4203 Paradis Ln · Kenner, LA
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- —
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- —
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +13.1/30.0
- ARV discount +7.6/15.0
- 1% rule +4.8/10.0
- DSCR +3.9/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Schools +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +1.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$162,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome home to this cozy and inviting townhome overlooking the community pool. Step inside to a warm, comfortable living space featuring a wood-burning fireplace, perfect for relaxing evenings and adding timeless charm. The pool view creates a peaceful backdrop you can enjoy year-round. Ideal for everyday living or weekend retreats, this townhome blends comfort, character, and convenience in a setting you’ll love coming home to.
Key facts
- Pool view
- $250 HOA
- 2 parking spots
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $162k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-7 ($-86/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $161k (0.8% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $159k (1.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $143k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#6 in LA, #2,414 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, employment C-, crime D.
- Jefferson Parish (suburban): math 24% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #44 of 98 in LA (top 45%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents falling (-4.2%/yr); 292 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 42% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 518 units permitted in Jefferson Parish in 2024 (43 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 131 days — a 12% lower offer ($143k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts since 15y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $129k; 26% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 131 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.98% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.24%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.19%
- DSCR
- 0.99
- GRM
- 8.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $162,536
- List price
- $162,000
- Delta
- -0.33%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1012 Saint Julien Dr Unit F4 | 0.05mi | 2/2.5 | 1,271 (-9%) | 2mo | $155,000 | $122 | 81 |
| 4129 Chateau Blvd Unit C | 0.26mi | 2/1.5 | 1,400 (0%) | 4mo | $112,000 | $80 | 80 |
| 1012 St Julien Dr Unit B4 | 0.06mi | 2/2.5 | 1,265 (-10%) | 4mo | $162,500 | $128 | 78 |
| 1004 St. Julien Dr Unit A | 0.02mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,461 (+4%) | 12mo | $147,300 | $101 | 77 |
| 901 Joe Yenni Blvd Unit B4 | 0.11mi | 2/2.0 | 1,201 (-14%) | 2mo | $109,700 | $91 | 67 |
| 4124 Loire Dr Unit B | 0.37mi | 2/2.0 | 1,275 (-9%) | 3mo | $173,500 | $136 | 64 |
| 901 Sunset Blvd Unit A 11 | 0.15mi | 2/2.5 | 1,219 (-13%) | 15mo | $116,000 | $95 | 59 |
| 4128 Loire Dr Unit A | 0.40mi | 2/2.0 | 1,258 (-10%) | 10mo | $173,000 | $138 | 54 |
| 4125 Chateau Blvd Unit A | 0.28mi | 2/1.5 | 1,582 (+13%) | 12mo | $165,000 | $104 | 51 |
| 4135 Loire Dr Unit B | 0.46mi | 1/1.5 (-1) | 1,210 (-14%) | 1mo | $145,000 | $120 | 46 |
| 1645 42nd St Unit C | 0.71mi | 2/1.5 | 1,200 (-14%) | 4mo | $108,000 | $90 | 36 |
| 1645 Newport Pl Unit D | 0.74mi | 2/1.5 | 1,230 (-12%) | 10mo | $110,160 | $90 | 32 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -20.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.31×
- Total profit
- $-31,253
- Equity at exit
- $24,155
- IRR
- -23.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.00×
- Total profit
- $-45,352
- Equity at exit
- $14,007
Cash invested: $45,360 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 70065
- Rents YoY
- -4.2%
- Active inventory
- 292
- Price-to-rent
- 8.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,590 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$850
- Tax from tax record
- −$96 /mo · $1,156/yr
- Insurance
- −$68
- HOA
- −$250
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$334
- Net cashflow
- $-7
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $40,500
- Closing costs
- $4,860
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4213 Paradis Ln Kenner, LA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1510 | $2,000 | $1.32 | 4d | 1 | 0.02mi |
| 4206 Paradis Ln Kenner, LA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1350 | $1,950 | $1.44 | 24d | 1 | 0.04mi |
| 913 Vouray Dr Unit C Kenner, LA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $1,200 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 0.06mi |
| 1012 St Julien Dr Apt F4 Kenner, LA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1271 | $1,400 | $1.10 | 20d | 1 | 0.06mi |
| 909 Vouray Dr Unit c Kenner, LA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $1,200 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 1014 Saint Julien Dr Unit c2 Kenner, LA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1450 | $1,850 | $1.28 | 3d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 4213 Arbor Ct Unit A Kenner, LA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1027 | $1,320 | $1.29 | 44d | 1 | 0.09mi |
| 4212 Arbor Ct Unit D Kenner, LA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1079 | $1,320 | $1.22 | 44d | 1 | 0.11mi |
