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27743 Carini Villa St
C+ Composite 61.8
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.7/30.0
  • DSCR +8.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.5/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Condition / age +3.8/5.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.6/5.0
  • Schools +1.5/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$100,000

27743 Carini Villa St · Roseville, MI 48066
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 900 sqft · Condo · 7 Days on market
Built 1990 Good condition $135/mo HOA · 10% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Rare opportunity to own an affordable, move-in-ready end-unit condo in a quiet Roseville neighborhood. Features newer vinyl flooring in the living room, hallway, and bathroom. Major mechanicals - including the Lennox furnace, air conditioner, and hot water tank - are all approximately one year old. The kitchen offers stainless steel appliances and a dedicated dining area. The primary bedroom includes dual closets, and both bedrooms are well-sized. A laundry tub is conveniently located in the utility room. Enjoy the convenience of an assigned carport, and bring your pets - this community is pet-friendly. Minor damage to bedroom wall will be repaired upon closing. Schedule your showing today!

Key facts

  • Dual closets
  • Newer vinyl flooring
  • Laundry tub

Tags

NEWER VINYL FLOORINGSTAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCESDEDICATED DINING AREADUAL CLOSETSLAUNDRY TUBASSIGNED CARPORT

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $100k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $241 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
  • Cap rate 9.2% vs local median 6.0% in Roseville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#258 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety D+, employment D, schools F.
  • Roseville Community Schools (suburban): math 11% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #483 of 540 in MI (top 89%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 60% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 265 active listings in the ZIP; 36 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,321 units permitted in Macomb County in 2024 (86 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Macomb County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 9 sale attempts since 24y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $14k; list at $100k implies a 609% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $100,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  2. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.35%
Cap rate
9.19%
Cash-on-cash
10.33%
DSCR
1.46
GRM
6.2

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.39% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-4.1%
Equity multiple
0.85×
Total profit
$-4,205
Equity at exit
$14,910
10-year hold
IRR
1.8%
Equity multiple
1.11×
Total profit
$3,063
Equity at exit
$8,646

Cash invested: $28,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48066

Rents YoY
0.4%
Active inventory
265
Price-to-rent
6.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,351 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$524
Tax est. 1.5%
$125 /mo · $1,500/yr
Insurance
$42
HOA
$135
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$284
Net cashflow
$241

