24425 Woolsey Canyon Rd Spc 96 · Los Angeles, CA
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- D
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.6%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $544 – $1,084
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +1.7/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$99,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Stunning manufactured home in the desirable gated Summit Mobile Home Park of West Hills. This bright, contemporary space features new laminate flooring, a modern kitchen with stainless steel appliances, recessed lighting, and a primary bath with both a large soaking tub and walk-in shower. Enjoy drought-resistant landscaping, mature trees for privacy, an attached carport, updated electrical and plumbing, and fresh paint inside and out. The pet-friendly community offers a pool, spa, clubhouse, and available RV parking, with nearby walking, hiking, and biking trails. Conveniently located near shopping, freeways, and just fifteen minutes from Westfield Topanga and The Village.
Key facts
- Manufactured home
- Modern kitchen
- 2 garage spots
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $100k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $3k ($33k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $100k).
- Recommended offer: $97k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 39.9% vs local median 2.1% in Los Angeles — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#273 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment B; Watch: health & safety C-, schools D+, crime F.
- Los Angeles Unified (urban): math 29% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #223 of 517 in CA (top 43%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents falling (-3.2%/yr); 122 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 19,697 units permitted in Los Angeles County in 2024 (9,426 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $4,331/mo this rent would consume 58% of the median local household income ($90k/yr) (locally 2821% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Los Angeles County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 58 days — a 3% lower offer ($97k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 20 sale attempts since 21y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $68/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 58 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 4.34% ✓
- Cap rate
- 39.88%
- Cash-on-cash
- 119.96%
- DSCR
- 6.34
- GRM
- 1.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $150,000
- List price
- $99,900
- Delta
- -33.40%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 7 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24425 Woolsey Canyon Rd #92 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,152 (0%) | 1mo | $193,000 | $168 | 99 |
| 24425 Woolsey Canyon Rd #132 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,143 (-1%) | 2mo | $150,000 | $131 | 92 |
| 24303 Woolsey Canyon Rd #19 | 0.28mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,152 (0%) | 2mo | $180,000 | $156 | 80 |
| 24425 Woolsey Canyon Rd #85 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,056 (-8%) | 10mo | $145,000 | $137 | 78 |
| 24425 Woolsey Canyon Rd #169 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,056 (-8%) | 10mo | $129,000 | $122 | 78 |
| 24425 Woolsey Canyon Rd #87 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,200 (+4%) | 14mo | $147,000 | $123 | 76 |
| 24303 Woolsey Cyn #154 | 0.28mi | 2/2.0 | 1,152 (0%) | 14mo | $100,000 | $87 | 75 |
| 24425 Woolsey Canyon Rd #8 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,056 (-8%) | 15mo | $106,000 | $100 | 73 |
| 24425 Woolsey Cyn #141 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,296 (+12%) | 14mo | $152,000 | $117 | 63 |
| 24303 Woolsey Cyn #26 | 0.28mi | 2/2.0 | 1,248 (+8%) | 19mo | $149,000 | $119 | 57 |
| 24303 Woolsey Canyon Rd #111 | 0.28mi | 2/2.0 | 1,248 (+8%) | 23mo | $159,000 | $127 | 54 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 6.18×
- Total profit
- $144,963
- Equity at exit
- $14,895
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 11.77×
- Total profit
- $301,217
- Equity at exit
- $8,638
Cash invested: $27,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City Los Angeles
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+22
ZIP-level market 91304
- Rents YoY
- -3.2%
- Active inventory
- 122
- Price-to-rent
- 1.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $4,331 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$524
- Tax from tax record
- −$60 /mo · $716/yr
- Insurance
- −$42
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$68 /mo · $814/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$909
- Net cashflow
- $2,728
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $2,785 | -5% $2,757 | +0% $2,728 | +5% $2,700 | +10% $2,672 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $2,386 | -5% $2,557 | +0% $2,728 | +5% $2,900 | +10% $3,071 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $2,779 | -0.5pp $2,754 | base $2,728 | +0.5pp $2,703 | +1.0pp $2,676 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,975
- Closing costs
- $2,997
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 110 Box Canyon Rd Canoga Park, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $7,000 | $4.67 | 2d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 8808 Chatlake Dr West Hills, CA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1250 | $4,250 | $3.40 | 19d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 9251 Notre Dame Ave Chatsworth, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1310 | $4,200 | $3.21 | 44d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 9552 Ventura Way Chatsworth, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $4,200 | $4.67 | 44d | 1 | 1.38mi |
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $99,900 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $99,900 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $99,900 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $99,900 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $99,900 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $99,900 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $99,900 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $99,900 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $99,900 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $99,900 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $99,900 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $99,900 Active 41 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $99,900 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-04-21$99,900 Active 682-char remark
Show marketing remark (682 chars)
Stunning manufactured home in the desirable gated Summit Mobile Home Park of West Hills. This bright, contemporary space features new laminate flooring, a modern kitchen with stainless steel appliances, recessed lighting, and a primary bath with both a large soaking tub and walk-in shower. Enjoy drought-resistant landscaping, mature trees for privacy, an attached carport, updated electrical and plumbing, and fresh paint inside and out. The pet-friendly community offers a pool, spa, clubhouse, and available RV parking, with nearby walking, hiking, and biking trails. Conveniently located near shopping, freeways, and just fifteen minutes from Westfield Topanga and The Village.
