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214 Arlington Cir
F Composite 33.65
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +13.1/30.0
  • DSCR +3.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.9/5.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +2.8/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$169,999

214 Arlington Cir · Greenville, NC 27834
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,234 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 105 Days on market
Built 1950 0.27 ac lot Est $144k · 18% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to your new home! This beautifully updated property in a highly sought-after location is ready for its new owner. Whether you're a first-time homebuyer or an investor looking for a turnkey rental, this home checks all the boxes. Also has a detached 2 car garage/storage building. Nearly everything inside is brand new--including, stylish quartz countertops in the kitchen All-new appliances: refrigerator, dishwasher, and microwave Durable LVP flooring throughout, with brand-new carpet in the bedrooms. A modern electric fireplace for added comfort and charm. Updated bathroom with a new shower, vanity, and toilet. Fresh interior paint throughout. New washer/dryer hookups Don't miss the

Key facts

  • Quartz countertops
  • All-new appliances
  • Durable lvp flooring

Tags

DETACHED 2 CAR GARAGEQUARTZ COUNTERTOPSALL-NEW APPLIANCESDURABLE LVP FLOORINGMODERN ELECTRIC FIREPLACEUPDATED BATHROOM

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Off-street parking
  • Utilities: Utilities: Other
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Built on slab foundation; Construction details: see remarks
  • Exterior features: Shingle roof; No patio or porch; No fencing; Has a view; Paved road access

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric oven; Electric cooktop; Range; Refrigerator; Dishwasher; Microwave
  • Bedrooms: 3 total rooms (includes bedrooms and living areas)
  • Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Forced air heating; Natural gas heating
  • Interior features: Kitchen island; Ceiling fan(s); Accessible full bathroom
  • Laundry & utility: No basement (slab foundation)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $170k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-6 ($-72/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $169k (0.6% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $133k (21.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $133k (21.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.3% vs local median 3.8% in Greenville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#30 in NC, #2,977 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, employment F.
  • Pitt County Schools (rural): math 41% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #100 of 178 in NC (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: South Greenville Elementary (math 8% / reading 12%, grade F, #1,385 of 1,410 statewide, top 99%, 281 students, 96% FRL); E B Aycock Middle (math 27% / reading 30%, grade F, #355 of 475 statewide, top 76%, 661 students, 99% FRL); Junius H Rose High (math 52% / reading 61%, grade C, #261 of 535 statewide, top 49%, 1,525 students, 50% FRL) — zoned schools average 82% FRL vs 56% district-wide (26 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.4%/yr); 350 active listings in the ZIP; 25 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,300 units permitted in Pitt County in 2024 (204 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($49k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Pitt County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 105 days — a 9% lower offer ($155k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $87k; list at $170k implies a 95% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $133,221 (21.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 105 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 22% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.78%
Cap rate
6.25%
Cash-on-cash
-0.15%
DSCR
0.99
GRM
10.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$144,378
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2704 Shawnee Pl 0.15mi 3/1.0 1,209 (-2%) 1mo $179,900 $149 88
503 Pittman Dr 0.21mi 3/1.0 1,150 (-7%) 4mo $137,500 $120 76
402 Abel St 0.30mi 3/1.5 1,296 (+5%) 0mo $99,000 $76 76
301 Millbrook St 0.24mi 3/1.0 1,120 (-9%) 3mo $110,000 $98 71
205 Millbrook St 0.21mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,259 (+2%) 16mo $135,000 $107 64
2607 Dunn St 0.06mi 3/1.0 1,073 (-13%) 17mo $130,500 $122 61
2108 Pendleton St 0.35mi 3/2.0 1,080 (-12%) 3mo $225,000 $208 57
309 N Sylvan Dr 0.43mi 3/1.0 1,132 (-8%) 12mo $75,000 $66 56
207 Millbrook St 0.21mi 3/1.0 1,384 (+12%) 17mo $150,000 $108 55
2516 Sunset Ave 0.21mi 3/1.0 1,078 (-13%) 23mo $93,000 $86 50
207 Freestone Rd 0.41mi 3/2.0 1,064 (-14%) 22mo $191,000 $180 36
914 Howell St 0.68mi 3/1.0 1,075 (-13%) 14mo $125,900 $117 35