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,046
Max offer price $100,000
Occupancy floor 77%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$25,000
Closing costs
$3,000
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 36 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
27241 Woodmont St Roseville, MI 3.0 1.0 924 $1,550 $1.68 1d 1 0.42mi
26711 Lehner St Roseville, MI 3.0 1.0 960 $1,575 $1.64 24d 1 0.58mi
26536 Kathy St Roseville, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,499 $1.50 24d 1 0.72mi
16435 Twelve Mile Rd Roseville, MI 1.0 1.0 600 $950 $1.58 43d 1 0.74mi
29157 Hayes Rd Warren, MI 1.0 1.0 720 $1,250 $1.74 43d 1 0.74mi
16425 12 Mile Rd Roseville, MI 1.0 1.0 600 $950 $1.58 43d 1 0.75mi
16425 12 Mile Rd Roseville, MI 2.0 1.0 800 $1,100 $1.38 21d 1 0.75mi
26511 Grandmont St Roseville, MI 3.0 1.0 960 $1,495 $1.56 4d 1 0.77mi
16579 12 Mile Rd Unit 16579 Roseville, MI 2.0 1.0 850 $1,275 $1.50 43d 1 0.79mi
16577 12 Mile Rd Roseville, MI 2.0 1.0 850 $1,275 $1.50 43d 1 0.80mi
26153 Nagel St Roseville, MI 3.0 1.0 924 $1,500 $1.62 14d 1 0.83mi
16651 Twelve Mile Rd Roseville, MI 2.0–3.0 1.5 957 $1,325 $1.38 1d 1 0.89mi
26160 Regency Club Dr Warren, MI 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1011 $1,470 $1.45 1d 15 0.92mi
16840 E Eleven Mile Rd Roseville, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $1,300 $1.44 21d 3 0.94mi
16840 E Eleven Mile Rd Unit 104 Roseville, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $1,200 $1.33 43d 1 0.94mi
16840 E Eleven Mile Rd Roseville, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $1,300 $1.44 24d 3 0.94mi
16840 E Eleven Mile Rd Unit 103 Roseville, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $1,250 $1.39 43d 1 0.95mi
16840 E 11 Mile Rd Unit 109 Roseville, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $1,400 $1.56 43d 1 0.95mi
16944 E 11 Mile Rd Unit C2 Roseville, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $1,295 $1.44 24d 1 1.00mi
28368 Rosemont St Roseville, MI 2.0 1.0 696 $1,500 $2.16 21d 1 1.03mi
17392 Tennyson St Roseville, MI 3.0 1.0 900 $1,649 $1.83 2d 1 1.11mi
17405 Ivanhoe St Roseville, MI 3.0 1.0 969 $1,600 $1.65 43d 1 1.13mi
25672 Lira Ln Warren, MI 2.0 1.0 831 $1,250 $1.50 17d 1 1.19mi
28744 Maple St Roseville, MI 3.0 1.0 1050 $1,295 $1.23 43d 1 1.21mi
17455 Wildwood St Roseville, MI 1.0 1.0 800 $975 $1.22 24d 1 1.26mi
17491 Allen St Unit 17491 Allen Roseville, MI 1.0 1.0 900 $1,050 $1.17 4d 1 1.29mi
13741 McKinley Ave Unit 1032320P Warren, MI 2.0 1.0 839 $5,023 $5.99 1d 1 1.34mi
30541 Bluehill St Roseville, MI 3.0 1.5 989 $1,850 $1.87 43d 1 1.36mi
27415 Gratiot Ave Unit 1 Roseville, MI 1.0 1.0 1050 $1,250 $1.19 17d 1 1.37mi
25202 Firwood Ave Warren, MI 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,350 $1.23 24d 1 1.39mi
25184 Wiseman St Roseville, MI 3.0 1.0 895 $1,750 $1.96 21d 1 1.39mi
25184 Wiseman St Roseville, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,750 $1.75 3d 1 1.39mi
26291 Pinehurst St Unit 291c Roseville, MI 1.0 1.0 800 $1,025 $1.28 43d 1 1.48mi
25107 Rosenbusch Blvd Warren, MI 3.0 1.0 903 $1,523 $1.69 14d 1 1.48mi
26251 Pinehurst St Unit 251d Roseville, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,200 $1.20 43d 1 1.49mi
26221 Pinehurst St Roseville, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,200 $1.20 1d 1 1.49mi

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$135 · $1,620/yr
Likely covers
water
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 25 events

  1. 2026-04-24
    status Pending 699-char remark
    Show marketing remark (699 chars)

    Rare opportunity to own an affordable, move-in-ready end-unit condo in a quiet Roseville neighborhood. Features newer vinyl flooring in the living room, hallway, and bathroom. Major mechanicals - including the Lennox furnace, air conditioner, and hot water tank - are all approximately one year old. The kitchen offers stainless steel appliances and a dedicated dining area. The primary bedroom includes dual closets, and both bedrooms are well-sized. A laundry tub is conveniently located in the utility room. Enjoy the convenience of an assigned carport, and bring your pets - this community is pet-friendly. Minor damage to bedroom wall will be repaired upon closing. Schedule your showing today!

  2. 2026-04-24
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (699 chars)

    Rare opportunity to own an affordable, move-in-ready end-unit condo in a quiet Roseville neighborhood. Features newer vinyl flooring in the living room, hallway, and bathroom. Major mechanicals - including the Lennox furnace, air conditioner, and hot water tank - are all approximately one year old. The kitchen offers stainless steel appliances and a dedicated dining area. The primary bedroom includes dual closets, and both bedrooms are well-sized. A laundry tub is conveniently located in the utility room. Enjoy the convenience of an assigned carport, and bring your pets - this community is pet-friendly. Minor damage to bedroom wall will be repaired upon closing. Schedule your showing today!

  3. 2026-04-15
    listed $100,000 Active 699-char remark
    Show marketing remark (699 chars)

    Rare opportunity to own an affordable, move-in-ready end-unit condo in a quiet Roseville neighborhood. Features newer vinyl flooring in the living room, hallway, and bathroom. Major mechanicals - including the Lennox furnace, air conditioner, and hot water tank - are all approximately one year old. The kitchen offers stainless steel appliances and a dedicated dining area. The primary bedroom includes dual closets, and both bedrooms are well-sized. A laundry tub is conveniently located in the utility room. Enjoy the convenience of an assigned carport, and bring your pets - this community is pet-friendly. Minor damage to bedroom wall will be repaired upon closing. Schedule your showing today!

