CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
4203 Paradis Ln
D- Composite 39.81
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +13.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.6/15.0
  • 1% rule +4.8/10.0
  • DSCR +3.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +1.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$162,000

4203 Paradis Ln · Kenner, LA 70065
2 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,400 sqft · Townhouse · 131 Days on market
Built 1981 1,215 sqft lot $116/sqft · at area comps Est $163k · at est. $250/mo HOA · 16% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome home to this cozy and inviting townhome overlooking the community pool. Step inside to a warm, comfortable living space featuring a wood-burning fireplace, perfect for relaxing evenings and adding timeless charm. The pool view creates a peaceful backdrop you can enjoy year-round. Ideal for everyday living or weekend retreats, this townhome blends comfort, character, and convenience in a setting you’ll love coming home to.

Key facts

  • Pool view
  • $250 HOA
  • 2 parking spots

Tags

TOWNHOME OVERLOOKING POOLWOOD BURNING FIREPLACEPOOL VIEW

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $162k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-7 ($-86/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $161k (0.8% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $159k (1.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $143k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 78/100 on livability (#6 in LA, #2,414 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, employment C-, crime D.
  • Jefferson Parish (suburban): math 24% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #44 of 98 in LA (top 45%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents falling (-4.2%/yr); 292 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 42% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 518 units permitted in Jefferson Parish in 2024 (43 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 131 days — a 12% lower offer ($143k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 7 sale attempts since 15y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $129k; 26% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Recommended offer $142,560 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 131 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.98%
Cap rate
6.24%
Cash-on-cash
-0.19%
DSCR
0.99
GRM
8.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$162,536
List price
$162,000
Delta
-0.33%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1012 Saint Julien Dr Unit F4 0.05mi 2/2.5 1,271 (-9%) 2mo $155,000 $122 81
4129 Chateau Blvd Unit C 0.26mi 2/1.5 1,400 (0%) 4mo $112,000 $80 80
1012 St Julien Dr Unit B4 0.06mi 2/2.5 1,265 (-10%) 4mo $162,500 $128 78
1004 St. Julien Dr Unit A 0.02mi 3/2.5 (+1) 1,461 (+4%) 12mo $147,300 $101 77
901 Joe Yenni Blvd Unit B4 0.11mi 2/2.0 1,201 (-14%) 2mo $109,700 $91 67
4124 Loire Dr Unit B 0.37mi 2/2.0 1,275 (-9%) 3mo $173,500 $136 64
901 Sunset Blvd Unit A 11 0.15mi 2/2.5 1,219 (-13%) 15mo $116,000 $95 59
4128 Loire Dr Unit A 0.40mi 2/2.0 1,258 (-10%) 10mo $173,000 $138 54
4125 Chateau Blvd Unit A 0.28mi 2/1.5 1,582 (+13%) 12mo $165,000 $104 51
4135 Loire Dr Unit B 0.46mi 1/1.5 (-1) 1,210 (-14%) 1mo $145,000 $120 46
1645 42nd St Unit C 0.71mi 2/1.5 1,200 (-14%) 4mo $108,000 $90 36
1645 Newport Pl Unit D 0.74mi 2/1.5 1,230 (-12%) 10mo $110,160 $90 32

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-20.4%
Equity multiple
0.31×
Total profit
$-31,253
Equity at exit
$24,155
10-year hold
IRR
-23.6%
Equity multiple
0.00×
Total profit
$-45,352
Equity at exit
$14,007

Cash invested: $45,360 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Louisiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; no state rent control; civil-law jurisdiction; landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 70065

Rents YoY
-4.2%
Active inventory
292
Price-to-rent
8.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,590 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$850
Tax from tax record
$96 /mo · $1,156/yr
Insurance
$68
HOA
$250
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$334
Net cashflow
$-7