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.44% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-14.2%
Equity multiple
0.48×
Total profit
$-24,629
Equity at exit
$25,347
10-year hold
IRR
-2.2%
Equity multiple
0.84×
Total profit
$-7,692
Equity at exit
$14,698

Cash invested: $47,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

ZIP-level market 27834

Rents YoY
5.4%
Active inventory
350
Price-to-rent
10.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,332 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$891
Tax from tax record
$96 /mo · $1,153/yr
Insurance
$71
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$280
Net cashflow
$-6

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,340
Max offer price $168,945
Occupancy floor 95%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$42,500
Closing costs
$5,100
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 25 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
111 Lakeview Ter Greenville, NC 2.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 750 $1,200 $1.60 13d 7 0.36mi
2613 Whitaker Dr Greenville, NC 2.0 1.0 853 $1,004 $1.18 21d 1 0.38mi
1604 W Arlington Blvd Greenville, NC 1.0–2.0 1.0 624 $1,125 $1.80 13d 11 0.38mi
1151 Cross Creek Cir Unit D Greenville, NC 3.0 2.5 1338 $1,550 $1.16 13d 1 0.55mi
1151 Cross Creek Cir Greenville, NC 3.0 2.5 1338 $1,600 $1.20 21d 1 0.58mi
1150 Cross Creek Cir Greenville, NC 2.0 2.0 1100 $1,200 $1.09 21d 1 0.59mi
1035 Spring Forest Rd Greenville, NC 3.0 2.0–2.5 1453 $1,450 $1.00 21d 2 0.72mi
1015 Spring Forest Rd Unit F5 Greenville, NC 3.0 2.5 1453 $1,200 $0.83 21d 1 0.75mi
1710 Garland St Greenville, NC 2.0 1.0 884 $1,195 $1.35 21d 1 0.80mi
2207 Wandsworth Dr Greenville, NC 1.0–2.0 1.0 650 $900 $1.38 13d 5 0.81mi
904 Gabriel Dr Greenville, NC 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 966 $1,875 $1.94 21d 17 0.83mi
1510 Bridle Ct Greenville, NC 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 798 $1,250 $1.57 21d 1 0.84mi
935 Spring Forest Rd Greenville, NC 2.0 2.0 1000 $1,299 $1.30 21d 4 0.90mi
1902 Myrtle St Unit 1902-A Greenville, NC 2.0 1.0 848 $850 $1.00 21d 1 0.90mi
600 Howell St Apt E Greenville, NC 2.0 1.0 1050 $815 $0.78 21d 1 0.91mi
300 Higgs St Unit 300-B Greenville, NC 2.0 1.0 756 $900 $1.19 21d 1 0.94mi
400 Arbor St Greenville, NC 2.0 1.0 860 $1,850 $2.15 21d 1 1.02mi
1304 Myrtle St Greenville, NC 3.0 1.0 978 $1,375 $1.41 21d 1 1.21mi
504 Davenport St Unit A Greenville, NC 2.0 1.0 900 $895 $0.99 13d 1 1.27mi
301 Shiloh Dr Unit A Greenville, NC 2.0 1.0 864 $950 $1.10 21d 1 1.36mi
3709 Nantucket Rd Unit A Greenville, NC 3.0 2.0 1427 $1,700 $1.19 13d 1 1.40mi
3260 Landmark St Greenville, NC 2.0 1.5 1042 $1,000 $0.96 21d 1 1.42mi
3278 Colony Ct Greenville, NC 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1170 $1,350 $1.15 21d 1 1.42mi
203 Shiloh Dr Unit E Greenville, NC 2.0 1.5 1000 $1,130 $1.13 21d 1 1.42mi
1612 Lincoln Dr Greenville, NC 3.0 1.0 972 $900 $0.93 13d 1 1.45mi