  4. 2026-04-15
    listed $100,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (699 chars)

    Rare opportunity to own an affordable, move-in-ready end-unit condo in a quiet Roseville neighborhood. Features newer vinyl flooring in the living room, hallway, and bathroom. Major mechanicals - including the Lennox furnace, air conditioner, and hot water tank - are all approximately one year old. The kitchen offers stainless steel appliances and a dedicated dining area. The primary bedroom includes dual closets, and both bedrooms are well-sized. A laundry tub is conveniently located in the utility room. Enjoy the convenience of an assigned carport, and bring your pets - this community is pet-friendly. Minor damage to bedroom wall will be repaired upon closing. Schedule your showing today!

  5. 2025-11-13
    historical
  6. 2025-11-10
    price $110,000
  7. 2025-11-10
    price $110,000
  8. 2025-10-29
    price $115,000
  9. 2025-10-28
    status Active
  10. 2025-10-28
    price $115,000
  11. 2025-10-28
    status Active
  12. 2025-10-27
    status Pending
  13. 2025-10-27
    status Pending
  14. 2025-10-27
    historical
  15. 2025-10-17
    listed $120,000 Active
  16. 2025-10-17
    listed $120,000 Active
  17. 2012-04-02
    soldstatus $14,100
  18. 2012-04-02
    soldstatus $14,100
  19. 2012-02-13
    historical
  20. 2012-02-13
    historical
  21. 2012-01-26
    listed $14,000
  22. 2012-01-26
    listed $14,000
  23. 2002-05-28
    soldstatus $81,500
  24. 2002-05-10
    historical
  25. 2002-03-18
    listed $81,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,210
− Mortgage interest
−$5,602
− Property taxes
−$1,500
− Insurance
−$500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,297
− Management
−$1,297
− HOA
−$1,620
− Depreciation
−$2,909
Taxable income
$1,485
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$357
After-tax cash flow
$2,536/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 2 photos

Good 75/100 Cosmetic rehab

This move-in-ready condo in Roseville offers a good condition with newer appliances and flooring. A fresh coat of paint on the exterior and replacing worn flooring would significantly enhance its curb appeal and value.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and property value
  • Both Replace worn flooring — Improves living space and adds value
  • Both Upgrade kitchen appliances — Modernizes the space and attracts more buyers

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and property value
  • Both Replace worn flooring — Improves living space and adds value
  • Both Upgrade kitchen appliances — Modernizes the space and attracts more buyers

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Roseville Community Schools
NCES district ID
2630210
Math proficiency
11% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$41,590
Composite
14.98/100
National rank
#9363
State rank
#483 of 540 in MI

Livability — Roseville

Score
72/100
State rank
#258
US rank
#6400

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety D+ User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Roseville, MI
County
Macomb County · 638,552 people
City population
47,123
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
47,123
Household income
$62,182
Rent vs Own
34.4% rent · 65.6% own
Severe rent burden
1712.0

Population outlook (Macomb County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
925,296 people
By 2030
948,226 · +2.5%
By 2040
983,961 · +6.3%
By 2050
1,010,200 · +9.2%
By 2075
1,076,222 · +16.3%
By 2100
1,077,065 · +16.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (65%)
Race & ethnicity
White 65% Black 23% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 12% Lithuanian 4% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Macomb

2024 margin
R (+13.7) · D 42.2% · R 55.9% · Other 1.9%
2008→2024 swing
-22.3pp toward R · 2008: 8.6pp · 2024: -13.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+13.7 2020: R+8.1 2016: R+11.6 2012: D+4.0 2008: D+8.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -232.95%
Current HPI
217.4171
Rent YoY
▲ 0.39%
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+22.7% since first listed
25 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-24 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-24 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-15 Listed $100,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-15 Listed $100,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-11-13 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-11-10 Price Changed $110,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-11-10 Price Changed $110,000 REALCOMP
  • 2025-10-29 Price Changed $115,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-10-28 Relisted MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-10-28 Price Changed $115,000 REALCOMP
  • 2025-10-28 Relisted REALCOMP
  • 2025-10-27 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-10-27 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2025-10-27 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2025-10-17 Listed $120,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-10-17 Listed $120,000 REALCOMP
  • 2012-04-02 Sold (MLS) $14,100 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2012-04-02 Sold (MLS) $14,100 REALCOMP
  • 2012-02-13 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2012-02-13 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2012-01-26 Listed $14,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2012-01-26 Listed $14,000 REALCOMP
  • 2002-05-28 Sold (MLS) $81,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2002-05-10 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2002-03-18 Listed $81,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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