Multi-family
374 South St · Newburgh, NY
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.77%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 14.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.5/30.0
- ARV discount +5.7/15.0
- 1% rule +5.2/10.0
- DSCR +4.8/10.0
- Schools +3.5/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$385,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records
Listing remarks MLS
PRICE REDUCED!!! Fully updated 3/4 bedroom 2 full bathroom brick cape cod style home. Move in ready with updated kitchen and bathrooms, gleaming hard wood floors, detached garage, .44 acre flat level yard, and basement that has worlds of potential! Basement ceilings span 17 feet with full walk out to the back yard and bar, perfect for a golf simulator setup!!! Originally zoned as a two family home, can be converted. Legal 3 bedroom lives like 4 bedroom. Large sized lot may be subdivided. Easy to show!
Key facts
- 0.43 acre lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1950
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath multifamily listed at $385k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $98 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $385k).
- Recommended offer: $373k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 6.8% vs local median 4.4% in Newburgh — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 62/100 on livability (#878 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: health & safety A+, housing B+, cost of living B; Watch: employment D+, schools D, crime F.
- Newburgh City School District (suburban): math 33% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #500 of 590 in NY (top 85%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 383 active listings in the ZIP; 26 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 42% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,746 units permitted in Orange County in 2024 (1,265 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,925/mo this rent would consume 55% of the median local household income ($86k/yr) (locally 2412% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 59 days — a 3% lower offer ($373k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 24y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $236k; list at $385k implies a 63% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 59 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.02% ✓
- Cap rate
- 6.77%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.71%
- DSCR
- 1.08
- GRM
- 8.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $370,286
- List price
- $385,000
- Delta
- 3.97%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 37 Lutheran St | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 | 1,666 (+13%) | 3mo | $262,500 | $158 | 50 |
| 32 Concord St | 0.50mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,530 (+4%) | 20mo | $290,000 | $190 | 48 |
| 34 S Miller St | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 | 1,480 (+1%) | 24mo | $260,000 | $176 | 47 |
| 374 1st St | 0.32mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,656 (+13%) | 19mo | $270,000 | $163 | 43 |
| 34 Concord St | 0.49mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,620 (+10%) | 20mo | $270,000 | $167 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.63% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -17.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.40×
- Total profit
- $-65,006
- Equity at exit
- $57,405
- IRR
- -15.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.23×
- Total profit
- $-83,237
- Equity at exit
- $33,288
Cash invested: $107,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 12550
- Home prices YoY
- -33.3%
- Rents YoY
- 0.6%
- Active inventory
- 383
- Price-to-rent
- 16.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,925 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,019
- Tax from tax record
- −$768 /mo · $9,211/yr
- Insurance
- −$160
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$56 /mo · $666/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$824
- Net cashflow
- $98
Break-even live
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 3 | 2 | $3,924 |
| #1 | 3 | 2 | $1,962 |
| #2 | 3 | 2 | $1,962 |
| Total (2 units) | $3,925 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $96,250
- Closing costs
- $11,550
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 26 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 171 West St Newburgh, NY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1299 | $2,800 | $2.16 | 23d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 457 1st St Newburgh, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1680 | $2,950 | $1.76 | 43d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 268 Carpenter Ave Unit 1 Newburgh, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 950 | $2,600 | $2.74 | 23d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 9 Arlington Pl Newburgh, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $2,300 | $2.42 | 13d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 259 1st St Newburgh, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 883 | $2,000 | $2.27 | 43d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 160 N Miller St #1 Newburgh, NY | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1600 | $2,500 | $1.56 | 43d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 193 South St Unit 2 Newburgh, NY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $2,415 | $2.01 | 13d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 20 Pierces Rd Unit 3 Newburgh, NY | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1071 | $1,900 | $1.77 | 23d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 52 S Miller St Newburgh, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 889 | $1,900 | $2.14 | 43d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 57 Lander St Unit B Newburgh, NY | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $1,900 | $1.73 | 43d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 51 Lander St Unit 1 Newburgh, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,500 | $1.50 | 23d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 177 W Parmenter St Unit 1 Newburgh, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,700 | $1.55 | 23d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 317 Grand St Unit 1-1 Newburgh, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $2,200 | $1.57 | 13d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 276 Temple Hill Rd #2215 Newburgh, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1026 | $2,100 | $2.05 | 23d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 42 Hasbrouck St Newburgh, NY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1008 | $2,550 | $2.53 | 43d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 28 Hasbrouck St Newburgh, NY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1188 | $2,700 | $2.27 | 43d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 167 Liberty St Newburgh, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,900 | $2.11 | 43d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 196 Carson Ave Newburgh, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1188 | $2,200 | $1.85 | 43d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 4 Grand St Unit 3 Newburgh, NY | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1560 | $3,925 | $2.52 | 23d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 4 Grand St Unit 1 Newburgh, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $2,400 | $2.67 | 23d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 22 Benkard Ave Unit 1 Newburgh, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1075 | $1,750 | $1.63 | 43d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 62 Poplar St Newburgh, NY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1272 | $3,000 | $2.36 | 23d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 44 Johnes St Unit 108-J Newburgh, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 909 | $1,950 | $2.15 | 13d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 22 Overlook Pl Newburgh, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1013 | $2,000 | $1.97 | 21d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 81 Liberty Street Washington Hts Unit 2 Newburgh, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1362 | $2,950 | $2.17 | 43d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 33 Bay View Ter Unit 1 Newburgh, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $2,200 | $2.32 | 13d | 1 | 1.37mi |
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-04-29price $385,000 506-char remark
Show marketing remark (506 chars)
PRICE REDUCED!!! Fully updated 3/4 bedroom 2 full bathroom brick cape cod style home. Move in ready with updated kitchen and bathrooms, gleaming hard wood floors, detached garage, .44 acre flat level yard, and basement that has worlds of potential! Basement ceilings span 17 feet with full walk out to the back yard and bar, perfect for a golf simulator setup!!! Originally zoned as a two family home, can be converted. Legal 3 bedroom lives like 4 bedroom. Large sized lot may be subdivided. Easy to show!
-
2026-03-31$399,900 Active 506-char remark
Show marketing remark (506 chars)
PRICE REDUCED!!! Fully updated 3/4 bedroom 2 full bathroom brick cape cod style home. Move in ready with updated kitchen and bathrooms, gleaming hard wood floors, detached garage, .44 acre flat level yard, and basement that has worlds of potential! Basement ceilings span 17 feet with full walk out to the back yard and bar, perfect for a golf simulator setup!!! Originally zoned as a two family home, can be converted. Legal 3 bedroom lives like 4 bedroom. Large sized lot may be subdivided. Easy to show!
-
2026-03-19historical $399,900 506-char remark
Show marketing remark (506 chars)
PRICE REDUCED!!! Fully updated 3/4 bedroom 2 full bathroom brick cape cod style home. Move in ready with updated kitchen and bathrooms, gleaming hard wood floors, detached garage, .44 acre flat level yard, and basement that has worlds of potential! Basement ceilings span 17 feet with full walk out to the back yard and bar, perfect for a golf simulator setup!!! Originally zoned as a two family home, can be converted. Legal 3 bedroom lives like 4 bedroom. Large sized lot may be subdivided. Easy to show!
-
2023-07-09historical
-
2021-04-30soldstatus $236,000 532-char remark
Show marketing remark (532 chars)
Solid Brick Duplex in the Heart of Newburgh with over . 50 acre of land, 1 car detatched garage, rec room, full high ceiling basement, storage room, exsiting wood floors, separate entrances. Price reflects work needed to update the large kitchen/dining room on 1st floor + bathrooms . House needs some TLC. 2nd Floor needs a kitchen, it was removed at some point. This property is conveniently located close to I87, Route 9W, St Luke Hospital, Mount St Mary, The Waterfront with ecletic restaurants and shops and so much more. .. ..
