27743 Carini Villa St · Roseville, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.7/30.0
- DSCR +8.6/10.0
- 1% rule +8.5/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.6/5.0
- Schools +1.5/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$100,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Rare opportunity to own an affordable, move-in-ready end-unit condo in a quiet Roseville neighborhood. Features newer vinyl flooring in the living room, hallway, and bathroom. Major mechanicals - including the Lennox furnace, air conditioner, and hot water tank - are all approximately one year old. The kitchen offers stainless steel appliances and a dedicated dining area. The primary bedroom includes dual closets, and both bedrooms are well-sized. A laundry tub is conveniently located in the utility room. Enjoy the convenience of an assigned carport, and bring your pets - this community is pet-friendly. Minor damage to bedroom wall will be repaired upon closing. Schedule your showing today!
Key facts
- Dual closets
- Newer vinyl flooring
- Laundry tub
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $100k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $241 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
- Cap rate 9.2% vs local median 6.0% in Roseville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#258 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety D+, employment D, schools F.
- Roseville Community Schools (suburban): math 11% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #483 of 540 in MI (top 89%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 60% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 265 active listings in the ZIP; 36 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,321 units permitted in Macomb County in 2024 (86 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Macomb County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 9 sale attempts since 24y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $14k; list at $100k implies a 609% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.35% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.19%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.33%
- DSCR
- 1.46
- GRM
- 6.2
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.39% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -4.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.85×
- Total profit
- $-4,205
- Equity at exit
- $14,910
- IRR
- 1.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.11×
- Total profit
- $3,063
- Equity at exit
- $8,646
Cash invested: $28,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48066
- Rents YoY
- 0.4%
- Active inventory
- 265
- Price-to-rent
- 6.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,351 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$524
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$125 /mo · $1,500/yr
- Insurance
- −$42
- HOA
- −$135
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$284
- Net cashflow
- $241
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $25,000
- Closing costs
- $3,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 36 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27241 Woodmont St Roseville, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 924 | $1,550 | $1.68 | 1d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 26711 Lehner St Roseville, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $1,575 | $1.64 | 24d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 26536 Kathy St Roseville, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,499 | $1.50 | 24d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 16435 Twelve Mile Rd Roseville, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $950 | $1.58 | 43d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 29157 Hayes Rd Warren, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $1,250 | $1.74 | 43d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 16425 12 Mile Rd Roseville, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $950 | $1.58 | 43d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 16425 12 Mile Rd Roseville, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,100 | $1.38 | 21d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 26511 Grandmont St Roseville, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $1,495 | $1.56 | 4d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 16579 12 Mile Rd Unit 16579 Roseville, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,275 | $1.50 | 43d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 16577 12 Mile Rd Roseville, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,275 | $1.50 | 43d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 26153 Nagel St Roseville, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 924 | $1,500 | $1.62 | 14d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 16651 Twelve Mile Rd Roseville, MI | 2.0–3.0 | 1.5 | 957 | $1,325 | $1.38 | 1d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 26160 Regency Club Dr Warren, MI | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1011 | $1,470 | $1.45 | 1d | 15 | 0.92mi |
| 16840 E Eleven Mile Rd Roseville, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,300 | $1.44 | 21d | 3 | 0.94mi |
| 16840 E Eleven Mile Rd Unit 104 Roseville, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,200 | $1.33 | 43d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 16840 E Eleven Mile Rd Roseville, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,300 | $1.44 | 24d | 3 | 0.94mi |
