4311 W 18th St · Little Rock, AR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,499 – $2,785
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 10.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.6/30.0
- DSCR +8.5/10.0
- 1% rule +5.6/10.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.1/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$115,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Move-in ready and beautifully remodeled! This home features brand-NEW exterior siding and paint, NEW oof, and a NEW tankless water heater for modern efficiency. Inside, you’ll love the open floorplan with all-NEW cabinets, stunning quartz countertops, fresh paint, and durable LVP flooring throughout. Bathrooms are finished with stylish tile, and every detail has been thoughtfully updated. Sparkling clean and ready for its new owner!
Key facts
- Quartz countertops
- Open floorplan
- New cabinets
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $115k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $272 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $115k).
- Recommended offer: $108k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.1% vs local median 4.1% in Little Rock — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#22 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
- Little Rock School District (urban): math 23% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #183 of 238 in AR (top 77%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 69% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.9%/yr); 186 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 52% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,006 units permitted in Pulaski County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($41k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $795 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Pulaski County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.9% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 62 days — a 6% lower offer ($108k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 62 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.06% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.13%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.15%
- DSCR
- 1.45
- GRM
- 7.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $80,321
- List price
- $115,000
- Delta
- 43.18%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1712 Pinewood Dr | 0.29mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,106 (-0%) | 4mo | $85,000 | $77 | 77 |
| 1517 Bishop Warren Dr | 0.21mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,120 (+1%) | 9mo | $19,000 | $17 | 76 |
| 4523 W 23rd St | 0.33mi | 3/1.0 | 1,026 (-7%) | 2mo | $22,000 | $21 | 71 |
| 1720 Green Meadow Dr | 0.33mi | 3/1.0 | 1,020 (-8%) | 4mo | $103,500 | $101 | 68 |
| 2104 S Pine St | 0.31mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,211 (+9%) | 3mo | $15,500 | $13 | 63 |
| 1001 S Monroe St | 0.64mi | 3/1.0 | 1,160 (+5%) | 2mo | $130,000 | $112 | 61 |
| 1418 S Harrison St | 0.65mi | 3/1.5 | 1,161 (+5%) | 3mo | $112,000 | $96 | 57 |
| 1617 S Valentine St | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 | 1,204 (+9%) | 7mo | $164,360 | $137 | 53 |
| 1516 S Harrison St | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 | 1,212 (+10%) | 1mo | $145,000 | $120 | 50 |
| 4805 W 29th St | 0.73mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,040 (-6%) | 7mo | $100,000 | $96 | 45 |
| 4624 W 29th St | 0.67mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 971 (-12%) | 1mo | $100,000 | $103 | 42 |
| 2109 Brown St | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 | 1,239 (+12%) | 3mo | $145,000 | $117 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.91% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 0.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.03×
- Total profit
- $1,058
- Equity at exit
- $17,147
- IRR
- 12.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.03×
- Total profit
- $33,283
- Equity at exit
- $9,943
Cash invested: $32,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arkansas
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 72204
- Home prices YoY
- -21.5%
- Rents YoY
- 4.9%
- Active inventory
- 186
- Price-to-rent
- 7.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,222 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$603
- Tax from tax record
- −$42 /mo · $500/yr
- Insurance
- −$48
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$257
- Net cashflow
- $272
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $28,750
- Closing costs
- $3,450
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4319 W 17th St Little Rock, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 957 | $950 | $0.99 | 43d | 1 | 0.05mi |
| 4304 W 22nd St Little Rock, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 896 | $895 | $1.00 | 43d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 4104 W 15th St Little Rock, AR | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1223 | $1,595 | $1.30 | 43d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 4314 W 14th St Little Rock, AR | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1223 | $1,495 | $1.22 | 23d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 1720 Pinewood Dr Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1382 | $1,180 | $0.85 | 43d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 4721 W 16th St Little Rock, AR | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,195 | $1.09 | 23d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 1320 Adams St Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1026 | $1,025 | $1.00 | 43d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 2305 S Oak St Little Rock, AR | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1223 | $1,525 | $1.25 | 43d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 3715 W 13th St Little Rock, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1176 | $900 | $0.77 | 43d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 2105 S Valentine St Little Rock, AR | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1223 | $1,595 | $1.30 | 14d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 2421 S Oak St Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1092 | $950 | $0.87 | 21d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 2100 Valmar St Little Rock, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1219 | $1,200 | $0.98 | 23d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 1914 S Van Buren St Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1318 | $995 | $0.75 | 23d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 2701 Abigail St Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1098 | $1,195 | $1.09 | 23d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 3401 W 17th St Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1370 | $1,400 | $1.02 | 43d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 1205 Valmar St Little Rock, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,199 | $1.09 | 43d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 1626 S Brown St Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1386 | $995 | $0.72 | 43d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 2220 S Martin St Little Rock, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1143 | $900 | $0.79 | 23d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 2300 S Martin St Little Rock, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 840 | $795 | $0.95 | 23d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 1918 Allis St Little Rock, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 868 | $895 | $1.03 | 14d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 1701 Fair Park Blvd Little Rock, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1170 | $1,050 | $0.90 | 43d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 3214 W 13th St Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1264 | $1,095 | $0.87 | 43d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 1820 Johnson St Little Rock, AR | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1223 | $1,550 | $1.27 | 19d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 3423 Maryland Ave Little Rock, AR | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1223 | $1,595 | $1.30 | 43d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 4816 W 30th St Little Rock, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1217 | $1,150 | $0.94 | 19d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 901 S Harrison St Little Rock, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $980 | $0.98 | 19d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 1822 Booker St Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1076 | $1,195 | $1.11 | 23d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 2609 S Tyler St Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,040 | $0.87 | 43d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 3109 W 11th St Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1055 | $1,295 | $1.23 | 43d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 610 S Maple St Unit A Little Rock, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $825 | $0.97 | 23d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 3204 Maryland Ave Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 1.0 | 921 | $1,095 | $1.19 | 43d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 5005 W 31st St Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1240 | $1,215 | $0.98 | 43d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 2900 W 15th St Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1337 | $950 | $0.71 | 43d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 1809 S Buchanan St Little Rock, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 974 | $850 | $0.87 | 21d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 3615 W Capitol Ave Little Rock, AR | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1410 | $1,550 | $1.10 | 23d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 2803 W Daisy L Gatson Bates Dr Little Rock, AR | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1138 | $1,495 | $1.31 | 43d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 3000 S Tyler St Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1258 | $1,250 | $0.99 | 23d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 3825 W Markham St Little Rock, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,095 | $1.15 | 43d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 3800 W Markham St Little Rock, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1196 | $1,250 | $1.05 | 43d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 100 Linwood Ct Little Rock, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1475 | $1,475 | $1.00 | 14d | 1 | 1.22mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $115,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $115,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $115,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $115,000 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $115,000 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-13statusdays on market $115,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $115,000 Price Change 54 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $115,000 Price Change 53 DOM
-
2026-06-08pricestatusdays on market $115,000 Price Change 52 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $125,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $125,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $125,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $125,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $125,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $125,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-05-06price $125,000 443-char remark
Show marketing remark (443 chars)
Move-in ready and beautifully remodeled! This home features brand-NEW exterior siding and paint, NEW oof, and a NEW tankless water heater for modern efficiency. Inside, you’ll love the open floorplan with all-NEW cabinets, stunning quartz countertops, fresh paint, and durable LVP flooring throughout. Bathrooms are finished with stylish tile, and every detail has been thoughtfully updated. Sparkling clean and ready for its new owner!
-
2026-04-17$130,000 New Listing 443-char remark
Show marketing remark (443 chars)
Move-in ready and beautifully remodeled! This home features brand-NEW exterior siding and paint, NEW oof, and a NEW tankless water heater for modern efficiency. Inside, you’ll love the open floorplan with all-NEW cabinets, stunning quartz countertops, fresh paint, and durable LVP flooring throughout. Bathrooms are finished with stylish tile, and every detail has been thoughtfully updated. Sparkling clean and ready for its new owner!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $500 · $42/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $736 · $61/mo
- Expected delta
- +$236/yr (+$20/mo · 47.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 10% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,659
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,442
- − Property taxes
- −$500
- − Insurance
- −$575
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,173
- − Management
- −$1,173
- − Depreciation
- −$3,345
- Taxable income
- $1,451
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$348
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,920/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Little Rock School District
- NCES district ID
- 0509000
- Math proficiency
- 23% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 26% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,346
- Composite
- 21.0/100
- National rank
- #8457
- State rank
- #183 of 238 in AR
Livability — Little Rock
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #22
- US rank
- #5295
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Little Rock, AR
- County
- Pulaski County · 372,764 people
- City population
- 218,896
- Metro
- Little Rock-North Little Rock-Conway, AR
- Population (ZIP)
- 30,525
- Household income
- $40,882
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1553.0
Population outlook (Pulaski County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 415,378 people
- By 2030
- 423,720 · +2.0%
- By 2040
- 435,182 · +4.8%
- By 2050
- 440,904 · +6.1%
- By 2075
- 445,521 · +7.3%
- By 2100
- 419,173 · +0.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (66%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 66% White 18% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 9%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 9% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Pulaski
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+22.1) · D 59.8% · R 37.7% · Other 2.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +10.6pp toward D · 2008: 11.6pp · 2024: 22.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+22.1 2020: D+22.5 2016: D+17.9 2012: D+11.4 2008: D+11.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -47.17%
- Current HPI
- 172.3977
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.91%
- Metro
- Little Rock-North Little Rock-Conway, AR
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.80%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 1 | $681B |
|
||
| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $53B |
|
||
| Retail / Energy | 1 | $22B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $12B |
|
||
| Energy | 1 | $4B |
|
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Price history
-3.8% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-06 Price Changed $125,000 CARMLS
- 2026-04-17 Listed $130,000 CARMLS
Property tax history
+4.2%/yrLatest (2025): $500 · +41.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…