-
2021-04-30soldstatus $236,000 Closed
Show marketing remark (532 chars)
Solid Brick Duplex in the Heart of Newburgh with over . 50 acre of land, 1 car detatched garage, rec room, full high ceiling basement, storage room, exsiting wood floors, separate entrances. Price reflects work needed to update the large kitchen/dining room on 1st floor + bathrooms . House needs some TLC. 2nd Floor needs a kitchen, it was removed at some point. This property is conveniently located close to I87, Route 9W, St Luke Hospital, Mount St Mary, The Waterfront with ecletic restaurants and shops and so much more. .. ..
-
2021-03-16status Pending
-
2021-01-22$235,500 532-char remark
Show marketing remark (532 chars)
Solid Brick Duplex in the Heart of Newburgh with over . 50 acre of land, 1 car detatched garage, rec room, full high ceiling basement, storage room, exsiting wood floors, separate entrances. Price reflects work needed to update the large kitchen/dining room on 1st floor + bathrooms . House needs some TLC. 2nd Floor needs a kitchen, it was removed at some point. This property is conveniently located close to I87, Route 9W, St Luke Hospital, Mount St Mary, The Waterfront with ecletic restaurants and shops and so much more. .. ..
-
2021-01-21$235,500 Active
-
2002-11-13soldstatus $160,000
-
2002-10-31soldstatus $159,900
-
2002-09-06historical
-
2002-06-24$159,900
-
1988-03-18soldstatus $117,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $9,211 · $768/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $9,211 · $768/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 77% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 14% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $47,100
- − Mortgage interest
- −$21,566
- − Property taxes
- −$9,211
- − Insurance
- −$2,592
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,768
- − Management
- −$3,768
- − Depreciation
- −$11,200
- Taxable loss
- −$5,005
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,201
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,380/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Newburgh City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3620700
- Math proficiency
- 33% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 48% ▲ 10.00%
- Median HH income
- $56,387
- Composite
- 35.46/100
- National rank
- #4927
- State rank
- #500 of 590 in NY
Livability — Newburgh
- Score
- 62/100
- State rank
- #878
- US rank
- #17021
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Newburgh, NY
- County
- Orange County · 267,004 people
- City population
- 55,152
- Metro
- Poughkeepsie-Newburgh-Middletown, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 55,152
- Household income
- $85,697
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2412.0
Population outlook (Orange County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 379,830 people
- By 2030
- 378,955 · -0.2%
- By 2040
- 375,444 · -1.2%
- By 2050
- 369,311 · -2.8%
- By 2075
- 354,233 · -6.7%
- By 2100
- 318,150 · -16.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 39% White 36% Black 20% Two or more races 12% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 14% Puerto Rican 10% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Hispanic 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 18% · Canada, Dominican Republic
- Languages at home
- 64% English-only · Spanish 30% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Orange
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+8.4) · D 45.8% · R 54.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -12.5pp toward R · 2008: 4.1pp · 2024: -8.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+8.4 2020: R+0.2 2016: R+6.5 2012: D+5.2 2008: D+4.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -151.93%
- Current HPI
- 304.1046
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.63%
- Metro
- Poughkeepsie-Newburgh-Middletown, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
||
Price history
+229.1% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-29 Price Changed $385,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-31 Listed $399,900 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-19 Coming Soon $399,900 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-07-09 Rental Removed — ONEKEY
- 2021-04-30 Sold (MLS) $236,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-04-30 Sold (MLS) $236,000 HVCRMLS
- 2021-03-16 Pending — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-01-22 Listed $235,500 HVCRMLS
- 2021-01-21 Listed $235,500 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2002-11-13 Sold (Public Records) $160,000 Public Records
- 2002-10-31 Sold (MLS) $159,900 HGMLS
- 2002-09-06 Delisted — HGMLS
- 2002-06-24 Listed $159,900 HGMLS
- 1988-03-18 Sold (Public Records) $117,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.6%/yrLatest (2025): $9,211 · -3.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…