112 Dr W J Hodge St · Louisville, KY
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.2%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $839 – $1,559
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.6/10.0
- Rent growth +3.4/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$79,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
INVESTORS MUST SEE : Nice small home need ing a total rehab in Downtown Louisville, near I-64 and the river.
Key facts
- New bathroom
- New flooring
- Update electric
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: No association fee
Exterior
- Utilities: Electricity connected; Natural gas available
- Home design: Single-family ranch residence; One story
- Construction: Built in 1900; Vinyl siding; Shingle roof
- Exterior features: Lot approximately 0.05 acres (about 2,108 sq ft)
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen located on the first floor
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (all on the first floor); Master bedroom on the first floor; One bonus room that can function as a living room/bedroom
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom (on the first floor)
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating
- Interior features: Total of 6 rooms; No basement; First-floor laundry
- Laundry & utility: Laundry on the first floor
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $79k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $382 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $79k).
- Recommended offer: $70k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.1% vs local median 5.0% in Louisville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#333 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, health & safety D+, schools D-.
- Jefferson County (urban): math 19% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #121 of 165 in KY (top 73%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.7%/yr); 114 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,836 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (1,558 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($31k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $546 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Jefferson County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.7% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 173 days — a 12% lower offer ($70k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 8 sale attempts since 29y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $26k (25%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $15k; list at $79k implies a 430% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 173 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.36% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.10%
- Cash-on-cash
- 20.74%
- DSCR
- 1.92
- GRM
- 6.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $58,240
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2214 Cedar St | 0.29mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 886 (-1%) | 4mo | $46,000 | $52 | 76 |
| 1914 Lytle St | 0.47mi | 3/1.0 | 930 (+4%) | 1mo | $104,000 | $112 | 71 |
| 428 N 20th St | 0.40mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 894 (-0%) | 7mo | $46,000 | $51 | 71 |
| 331 N 23rd St | 0.34mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 855 (-5%) | 4mo | $105,000 | $123 | 68 |
| 1707 Baird St | 0.53mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 896 (0%) | 3mo | $45,000 | $50 | 67 |
| 212 N 20th St | 0.19mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 987 (+10%) | 7mo | $64,500 | $65 | 64 |
| 1905 Lytle St | 0.48mi | 3/1.0 | 953 (+6%) | 7mo | $60,000 | $63 | 61 |
| 216 N 25th St | 0.41mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 840 (-6%) | 6mo | $85,000 | $101 | 61 |
| 2220 Saint Xavier St | 0.45mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 848 (-5%) | 9mo | $50,000 | $59 | 58 |
| 1922 Bank St | 0.43mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,020 (+14%) | 3mo | $110,950 | $109 | 49 |
| 2511 Bank St | 0.68mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 960 (+7%) | 6mo | $10,000 | $10 | 46 |
| 2722 Slevin St | 0.74mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 984 (+10%) | 5mo | $65,000 | $66 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.73% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 13.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.56×
- Total profit
- $12,309
- Equity at exit
- $11,779
- IRR
- 23.1%
- Equity multiple
- 3.05×
- Total profit
- $45,258
- Equity at exit
- $6,830
Cash invested: $22,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kentucky
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 40203
- Home prices YoY
- -13.8%
- Rents YoY
- 3.7%
- Active inventory
- 114
- Price-to-rent
- 6.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,077 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$414
- Tax from tax record
- −$22 /mo · $259/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$226
- Net cashflow
- $382
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $19,750
- Closing costs
- $2,370
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2132 Rowan St Louisville, KY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 875 | $928 | $1.06 | 3d | 4 | 0.14mi |
| 112 N 18th St Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 944 | $1,050 | $1.11 | 23d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 200 N 18th St Unit 200-4 Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 740 | $775 | $1.05 | 20d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 214 N 24th St Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1012 | $915 | $0.90 | 23d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 331 N 23rd St Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 855 | $1,150 | $1.35 | 17d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 1704 Rowan St Unit 1704-2 Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 740 | $850 | $1.15 | 23d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 515 S 20th St Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $995 | $0.99 | 16d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 212 N 25th St Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1104 | $895 | $0.81 | 23d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 322 N 24th St Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,100 | $1.16 | 16d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 2221 W Madison St Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,350 | $1.35 | 23d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 2221 W Madison St Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,350 | $1.35 | 21d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 1612 W Market St Unit 2 Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $1,000 | $1.11 | 23d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 2300 W Madison St Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $850 | $0.94 | 23d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 500 N 17th St Apt 309 Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 775 | $1,200 | $1.55 | 23d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 500 N 17th St Unit 301 Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 775 | $1,200 | $1.55 | 16d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 2433 Slevin St Unit 2433-2 Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $875 | $1.09 | 3d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 2614 W Jefferson St Unit 2614-4 Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 740 | $795 | $1.07 | 23d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 2623 Cedar St Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,000 | $1.00 | 23d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 451 N 25th St Unit Mk Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 988 | $875 | $0.89 | 3d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 2631 W Madison St Unit 1 Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 928 | $950 | $1.02 | 23d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 2631 W Madison St Unit 2 Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 928 | $850 | $0.92 | 17d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 