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4320 Hidden Farm Dr 🏗️ New Construction
D Composite 44.19
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +14.2/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +4.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.0/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Schools +3.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$350,000

4320 Hidden Farm Dr · Plant City, FL 33565
5 bd · 3.0 ba · 2,077 sqft · SingleFamily · 55 Days on market
Built 2026 Good condition 5,698 sqft lot 2-car garage $9/mo HOA ↓ 7% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

The property is located at 4320 Hidden Farm Drive PLANT CITY FL 33565 priced at 349990, the square foot and stories are 2077, 1.The number of bath is 3, halfbath is 0 there are 5 bedrooms and 2 garages. For more details please, call or email.

Key facts

  • Prime location
  • 5,698 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots

Tags

EASY ACCESS TO INTERSTATEPRIME LOCATIONEQUIPPED SMART HOME SYSTEM

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Costco Walmart Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 6.0 mi
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🏗️ New construction. The $350,000 list price is a builder figure, so every metric below is computed on the value from comparable previous sales — $365,217.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 5-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $350k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $60 ($715/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $328k (6.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $328k (6.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 4.3% in Plant City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#227 in FL, #3,587 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, commute F.
  • Hillsborough (suburban): math 47% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #41 of 73 in FL (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Knights Elementary School (math 52% / reading 45%, grade D, #1,152 of 2,144 statewide, top 55%, 623 students, 70% FRL); Marshall Middle Magnet School (math 28% / reading 31%, grade F, #469 of 571 statewide, top 84%, 1,089 students, 69% FRL); Plant City High School (math 38% / reading 40%, grade F, #312 of 667 statewide, top 48%, 2,474 students, 58% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 426 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 74d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 9,053 units permitted in Hillsborough County in 2024 (4,555 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $3,282/mo this rent would consume 54% of the median local household income ($73k/yr) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $11k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Hillsborough County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 55 days — a 3% lower offer ($340k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $328,169 (6.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 55 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.90%
Cap rate
6.49%
Cash-on-cash
0.70%
DSCR
1.03
GRM
9.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$365,217
List price
$350,000
Delta
-4.17%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
14 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3415 Amber Waves Dr 0.39mi 5/3.0 2,077 (0%) 6mo $374,990 $181 77
3428 Amber Waves Dr 0.33mi 4/2.5 (-1) 2,045 (-2%) 0mo $379,380 $186 75
3512 Rosewood Ramble Ct 0.20mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,828 (-12%) 4mo $357,990 $196 58
3509 Melody Gardens Pl 0.28mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,828 (-12%) 2mo $361,245 $198 56
3413 Grassy Knol Ct 0.48mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,828 (-12%) 21mo $349,990 $191 31
3436 Ivy Hollow Dr 0.65mi 4/2.5 (-1) 2,305 (+11%) 20mo $345,990 $150 28
3410 Ivy Hollow Dr 0.69mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,828 (-12%) 22mo $344,990 $189 20

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-15.2%
Equity multiple
0.46×
Total profit
$-55,330
Equity at exit
$54,455
10-year hold
IRR
-6.6%
Equity multiple
0.58×
Total profit
$-43,068
Equity at exit
$31,577

Cash invested: $102,261 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.
Buyer's market Market conditions within 1.0 mi — comparable homes for sale

Active competition Active MLS

For sale now
22 active · 18 under contract
Months of supply
26.4 mo (4%/mo absorbed)
Median asking
$380,000 ($178/sqft)
Median days on market
55 d
This list price
14% of active listings are priced below it
ARV vs active asking
-1.3% vs current asking $/sqft

Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.

