304 Wampler Br · Greenup, KY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $839 – $1,559
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- Cash flow +9.7/30.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- DSCR +2.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.4/10.0
- 1% rule +1.9/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
$179,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Being sold as is. Geo Dome House with 8 acres +/- Det. 2 car garage. Great floor plan with 3 bedrooms 1 and 1/2 bath. Good size Eat in Kitchen and large living room.
Key facts
- Dome house
- Garage
- Listed 13 days
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached 1-car garage
- Utilities: Public water; Septic tank
- Home design: Single-family residence; Single-story
- Construction: Block foundation; Block and wood siding construction; Composition roof; Built with finished space both above and below grade
- Exterior features: Front porch; Wooded, rolling lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Total of 5 rooms (includes bedrooms and living spaces)
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating
- Interior features: Master bedroom on the main level; Walk-out basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $179k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-117 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $158k (11.6% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $123k (31.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $123k (31.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#192 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Greenup County (suburban): math 23% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #118 of 165 in KY (top 72%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Argillite Elementary School (math 22% / reading 32%, grade F, #434 of 676 statewide, top 69%, 205 students, 73% FRL); Wurtland Middle School (math 20% / reading 38%, grade F, #156 of 217 statewide, top 74%, 250 students, 74% FRL); Greenup County High School (math 30% / reading 30%, grade F, #122 of 254 statewide, top 49%, 849 students, 62% FRL) — zoned schools average 70% FRL vs 52% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 36 active listings in the ZIP; 20 units permitted in Greenup County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $19k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $18k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Greenup County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $52k; list at $179k implies a 244% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.69% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.51%
- Cash-on-cash
- -2.81%
- DSCR
- 0.87
- GRM
- 12.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $139,896
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 120 A&a Drive Dr | 0.47mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 1,971 (-6%) | 23mo | $132,900 | $67 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 22.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.79×
- Total profit
- $89,934
- Equity at exit
- $161,257
- IRR
- 20.0%
- Equity multiple
- 6.40×
- Total profit
- $270,577
- Equity at exit
- $347,758
Cash invested: $50,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kentucky
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 41144
- Home prices YoY
- 8.4%
- Active inventory
- 36
- Price-to-rent
- 12.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,227 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$939
- Tax from tax record
- −$74 /mo · $886/yr
- Insurance
- −$75
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$258
- Net cashflow
- $-117
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-16 | -5% $-67 | +0% $-117 | +5% $-168 | +10% $-219 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-214 | -5% $-166 | +0% $-117 | +5% $-69 | +10% $-20 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-27 | -0.5pp $-72 | base $-117 | +0.5pp $-164 | +1.0pp $-211 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $44,750
- Closing costs
- $5,370
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 11 events
-
2026-06-22days on market $179,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $179,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $179,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $179,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $179,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $179,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $179,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $179,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $179,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-09remarks 221-char remark
-
2026-06-09$179,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast KY · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $886 · $74/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,539 · $128/mo
- Expected delta
- +$653/yr (+$54/mo · 73.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,729
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,027
- − Property taxes
- −$886
- − Insurance
- −$895
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,178
- − Management
- −$1,178
- − Depreciation
- −$5,207
- Taxable loss
- −$4,643
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,114
- After-tax cash flow
- $-295/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Greenup County
- NCES district ID
- 2102400
- Math proficiency
- 23% ▼ -19.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▼ -18.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,526
- Composite
- 24.33/100
- National rank
- #7702
- State rank
- #118 of 165 in KY
Livability — Greenup
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #192
- US rank
- #9586
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Greenup · 24,497 people
- Metro
- Huntington-Ashland, WV-KY-OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 8,457
- Household income
- $57,782
- Rent vs Own
Population outlook (Greenup County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 34,374 people
- By 2030
- 33,145 · -3.6%
- By 2040
- 30,407 · -11.5%
- By 2050
- 27,702 · -19.4%
- By 2075
- 21,970 · -36.1%
- By 2100
- 16,670 · -51.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (96%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 96% Two or more races 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Italian 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 0%
Political lean MEDSL · Greenup
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+50.5) · D 24.1% · R 74.6% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -36.4pp toward R · 2008: -14.1pp · 2024: -50.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+50.5 2020: R+45.1 2016: R+45.5 2012: R+18.6 2008: R+14.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 17.56%
- Current HPI
- 225.77
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.81%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $118B |
|
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| Food / Beverage | 1 | $7B |
|
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Price history
+198.8% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-08 Listed $179,000 AABOR
- 2021-05-24 Sold (Public Records) $52,000 Public Records
- 2021-05-21 Sold (MLS) $52,000 AABOR
- 2021-04-16 Sold (MLS) $52,000 HBRMLS
- 2021-03-18 Listed $59,900 HBRMLS
- 2021-03-18 Listed $59,900 AABOR
Property tax history
-1.9%/yrLatest (2025): $886 · +6.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…