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,599
Max offer price $160,741
Occupancy floor 95%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$40,500
Closing costs
$4,860
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4213 Paradis Ln Kenner, LA 3.0 2.5 1510 $2,000 $1.32 4d 1 0.02mi
4206 Paradis Ln Kenner, LA 3.0 2.5 1350 $1,950 $1.44 24d 1 0.04mi
913 Vouray Dr Unit C Kenner, LA 2.0 1.5 1200 $1,200 $1.00 44d 1 0.06mi
1012 St Julien Dr Apt F4 Kenner, LA 2.0 2.5 1271 $1,400 $1.10 20d 1 0.06mi
909 Vouray Dr Unit c Kenner, LA 2.0 1.5 1200 $1,200 $1.00 44d 1 0.07mi
1014 Saint Julien Dr Unit c2 Kenner, LA 3.0 2.5 1450 $1,850 $1.28 3d 1 0.07mi
4213 Arbor Ct Unit A Kenner, LA 2.0 1.5 1027 $1,320 $1.29 44d 1 0.09mi
4212 Arbor Ct Unit D Kenner, LA 2.0 1.5 1079 $1,320 $1.22 44d 1 0.11mi
1106 Joe Yenni Blvd Unit 129 Kenner, LA 1.0 1.0 1463 $1,595 $1.09 21d 1 0.12mi
901 Sunset Blvd Kenner, LA 2.0 2.5 1219 $1,800 $1.48 4d 1 0.14mi
4204 Asher Ct Apt D Kenner, LA 2.0 1.5 1250 $1,250 $1.00 14d 1 0.16mi
4230 Chateau Blvd Unit C Kenner, LA 2.0 2.0 1100 $1,300 $1.18 24d 1 0.18mi
800 Joe Yenni Blvd Kenner, LA 2.0 1.0–2.0 780 $1,400 $1.79 44d 1 0.19mi
4204 Chateau Blvd Unit A Kenner, LA 2.0 1.5 1100 $1,300 $1.18 44d 1 0.22mi
4129 Chateau Blvd Unit C Kenner, LA 2.0 1.5 1400 $1,425 $1.02 4d 1 0.28mi
708 Vouray Dr Unit A Kenner, LA 2.0 1.5 1200 $1,200 $1.00 14d 1 0.30mi
4321 Loire Dr Unit D Kenner, LA 3.0 2.0 1250 $1,500 $1.20 14d 1 0.46mi
4329 Loire Dr Apt D Kenner, LA 3.0 2.0 1300 $1,500 $1.15 4d 1 0.47mi
604 Vintage Dr Unit C Kenner, LA 2.0 2.5 1200 $1,350 $1.12 44d 1 0.47mi
505 Vassar Ct Kenner, LA 3.0 2.0 1300 $1,800 $1.38 44d 1 0.57mi
400 Coconut Beach Ct Unit 101 Kenner, LA 2.0 2.0 1100 $2,000 $1.82 24d 1 0.60mi
1621 42nd St Kenner, LA 3.0 2.0 1550 $1,550 $1.00 44d 1 0.64mi
1616 Newport Pl Unit A Kenner, LA 3.0 2.0 1100 $1,500 $1.36 44d 1 0.65mi
1625 42nd St Kenner, LA 3.0 2.0 1550 $1,550 $1.00 44d 1 0.66mi
1620 Newport Pl Kenner, LA 3.0 2.0 1450 $1,550 $1.07 4d 1 0.66mi
3872 E Loyola Dr Kenner, LA 3.0 2.0 1170 $1,575 $1.35 20d 1 0.66mi
1617 Newport Pl #23 Kenner, LA 2.0 1.5 1125 $1,400 $1.24 44d 1 0.66mi
1617 Newport Pl #23 Kenner, LA 2.0 1.5 1125 $1,395 $1.24 4d 1 0.66mi
1600 Newport Pl #4 Kenner, LA 3.0 2.0 1400 $1,550 $1.11 3d 1 0.71mi
4018 Arkansas Ave Kenner, LA 3.0 2.0 1200 $1,800 $1.50 3d 1 0.78mi
1717 42nd St Unit D Kenner, LA 3.0 2.0 1380 $1,550 $1.12 44d 1 0.79mi
1740 Vintage Dr Unit C Kenner, LA 2.0 1.5 1019 $1,150 $1.13 44d 1 0.89mi
1740 Vintage Dr Unit A Kenner, LA 2.0 1.5 1019 $1,250 $1.23 44d 1 0.89mi
4101 Delaware Ave Kenner, LA 2.0 1.5 1100 $1,499 $1.36 44d 1 0.91mi
4101 Delaware Ave #6 Kenner, LA 2.0 1.5 1050 $1,350 $1.29 24d 1 0.91mi
3608 E Louisiana State Dr Kenner, LA 3.0 2.0 1800 $2,275 $1.26 2d 1 0.99mi
4520 Williams Blvd Kenner, LA 2.0 1.0 738 $1,310 $1.78 2d 15 1.00mi
3600 Loyola Dr Unit 353 Kenner, LA 2.0 2.0 1100 $1,445 $1.31 44d 1 1.05mi
3600 Loyola Dr Unit 278 Kenner, LA 1.0 1.0 899 $1,400 $1.56 4d 1 1.05mi
3600 Loyola Dr Unit 230 Kenner, LA 1.0 1.0 899 $1,325 $1.47 21d 1 1.05mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$250 · $3,000/yr
Likely covers
pool