| 16840 E Eleven Mile Rd Unit 103 Roseville, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,250 | $1.39 | 43d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 16840 E 11 Mile Rd Unit 109 Roseville, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,400 | $1.56 | 43d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 16944 E 11 Mile Rd Unit C2 Roseville, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,295 | $1.44 | 24d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 28368 Rosemont St Roseville, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 696 | $1,500 | $2.16 | 21d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 17392 Tennyson St Roseville, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,649 | $1.83 | 2d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 17405 Ivanhoe St Roseville, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 969 | $1,600 | $1.65 | 43d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 25672 Lira Ln Warren, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 831 | $1,250 | $1.50 | 17d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 28744 Maple St Roseville, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,295 | $1.23 | 43d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 17455 Wildwood St Roseville, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $975 | $1.22 | 24d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 17491 Allen St Unit 17491 Allen Roseville, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,050 | $1.17 | 4d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 13741 McKinley Ave Unit 1032320P Warren, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 839 | $5,023 | $5.99 | 1d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 30541 Bluehill St Roseville, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 989 | $1,850 | $1.87 | 43d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 27415 Gratiot Ave Unit 1 Roseville, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,250 | $1.19 | 17d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 25202 Firwood Ave Warren, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,350 | $1.23 | 24d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 25184 Wiseman St Roseville, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 895 | $1,750 | $1.96 | 21d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 25184 Wiseman St Roseville, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,750 | $1.75 | 3d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 26291 Pinehurst St Unit 291c Roseville, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,025 | $1.28 | 43d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 25107 Rosenbusch Blvd Warren, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 903 | $1,523 | $1.69 | 14d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 26251 Pinehurst St Unit 251d Roseville, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,200 | $1.20 | 43d | 1 | 1.49mi |
| 26221 Pinehurst St Roseville, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,200 | $1.20 | 1d | 1 | 1.49mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $135 · $1,620/yr
- Likely covers
- water
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 25 events
-
2026-04-24status Pending 699-char remark
Show marketing remark (699 chars)
Rare opportunity to own an affordable, move-in-ready end-unit condo in a quiet Roseville neighborhood. Features newer vinyl flooring in the living room, hallway, and bathroom. Major mechanicals - including the Lennox furnace, air conditioner, and hot water tank - are all approximately one year old. The kitchen offers stainless steel appliances and a dedicated dining area. The primary bedroom includes dual closets, and both bedrooms are well-sized. A laundry tub is conveniently located in the utility room. Enjoy the convenience of an assigned carport, and bring your pets - this community is pet-friendly. Minor damage to bedroom wall will be repaired upon closing. Schedule your showing today!
-
2026-04-24status Pending
Show marketing remark (699 chars)
Rare opportunity to own an affordable, move-in-ready end-unit condo in a quiet Roseville neighborhood. Features newer vinyl flooring in the living room, hallway, and bathroom. Major mechanicals - including the Lennox furnace, air conditioner, and hot water tank - are all approximately one year old. The kitchen offers stainless steel appliances and a dedicated dining area. The primary bedroom includes dual closets, and both bedrooms are well-sized. A laundry tub is conveniently located in the utility room. Enjoy the convenience of an assigned carport, and bring your pets - this community is pet-friendly. Minor damage to bedroom wall will be repaired upon closing. Schedule your showing today!
-
2026-04-15$100,000 Active 699-char remark
Show marketing remark (699 chars)
Rare opportunity to own an affordable, move-in-ready end-unit condo in a quiet Roseville neighborhood. Features newer vinyl flooring in the living room, hallway, and bathroom. Major mechanicals - including the Lennox furnace, air conditioner, and hot water tank - are all approximately one year old. The kitchen offers stainless steel appliances and a dedicated dining area. The primary bedroom includes dual closets, and both bedrooms are well-sized. A laundry tub is conveniently located in the utility room. Enjoy the convenience of an assigned carport, and bring your pets - this community is pet-friendly. Minor damage to bedroom wall will be repaired upon closing. Schedule your showing today!
