214 Arlington Cir · Greenville, NC
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $906 – $1,684
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +13.1/30.0
- DSCR +3.9/10.0
- Rent growth +3.9/5.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- 1% rule +2.8/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$169,999
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to your new home! This beautifully updated property in a highly sought-after location is ready for its new owner. Whether you're a first-time homebuyer or an investor looking for a turnkey rental, this home checks all the boxes. Also has a detached 2 car garage/storage building. Nearly everything inside is brand new--including, stylish quartz countertops in the kitchen All-new appliances: refrigerator, dishwasher, and microwave Durable LVP flooring throughout, with brand-new carpet in the bedrooms. A modern electric fireplace for added comfort and charm. Updated bathroom with a new shower, vanity, and toilet. Fresh interior paint throughout. New washer/dryer hookups Don't miss the
Key facts
- Quartz countertops
- All-new appliances
- Durable lvp flooring
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Off-street parking
- Utilities: Utilities: Other
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Built on slab foundation; Construction details: see remarks
- Exterior features: Shingle roof; No patio or porch; No fencing; Has a view; Paved road access
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric oven; Electric cooktop; Range; Refrigerator; Dishwasher; Microwave
- Bedrooms: 3 total rooms (includes bedrooms and living areas)
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Forced air heating; Natural gas heating
- Interior features: Kitchen island; Ceiling fan(s); Accessible full bathroom
- Laundry & utility: No basement (slab foundation)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $170k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-6 ($-72/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $169k (0.6% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $133k (21.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $133k (21.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.3% vs local median 3.8% in Greenville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#30 in NC, #2,977 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, employment F.
- Pitt County Schools (rural): math 41% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #100 of 178 in NC (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: South Greenville Elementary (math 8% / reading 12%, grade F, #1,385 of 1,410 statewide, top 99%, 281 students, 96% FRL); E B Aycock Middle (math 27% / reading 30%, grade F, #355 of 475 statewide, top 76%, 661 students, 99% FRL); Junius H Rose High (math 52% / reading 61%, grade C, #261 of 535 statewide, top 49%, 1,525 students, 50% FRL) — zoned schools average 82% FRL vs 56% district-wide (26 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.4%/yr); 350 active listings in the ZIP; 25 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,300 units permitted in Pitt County in 2024 (204 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($49k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Pitt County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 105 days — a 9% lower offer ($155k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $87k; list at $170k implies a 95% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 105 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 22% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.78% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.25%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.15%
- DSCR
- 0.99
- GRM
- 10.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $144,378
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2704 Shawnee Pl | 0.15mi | 3/1.0 | 1,209 (-2%) | 1mo | $179,900 | $149 | 88 |
| 503 Pittman Dr | 0.21mi | 3/1.0 | 1,150 (-7%) | 4mo | $137,500 | $120 | 76 |
| 402 Abel St | 0.30mi | 3/1.5 | 1,296 (+5%) | 0mo | $99,000 | $76 | 76 |
| 301 Millbrook St | 0.24mi | 3/1.0 | 1,120 (-9%) | 3mo | $110,000 | $98 | 71 |
| 205 Millbrook St | 0.21mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,259 (+2%) | 16mo | $135,000 | $107 | 64 |
| 2607 Dunn St | 0.06mi | 3/1.0 | 1,073 (-13%) | 17mo | $130,500 | $122 | 61 |
| 2108 Pendleton St | 0.35mi | 3/2.0 | 1,080 (-12%) | 3mo | $225,000 | $208 | 57 |
| 309 N Sylvan Dr | 0.43mi | 3/1.0 | 1,132 (-8%) | 12mo | $75,000 | $66 | 56 |
| 207 Millbrook St | 0.21mi | 3/1.0 | 1,384 (+12%) | 17mo | $150,000 | $108 | 55 |
| 2516 Sunset Ave | 0.21mi | 3/1.0 | 1,078 (-13%) | 23mo | $93,000 | $86 | 50 |
| 207 Freestone Rd | 0.41mi | 3/2.0 | 1,064 (-14%) | 22mo | $191,000 | $180 | 36 |
| 914 Howell St | 0.68mi | 3/1.0 | 1,075 (-13%) | 14mo | $125,900 | $117 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.44% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -14.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.48×
- Total profit
- $-24,629
- Equity at exit
- $25,347
- IRR
- -2.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.84×
- Total profit
- $-7,692
- Equity at exit
- $14,698
Cash invested: $47,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Carolina
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 27834
- Rents YoY
- 5.4%
- Active inventory
- 350
- Price-to-rent
- 10.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,332 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$891
- Tax from tax record
- −$96 /mo · $1,153/yr
- Insurance
- −$71
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$280
- Net cashflow
- $-6
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $42,500
- Closing costs
- $5,100
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 25 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 111 Lakeview Ter Greenville, NC | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 750 | $1,200 | $1.60 | 13d | 7 | 0.36mi |
| 2613 Whitaker Dr Greenville, NC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 853 | $1,004 | $1.18 | 21d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 1604 W Arlington Blvd Greenville, NC | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 624 | $1,125 | $1.80 | 13d | 11 | 0.38mi |
| 1151 Cross Creek Cir Unit D Greenville, NC | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1338 | $1,550 | $1.16 | 13d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 1151 Cross Creek Cir Greenville, NC | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1338 | $1,600 | $1.20 | 21d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 1150 Cross Creek Cir Greenville, NC | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,200 | $1.09 | 21d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 1035 Spring Forest Rd Greenville, NC | 3.0 | 2.0–2.5 | 1453 | $1,450 | $1.00 | 21d | 2 | 0.72mi |
| 1015 Spring Forest Rd Unit F5 Greenville, NC | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1453 | $1,200 | $0.83 | 21d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 1710 Garland St Greenville, NC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 884 | $1,195 | $1.35 | 21d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 2207 Wandsworth Dr Greenville, NC | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $900 | $1.38 | 13d | 5 | 0.81mi |
