28 Lily Dr · Lake Placid, FL
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +11.7/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.7/5.0
- Appreciation +2.5/10.0
- Manufactured-home adj. -6.3
$44,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Its time you let yourself live in a beautifully maintained and pleasant manufactured home community. This home has a spacious kitchen, and 1 bedrooms, 1 bathrooms!! Not only would you be in Lake Placid, but you would be living in a community where you would never run out of activities! You will have access to a swimming pool, shuffle board, golf range, and a bocce court. This is an offer you do not want to miss out on this offer, call us today!
Key facts
- Bocce court
- Shuffle board
- Spacious kitchen
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $45k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $402 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($902 rent vs $45k).
- Recommended offer: $42k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 17.0% vs local median 3.9% in Lake Placid — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#525 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Highlands (other): math 45% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #54 of 73 in FL (top 74%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Lake Country Elementary School (math 57% / reading 54%, grade C, #855 of 2,144 statewide, top 41%, 685 students, 73% FRL); Lake Placid Middle School (math 42% / reading 33%, grade F, #395 of 571 statewide, top 70%, 621 students, 75% FRL); Lake Placid High School (math 36% / reading 35%, grade F, #367 of 667 statewide, top 57%, 868 students, 66% FRL) — zoned schools at 71% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 1817 active listings in the ZIP; 980 units permitted in Highlands County in 2024 (80 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $310 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.8% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 85 days — a 6% lower offer ($42k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 85 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.01% ✓
- Cap rate
- 17.05%
- Cash-on-cash
- 38.41%
- DSCR
- 2.71
- GRM
- 4.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $49,500
- List price
- $44,900
- Delta
- -9.29%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 2 within 2.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 44 Betty Dr | 0.09mi | 1/1.0 | 460 (-11%) | 20mo | $6,000 | $13 | 60 |
| 15 Snowball Dr | 0.08mi | 1/1.0 | 396 (-24%) | 16mo | $4,500 | $11 | 58 |
| 40 Connie Dr | 0.10mi | 1/1.0 | 462 (-11%) | 34mo | $15,000 | $32 | 57 |
| 89 Circle Rdg | 0.11mi | 1/1.0 | 624 (+20%) | 17mo | $3,000 | $5 | 55 |
| 1 Brach St | 0.05mi | 1/1.0 | 396 (-24%) | 40mo | $26,000 | $66 | 53 |
| 2 Brachs St | 0.05mi | 1/1.0 | 672 (+30%) | 24mo | $5,000 | $7 | 53 |
| 18 Gary Ave | 0.39mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 672 (+30%) | 3mo | $59,000 | $88 | 50 |
| 12 Melrose Ln | 1.53mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 576 (+11%) | 3mo | $40,000 | $69 | 38 |
| 1 Center St | 0.29mi | 2/1.5 (+1) | 672 (+30%) | 51mo | $25,000 | $37 | 34 |
| 145 Highlands Dr | 1.07mi | 1/1.0 | 660 (+27%) | 38mo | $64,900 | $98 | 20 |
| 313 Highlands Blvd | 1.80mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 672 (+30%) | 27mo | $60,000 | $89 | 15 |
| 9 Melrose Ln | 1.52mi | 2/2.0 (+1) | 672 (+30%) | 37mo | $70,000 | $104 | 11 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.82% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 32.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.31×
- Total profit
- $16,431
- Equity at exit
- $6,695
- IRR
- 37.9%
- Equity multiple
- 4.16×
- Total profit
- $39,758
- Equity at exit
- $3,882
Cash invested: $12,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 25 active
- Median asking
- $44,900 ($87/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 85 d
- This list price
- 12% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- +10.2% above current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 33852
- Rents YoY
- 0.8%
- Active inventory
- 1817
- Price-to-rent
- 4.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $902 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$235
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$56 /mo · $674/yr
- Insurance
- −$19
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent leased land?
