5427 Olive St · Kansas City, MO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.7/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +3.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.5/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$80,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
investment or homeowner opportunity. Was previously a rental.
Key facts
- 4,356 sq ft lot
- Built 1925
- Listed 103 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $80k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $312 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
- Recommended offer: $73k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.0% vs local median 3.9% in Kansas City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#28 in MO, #2,671 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools C-, crime F.
- Kansas City 33 (urban): math 12% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #308 of 324 in MO (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.4%/yr); 187 active listings in the ZIP; 22 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 4,002 units permitted in Jackson County in 2024 (2,271 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $553 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Jackson County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.4% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 103 days — a 9% lower offer ($73k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 21y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 103 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.27% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.97%
- Cash-on-cash
- 16.72%
- DSCR
- 1.74
- GRM
- 6.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $113,157
- List price
- $80,000
- Delta
- -29.30%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5216 Wabash Ave | 0.25mi | 2/1.5 (+1) | 760 (+3%) | 8mo | $77,000 | $101 | 70 |
| 5132 Wabash Ave | 0.36mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 783 (+6%) | 2mo | $139,000 | $178 | 66 |
| 5623 Brooklyn Ave | 0.28mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 802 (+9%) | 2mo | $55,000 | $69 | 66 |
| 5424 College Ave | 0.55mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 744 (+1%) | 3mo | $70,000 | $94 | 66 |
| 5416 College Ave | 0.56mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 744 (+1%) | 10mo | $109,900 | $148 | 59 |
| 5420 College Ave | 0.55mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 744 (+1%) | 11mo | $105,500 | $142 | 59 |
| 5030 Walrond Ave | 0.68mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 770 (+4%) | 2mo | $64,900 | $84 | 55 |
| 3313 E 55th St | 0.59mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 704 (-5%) | 17mo | $49,900 | $71 | 46 |
| 5046 Michigan Ave | 0.57mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 800 (+8%) | 12mo | $125,000 | $156 | 44 |
| 4909 S Benton Ave | 0.73mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 821 (+11%) | 5mo | $75,000 | $91 | 38 |
| 2106 E 59th St | 0.57mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 641 (-13%) | 12mo | $52,500 | $82 | 36 |
| 3019 E 51st St | 0.59mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 848 (+15%) | 15mo | $30,000 | $35 | 30 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.42% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 9.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.37×
- Total profit
- $8,370
- Equity at exit
- $11,928
- IRR
- 19.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.74×
- Total profit
- $39,037
- Equity at exit
- $6,917
Cash invested: $22,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 64130
- Home prices YoY
- -21.5%
- Rents YoY
- 4.4%
- Active inventory
- 187
- Price-to-rent
- 6.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,019 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$420
- Tax from tax record
- −$40 /mo · $485/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$214
- Net cashflow
- $312
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $20,000
- Closing costs
- $2,400
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 22 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5713 Brooklyn Ave Kansas City, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,200 | $2.00 | 8d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 5702 Euclid Ave Kansas City, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 683 | $1,000 | $1.46 | 44d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 2512 E 59th St Kansas City, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,150 | $1.53 | 44d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 2205 E 59th St Kansas City, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 724 | $1,025 | $1.42 | 16d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 3017 E 51st St Kansas City, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 621 | $1,303 | $2.10 | 8d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 3315 E 52nd St Kansas City, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 662 | $1,125 | $1.70 | 24d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 1702 Bushman Dr Kansas City, MO | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 895 | $865 | $0.97 | 44d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 1410 E 49th St Kansas City, MO | 1.0 | 1.0 | 518 | $873 | $1.69 | 44d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 4838 The Paseo Kansas City, MO | 1.0 | 1.0 | 518 | $827 | $1.60 | 44d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 4840 The Paseo Kansas City, MO | 1.0 | 1.0 | 518 | $827 | $1.60 | 44d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 4818 The Paseo Unit 3S Kansas City, MO | 1.0 | 1.0 | 526 | $895 | $1.70 | 24d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 4818 The Paseo Unit 2N Kansas City, MO | 1.0 | 1.0 | 526 | $945 | $1.80 | 16d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 4818 The Paseo Unit 2N Kansas City, MO | 1.0 | 1.0 | 526 | $995 | $1.89 | 24d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 4832 The Paseo Kansas City, MO | 1.0 | 1.0 | 518 | $873 | $1.69 | 44d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 4818 Paseo Blvd Kansas City, MO | 1.0 | 1.0 | 526 | $945 | $1.80 | 3d | 8 | 1.02mi |
| 4818 Paseo Blvd Kansas City, MO | 1.0 | 1.0 | 526 | $945 | $1.80 | 11d | 10 | 1.02mi |
| 4818 Paseo Blvd Unit 1W Kansas City, MO | 1.0 | 1.0 | 526 | $945 | $1.80 | 24d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 4818 Paseo Blvd Kansas City, MO | 1.0 | 1.0 | 518 | $850 | $1.64 | 44d | 9 | 1.02mi |
