501 Yearwood Ln Unit 1D · Sonterra, TX
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +11.5/30.0
- 1% rule +4.6/10.0
- DSCR +3.4/10.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.1/5.0
- Schools +2.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$185,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to 501 Yearwood Ln, a home that provides a perfect blend of comfort and style. The property boasts a fenced-in backyard, providing a outdoor space for relaxation and entertainment. Step inside to appreciate the fresh interior paint, which adds a modern touch to the home's ambiance. The partial flooring replacement further enhances the aesthetic appeal of the property, ensuring a contemporary feel throughout. This home at is a true gem, featuring a unique combination of seclusion, style, and comfort. Don't miss out on this opportunity to make this your dream home. Included 100-Day Home Warranty with buyer activation
Key facts
- Fenced-in backyard
- Fresh interior paint
- 6,743 sq ft lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath condo listed at $185k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-127 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $163k (12.1% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $177k (4.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $163k (12.1% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 5.9% vs local median 4.5% in Sonterra — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Jarrell ISD (rural): math 19% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #713 of 826 in TX (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Jarrell El (math 19% / reading 27%, grade F, #3,277 of 4,322 statewide, top 77%, 785 students, 62% FRL); Jarrell Middle (math 21% / reading 29%, grade F, #1,258 of 1,662 statewide, top 77%, 741 students, 64% FRL); Jarrell H S (math 22% / reading 37%, grade F, #1,112 of 1,632 statewide, top 70%, 868 students, 58% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.7%/yr); 773 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 7,543 units permitted in Williamson County in 2024 (1,425 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Williamson County population projected at +69% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 108 days — a 9% lower offer ($168k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $12k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 108 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.96% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.90%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.40%
- DSCR
- 0.94
- GRM
- 8.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $264,877
- List price
- $185,000
- Delta
- -30.16%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -25.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.17×
- Total profit
- $-43,083
- Equity at exit
- $27,584
- IRR
- -38.6%
- Equity multiple
- -0.30×
- Total profit
- $-67,265
- Equity at exit
- $15,995
Cash invested: $51,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 76537
- Home prices YoY
- -14.4%
- Rents YoY
- -1.7%
- Active inventory
- 773
- Price-to-rent
- 8.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,771 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$970
- Tax from tax record
- −$375 /mo · $4,502/yr
- Insurance
- −$77
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$37
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$372
- Net cashflow
- $-127
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-22 | -5% $-75 | +0% $-127 | +5% $-179 | +10% $-232 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-267 | -5% $-197 | +0% $-127 | +5% $-57 | +10% $13 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-34 | -0.5pp $-80 | base $-127 | +0.5pp $-175 | +1.0pp $-224 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $46,250
- Closing costs
- $5,550
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 217 Denson Ln Jarrell, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1466 | $1,595 | $1.09 | 19d | 1 | 0.05mi |
| 676 Yearwood Ln Jarrell, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1339 | $1,539 | $1.15 | 45d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 100 Granville Ct Jarrell, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1428 | $1,700 | $1.19 | 25d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 400 Captain Grumbles Dr Jarrell, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1463 | $1,550 | $1.06 | 25d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 301 Greatest Gift Way Jarrell, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1449 | $1,850 | $1.28 | 45d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 301 Greatest Gift Way Jarrell, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1449 | $1,850 | $1.28 | 19d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 221 Koontz Loop Jarrell, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1546 | $1,750 | $1.13 | 6d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 505 Greatest Gift Way Jarrell, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1391 | $1,600 | $1.15 | 45d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 5033 Cressler Ln Jarrell, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1339 | $1,595 | $1.19 | 6d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 509 Greatest Gift Way Jarrell, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1449 | $1,700 | $1.17 | 19d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 401 Hyacinth Way Jarrell, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1794 | $1,745 | $0.97 | 22d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 213 Ibis Falls Loop Jarrell, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1238 | $1,750 | $1.41 | 6d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 140 Calcite Ln Jarrell, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1401 | $1,650 | $1.18 | 25d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 545 Greatest Gift Way Jarrell, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1449 | $1,650 | $1.14 | 45d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 417 Sapphire Ln Jarrell, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1537 | $1,499 | $0.98 | 25d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 350 Bedford Falls Ln Jarrell, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1688 | $1,925 | $1.14 | 19d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 616 Sonterra Blvd Jarrell, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1704 | $1,750 | $1.03 | 16d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 364 Bell Rings Dr Jarrell, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1638 | $1,650 | $1.01 | 45d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 140 Amber Ln Jarrell, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1584 | $1,749 | $1.10 | 19d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 518 Woodpecker Run Jarrell, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1638 | $1,695 | $1.03 | 45d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 224 Amber Ln Jarrell, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1133 | $1,475 | $1.30 | 22d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 209 Athena Way Jarrell, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1211 | $1,439 | $1.19 | 25d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 145 Miracle Dr Jarrell, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1207 | $1,525 | $1.26 | 6d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 244 Circle Way Jarrell, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1242 | $1,545 | $1.24 | 21d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 1100 Jackson Ln Jarrell, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1839 | $1,745 | $0.95 | 6d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 324 Circle Way Jarrell, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1661 | $1,650 | $0.99 | 12d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 126 Sandstone Dr Unit D Jarrell, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1730 | $1,325 | $0.77 | 4d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 