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$189
- Net cashflow
- $402
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $433 | -5% $418 | +0% $402 | +5% $387 | +10% $371 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $331 | -5% $367 | +0% $402 | +5% $438 | +10% $474 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $425 | -0.5pp $414 | base $402 | +0.5pp $391 | +1.0pp $379 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $11,225
- Closing costs
- $1,347
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Property features AI
Finance
- Other
- Address: 28 Lily Dr, Lake Placid, FL 33852Status: Active
- Financial info
- List price $44,900
Exterior
- Home design
- Spec new constructionSingle-level (1 story)
- Exterior features
- Living area approximately 518
Interior
- Bedrooms
- 1 bedroom
- Bathrooms
- 1 full bathroom
- Interior features
- Open plan living area
Listing history 50 events
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2026-08-08days on market $44,900 Active 85 DOM
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2026-08-07days on market $44,900 Active 84 DOM
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2026-08-06days on market $44,900 Active 83 DOM
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2026-08-05days on market $44,900 Active 82 DOM
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2026-08-04days on market $44,900 Active 81 DOM
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2026-08-03days on market $44,900 Active 80 DOM
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2026-07-31days on market $44,900 Active 77 DOM
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2026-07-30days on market $44,900 Active 76 DOM
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2026-07-29days on market $44,900 Active 75 DOM
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2026-07-27days on market $44,900 Active 73 DOM
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2026-07-25days on market $44,900 Active 71 DOM
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2026-07-23days on market $44,900 Active 69 DOM
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2026-07-22days on market $44,900 Active 68 DOM
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2026-07-21days on market $44,900 Active 67 DOM
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2026-07-18days on market $44,900 Active 64 DOM
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2026-07-16days on market $44,900 Active 62 DOM
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2026-07-16days on market $44,900 Active 61 DOM
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2026-07-14days on market $44,900 Active 60 DOM
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2026-07-13days on market $44,900 Active 59 DOM
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2026-07-12days on market $44,900 Active 58 DOM
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2026-07-11days on market $44,900 Active 57 DOM
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2026-07-10days on market $44,900 Active 56 DOM
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2026-07-09days on market $44,900 Active 55 DOM
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2026-07-08days on market $44,900 Active 54 DOM
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2026-07-07days on market $44,900 Active 53 DOM
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2026-07-06days on market $44,900 Active 52 DOM
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2026-07-05days on market $44,900 Active 51 DOM
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2026-07-04days on market $44,900 Active 50 DOM
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2026-07-03days on market $44,900 Active 49 DOM
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2026-07-02days on market $44,900 Active 48 DOM
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2026-07-01days on market $44,900 Active 47 DOM
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2026-06-30days on market $44,900 Active 46 DOM
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2026-06-29days on market $44,900 Active 45 DOM
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2026-06-28days on market $44,900 Active 44 DOM
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2026-06-28days on market $44,900 Active 43 DOM
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2026-06-27days on market $44,900 Active 42 DOM
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2026-06-26days on market $44,900 Active 41 DOM
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2026-06-23days on market $44,900 Active 38 DOM
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2026-06-21days on market $44,900 Active 37 DOM
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2026-06-19days on market $44,900 Active 35 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $44,900 Active 34 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $44,900 Active 33 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $44,900 Active 32 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $44,900 Active 31 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $44,900 Active 29 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $44,900 Active 26 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $44,900 Active 25 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $44,900 Active 24 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $44,900 Active 23 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $44,900 Active 18 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,826
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,515
- − Property taxes
- −$674
- − Insurance
- −$224
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$866
- − Management
- −$866
- − Depreciation
- −$1,306
- Taxable income
- $4,374
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,050
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,779/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This beautifully maintained manufactured home in a desirable community offers a spacious kitchen and a single bedroom. With minimal repairs and maintenance, it's ready for a new owner to enjoy the community amenities and lifestyle.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value ↑
- Both Add a small outdoor seating area — Increases functionality and appeal for both residents and potential buyers ↑
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Highlands
- NCES district ID
- 1200840
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,276
- Composite
- 36.42/100
- National rank
- #4672
- State rank
- #54 of 73 in FL
Livability — Lake Placid
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #525
- US rank
- #9813
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Highlands County · 99,674 people
- City population
- 22,600
- Metro
- Sebring-Avon Park, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 22,600
- Household income
- $54,284
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 12% of renters
Population outlook (Highlands County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 99,674 people
- By 2030
- 99,615 · -0.1%
- By 2040
- 99,342 · -0.3%
- By 2050
- 98,242 · -1.4%
- By 2075
- 93,291 · -6.4%
- By 2100
- 79,894 · -19.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (68%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 68% Hispanic / Latino 22% Two or more races 11% Black 6% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 11% Puerto Rican 3% Cuban 3%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 14% · Canada, Dominican Republic
- Languages at home
- 79% English-only · Spanish 19% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Highlands
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+40.8) · D 29.3% · R 70.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.7pp toward R · 2008: -18.1pp · 2024: -40.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+40.8 2020: R+34.4 2016: R+32.0 2012: R+23.0 2008: R+18.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -203.31%
- Current HPI
- 224.8693
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.82%
- Metro
- Sebring-Avon Park, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…