8239 Ridge Dale Ave · Brookridge, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 27 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.1/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +6.4/10.0
- 1% rule +5.5/10.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$159,899
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Large 1984 2 bedroom 2 bath open floor plan with lots of upgrades. New kitchen appliances, large living room with very spacious Florida room all laminate floors. All the furniture stays both bedrooms have walk-in closets. Come enjoy this great golf community in this beautiful home.
Key facts
- 6,000 sq ft lot
- 2 parking spots
- Built 1984
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Furnished; Third-party listing; Property type: Residential (Manufactured Home); Body type: Double Wide
- Financial info: Total monthly fees $55; total annual fees $660; Lease restrictions apply
- HOA & community: Has HOA (monthly fee $55); Association approval required; Association name: Arlene Ahrens; Community clubhouse; Deed restrictions; Golf carts allowed; Senior community; Pets allowed with breed restrictions
Exterior
- Parking: Carport with 2 spaces
- Utilities: Electricity available; Public sewer; Water available (water source listed as none)
- Home design: Manufactured double wide home; Single-story; Faces east
- Construction: Metal frame construction; Metal roof; Slab/other foundation; Built as a manufactured home
- Exterior features: Asphalt road access; Lot dimensions approximately 60 x 100; Lot about 0.14 acres (0 to less than 1/4 acre)
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Flooring: Other flooring
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Eat-in kitchen; Living room/dining room combo; Open floorplan; 4 total rooms
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room; Outside laundry access
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $160k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $200 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $160k).
- Recommended offer: $155k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.8% vs local median 6.3% in Brookridge — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#421 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: employment C-, health & safety C-, schools F.
- Hernando (suburban): math 50% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #38 of 73 in FL (top 52%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 691 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,505 units permitted in Hernando County in 2024 (318 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($59k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Hernando County population projected at +11% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 50 days — a 3% lower offer ($155k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $91k; list at $160k implies a 76% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→27/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 50 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.05% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.79%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.36%
- DSCR
- 1.24
- GRM
- 7.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $209,670
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14232 Rialto Ave | 0.26mi | 2/2.0 | 1,448 (+0%) | 3mo | $164,000 | $113 | 86 |
| 14279 Midmoor Blvd | 0.20mi | 2/2.0 | 1,512 (+5%) | 3mo | $250,000 | $165 | 81 |
| 8305 Weatherford Ave | 0.09mi | 2/2.0 | 1,314 (-9%) | 1mo | $193,000 | $147 | 80 |
| 8399 Fleetway Ave | 0.37mi | 2/2.0 | 1,431 (-1%) | 3mo | $215,000 | $150 | 79 |
| 14221 Midmoor Blvd | 0.22mi | 2/2.0 | 1,550 (+7%) | 1mo | $198,000 | $128 | 77 |
| 8271 Modena Ave | 0.08mi | 2/2.0 | 1,265 (-12%) | 0mo | $107,000 | $85 | 75 |
| 14298 Action St | 0.68mi | 2/2.0 | 1,448 (+0%) | 2mo | $210,000 | $145 | 67 |
| 14761 Rialto Ave | 0.52mi | 2/2.0 | 1,512 (+5%) | 2mo | $181,000 | $120 | 66 |
| 7408 Morelli Ave | 0.65mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,485 (+3%) | 3mo | $192,500 | $130 | 58 |
| 7472 Moriah Ave | 0.56mi | 2/2.0 | 1,288 (-11%) | 1mo | $158,000 | $123 | 55 |
| 14311 Action St | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,369 (-5%) | 1mo | $230,000 | $168 | 52 |
| 14563 Brookridge Blvd | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,344 (-7%) | 2mo | $224,000 | $167 | 47 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -8.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.71×
- Total profit
- $-13,129
- Equity at exit
- $23,841
- IRR
- 1.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.11×
- Total profit
- $5,133
- Equity at exit
- $13,825
Cash invested: $44,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34613
- Home prices YoY
- -17.2%
- Active inventory
- 691
- Price-to-rent
- 7.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,680 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$839
- Tax from tax record
- −$167 /mo · $2,002/yr
- Insurance
- −$67
- HOA
- −$55
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$353
- Net cashflow
- $200
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $39,975
- Closing costs
- $4,797
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 12 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8407 Weatherford Ave Brooksville, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1104 | $1,500 | $1.36 | 17d | 1 | 0.08mi |