2631 W Madison St Unit 2 Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 928 | $850 | $0.92 | 23d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 1700 Magazine St Unit 3 Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,150 | $1.28 | 17d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 2411 Elliott Ave Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 892 | $895 | $1.00 | 23d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 353 N 27th St Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,100 | $1.00 | 23d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 2510 Portland Ave Unit 206 Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 615 | $950 | $1.54 | 23d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 2510 Portland Ave Unit 203 Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 625 | $995 | $1.59 | 3d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 2927 Rowan St Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1008 | $1,205 | $1.20 | 11d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 2733 Chase Ct Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $900 | $1.00 | 16d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 2506 Montgomery St Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1081 | $1,295 | $1.20 | 3d | 4 | 0.93mi |
| 2925 Slevin St Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 896 | $775 | $0.86 | 3d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 848 S 23rd St Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1050 | $1,450 | $1.38 | 23d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 522 N 29th St Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1031 | $1,300 | $1.26 | 3d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 980 W Liberty St Louisville, KY | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 1026 | $1,535 | $1.50 | 23d | 133 | 1.06mi |
| 509 N 31st St Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $795 | $0.99 | 23d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 509 N 31st St Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $725 | $0.91 | 16d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 1644 W Kentucky St Unit 3 Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $950 | $1.06 | 23d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 3120 Bank St Unit B Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $795 | $1.06 | 23d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 2724 Garland Ave Unit 202 Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $745 | $0.78 | 3d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 701 Hazel St Unit 3 Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 832 | $800 | $0.96 | 10d | 1 | 1.24mi |
Listing history 29 events
-
2026-06-10days on market $79,000 Active 173 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $79,000 Active 172 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $79,000 Active 171 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $79,000 Active 170 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $79,000 Active 166 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $79,000 Active 165 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $79,000 Active 164 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $79,000 Active 163 DOM
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2026-04-29price $79,000
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2026-03-31price $84,000
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2026-03-17price $90,000
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2026-03-09price $100,000
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2025-12-19$105,000 Active
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2022-07-18soldstatus $14,900 Closed 108-char remark
Show marketing remark (108 chars)
INVESTORS MUST SEE : Nice small home need ing a total rehab in Downtown Louisville, near I-64 and the river.
-
2022-05-29status Pending 108-char remark
Show marketing remark (108 chars)
INVESTORS MUST SEE : Nice small home need ing a total rehab in Downtown Louisville, near I-64 and the river.
-
2021-12-31$24,900 Active 108-char remark
Show marketing remark (108 chars)
INVESTORS MUST SEE : Nice small home need ing a total rehab in Downtown Louisville, near I-64 and the river.
-
2020-12-04historical
-
2020-12-03status Active
-
2020-11-28status Pending
-
2020-11-18price $14,900
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2020-11-18$19,000 Active
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2010-06-07historical
-
2009-12-05$24,900
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2008-10-17historical
-
2008-09-22$7,900
-
2008-08-28historical
-
2008-07-28$10,000
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1997-11-07soldstatus $21,500
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1997-09-10$24,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast KY · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $259 · $22/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $679 · $57/mo
- Expected delta
- +$421/yr (+$35/mo · 162.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,926
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,425
- − Property taxes
- −$259
- − Insurance
- −$395
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,034
- − Management
- −$1,034
- − Depreciation
- −$2,298
- Taxable income
- $3,481
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$835
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,751/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Jefferson County
- NCES district ID
- 2102990
- Math proficiency
- 19% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,885
- Composite
- 23.45/100
- National rank
- #7884
- State rank
- #121 of 165 in KY
Livability — Louisville
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #333
- US rank
- #15887
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Louisville, KY
- County
- Jefferson County · 790,184 people
- City population
- 769,292
- Metro
- Louisville/Jefferson County, KY-IN
- Population (ZIP)
- 17,742
- Household income
- $30,794
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1603.0
Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 823,112 people
- By 2030
- 849,343 · +3.2%
- By 2040
- 895,696 · +8.8%
- By 2050
- 933,630 · +13.4%
- By 2075
- 1,028,262 · +24.9%
- By 2100
- 1,072,675 · +30.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 49% White 44% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson
- 2024 margin
- D (+16.6) · D 57.4% · R 40.9% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.5pp toward D · 2008: 12.0pp · 2024: 16.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+16.6 2020: D+20.1 2016: D+13.3 2012: D+11.1 2008: D+12.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -64.74%
- Current HPI
- 405.1872
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.73%
- Metro
- Louisville/Jefferson County, KY-IN
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.81%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $118B |
|
||
| Food / Beverage | 1 | $7B |
|
||
Price history
+217.3% since first listed21 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-29 Price Changed $79,000 Metro Search MLS
- 2026-03-31 Price Changed $84,000 Metro Search MLS
- 2026-03-17 Price Changed $90,000 Metro Search MLS
- 2026-03-09 Price Changed $100,000 Metro Search MLS
- 2025-12-19 Listed $105,000 Metro Search MLS
- 2022-07-18 Sold (MLS) $14,900 Metro Search MLS
- 2022-05-29 Pending — Metro Search MLS
- 2021-12-31 Listed $24,900 Metro Search MLS
- 2020-12-04 Listing Removed — Metro Search MLS
- 2020-12-03 Relisted — Metro Search MLS
- 2020-11-28 Pending — Metro Search MLS
- 2020-11-18 Listed $19,000 Metro Search MLS
- 2020-11-18 Price Changed $14,900 Metro Search MLS
- 2010-06-07 Listing Removed — Metro Search MLS
- 2009-12-05 Listed $24,900 Metro Search MLS
- 2008-10-17 Listing Removed — Metro Search MLS
- 2008-09-22 Listed $7,900 Metro Search MLS
- 2008-08-28 Listing Removed — Metro Search MLS
- 2008-07-28 Listed $10,000 Metro Search MLS
- 1997-11-07 Sold (MLS) $21,500 Metro Search MLS
- 1997-09-10 Listed $24,900 Metro Search MLS
Property tax history
-0.1%/yrLatest (2025): $259 · +35.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…