1141 Mayo St · Ridgecrest, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 7/10 · Major
- Unhealthy air days now
- 14 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.6/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +7.2/10.0
- 1% rule +5.1/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +3.4/5.0
- Schools +2.9/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$149,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Make an appointment right away to get in on this great Mayo St. home!! priced to sell quick & 'as-is! Endless possibilities with this cute 3 bedroom + 2 bathroom home featuring a cozy living room with woodstove, newer furnace & stove. Lots of potential here, nice front yard & fully fenced private backyard with private covered patio, firepit & storage shed . .. situated in Ridgecrest Heights, a fantastic location. .. not far from anything! Not too much to do however bring your toolbox & be the first to get in on this hot deal while its still available!! Call or text for an appointment ASAP!
Key facts
- Cozy living room
- Firepit
- Newer furnace
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: 2-car garage; Garage door opener
- Utilities: Natural gas connected; Sewer connected
- Home design: Single family residence; Residential property (resale, site-built); R-1 zoning
- Construction: Wood siding; Stucco; Asphalt shingle roof
- Exterior features: Covered patio; Dog run; Partial fencing; Shed(s); Landscaped lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Range; Oven
- Flooring: Laminate; Tile; Concrete
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Wood heating; Evaporative cooling
- Interior features: Dishwasher; Range; Oven; Gas water heater
- Laundry & utility: Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $254 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
- Cap rate 8.3% vs local median 4.0% in Ridgecrest — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#243 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, amenities D+, cost of living D+.
- Sierra Sands Unified (town): math 25% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #294 of 517 in CA (top 57%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.6%/yr); 328 active listings in the ZIP; 21 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 3d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 3,244 units permitted in Kern County in 2024 (73 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Kern County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $39k; list at $150k implies a 283% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 8→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.01% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.33%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.29%
- DSCR
- 1.32
- GRM
- 8.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $225,792
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1436 S Farragut St | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 | 1,135 (-2%) | 4mo | $242,300 | $213 | 76 |
| 1441 S Yorktown St | 0.42mi | 3/2.0 | 1,131 (-2%) | 4mo | $218,000 | $193 | 74 |
| 914 W Dolphin Ave | 0.37mi | 3/2.0 | 1,216 (+6%) | 1mo | $250,000 | $206 | 73 |
| 1201 Porter St | 0.06mi | 3/2.0 | 1,300 (+13%) | 5mo | $265,000 | $204 | 72 |
| 1029 W Mariposa Ave | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 | 1,131 (-2%) | 3mo | $230,000 | $203 | 69 |
| 1213 S Mccall St | 0.17mi | 3/2.0 | 1,307 (+14%) | 2mo | $255,000 | $195 | 68 |
| 1240 S Mccall St | 0.23mi | 3/2.0 | 1,288 (+12%) | 3mo | $235,000 | $182 | 68 |
| 1144 W Benson Ave | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 | 1,148 (-0%) | 2mo | $215,000 | $187 | 67 |
| 1525 S Porter | 0.47mi | 3/1.0 | 1,108 (-4%) | 6mo | $192,500 | $174 | 63 |
| 1112 W Willow Ave | 0.51mi | 3/2.0 | 1,235 (+7%) | 2mo | $241,900 | $196 | 63 |
| 1204 S Mahan St | 0.09mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,320 (+15%) | 8mo | $150,000 | $114 | 60 |
| 930 W Hood Ave | 0.40mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,040 (-10%) | 7mo | $215,000 | $207 | 54 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.58% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -4.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.83×
- Total profit
- $-7,170
- Equity at exit
- $22,291
- IRR
- 5.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.43×
- Total profit
- $18,177
- Equity at exit
- $12,926
Cash invested: $41,860 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 93555
- Home prices YoY
- -24.0%
- Rents YoY
- 3.6%
- Active inventory
- 328
- Price-to-rent
- 8.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,516 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$784
- Tax from tax record
- −$97 /mo · $1,162/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$318
- Net cashflow
- $254
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,375
- Closing costs
- $4,485
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 21 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 920 W Perch Ave Ridgecrest, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1326 | $1,450 | $1.09 | 11d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 922 W Vulcan Ave Ridgecrest, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1458 | $2,100 | $1.44 | 44d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 1000 W Coronado Ave Ridgecrest, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1161 | $1,600 | $1.38 | 44d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 1205 W Mariposa Ave Unit B Ridgecrest, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $1,550 | $1.19 | 3d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 1340 W Mariposa Ave Unit 1 Ridgecrest, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 780 | $1,495 | $1.92 | 3d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 804 S Nevada St Ridgecrest, CA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1470 | $1,900 | $1.29 | 44d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 1217 W Upjohn Ave Ridgecrest, CA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 936 | $950 | $1.01 | 3d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 741 S Allen St Unit B Ridgecrest, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $950 | $1.36 | 44d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 736 S Norma St Unit C Ridgecrest, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,000 | $1.25 | 3d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 824 S Norma St Unit 848B Ridgecrest, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,350 | $1.69 | 23d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 824 S Norma St Unit 832A Ridgecrest, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 925 | $1,650 | $1.78 | 3d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 824 S Norma St Unit 804B Ridgecrest, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 850 | $1,550 | $1.82 | 3d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 824 S Norma St Unit 848A Ridgecrest, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,350 | $1.69 | 3d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 707 S Norma St Ridgecrest, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,000 | $1.05 | 3d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 413 S Sunset St Unit C Ridgecrest, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,050 | $1.17 | 3d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 740 W Church Ave Ridgecrest, CA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,800 | $1.20 | 19d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 430 W Wilson Ave Ridgecrest, CA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1080 | $1,350 | $1.25 | 3d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 424 W Wilson Ave Unit A Ridgecrest, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $995 | $1.11 | 3d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 327 W Haloid Ave Ridgecrest, CA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 800 | $1,100 | $1.38 | 3d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 1140 College Heights Blvd Ridgecrest, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,050 | $1.11 | 3d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 308 W Wilson Ave Apt B Ridgecrest, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 880 | $1,275 | $1.45 | 3d | 1 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-05-23$149,500 Active
-
2000-09-22soldstatus $39,000
-
1996-05-31soldstatus $35,500
-
1990-06-29soldstatus $71,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,162 · $97/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,162 · $97/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 8 d/yr ≥103°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 7/10 Severe 14 unhealthy d/yr today · 15 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,190
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,374
- − Property taxes
- −$1,162
- − Insurance
- −$748
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,455
- − Management
- −$1,455
- − Depreciation
- −$4,349
- Taxable income
- $646
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$155
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,897/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Sierra Sands Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0636800
- Math proficiency
- 25% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $58,937
- Composite
- 28.66/100
- National rank
- #6699
- State rank
- #294 of 517 in CA
Livability — Ridgecrest
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #243
- US rank
- #8014
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Ridgecrest, CA
- County
- Kern County · 710,371 people
- City population
- 33,845
- Metro
- Bakersfield, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 33,845
- Household income
- $86,700
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 975.0
Population outlook (Kern County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 947,286 people
- By 2030
- 978,984 · +3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,045,018 · +10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,105,232 · +16.7%
- By 2075
- 1,229,538 · +29.8%
- By 2100
- 1,238,059 · +30.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (65%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 65% Hispanic / Latino 20% Two or more races 12% Black 4% Asian 4% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 15%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 4% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 84% English-only · Spanish 11% Other Indo-European 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Kern
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+21.1) · D 38.2% · R 59.3% · Other 2.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.3pp toward R · 2008: -17.8pp · 2024: -21.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+21.1 2020: R+10.2 2016: R+15.0 2012: R+20.9 2008: R+17.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -120.17%
- Current HPI
- 380.5208
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.58%
- Metro
- Bakersfield, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
+110.6% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-23 Listed $149,500 SSMLS
- 2000-09-22 Sold (Public Records) $39,000 Public Records
- 1996-05-31 Sold (Public Records) $35,500 Public Records
- 1990-06-29 Sold (Public Records) $71,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.7%/yrLatest (2025): $1,162 · +4.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…