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2026-04-12historical
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2026-03-02price $100,000
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2025-12-20status Active
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2025-11-30$110,000 Active
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2025-11-29historical
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2024-04-05historical
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2024-03-21status Active
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2024-02-15$125,000 Active
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2024-01-24historical
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2024-01-20price $125,000
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2023-10-28price $120,000
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2023-09-10price $130,000
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2023-08-24status Active
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2023-08-19historical
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2023-06-30status Active
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2023-06-12status Pending Sale
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2023-06-09status Active
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2023-04-06price $150,000
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2023-04-01price $159,000
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2023-02-17$169,900 Active
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2022-06-27soldstatus $139,900 Closed Sale
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2022-05-12status Pending Sale
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2022-03-09status Active
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2022-02-28status Pending Sale
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2022-02-05historical Active Under Contract
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2021-10-08$139,900 Active
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2021-09-04historical
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2021-08-11price $120,000
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2021-02-04$125,000 Active
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2020-04-03historical
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2020-02-20price $124,888
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2019-10-03$144,999 Active
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2019-10-01historical
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2019-08-02$149,000 Active
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2012-01-01historical
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2011-05-12$49,995 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $716 · $60/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $759 · $63/mo
- Expected delta
- +$44/yr (+$4/mo · 6.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone D · 60% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $51,971
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,596
- − Property taxes
- −$716
- − Insurance
- −$1,314
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$4,158
- − Management
- −$4,158
- − Depreciation
- −$2,906
- Taxable income
- $33,124
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$7,950
- After-tax cash flow
- $24,791/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Los Angeles Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0622710
- Math proficiency
- 29% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▲ 10.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,403
- Composite
- 35.67/100
- National rank
- #4875
- State rank
- #223 of 517 in CA
Livability — Los Angeles
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #273
- US rank
- #9237
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Los Angeles County · 9,444,647 people
- City population
- 3,838,149
- Metro
- Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 52,474
- Household income
- $90,007
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2821.0
Population outlook (Los Angeles County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 10,940,515 people
- By 2030
- 11,256,481 · +2.9%
- By 2040
- 11,729,929 · +7.2%
- By 2050
- 11,948,407 · +9.2%
- By 2075
- 11,818,114 · +8.0%
- By 2100
- 10,842,928 · -0.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 42% White 32% Asian 17% Two or more races 11% Black 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 26%
- Common ancestry
- Scotch-Irish 2% Romanian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 38% · Canada, Vietnam, China
- Languages at home
- 45% English-only · Spanish 34% Other Indo-European 8% Tagalog/Filipino 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Los Angeles
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+32.9) · D 64.8% · R 31.9% · Other 3.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.4pp toward R · 2008: 40.4pp · 2024: 32.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+32.9 2020: D+44.2 2016: D+48.0 2012: D+40.0 2008: D+40.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -805.65%
- Current HPI
- 351.4216
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -3.21%
- Metro
- Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
+25.0% since first listed51 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-21 Listed $99,900 CRMLS
- 2026-04-12 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2026-03-02 Price Changed $100,000 CRMLS
- 2025-12-20 Relisted — CRMLS
- 2025-11-30 Listed $110,000 CRMLS
- 2025-11-29 Coming Soon — CRMLS
- 2024-04-05 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2024-03-21 Relisted — CRMLS
- 2024-02-15 Listed $125,000 CRMLS
- 2024-01-24 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2024-01-20 Price Changed $125,000 CRMLS
- 2023-10-28 Price Changed $120,000 CRMLS
- 2023-09-10 Price Changed $130,000 CRMLS
- 2023-08-24 Relisted — CRMLS
- 2023-08-19 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2023-06-30 Relisted — CRMLS
- 2023-06-12 Pending — CRMLS
- 2023-06-09 Relisted — CRMLS
- 2023-04-06 Price Changed $150,000 CRMLS
- 2023-04-01 Price Changed $159,000 CRMLS
- 2023-02-17 Listed $169,900 CRMLS
- 2022-06-27 Sold (MLS) $139,900 CRMLS
- 2022-05-12 Pending — CRMLS
- 2022-03-09 Relisted — CRMLS
- 2022-02-28 Pending — CRMLS
- 2022-02-05 Contingent — CRMLS
- 2021-10-08 Listed $139,900 CRMLS
- 2021-09-04 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2021-08-11 Price Changed $120,000 CRMLS
- 2021-02-04 Listed $125,000 CRMLS
- 2020-04-03 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2020-02-20 Price Changed $124,888 CRMLS
- 2019-10-03 Listed $144,999 CRMLS
- 2019-10-01 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2019-08-02 Listed $149,000 CRMLS
- 2012-01-01 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2011-05-12 Listed $49,995 CRMLS
- 2009-10-28 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2009-09-14 Price Changed $20,000 CRMLS
- 2009-08-31 Price Changed $25,000 CRMLS
- 2009-08-18 Price Changed $35,000 CRMLS
- 2009-08-11 Price Changed $40,000 CRMLS
- 2009-07-20 Listed $45,000 CRMLS
- 2009-07-11 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2009-03-16 Relisted — CRMLS
- 2009-03-02 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2009-02-26 Relisted — CRMLS
- 2009-02-12 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2008-09-25 Listed $44,975 CRMLS
- 2006-05-01 Sold (MLS) $79,900 CRMLS
- 2005-11-28 Listed $79,900 CRMLS
Property tax history
+3.3%/yrLatest (2025): $716 · +3.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…