ZIP-level market 33565

Home prices YoY
-24.7%
Active inventory
426
Price-to-rent
8.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,282 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,915
Tax est. 1.5%
$457 /mo · $5,478/yr
Insurance
$152
HOA
$9
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$689
Net cashflow
$60

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,206
Max offer price $365,217
Occupancy floor 93%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $312 -5% $186 +0% $60 +5% $-67 +10% $-193
Rent -10% $-200 -5% $-70 +0% $60 +5% $189 +10% $319
Rate -1.0pp $244 -0.5pp $152 base $60 +0.5pp $-35 +1.0pp $-131

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$91,304
Closing costs
$10,957
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3827 Sunny Spring St Plant City, FL 4.0 3.0 2756 $3,150 $1.14 73d 1 0.66mi
3440 Ivy Hollow Dr Plant City, FL 5.0 3.0 2605 $2,750 $1.06 73d 1 0.67mi
3809 Sunny Spring St Plant City, FL 5.0 3.0 2964 $2,800 $0.94 73d 1 0.72mi

Property features AI

Finance

Other
CDD applicableHome warranty included
HOA & community
Community managed by WrathellMonthly HOA fee $9 (required); association approval requiredCommunity amenities: clubhouse, fitness center, playground, pool, basketball courtPets allowed with breed restrictions

Exterior

Parking
Attached 2-car garage
Utilities
Public waterPublic sewerUnderground utilities
Home design
Single-family residenceOne storyUnder construction, projected completion October 30, 2026Faces northwest
Construction
Block and stucco constructionShingle roofSlab foundationNew construction by D.R. Horton (model: Lakeside)
Exterior features
Sliding doorsPaved road access

Interior

Kitchen
DishwasherMicrowaveRangeRefrigerator
Bedrooms
5 bedrooms
Flooring
Carpet
Bathrooms
3 full bathrooms
Heating & cooling
Central heatingCentral air conditioning
Interior features
Open floorplanBlindsDouble-pane windows
Laundry & utility
Dedicated laundry roomWasherDryer

Listing history 46 events

  1. 2026-08-08
    days on market $350,000 Active 55 DOM
  2. 2026-08-07
    price $350,000 Active 53 DOM
  3. 2026-08-06
    days on market $349,990 Active 53 DOM
  4. 2026-08-05
    days on market $349,990 Active 52 DOM
  5. 2026-08-04
    days on market $349,990 Active 51 DOM
  6. 2026-08-03
    days on market $349,990 Active 50 DOM
  7. 2026-07-31
    days on market $349,990 Active 47 DOM
  8. 2026-07-30
    days on market $349,990 Active 45 DOM
  9. 2026-07-28
    days on market $349,990 Active 44 DOM
  10. 2026-07-26
    days on market $349,990 Active 42 DOM
  11. 2026-07-24
    days on market $349,990 Active 40 DOM
  12. 2026-07-23
    days on market $349,990 Active 39 DOM
  13. 2026-07-22
    days on market $349,990 Active 38 DOM
  14. 2026-07-21
    days on market $349,990 Active 37 DOM
  15. 2026-07-20
    days on market $349,990 Active 36 DOM
  16. 2026-07-18
    days on market $349,990 Active 34 DOM
  17. 2026-07-18
    pricedays on market $349,990 Active 33 DOM
  18. 2026-07-16
    days on market $357,990 Active 32 DOM
  19. 2026-07-15
    days on market $357,990 Active 31 DOM
    Show marketing remark (242 chars)

    The property is located at 4320 Hidden Farm Drive PLANT CITY FL 33565 priced at 349990, the square foot and stories are 2077, 1.The number of bath is 3, halfbath is 0 there are 5 bedrooms and 2 garages. For more details please, call or email.

