4346 Helena Ter · Wildwood, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +11.9/30.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +9.7/15.0
- Schools +5.2/10.0
- DSCR +3.5/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- 1% rule +2.5/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$321,800
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Life in The Villages is all about ease, connection, and enjoying every sun-filled day. This beautifully maintained 2022 Moonstone Patio Villa captures that spirit perfectly. Positioned on a lush corner lot in the sought-after Village of Richmond, this residence blends privacy, comfort, and access to every amenity imaginable. A 2022 refurbished Yamaha golf cart is included. Golf cart features include; gas, four seater seatbelts both front and back JBL speaker system, self counseling turn signals and a few other things. Step inside to discover a bright, open living space where high ceilings and a neutral palette create an inviting sense of calm. The kitchen’s generous island and solar t
Key facts
- En suite bathroom
- Generous island
- Walk-in closet
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Irrigation equipment installed
- Financial info: No lease restrictions indicated
- HOA & community: Community mailbox; Deed restrictions; Golf carts allowed; Community pool; Tennis courts; Golf course access; Special community restrictions; Senior community; Pets allowed
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway; Golf cart garage; Attached 2-car garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; BB/HS internet available; Electricity connected; Natural gas connected
- Home design: Single family residence; One story; Southeast facing; Residential property
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built with public records building area of 1,295 sq ft (living area)
- Exterior features: Covered patio/porch; Front porch; Patio; Screened porch; Side porch; Exterior lighting; Sliding doors; Landscaped; Corner lot; Paved road
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Microwave; Range; Refrigerator; Eat-in kitchen
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Eat-in kitchen; High ceilings; Living room / Dining room combo; Open floorplan; Walk-in closet(s)
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Laundry closet / inside laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $322k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-81 ($-967/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $308k (4.4% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $240k (25.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $240k (25.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.0% vs local median 3.9% in Wildwood — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#471 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: health & safety A+, cost of living A, crime A-; Watch: schools C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Sumter (rural): math 61% / reading 61% proficiency, ranked #11 of 73 in FL (top 15%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 265 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 3,961 units permitted in Sumter County in 2024 (248 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $34k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $32k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Sumter County population projected at +45% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $90k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$55k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 202 days — a 12% lower offer ($283k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask is 12277% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 202 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 25% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.75% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.99%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.07%
- DSCR
- 0.95
- GRM
- 11.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $337,995
- Comps found
- 10
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4451 Elijah Loop | 0.18mi | 2/2.0 | 1,299 (+0%) | 12mo | $355,000 | $273 | 81 |
| 4287 Fredda Ter | 0.42mi | 2/2.0 | 1,223 (-6%) | 14mo | $265,000 | $217 | 60 |
| 4280 Gale Ln | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,440 (+11%) | 1mo | $322,000 | $224 | 52 |
| 3283 Dawn Pl | 0.69mi | 2/2.0 | 1,223 (-6%) | 9mo | $275,000 | $225 | 51 |
| 3222 Miller Stachler St | 0.58mi | 2/2.0 | 1,138 (-12%) | 12mo | $297,000 | $261 | 42 |
| 4415 Casey Ct | 0.71mi | 2/2.0 | 1,154 (-11%) | 10mo | $279,000 | $242 | 40 |
| 3234 Miller Stachler St | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,392 (+8%) | 21mo | $380,000 | $273 | 37 |
| 2775 Navy Hill Cir | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,476 (+14%) | 13mo | $420,000 | $285 | 35 |
| 2505 Drew Cir | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,419 (+10%) | 18mo | $385,000 | $271 | 30 |
| 5514 Columbus Cir | 0.73mi | 2/2.0 | 1,440 (+11%) | 22mo | $135,000 | $94 | 29 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 23.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.89×
- Total profit
- $170,012
- Equity at exit
- $289,903
- IRR
- 20.9%
- Equity multiple
- 6.60×
- Total profit
- $504,462
- Equity at exit
- $625,187
Cash invested: $90,104 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32163
- Home prices YoY
- 9.8%
- Active inventory
- 265
- Price-to-rent
- 11.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,399 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,688
- Tax from tax record
- −$154 /mo · $1,845/yr
- Insurance
- −$134
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$504
- Net cashflow
- $-81
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $80,450
- Closing costs
- $9,654
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2910 Monument Way The Villages, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1494 | $2,600 | $1.74 | 21d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 3359 Brianna Ln The Villages, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1584 | $3,100 | $1.96 | 21d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 3412 Melissa Ln The Villages, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1148 | $2,200 | $1.92 | 21d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 1016 Century Dr Wildwood, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1022 | $1,399 | $1.37 | 21d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 3480 Kewadin Ave The Villages, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1758 | $2,500 | $1.42 | 21d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 2577 Lindewood St The Villages, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1206 | $2,495 | $2.07 | 21d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 605 Sunnyside Dr Wildwood, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $1,275 | $1.42 | 21d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-05-23historical $2,380
-
2026-05-19price $2,380
-
2026-05-18price $321,800
-
2026-05-06$2,600
-
2026-04-15price $321,900
-
2026-04-01price $326,900
-
2025-11-06$347,900 Active
-
2025-09-24$344,900 Active
-
2024-07-12soldstatus $330,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,845 · $154/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,671 · $223/mo
- Expected delta
- +$826/yr (+$69/mo · 44.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $28,782
- − Mortgage interest
- −$18,026
- − Property taxes
- −$1,845
- − Insurance
- −$1,609
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,303
- − Management
- −$2,303
- − Depreciation
- −$9,361
- Taxable loss
- −$6,664
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,599
- After-tax cash flow
- $633/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Sumter
- NCES district ID
- 1201800
- Math proficiency
- 61% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 61% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,240
- Composite
- 51.74/100
- National rank
- #1682
- State rank
- #11 of 73 in FL
Livability — Wildwood
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #471
- US rank
- #8500
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Wildwood, FL
- County
- Sumter County · 110,591 people
- City population
- 21,568
- Metro
- The Villages, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 28,549
- Household income
- $96,775
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 307.0
Population outlook (Sumter County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 161,172 people
- By 2030
- 180,083 · +11.7%
- By 2040
- 209,892 · +30.2%
- By 2050
- 234,186 · +45.3%
- By 2075
- 284,602 · +76.6%
- By 2100
- 317,039 · +96.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (95%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 95% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 2% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Lithuanian 3% Iranian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2% Vietnamese 1% Other Indo-European 0%
Political lean MEDSL · Sumter
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+37.6) · D 30.9% · R 68.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -10.6pp toward R · 2008: -27.0pp · 2024: -37.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+37.6 2020: R+36.1 2016: R+39.2 2012: R+34.9 2008: R+27.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 20.47%
- Current HPI
- 229.0075
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- The Villages, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
-99.3% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-23 Rental Removed $2,380 STELLARMLS
- 2026-05-19 Price Changed $2,380 STELLARMLS
- 2026-05-18 Price Changed $321,800 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-06 Listed for Rent $2,600 STELLARMLS
- 2026-04-15 Price Changed $321,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-01 Price Changed $326,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-11-06 Listed $347,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-09-24 Listed $344,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-07-12 Sold (Public Records) $330,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-35.8%/yrLatest (2025): $1,845 · -61.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…