1501 Oakley St · Thibodaux, LA
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.2%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.8/30.0
- ARV discount +12.3/15.0
- DSCR +6.3/10.0
- 1% rule +5.2/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Schools +3.4/10.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.8/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$125,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Very nice home located in a safe, quiet location. Great for small family, students and first time home buyers. Great starter home or rental property. New central a/c and roof was replaced in 2022.
Key facts
- 3,920 sq ft lot
- 2 parking spots
- Built 1965
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $125k. Condition is rated average.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $148 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $125k).
- Recommended offer: $110k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.7% vs local median 3.8% in Thibodaux — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 84/100 on livability (#2 in LA, #723 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, employment F.
- Lafourche Parish (other): math 31% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #22 of 98 in LA (top 22%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.9%/yr); 513 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 319 units permitted in Lafourche Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 228 days — a 12% lower offer ($110k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 228 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.02% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.71%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.06%
- DSCR
- 1.23
- GRM
- 8.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $140,003
- List price
- $125,000
- Delta
- -10.72%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1408 Himalaya Ave | 0.13mi | 2/1.0 | 941 (+6%) | 14mo | $169,000 | $180 | 72 |
| 105 Chenet Ave | 0.28mi | 2/1.0 | 970 (+10%) | 11mo | $125,000 | $129 | 62 |
| 516 Cypress St | 0.66mi | 2/1.0 | 881 (-0%) | 12mo | $123,000 | $140 | 59 |
| 1026 Henderson St | 0.49mi | 2/1.0 | 969 (+10%) | 4mo | $25,120 | $26 | 58 |
| 1831 Badt Ave | 0.37mi | 2/2.0 | 1,013 (+14%) | 5mo | $174,500 | $172 | 50 |
| 615 Pine St | 0.73mi | 2/1.0 | 847 (-4%) | 11mo | $110,000 | $130 | 50 |
| 918 President St | 0.66mi | 2/1.0 | 865 (-2%) | 20mo | $1,400 | $2 | 49 |
| 1000 Caroline St | 0.54mi | 2/1.5 | 975 (+10%) | 11mo | $147,500 | $151 | 46 |
| 752 Tetreau St | 0.73mi | 2/1.0 | 833 (-6%) | 16mo | $118,500 | $142 | 43 |
| 610 Sycamore St | 0.71mi | 2/1.0 | 762 (-14%) | 6mo | $75,000 | $98 | 38 |
| 531 West 8th St | 0.74mi | 2/2.0 | 970 (+10%) | 10mo | $145,000 | $149 | 37 |
| 901 Hickory St | 0.72mi | 2/1.0 | 1,009 (+14%) | 17mo | $155,000 | $154 | 29 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.9% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -8.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.69×
- Total profit
- $-10,963
- Equity at exit
- $18,638
- IRR
- 0.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.06×
- Total profit
- $2,111
- Equity at exit
- $10,808
Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 70301
- Rents YoY
- 2.9%
- Active inventory
- 513
- Price-to-rent
- 8.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,280 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$656
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$156 /mo · $1,875/yr
- Insurance
- −$52
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$269
- Net cashflow
- $148
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $31,250
- Closing costs
- $3,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 8 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1712 Ridgefield Ave Unit A Thibodaux, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,100 | $1.22 | 43d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 1200 Louise St Thibodaux, LA | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0 | 939 | $1,200 | $1.28 | 43d | 6 | 0.59mi |
| 1300 Louise St Thibodaux, LA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 808 | $1,200 | $1.49 | 43d | 2 | 0.60mi |
| 1318 Ledet St Unit 2 Bed/15 Bath Thibodaux, LA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 925 | $1,290 | $1.39 | 43d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 108 Wolfe St Thibodaux, LA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1018 | $1,085 | $1.07 | 43d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 610 Sycamore St Thibodaux, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,100 | $1.38 | 43d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 106 Beham Ct Thibodaux, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,350 | $1.23 | 43d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 2314 Saint Bernard St Thibodaux, LA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 909 | $1,300 | $1.43 | 43d | 1 | 1.18mi |
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-01-14price $125,000 196-char remark
Show marketing remark (196 chars)
Very nice home located in a safe, quiet location. Great for small family, students and first time home buyers. Great starter home or rental property. New central a/c and roof was replaced in 2022.
