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2840 S Circle Dr #818
B- Composite 68.44
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.4/5.0
  • Schools +2.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$49,900

2840 S Circle Dr #818 · Colorado Springs, CO 80906
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 924 sqft · Manufactured · 41 Days on market
Built 2026

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Bring your vision to this vintage 1976 MARSHFIELD home at Circle Drive in Colorado Springs, CO. With 924 square feet and a practical single-wide layout, this retro fixer-upper is a great opportunity for a handyman, investor, or buyer looking for a project with potential. This home offers classic character and room for updates, making it ideal for someone ready to renovate and customize the space. Located at 2840 S Circle Dr, Lot 818, in the Circle Drive community of Colorado Springs, this affordable home is priced at $49,900 and is ready for its next chapter.

Key facts

  • Built 2026
  • Listed 41 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Status: Active; Listing last modified 2026-05-08
  • Financial info: List price $49,900

Exterior

  • Home design: Spec inventory, Marshfield plan
  • Exterior features: Located at 2840 S Circle Dr #818, Colorado Springs, CO 80906

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: 1 bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Other heating
  • Interior features: Living area approximately 924

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $50k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $867 ($10k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $50k).
  • Recommended offer: $48k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 27.1% vs local median 3.3% in Colorado Springs — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 78/100 on livability (#23 in CO, #2,639 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: cost of living C-, crime F.
  • Harrison School District No. 2 In The County Of El Paso An (urban): math 16% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #67 of 86 in CO (top 78%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.4%/yr); 300 active listings in the ZIP; 30 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 3,906 units permitted in El Paso County in 2024 (872 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $345 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • El Paso County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 41 days — a 3% lower offer ($48k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $48,403 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 41 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.07%
Cap rate
27.15%
Cash-on-cash
74.48%
DSCR
4.31
GRM
2.7

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
70.9%
Equity multiple
4.05×
Total profit
$42,670
Equity at exit
$7,440
10-year hold
IRR
74.0%
Equity multiple
7.51×
Total profit
$90,990
Equity at exit
$4,314

Cash invested: $13,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
38 Tenant-Leaning
State Colorado
38 Tenant-Leaning · D+4
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
2023 reforms: 10-day cure, mandated notice, source-of-income protected. Courts backlogged in Denver.

ZIP-level market 80906

Rents YoY
-0.4%
Active inventory
300
Price-to-rent
2.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,534 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$262
Tax est. 1.5%
$62 /mo · $748/yr
Insurance
$21
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$322
Net cashflow
$867