  20. 2026-07-14
    days on market $357,990 Active 30 DOM
  21. 2026-07-13
    days on market $357,990 Active 29 DOM
  22. 2026-07-13
    days on market $357,990 Active 28 DOM
  23. 2026-07-11
    days on market $357,990 Active 27 DOM
  24. 2026-07-10
    days on market $357,990 Active 26 DOM
  25. 2026-07-09
    days on market $357,990 Active 25 DOM
  26. 2026-07-07
    days on market $357,990 Active 23 DOM
  27. 2026-07-06
    days on market $357,990 Active 22 DOM
  28. 2026-07-06
    days on market $357,990 Active 21 DOM
  29. 2026-07-05
    days on market $357,990 Active 20 DOM
  30. 2026-07-03
    days on market $357,990 Active 19 DOM
  31. 2026-07-02
    days on market $357,990 Active 18 DOM
  32. 2026-07-01
    days on market $357,990 Active 17 DOM
  33. 2026-06-30
    days on market $357,990 Active 16 DOM
  34. 2026-06-29
    days on market $357,990 Active 15 DOM
  35. 2026-06-28
    days on market $357,990 Active 14 DOM
  36. 2026-06-27
    days on market $357,990 Active 13 DOM
  37. 2026-06-26
    days on market $357,990 Active 12 DOM
  38. 2026-06-24
    days on market $357,990 Active 10 DOM
  39. 2026-06-22
    days on market $357,990 Active 8 DOM
  40. 2026-06-21
    days on market $357,990 Active 7 DOM
  41. 2026-06-18
    days on market $357,990 Active 4 DOM
  42. 2026-06-17
    price $357,990 Active 3 DOM
  43. 2026-06-17
    days on market $377,990 Active 3 DOM
  44. 2026-06-16
    days on market $377,990 Active 2 DOM
  45. 2026-06-15
    remarks 699-char remark
  46. 2026-06-15
    listed $377,990 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$39,380
− Mortgage interest
−$20,458
− Property taxes
−$5,478
− Insurance
−$1,826
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,150
− Management
−$3,150
− HOA
−$108
− Depreciation
−$10,624
Taxable loss
−$5,415
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,300
After-tax cash flow
$2,015/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 80/100 None rehab

This single-family home is in excellent condition with modern finishes and a prime location. It is virtually staged and ready for move-in.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Landscaping and curb appeal improvements — Enhances the home's curb appeal and can attract more buyers or renters.
  • Both Add a smart home system — Improves convenience and energy efficiency, appealing to tech-savvy buyers and renters.
F Composite school gradezoned avg 39/100

Zoned Schools

Elementary Knights Elementary School D FL #1,152/2,144 Nat'l #14,081/41,679 Middle Marshall Middle Magnet School F FL #469/571 Nat'l #9,020/14,009 High Plant City High School F FL #312/667 Nat'l #8,724/17,239

Schools (NCES district)

District
Hillsborough
NCES district ID
1200870
Math proficiency
47% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$50,622
Composite
41.6/100
National rank
#3435
State rank
#41 of 73 in FL
B Composite livability gradescore 76/100

Livability — Plant City

Score
76/100
State rank
#227
US rank
#3587

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C+ Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Plant City, FL
County
Hillsborough County · 1,607,022 people
City population
68,525
Metro
Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
Population (ZIP)
18,108
Household income
$73,414
Rent vs Own
9.1% rent · 90.9% own
Severe rent burden
7% of renters

Population outlook (Hillsborough County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,607,022 people
By 2030
1,733,968 · +7.9%
By 2040
1,979,565 · +23.2%
By 2050
2,203,427 · +37.1%
By 2075
2,667,893 · +66.0%
By 2100
2,891,558 · +79.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (71%)
Race & ethnicity
White 71% Hispanic / Latino 23% Two or more races 14% Black 2% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 16% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Slovak 1% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
10% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
80% English-only · Spanish 19%

Political lean MEDSL · Hillsborough

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 47.8% · R 50.9% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
-10.2pp toward R · 2008: 7.1pp · 2024: -3.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+3.1 2020: D+6.9 2016: D+6.8 2012: D+6.7 2008: D+7.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Price history

-7.4% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-07-15 Price Changed $349,990 Zillow
  • 2026-06-19 Listed $357,990 Zillow
  • 2026-06-17 Price Changed $357,990 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-06-14 Listed $377,990 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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