-
2026-04-15$100,000 Active
Show marketing remark (699 chars)
Rare opportunity to own an affordable, move-in-ready end-unit condo in a quiet Roseville neighborhood. Features newer vinyl flooring in the living room, hallway, and bathroom. Major mechanicals - including the Lennox furnace, air conditioner, and hot water tank - are all approximately one year old. The kitchen offers stainless steel appliances and a dedicated dining area. The primary bedroom includes dual closets, and both bedrooms are well-sized. A laundry tub is conveniently located in the utility room. Enjoy the convenience of an assigned carport, and bring your pets - this community is pet-friendly. Minor damage to bedroom wall will be repaired upon closing. Schedule your showing today!
-
2025-11-13historical
-
2025-11-10price $110,000
-
2025-11-10price $110,000
-
2025-10-29price $115,000
-
2025-10-28status Active
-
2025-10-28price $115,000
-
2025-10-28status Active
-
2025-10-27status Pending
-
2025-10-27status Pending
-
2025-10-27historical
-
2025-10-17$120,000 Active
-
2025-10-17$120,000 Active
-
2012-04-02soldstatus $14,100
-
2012-04-02soldstatus $14,100
-
2012-02-13historical
-
2012-02-13historical
-
2012-01-26$14,000
-
2012-01-26$14,000
-
2002-05-28soldstatus $81,500
-
2002-05-10historical
-
2002-03-18$81,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,210
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,602
- − Property taxes
- −$1,500
- − Insurance
- −$500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,297
- − Management
- −$1,297
- − HOA
- −$1,620
- − Depreciation
- −$2,909
- Taxable income
- $1,485
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$357
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,536/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 2 photos
This move-in-ready condo in Roseville offers a good condition with newer appliances and flooring. A fresh coat of paint on the exterior and replacing worn flooring would significantly enhance its curb appeal and value.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and property value
- Both Replace worn flooring — Improves living space and adds value
- Both Upgrade kitchen appliances — Modernizes the space and attracts more buyers
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and property value ↑
- Both Replace worn flooring — Improves living space and adds value ↑
- Both Upgrade kitchen appliances — Modernizes the space and attracts more buyers ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Roseville Community Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2630210
- Math proficiency
- 11% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,590
- Composite
- 14.98/100
- National rank
- #9363
- State rank
- #483 of 540 in MI
Livability — Roseville
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #258
- US rank
- #6400
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Roseville, MI
- County
- Macomb County · 638,552 people
- City population
- 47,123
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 47,123
- Household income
- $62,182
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1712.0
Population outlook (Macomb County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 925,296 people
- By 2030
- 948,226 · +2.5%
- By 2040
- 983,961 · +6.3%
- By 2050
- 1,010,200 · +9.2%
- By 2075
- 1,076,222 · +16.3%
- By 2100
- 1,077,065 · +16.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (65%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 65% Black 23% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 12% Lithuanian 4% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Macomb
- 2024 margin
- R (+13.7) · D 42.2% · R 55.9% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.3pp toward R · 2008: 8.6pp · 2024: -13.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+13.7 2020: R+8.1 2016: R+11.6 2012: D+4.0 2008: D+8.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -232.95%
- Current HPI
- 217.4171
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.39%
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
||
| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
||
Price history
+22.7% since first listed25 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-24 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-24 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2026-04-15 Listed $100,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-04-15 Listed $100,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-11-13 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-11-10 Price Changed $110,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-11-10 Price Changed $110,000 REALCOMP
- 2025-10-29 Price Changed $115,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-10-28 Relisted — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-10-28 Price Changed $115,000 REALCOMP
- 2025-10-28 Relisted — REALCOMP
- 2025-10-27 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-10-27 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2025-10-27 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2025-10-17 Listed $120,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-10-17 Listed $120,000 REALCOMP
- 2012-04-02 Sold (MLS) $14,100 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2012-04-02 Sold (MLS) $14,100 REALCOMP
- 2012-02-13 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2012-02-13 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2012-01-26 Listed $14,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2012-01-26 Listed $14,000 REALCOMP
- 2002-05-28 Sold (MLS) $81,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2002-05-10 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2002-03-18 Listed $81,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…