| 1320 E 49th St Kansas City, MO | 1.0 | 1.0 | 550 | $1,000 | $1.82 | 3d | 2 | 1.03mi |
| 4820 The Paseo Kansas City, MO | 1.0 | 1.0 | 518 | $873 | $1.69 | 44d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 4828 The Paseo Kansas City, MO | 1.0 | 1.0 | 518 | $827 | $1.60 | 44d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 1500 E 46th St Kansas City, MO | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0 | 803 | $825 | $1.03 | 44d | 1 | 1.24mi |
Listing history 25 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $80,000 Active 103 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $80,000 Active 102 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $80,000 Active 101 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $80,000 Active 100 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $80,000 Active 98 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $80,000 Active 94 DOM
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2026-06-08pricedays on market $80,000 Active 93 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $85,000 Active 92 DOM
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2026-06-05days on market $85,000 Active 89 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $85,000 Active 88 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $85,000 Active 87 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $85,000 Active 86 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $85,000 Active 85 DOM
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2026-03-07$85,000 Active 61-char remark
Show marketing remark (61 chars)
investment or homeowner opportunity. Was previously a rental.
-
2020-11-19soldstatus
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2020-11-19soldstatus
-
2020-11-19soldstatus
-
2008-04-24soldstatus 283-char remark
Show marketing remark (283 chars)
Bank Owned Property Sold in As-Is Condition. No warranties, disclosures provided by Seller. Proof of funds/ Pre-Approval MUST accompany all offers. Seller hours M-F, 9-5. Please allow 24-72 hours for verbal response from Seller. Addendums apply, BUT not necessary to submit an offer.
-
2008-03-28$9,900 283-char remark
Show marketing remark (283 chars)
Bank Owned Property Sold in As-Is Condition. No warranties, disclosures provided by Seller. Proof of funds/ Pre-Approval MUST accompany all offers. Seller hours M-F, 9-5. Please allow 24-72 hours for verbal response from Seller. Addendums apply, BUT not necessary to submit an offer.
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2005-11-01soldstatus
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2005-10-28soldstatus
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2005-06-16$52,500
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2004-06-28soldstatus
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2001-01-11soldstatus
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1987-04-04soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $485 · $40/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $776 · $65/mo
- Expected delta
- +$291/yr (+$24/mo · 60.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,233
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,481
- − Property taxes
- −$485
- − Insurance
- −$400
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$979
- − Management
- −$979
- − Depreciation
- −$2,327
- Taxable income
- $2,583
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$620
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,125/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Kansas City 33
- NCES district ID
- 2916400
- Math proficiency
- 12% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,227
- Composite
- 14.8/100
- National rank
- #9387
- State rank
- #308 of 324 in MO
Livability — Kansas City
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #28
- US rank
- #2671
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Kansas City, MO
- County
- Jackson County · 687,798 people
- City population
- 439,467
- Metro
- Kansas City, MO-KS
- Population (ZIP)
- 19,644
- Household income
- $42,221
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1132.0
Population outlook (Jackson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 719,589 people
- By 2030
- 731,456 · +1.6%
- By 2040
- 746,689 · +3.8%
- By 2050
- 749,289 · +4.1%
- By 2075
- 736,227 · +2.3%
- By 2100
- 668,210 · -7.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (80%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 80% White 9% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1% Swedish 0%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 7%
Political lean MEDSL · Jackson
- 2024 margin
- D (+19.3) · D 58.9% · R 39.5% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -6.1pp toward R · 2008: 25.4pp · 2024: 19.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+19.3 2020: D+22.0 2016: D+16.6 2012: D+19.0 2008: D+25.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -73.32%
- Current HPI
- 267.491
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.42%
- Metro
- Kansas City, MO-KS
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
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| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
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| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $16B |
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
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Price history
+61.9% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-07 Listed $85,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-11-19 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2020-11-19 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2020-11-19 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2008-04-24 Sold (MLS) — Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2008-03-28 Listed $9,900 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2005-11-01 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2005-10-28 Sold (MLS) — Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2005-06-16 Listed $52,500 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2004-06-28 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2001-01-11 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1987-04-04 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+4.8%/yrLatest (2025): $485 · -47.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…