| 904 Gabriel Dr Greenville, NC | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 966 | $1,875 | $1.94 | 21d | 17 | 0.83mi |
| 1510 Bridle Ct Greenville, NC | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 798 | $1,250 | $1.57 | 21d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 935 Spring Forest Rd Greenville, NC | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,299 | $1.30 | 21d | 4 | 0.90mi |
| 1902 Myrtle St Unit 1902-A Greenville, NC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 848 | $850 | $1.00 | 21d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 600 Howell St Apt E Greenville, NC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $815 | $0.78 | 21d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 300 Higgs St Unit 300-B Greenville, NC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 756 | $900 | $1.19 | 21d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 400 Arbor St Greenville, NC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 860 | $1,850 | $2.15 | 21d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 1304 Myrtle St Greenville, NC | 3.0 | 1.0 | 978 | $1,375 | $1.41 | 21d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 504 Davenport St Unit A Greenville, NC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $895 | $0.99 | 13d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 301 Shiloh Dr Unit A Greenville, NC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $950 | $1.10 | 21d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 3709 Nantucket Rd Unit A Greenville, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1427 | $1,700 | $1.19 | 13d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 3260 Landmark St Greenville, NC | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1042 | $1,000 | $0.96 | 21d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 3278 Colony Ct Greenville, NC | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1170 | $1,350 | $1.15 | 21d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 203 Shiloh Dr Unit E Greenville, NC | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $1,130 | $1.13 | 21d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 1612 Lincoln Dr Greenville, NC | 3.0 | 1.0 | 972 | $900 | $0.93 | 13d | 1 | 1.45mi |
Listing history 33 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $169,999 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $169,999 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-06-17price $169,999 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $180,000 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $180,000 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $180,000 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $180,000 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $180,000 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $180,000 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $180,000 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $180,000 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $180,000 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $180,000 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $180,000 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $180,000 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $180,000 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $180,000 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-03-06$180,000 Active
-
2026-01-11historical
-
2025-10-03price $174,900
-
2025-09-03status Active
-
2025-09-03price $179,900
-
2025-09-02historical
-
2025-09-01historical
-
2025-08-07price $184,900
-
2025-07-28price $184,900
-
2025-06-27price $189,000
-
2025-06-13$195,000 Active
-
2025-06-12$195,000 Active
-
2024-11-27soldstatus $87,000
-
2024-11-25historical
-
2024-11-06$119,000 Active
-
2014-03-07soldstatus $46,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,153 · $96/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,394 · $116/mo
- Expected delta
- +$241/yr (+$20/mo · 20.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,987
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,523
- − Property taxes
- −$1,153
- − Insurance
- −$850
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,279
- − Management
- −$1,279
- − Depreciation
- −$4,945
- Taxable loss
- −$3,042
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$730
- After-tax cash flow
- $659/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pitt County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3700012
- Math proficiency
- 41% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 44% ▲ 2.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,631
- Composite
- 35.67/100
- National rank
- #4877
- State rank
- #100 of 178 in NC
Livability — Greenville
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #30
- US rank
- #2977
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Greenville, NC
- County
- Pitt County · 142,592 people
- City population
- 115,121
- Metro
- Greenville, NC
- Population (ZIP)
- 56,347
- Household income
- $48,935
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3319.0
Population outlook (Pitt County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 194,585 people
- By 2030
- 203,756 · +4.7%
- By 2040
- 220,807 · +13.5%
- By 2050
- 236,614 · +21.6%
- By 2075
- 275,940 · +41.8%
- By 2100
- 300,058 · +54.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 54% White 33% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 3% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Pitt
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+6.0) · D 52.5% · R 46.5% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.8pp toward R · 2008: 8.8pp · 2024: 6.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+6.0 2020: D+9.4 2016: D+7.4 2012: D+6.7 2008: D+8.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -187.99%
- Current HPI
- 190.6869
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.44%
- Metro
- Greenville, NC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 26
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 2 | $213B |
|
||
| Retail | 2 | $95B |
|
||
| Industrial Conglomerate | 1 | $38B |
|
||
| Metals / Steel | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $30B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 1 | $19B |
|
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Price history
+291.3% since first listed16 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-06 Listed $180,000 Hive MLS
- 2026-01-11 Listing Removed — Hive MLS
- 2025-10-03 Price Changed $174,900 Hive MLS
- 2025-09-03 Relisted — Hive MLS
- 2025-09-03 Price Changed $179,900 Hive MLS
- 2025-09-02 Listing Removed — TMLS
- 2025-09-01 Listing Removed — Hive MLS
- 2025-08-07 Price Changed $184,900 Hive MLS
- 2025-07-28 Price Changed $184,900 TMLS
- 2025-06-27 Price Changed $189,000 TMLS
- 2025-06-13 Listed $195,000 TMLS
- 2025-06-12 Listed $195,000 Hive MLS
- 2024-11-27 Sold (Public Records) $87,000 Public Records
- 2024-11-25 Listing Removed — Hive MLS
- 2024-11-06 Listed $119,000 Hive MLS
- 2014-03-07 Sold (Public Records) $46,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+14.7%/yrLatest (2025): $1,153 · +81.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…