🏷️ Likely Rental
522 Miller St · Jefferson, SC
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- —
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- —
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$65,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
522 West Miller St. Jefferson, SC Two bedroom, one bath. New metal roof, new HVAC, insulation in attic, new electrical wiring. Property currently rented for $500 per month. Almost one half acre inside the city limits with city water and sewer. Cement block structure. Selling property as is.
Key facts
- New metal roof
- New hvac
- City water
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Home design: House
- Construction: Built in 2025; Approximately 1,000 living area
- Exterior features: Half-acre lot
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $65k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $413 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $65k).
- Recommended offer: $57k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 61/100 on livability (#212 in SC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Chesterfield 01 (rural): math 25% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #55 of 80 in SC (top 69%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 63% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 20 active listings in the ZIP; 145 units permitted in Chesterfield County in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $7k of equity ($449 loan paydown + $6k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Chesterfield County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 237 days — a 12% lower offer ($57k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 237 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.68% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.91%
- Cash-on-cash
- 27.21%
- DSCR
- 2.21
- GRM
- 5.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $172,000
- Comps found
- 2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 709 W Elizabeth St | 0.12mi | 2/1.5 | 1,038 (+4%) | 11mo | $110,000 | $106 | 77 |
| 310 W Miller St | 0.27mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 980 (-2%) | 19mo | $169,000 | $172 | 63 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 44.9%
- Equity multiple
- 4.39×
- Total profit
- $61,699
- Equity at exit
- $58,557
- IRR
- 38.9%
- Equity multiple
- 9.85×
- Total profit
- $161,057
- Equity at exit
- $126,281
Cash invested: $18,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State South Carolina
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 29718
- Home prices YoY
- 4.8%
- Active inventory
- 20
- Price-to-rent
- 5.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,091 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$341
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$81 /mo · $975/yr
- Insurance
- −$27
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$229
- Net cashflow
- $413
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $458 | -5% $435 | +0% $413 | +5% $390 | +10% $368 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $326 | -5% $370 | +0% $413 | +5% $456 | +10% $499 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $445 | -0.5pp $429 | base $413 | +0.5pp $396 | +1.0pp $379 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $16,250
- Closing costs
- $1,950
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $65,000 Active 237 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $65,000 Active 236 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $65,000 Active 235 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $65,000 Active 234 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $65,000 Active 232 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $65,000 Active 228 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $65,000 Active 227 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $65,000 Active 226 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $65,000 Active 223 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $65,000 Active 222 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $65,000 Active 221 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $65,000 Active 220 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $65,000 Active 219 DOM
-
2025-10-24$65,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,091
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,641
- − Property taxes
- −$975
- − Insurance
- −$325
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,047
- − Management
- −$1,047
- − Depreciation
- −$1,891
- Taxable income
- $4,165
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,000
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,952/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Chesterfield 01
- NCES district ID
- 4501560
- Math proficiency
- 25% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 36% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $33,946
- Composite
- 25.04/100
- National rank
- #7547
- State rank
- #55 of 80 in SC
Livability — Jefferson
- Score
- 61/100
- State rank
- #212
- US rank
- #17840
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Jefferson, SC
- Population (ZIP)
- 4,049
Population outlook (Chesterfield County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 44,632 people
- By 2030
- 43,331 · -2.9%
- By 2040
- 40,218 · -9.9%
- By 2050
- 36,847 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 29,636 · -33.6%
- By 2100
- 23,536 · -47.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (73%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 73% Black 22% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 3%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Chesterfield
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+28.1) · D 35.5% · R 63.5% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -25.1pp toward R · 2008: -3.0pp · 2024: -28.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+28.1 2020: R+20.5 2016: R+14.3 2012: R+3.3 2008: R+3.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 14.53%
- Current HPI
- 316.6672
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.51%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in SC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Packaging | 1 | $7B |
|
||
Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2025-10-24 Listed $65,000 ForSaleByOwner.com
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…