: D+29.6 2008: D+32.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -72.05%
Current HPI
199.7165
Rent YoY
Metro
Duluth, MN-WI
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.41%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+36.2% since first listed
19 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-11 Price Changed $94,000 RAOR
  • 2026-05-11 Price Changed $94,000 LSAR
  • 2026-05-11 Price Changed $94,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-01 Price Changed $99,000 RAOR
  • 2026-04-14 Price Changed $104,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-14 Price Changed $104,000 RAOR
  • 2026-04-14 Price Changed $104,000 LSAR
  • 2026-03-30 Listed $110,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-30 Listed $110,000 LSAR
  • 2026-03-30 Listed $110,000 RAOR
  • 2024-03-18 Sold (Public Records) $69,000 Public Records
  • 2024-03-11 Sold (MLS) $69,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-03-11 Sold (MLS) $69,000 LSAR
  • 2024-03-11 Sold (MLS) $69,000 RAOR
  • 2024-02-12 Pending RAOR
  • 2024-02-12 Pending NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-02-01 Listed $69,000 RAOR
  • 2024-02-01 Listed $69,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-02-01 Listed $69,000 LSAR

Property tax history

-5.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $222 · -58.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…