| 1106 Joe Yenni Blvd Unit 129 Kenner, LA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1463 | $1,595 | $1.09 | 21d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 901 Sunset Blvd Kenner, LA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1219 | $1,800 | $1.48 | 4d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 4204 Asher Ct Apt D Kenner, LA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1250 | $1,250 | $1.00 | 14d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 4230 Chateau Blvd Unit C Kenner, LA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,300 | $1.18 | 24d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 800 Joe Yenni Blvd Kenner, LA | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 780 | $1,400 | $1.79 | 44d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 4204 Chateau Blvd Unit A Kenner, LA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $1,300 | $1.18 | 44d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 4129 Chateau Blvd Unit C Kenner, LA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1400 | $1,425 | $1.02 | 4d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 708 Vouray Dr Unit A Kenner, LA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $1,200 | $1.00 | 14d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 4321 Loire Dr Unit D Kenner, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $1,500 | $1.20 | 14d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 4329 Loire Dr Apt D Kenner, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $1,500 | $1.15 | 4d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 604 Vintage Dr Unit C Kenner, LA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1200 | $1,350 | $1.12 | 44d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 505 Vassar Ct Kenner, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $1,800 | $1.38 | 44d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 400 Coconut Beach Ct Unit 101 Kenner, LA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $2,000 | $1.82 | 24d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 1621 42nd St Kenner, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1550 | $1,550 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 1616 Newport Pl Unit A Kenner, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,500 | $1.36 | 44d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 1625 42nd St Kenner, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1550 | $1,550 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 1620 Newport Pl Kenner, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1450 | $1,550 | $1.07 | 4d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 3872 E Loyola Dr Kenner, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1170 | $1,575 | $1.35 | 20d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 1617 Newport Pl #23 Kenner, LA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1125 | $1,400 | $1.24 | 44d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 1617 Newport Pl #23 Kenner, LA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1125 | $1,395 | $1.24 | 4d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 1600 Newport Pl #4 Kenner, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $1,550 | $1.11 | 3d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 4018 Arkansas Ave Kenner, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,800 | $1.50 | 3d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 1717 42nd St Unit D Kenner, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1380 | $1,550 | $1.12 | 44d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 1740 Vintage Dr Unit C Kenner, LA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1019 | $1,150 | $1.13 | 44d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 1740 Vintage Dr Unit A Kenner, LA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1019 | $1,250 | $1.23 | 44d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 4101 Delaware Ave Kenner, LA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $1,499 | $1.36 | 44d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 4101 Delaware Ave #6 Kenner, LA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1050 | $1,350 | $1.29 | 24d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 3608 E Louisiana State Dr Kenner, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1800 | $2,275 | $1.26 | 2d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 4520 Williams Blvd Kenner, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 738 | $1,310 | $1.78 | 2d | 15 | 1.00mi |
| 3600 Loyola Dr Unit 353 Kenner, LA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,445 | $1.31 | 44d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 3600 Loyola Dr Unit 278 Kenner, LA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 899 | $1,400 | $1.56 | 4d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 3600 Loyola Dr Unit 230 Kenner, LA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 899 | $1,325 | $1.47 | 21d | 1 | 1.05mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $250 · $3,000/yr
- Likely covers
- pool
Listing history 25 events
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2026-06-18days on market $162,000 Active 131 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $162,000 Active 130 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $162,000 Active 129 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $162,000 Active 128 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $162,000 Active 126 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $162,000 Active 123 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $162,000 Active 122 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $162,000 Active 121 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $162,000 Active 120 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $162,000 Active 116 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $162,000 Active 115 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $162,000 Active 114 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $162,000 Active 113 DOM
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2026-02-07$169,000 Active 439-char remark
Show marketing remark (433 chars)
Welcome home to this cozy and inviting townhome overlooking the community pool. Step inside to a warm, comfortable living space featuring a wood-burning fireplace, perfect for relaxing evenings and adding timeless charm. The pool view creates a peaceful backdrop you can enjoy year-round. Ideal for everyday living or weekend retreats, this townhome blends comfort, character, and convenience in a setting you'll love coming home to.