Break-even live

Break-even rent $437
Max offer price $49,900
Occupancy floor 38%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$12,475
Closing costs
$1,497
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 30 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2115 Birmingham Loop Colorado Springs, CO 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 923 $1,920 $2.08 2d 24 0.48mi
1836 Ralphs Rdg Colorado Springs, CO 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 702 $1,566 $2.23 2d 10 0.61mi
1316 Harrison Rd Colorado Springs, CO 3.0 1.0 894 $1,595 $1.78 21d 1 0.63mi
1535 Monterey Rd #230 Colorado Springs, CO 2.0 1.0 1008 $1,550 $1.54 23d 1 0.79mi
2218 Carmel Dr Colorado Springs, CO 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,950 $1.95 23d 1 0.79mi
2049 Legacy Ridge Vw Colorado Springs, CO 2.0 1.0 944 $1,335 $1.41 14d 1 0.82mi
2102 Carmel Dr Colorado Springs, CO 1.0 1.0 548 $749 $1.37 23d 1 0.84mi
1810 Eldorado Springs Hts Colorado Springs, CO 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1081 $2,398 $2.22 2d 14 0.85mi
2010 Carmel Dr Colorado Springs, CO 1.0–2.0 1.0 701 $850 $1.21 10d 4 0.88mi
2050 Del Mar Dr Colorado Springs, CO 3.0 1.0 912 $2,095 $2.30 23d 1 0.89mi
1806 Monterey Rd Ste Off Colorado Springs, CO 2.0 1.0 661 $1,169 $1.77 2d 20 0.98mi
1751 Shenandoah Dr Colorado Springs, CO 2.0 1.5 960 $1,015 $1.06 23d 1 1.05mi
916 Tenderfoot Hill Rd Colorado Springs, CO 2.0 2.0 908 $1,822 $2.01 14d 1 1.08mi
848 Tenderfoot Hill Rd Colorado Springs, CO 2.0 2.0 908 $1,395 $1.54 23d 1 1.16mi
814 Tenderfoot Hill Rd #201 Colorado Springs, CO 2.0 2.0 908 $1,295 $1.43 2d 1 1.17mi
2005 S El Paso Ave Colorado Springs, CO 2.0 1.0 570 $1,260 $2.21 2d 9 1.18mi
2335 CoralBell Grv Colorado Springs, CO 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 997 $2,048 $2.05 23d 34 1.28mi
2335 CoralBell Grv Colorado Springs, CO 2.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1004 $1,695 $1.69 2d 7 1.28mi
945 Moorings Dr Colorado Springs, CO 2.0 2.0 984 $1,712 $1.74 23d 1 1.29mi
2605 Verde Dr Colorado Springs, CO 1.0–2.0 1.0 722 $1,190 $1.65 2d 15 1.30mi
3308 Quail Lake Rd Colorado Springs, CO 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 943 $1,909 $2.02 2d 1 1.32mi
1698 Lenmar Dr Colorado Springs, CO 1.0–3.0 1.0 700 $1,302 $1.86 2d 26 1.33mi
750 E Cheyenne Rd Colorado Springs, CO 1.0–2.0 1.0 610 $1,175 $1.93 23d 5 1.38mi
1117 Verde Dr Colorado Springs, CO 2.0 1.0 714 $1,065 $1.49 2d 18 1.39mi
2730 Bentley Pt Colorado Springs, CO 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 715 $1,111 $1.55 23d 8 1.40mi
1026 Rice Dr Colorado Springs, CO 3.0 1.0 640 $1,341 $2.10 10d 27 1.41mi
2330 E Fountain Blvd Unit 37 Colorado Springs, CO 1.0 1.0 640 $950 $1.48 23d 1 1.45mi
2610 E Fountain Blvd Colorado Springs, CO 1.0–2.0 1.0 767 $1,099 $1.43 3d 5 1.47mi
890 Quail Lake Cir Colorado Springs, CO 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1147 $1,798 $1.57 2d 21 1.48mi
2614 E Fountain Blvd Colorado Springs, CO 2.0 1.0 875 $1,062 $1.21 23d 1 1.48mi

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $49,900 Active 41 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $49,900 Active 40 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $49,900 Active 39 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $49,900 Active 38 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $49,900 Active 36 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $49,900 Active 35 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $49,900 Active 33 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $49,900 Active 32 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $49,900 Active 31 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $49,900 Active 30 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $49,900 Active 27 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $49,900 Active 26 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $49,900 Active 25 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $49,900 Active 24 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $49,900 Active 23 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (shaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥90°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,410
− Mortgage interest
−$2,795
− Property taxes
−$748
− Insurance
−$250
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,473
− Management
−$1,473
− Depreciation
−$1,452
Taxable income
$10,220
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,453
After-tax cash flow
$7,953/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Harrison School District No. 2 In The County Of El Paso An
NCES district ID
0804530
Math proficiency
16% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
35% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$40,242
Composite
21.47/100
National rank
#8333
State rank
#67 of 86 in CO

Livability — Colorado Springs

Score
78/100
State rank
#23
US rank
#2639

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A Cost of living C- Crime F Employment B Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
El Paso County · 689,348 people
City population
555,783
Metro
Colorado Springs, CO
Population (ZIP)
37,502
Household income
$89,984
Rent vs Own
34.7% rent · 65.3% own
Severe rent burden
1572.0

Population outlook (El Paso County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
768,926 people
By 2030
815,739 · +6.1%
By 2040
903,489 · +17.5%
By 2050
981,204 · +27.6%
By 2075
1,155,542 · +50.3%
By 2100
1,202,070 · +56.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (70%)
Race & ethnicity
White 70% Hispanic / Latino 18% Two or more races 11% Black 4% Asian 3% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 8% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Italian 3% Romanian 3% Slovak 3%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada, South Korea, Vietnam
Languages at home
89% English-only · Spanish 6% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · El Paso

2024 margin
Lean R (+9.8) · D 43.8% · R 53.5% · Other 2.7%
2008→2024 swing
+9.0pp toward D · 2008: -18.8pp · 2024: -9.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+9.8 2020: R+10.8 2016: R+22.6 2012: R+21.4 2008: R+18.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -272.61%
Current HPI
248.2125
Rent YoY
▼ -0.43%
Metro
Colorado Springs, CO
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.95%
F500 in state
14

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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