126 Sandstone Dr Unit F Jarrell, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1730 | $1,450 | $0.84 | 25d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 200 Sandstone Dr Unit A Jarrell, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1730 | $1,450 | $0.84 | 25d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| Cressler Ln Jarrell, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1339 | $1,600 | $1.19 | 45d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 212 Sandstone Dr Unit G Jarrell, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1730 | $1,350 | $0.78 | 14d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 600 Shimek St Unit 19A Jarrell, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1357 | $1,650 | $1.22 | 19d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 220 Sandstone Dr Apt E Jarrell, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1730 | $1,550 | $0.90 | 25d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 220 Sandstone Dr Apt E Jarrell, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1730 | $1,595 | $0.92 | 45d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 220 Sandstone Dr Unit C Jarrell, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1730 | $1,500 | $0.87 | 4d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 220 Sandstone Dr Apt A Jarrell, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1470 | $1,450 | $0.99 | 4d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 117 Galaxy Way Jarrell, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1276 | $1,650 | $1.29 | 22d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 873 Circle Way Jarrell, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1450 | $1,650 | $1.14 | 16d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 621 Xanadu Dr Jarrell, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1586 | $1,750 | $1.10 | 6d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 108 Igneous Ln Jarrell, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1534 | $1,800 | $1.17 | 14d | 1 | 0.95mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $37 · $444/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $185,000 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $185,000 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $185,000 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $185,000 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $185,000 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $185,000 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $185,000 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $185,000 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $185,000 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-06-04pricedays on market $185,000 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $190,000 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $190,000 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $190,000 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $190,000 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-04-16price $190,000 631-char remark
Show marketing remark (631 chars)
Welcome to 501 Yearwood Ln, a home that provides a perfect blend of comfort and style. The property boasts a fenced-in backyard, providing a outdoor space for relaxation and entertainment. Step inside to appreciate the fresh interior paint, which adds a modern touch to the home's ambiance. The partial flooring replacement further enhances the aesthetic appeal of the property, ensuring a contemporary feel throughout. This home at is a true gem, featuring a unique combination of seclusion, style, and comfort. Don't miss out on this opportunity to make this your dream home. Included 100-Day Home Warranty with buyer activation
-
2026-03-26price $194,000 631-char remark
Show marketing remark (631 chars)
Welcome to 501 Yearwood Ln, a home that provides a perfect blend of comfort and style. The property boasts a fenced-in backyard, providing a outdoor space for relaxation and entertainment. Step inside to appreciate the fresh interior paint, which adds a modern touch to the home's ambiance. The partial flooring replacement further enhances the aesthetic appeal of the property, ensuring a contemporary feel throughout. This home at is a true gem, featuring a unique combination of seclusion, style, and comfort. Don't miss out on this opportunity to make this your dream home. Included 100-Day Home Warranty with buyer activation
-
2026-03-05$197,000 Active 631-char remark
Show marketing remark (631 chars)
Welcome to 501 Yearwood Ln, a home that provides a perfect blend of comfort and style. The property boasts a fenced-in backyard, providing a outdoor space for relaxation and entertainment. Step inside to appreciate the fresh interior paint, which adds a modern touch to the home's ambiance. The partial flooring replacement further enhances the aesthetic appeal of the property, ensuring a contemporary feel throughout. This home at is a true gem, featuring a unique combination of seclusion, style, and comfort. Don't miss out on this opportunity to make this your dream home. Included 100-Day Home Warranty with buyer activation
-
2026-02-23soldstatus
-
2025-11-08Active
-
2023-10-05status Pending
-
2023-10-04Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $4,502 · $375/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,502 · $375/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,247
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,363
- − Property taxes
- −$4,502
- − Insurance
- −$1,722
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,700
- − Management
- −$1,700
- − HOA
- −$444
- − Depreciation
- −$5,382
- Taxable loss
- −$4,565
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,096
- After-tax cash flow
- $-429/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Jarrell ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4824600
- Math proficiency
- 19% ▼ -18.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 28% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $57,132
- Composite
- 21.47/100
- National rank
- #8335
- State rank
- #713 of 826 in TX
Livability — Sonterra
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Sonterra, TX
- County
- Williamson County · 680,029 people
- City population
- 12,526
- Metro
- Austin-Round Rock-Georgetown, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 16,272
- Household income
- $98,199
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 225.0
Population outlook (Williamson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 699,027 people
- By 2030
- 795,537 · +13.8%
- By 2040
- 990,683 · +41.7%
- By 2050
- 1,184,292 · +69.4%
- By 2075
- 1,623,825 · +132.3%
- By 2100
- 1,924,153 · +175.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 48% Hispanic / Latino 36% Two or more races 14% Black 7% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 30% Puerto Rican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Italian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 13% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 69% English-only · Spanish 26% Chinese 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Williamson
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.0% · R 50.4% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +10.6pp toward D · 2008: -13.0pp · 2024: -2.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+2.5 2020: D+1.4 2016: R+9.9 2012: R+21.5 2008: R+13.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -31.03%
- Current HPI
- 184.8935
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -1.73%
- Metro
- Austin-Round Rock-Georgetown, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
||
Price history
-3.6% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-16 Price Changed $190,000 Unlock MLS
- 2026-03-26 Price Changed $194,000 Unlock MLS
- 2026-03-05 Listed $197,000 Unlock MLS
- 2026-02-23 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2025-11-08 Listed — Unlock MLS
- 2023-10-05 Pending — Unlock MLS
- 2023-10-04 Listed — Unlock MLS
Property tax history
-1.2%/yrLatest (2026): $4,502 · -9.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…