Listing history 25 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $162,000 Active 131 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $162,000 Active 130 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $162,000 Active 129 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $162,000 Active 128 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $162,000 Active 126 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $162,000 Active 123 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $162,000 Active 122 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $162,000 Active 121 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $162,000 Active 120 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $162,000 Active 116 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $162,000 Active 115 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $162,000 Active 114 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $162,000 Active 113 DOM
  14. 2026-02-07
    listed $169,000 Active 439-char remark
    Show marketing remark (433 chars)

    Welcome home to this cozy and inviting townhome overlooking the community pool. Step inside to a warm, comfortable living space featuring a wood-burning fireplace, perfect for relaxing evenings and adding timeless charm. The pool view creates a peaceful backdrop you can enjoy year-round. Ideal for everyday living or weekend retreats, this townhome blends comfort, character, and convenience in a setting you'll love coming home to.

  15. 2026-02-07
    listed $169,000 Active 433-char remark
    Show marketing remark (433 chars)

    Welcome home to this cozy and inviting townhome overlooking the community pool. Step inside to a warm, comfortable living space featuring a wood-burning fireplace, perfect for relaxing evenings and adding timeless charm. The pool view creates a peaceful backdrop you can enjoy year-round. Ideal for everyday living or weekend retreats, this townhome blends comfort, character, and convenience in a setting you'll love coming home to.

  16. 2020-10-13
    soldstatus $129,000
  17. 2020-08-29
    listed $133,000
  18. 2015-12-05
    historical
  19. 2015-10-10
    price $115,000
  20. 2015-09-25
    price $120,000
  21. 2015-06-01
    listed $125,000 Active
  22. 2015-06-01
    listed $115,000
  23. 2011-11-09
    listed $122,000
  24. 2011-11-09
    listed $122,000
  25. 1989-02-01
    soldstatus $46,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,156 · $96/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,156 · $96/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,082
− Mortgage interest
−$9,075
− Property taxes
−$1,156
− Insurance
−$810
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,527
− Management
−$1,527
− HOA
−$3,000
− Depreciation
−$4,713
Taxable loss
−$2,724
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$654
After-tax cash flow
$568/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Jefferson Parish
NCES district ID
2200840
Math proficiency
24% ▼ -36.00%
Reading proficiency
34% ▼ -30.00%
Median HH income
$48,421
Composite
25.19/100
National rank
#7511
State rank
#44 of 98 in LA

Livability — Kenner

Score
78/100
State rank
#6
US rank
#2414

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute B- Cost of living A+ Crime D Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Kenner, LA
County
Jefferson Parish · 426,999 people
City population
66,707
Metro
New Orleans-Metairie, LA
Population (ZIP)
48,936
Household income
$67,285
Rent vs Own
34.0% rent · 66.0% own
Severe rent burden
1906.0

Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
451,696 people
By 2030
455,451 · +0.8%
By 2040
458,308 · +1.5%
By 2050
461,031 · +2.1%
By 2075
476,351 · +5.5%
By 2100
499,377 · +10.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
Race & ethnicity
White 47% Hispanic / Latino 27% Two or more races 15% Black 15% Asian 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 3% Cuban 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 9% Slovak 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
19% · Canada, China, Vietnam
Languages at home
72% English-only · Spanish 21% Other Indo-European 3% Arabic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson

2024 margin
R (+12.9) · D 42.5% · R 55.5% · Other 2.1%
2008→2024 swing
+13.6pp toward D · 2008: -26.6pp · 2024: -12.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+12.9 2020: R+11.1 2016: R+14.8 2012: R+18.4 2008: R+26.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -214.79%
Current HPI
139.5115
Rent YoY
▼ -4.19%
Metro
New Orleans-Metairie, LA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.29%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+263.4% since first listed
12 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-07 Listed $169,000 AcadianaMLS
  • 2026-02-07 Listed $169,000 GSREIN
  • 2020-10-13 Sold (Public Records) $129,000 Public Records
  • 2020-08-29 Listed $133,000 AcadianaMLS
  • 2015-12-05 Listing Removed GSREIN
  • 2015-10-10 Price Changed $115,000 GSREIN
  • 2015-09-25 Price Changed $120,000 GSREIN
  • 2015-06-01 Listed $125,000 GSREIN
  • 2015-06-01 Listed $115,000 AcadianaMLS
  • 2011-11-09 Listed $122,000 GSREIN
  • 2011-11-09 Listed $122,000 AcadianaMLS
  • 1989-02-01 Sold (Public Records) $46,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,156 · -0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…