Listing history 33 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $169,999 Active 105 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $169,999 Active 104 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    price $169,999 Active 103 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $180,000 Active 103 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $180,000 Active 102 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $180,000 Active 101 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $180,000 Active 98 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $180,000 Active 96 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $180,000 Active 95 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $180,000 Active 94 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $180,000 Active 93 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $180,000 Active 90 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $180,000 Active 89 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $180,000 Active 88 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $180,000 Active 87 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $180,000 Active 86 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $180,000 Active 85 DOM
  18. 2026-03-06
    listed $180,000 Active
  19. 2026-01-11
    historical
  20. 2025-10-03
    price $174,900
  21. 2025-09-03
    status Active
  22. 2025-09-03
    price $179,900
  23. 2025-09-02
    historical
  24. 2025-09-01
    historical
  25. 2025-08-07
    price $184,900
  26. 2025-07-28
    price $184,900
  27. 2025-06-27
    price $189,000
  28. 2025-06-13
    listed $195,000 Active
  29. 2025-06-12
    listed $195,000 Active
  30. 2024-11-27
    soldstatus $87,000
  31. 2024-11-25
    historical
  32. 2024-11-06
    listed $119,000 Active
  33. 2014-03-07
    soldstatus $46,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,153 · $96/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,394 · $116/mo
Expected delta
+$241/yr (+$20/mo · 20.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,987
− Mortgage interest
−$9,523
− Property taxes
−$1,153
− Insurance
−$850
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,279
− Management
−$1,279
− Depreciation
−$4,945
Taxable loss
−$3,042
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$730
After-tax cash flow
$659/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Pitt County Schools
NCES district ID
3700012
Math proficiency
41% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
44% ▲ 2.00%
Median HH income
$40,631
Composite
35.67/100
National rank
#4877
State rank
#100 of 178 in NC

Livability — Greenville

Score
77/100
State rank
#30
US rank
#2977

Category grades

Amenities C Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A Health & safety A+ User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Greenville, NC
County
Pitt County · 142,592 people
City population
115,121
Metro
Greenville, NC
Population (ZIP)
56,347
Household income
$48,935
Rent vs Own
62.6% rent · 37.4% own
Severe rent burden
3319.0

Population outlook (Pitt County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
194,585 people
By 2030
203,756 · +4.7%
By 2040
220,807 · +13.5%
By 2050
236,614 · +21.6%
By 2075
275,940 · +41.8%
By 2100
300,058 · +54.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
Race & ethnicity
Black 54% White 33% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 3% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 7%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada, China
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Pitt

2024 margin
Lean D (+6.0) · D 52.5% · R 46.5% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-2.8pp toward R · 2008: 8.8pp · 2024: 6.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+6.0 2020: D+9.4 2016: D+7.4 2012: D+6.7 2008: D+8.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -187.99%
Current HPI
190.6869
Rent YoY
▲ 5.44%
Metro
Greenville, NC
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+291.3% since first listed
16 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-06 Listed $180,000 Hive MLS
  • 2026-01-11 Listing Removed Hive MLS
  • 2025-10-03 Price Changed $174,900 Hive MLS
  • 2025-09-03 Relisted Hive MLS
  • 2025-09-03 Price Changed $179,900 Hive MLS
  • 2025-09-02 Listing Removed TMLS
  • 2025-09-01 Listing Removed Hive MLS
  • 2025-08-07 Price Changed $184,900 Hive MLS
  • 2025-07-28 Price Changed $184,900 TMLS
  • 2025-06-27 Price Changed $189,000 TMLS
  • 2025-06-13 Listed $195,000 TMLS
  • 2025-06-12 Listed $195,000 Hive MLS
  • 2024-11-27 Sold (Public Records) $87,000 Public Records
  • 2024-11-25 Listing Removed Hive MLS
  • 2024-11-06 Listed $119,000 Hive MLS
  • 2014-03-07 Sold (Public Records) $46,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+14.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,153 · +81.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…