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2026-02-07$169,000 Active 433-char remark
Show marketing remark (433 chars)
Welcome home to this cozy and inviting townhome overlooking the community pool. Step inside to a warm, comfortable living space featuring a wood-burning fireplace, perfect for relaxing evenings and adding timeless charm. The pool view creates a peaceful backdrop you can enjoy year-round. Ideal for everyday living or weekend retreats, this townhome blends comfort, character, and convenience in a setting you'll love coming home to.
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2020-10-13soldstatus $129,000
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2020-08-29$133,000
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2015-12-05historical
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2015-10-10price $115,000
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2015-09-25price $120,000
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2015-06-01$125,000 Active
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2015-06-01$115,000
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2011-11-09$122,000
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2011-11-09$122,000
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1989-02-01soldstatus $46,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,156 · $96/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,156 · $96/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,082
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,075
- − Property taxes
- −$1,156
- − Insurance
- −$810
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,527
- − Management
- −$1,527
- − HOA
- −$3,000
- − Depreciation
- −$4,713
- Taxable loss
- −$2,724
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$654
- After-tax cash flow
- $568/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Jefferson Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2200840
- Math proficiency
- 24% ▼ -36.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▼ -30.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,421
- Composite
- 25.19/100
- National rank
- #7511
- State rank
- #44 of 98 in LA
Livability — Kenner
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #6
- US rank
- #2414
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Kenner, LA
- County
- Jefferson Parish · 426,999 people
- City population
- 66,707
- Metro
- New Orleans-Metairie, LA
- Population (ZIP)
- 48,936
- Household income
- $67,285
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1906.0
Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 451,696 people
- By 2030
- 455,451 · +0.8%
- By 2040
- 458,308 · +1.5%
- By 2050
- 461,031 · +2.1%
- By 2075
- 476,351 · +5.5%
- By 2100
- 499,377 · +10.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 47% Hispanic / Latino 27% Two or more races 15% Black 15% Asian 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 3% Cuban 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 9% Slovak 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 19% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 72% English-only · Spanish 21% Other Indo-European 3% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson
- 2024 margin
- R (+12.9) · D 42.5% · R 55.5% · Other 2.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +13.6pp toward D · 2008: -26.6pp · 2024: -12.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+12.9 2020: R+11.1 2016: R+14.8 2012: R+18.4 2008: R+26.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -214.79%
- Current HPI
- 139.5115
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -4.19%
- Metro
- New Orleans-Metairie, LA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
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| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
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| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
+263.4% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-07 Listed $169,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2026-02-07 Listed $169,000 GSREIN
- 2020-10-13 Sold (Public Records) $129,000 Public Records
- 2020-08-29 Listed $133,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2015-12-05 Listing Removed — GSREIN
- 2015-10-10 Price Changed $115,000 GSREIN
- 2015-09-25 Price Changed $120,000 GSREIN
- 2015-06-01 Listed $125,000 GSREIN
- 2015-06-01 Listed $115,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2011-11-09 Listed $122,000 GSREIN
- 2011-11-09 Listed $122,000 AcadianaMLS
- 1989-02-01 Sold (Public Records) $46,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.2%/yrLatest (2025): $1,156 · -0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…