-
2026-01-14price $125,000 196-char remark
Show marketing remark (196 chars)
Very nice home located in a safe, quiet location. Great for small family, students and first time home buyers. Great starter home or rental property. New central a/c and roof was replaced in 2022.
-
2025-11-29price $127,000 196-char remark
Show marketing remark (196 chars)
Very nice home located in a safe, quiet location. Great for small family, students and first time home buyers. Great starter home or rental property. New central a/c and roof was replaced in 2022.
-
2025-11-12price $127,000 196-char remark
Show marketing remark (196 chars)
Very nice home located in a safe, quiet location. Great for small family, students and first time home buyers. Great starter home or rental property. New central a/c and roof was replaced in 2022.
-
2025-10-13$129,000 Active 196-char remark
Show marketing remark (196 chars)
Very nice home located in a safe, quiet location. Great for small family, students and first time home buyers. Great starter home or rental property. New central a/c and roof was replaced in 2022.
-
2025-10-13$129,000 Active 196-char remark
Show marketing remark (196 chars)
Very nice home located in a safe, quiet location. Great for small family, students and first time home buyers. Great starter home or rental property. New central a/c and roof was replaced in 2022.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X · 20% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,364
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,002
- − Property taxes
- −$1,875
- − Insurance
- −$625
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,229
- − Management
- −$1,229
- − Depreciation
- −$3,636
- Taxable loss
- −$233
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$56
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,827/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 10 photos
This home requires moderate updates to kitchen and bathroom, along with some exterior maintenance. It has a good roof and foundation, making it a good investment opportunity.
Repairs flagged
- Moderate kitchen cabinets — dated and in need of updating
- Moderate kitchen flooring — dated and in need of updating
- Moderate bathroom fixtures — dated and in need of updating
- Moderate exterior siding — moderate wear
Value-add opportunities
- Both update kitchen cabinets and flooring — modernizing kitchen will appeal to buyers and renters
- Both update bathroom fixtures — modernizing bathroom will appeal to buyers and renters
- Both paint interior walls — fresh paint will improve curb appeal and interior aesthetics
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| kitchen cabinets · dated and in need of updating | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| kitchen flooring · dated and in need of updating | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| bathroom fixtures · dated and in need of updating | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| exterior siding · moderate wear | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 4 items | $12,000–60,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both update kitchen cabinets and flooring — modernizing kitchen will appeal to buyers and renters ↑
- Both update bathroom fixtures — modernizing bathroom will appeal to buyers and renters ↑
- Both paint interior walls — fresh paint will improve curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lafourche Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2200900
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -43.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 49% ▼ -32.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,703
- Composite
- 34.4/100
- National rank
- #5205
- State rank
- #22 of 98 in LA
Livability — Thibodaux
- Score
- 84/100
- State rank
- #2
- US rank
- #723
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Thibodaux, LA
- County
- Lafourche Parish · 50,095 people
- City population
- 50,095
- Metro
- Houma-Thibodaux, LA
- Population (ZIP)
- 50,095
- Household income
- $58,394
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1513.0
Population outlook (Lafourche County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 102,122 people
- By 2030
- 103,361 · +1.2%
- By 2040
- 104,401 · +2.2%
- By 2050
- 102,795 · +0.7%
- By 2075
- 95,599 · -6.4%
- By 2100
- 82,303 · -19.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (71%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 71% Black 20% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 5% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 18% Italian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Lafourche
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+62.1) · D 18.4% · R 80.4% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -16.1pp toward R · 2008: -46.0pp · 2024: -62.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+62.1 2020: R+60.3 2016: R+56.5 2012: R+48.5 2008: R+46.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -98.35%
- Current HPI
- 124.5559
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.90%
- Metro
- Houma-Thibodaux, LA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
|
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| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
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| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
-3.1% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-01-14 Price Changed $125,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2026-01-14 Price Changed $125,000 GBRMLS
- 2025-11-29 Price Changed $127,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2025-11-12 Price Changed $127,000 GBRMLS
- 2025-10-13 Listed $129,000 GBRMLS
- 2025-10-13 Listed $129,000 AcadianaMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…