| 9356 Southern Charm Cir Brooksville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1621 | $1,800 | $1.11 | 24d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 14131 Lemon Yellow Tree Ln Brooksville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1840 | $1,979 | $1.08 | 5d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 14342 Starcross St Brooksville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,025 | $1.14 | 21d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 8917 Southern Charm Cir Brooksville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1437 | $1,695 | $1.18 | 3d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 8871 Southern Charm Cir Brooksville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1482 | $2,050 | $1.38 | 24d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 9919 Scepter Ave Brooksville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1188 | $1,250 | $1.05 | 5d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 14697 Brookridge Blvd Brooksville, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1056 | $1,350 | $1.28 | 24d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 8761 Fetterbush Ct Brooksville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1730 | $1,850 | $1.07 | 24d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 9289 Scepter Ave Brooksville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1512 | $1,400 | $0.93 | 5d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 7124 Barclay Ave Unit A Spring Hill, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 927 | $1,500 | $1.62 | 24d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 14360 Barley Grass Rd Spring Hill, FL | 3.0–5.0 | 2.0–3.0 | 1975 | $2,195 | $1.11 | 1d | 19 | 1.35mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $55 · $660/yr
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-06-18price $159,899 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $159,900 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $159,900 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $159,900 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $159,900 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $159,900 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $159,900 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $159,900 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $159,900 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $159,900 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $159,900 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $159,900 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $159,900 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $159,900 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $159,900 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-04-29$159,900 Active
-
2018-11-27soldstatus $91,000
-
2016-08-22soldstatus $68,000
-
2016-08-19soldstatus $68,000 282-char remark
Show marketing remark (282 chars)
Large 1984 2 bedroom 2 bath open floor plan with lots of upgrades. New kitchen appliances, large living room with very spacious Florida room all laminate floors. All the furniture stays both bedrooms have walk-in closets. Come enjoy this great golf community in this beautiful home.
-
2016-08-19soldstatus $68,000 282-char remark
Show marketing remark (282 chars)
Large 1984 2 bedroom 2 bath open floor plan with lots of upgrades. New kitchen appliances, large living room with very spacious Florida room all laminate floors. All the furniture stays both bedrooms have walk-in closets. Come enjoy this great golf community in this beautiful home.
-
2016-03-17$80,000 282-char remark
Show marketing remark (282 chars)
Large 1984 2 bedroom 2 bath open floor plan with lots of upgrades. New kitchen appliances, large living room with very spacious Florida room all laminate floors. All the furniture stays both bedrooms have walk-in closets. Come enjoy this great golf community in this beautiful home.
-
2016-03-17$80,000 282-char remark
Show marketing remark (282 chars)
Large 1984 2 bedroom 2 bath open floor plan with lots of upgrades. New kitchen appliances, large living room with very spacious Florida room all laminate floors. All the furniture stays both bedrooms have walk-in closets. Come enjoy this great golf community in this beautiful home.
-
2016-03-16historical
-
2015-12-02$78,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,002 · $167/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,002 · $167/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 27 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,158
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,957
- − Property taxes
- −$2,002
- − Insurance
- −$799
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,613
- − Management
- −$1,613
- − HOA
- −$660
- − Depreciation
- −$4,652
- Taxable loss
- −$137
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$33
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,434/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hernando
- NCES district ID
- 1200810
- Math proficiency
- 50% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,985
- Composite
- 42.03/100
- National rank
- #3329
- State rank
- #38 of 73 in FL
Livability — Brookridge
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #421
- US rank
- #7529
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Brookridge, FL
- County
- Hernando County · 169,677 people
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 19,337
- Household income
- $58,596
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 307.0
Population outlook (Hernando County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 189,218 people
- By 2030
- 194,367 · +2.7%
- By 2040
- 203,398 · +7.5%
- By 2050
- 209,589 · +10.8%
- By 2075
- 218,452 · +15.4%
- By 2100
- 205,923 · +8.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (88%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 88% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 4% Black 2% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Hernando
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+37.0) · D 31.1% · R 68.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -33.5pp toward R · 2008: -3.6pp · 2024: -37.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+37.0 2020: R+30.2 2016: R+29.0 2012: R+8.5 2008: R+3.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -57.51%
- Current HPI
- 276.2229
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
||
Price history
+105.0% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-29 Listed $159,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-11-27 Sold (Public Records) $91,000 Public Records
- 2016-08-22 Sold (Public Records) $68,000 Public Records
- 2016-08-19 Sold (MLS) $68,000 St. Augustine and St. Johns County Board of REALTORS®
- 2016-08-19 Sold (MLS) $68,000 HCAR
- 2016-03-17 Listed $80,000 St. Augustine and St. Johns County Board of REALTORS®
- 2016-03-17 Listed $80,000 HCAR
- 2016-03-16 Listing Removed — HCAR
- 2015-12-02 Listed $78,000 HCAR
Property tax history
+18.6%/yrLatest (2025): $2,002 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…