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1 Desert Dr
C+ Composite 61.21
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.3/30.0
  • DSCR +8.9/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +7.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Schools +3.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.9/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.2/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$140,000

1 Desert Dr · Boles Acres, NM 88310
3 bd · 1.75 ba · 1,904 sqft · Manufactured · 6 Days on market
Built 1996 Fair condition 0.25 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

This manufactured home sits on a fully fenced 1/4 acre lot in La Luz, with a 2 car carport, re-roofed in 2018, on permanent foundation, block fence, pistachio trees. 3 bedroom 1.75 bath, large rooms, deck on front and back, 2 storage sheds in yard.

Key facts

  • 2 car carport
  • Fully fenced
  • Pistachio trees

Tags

FULLY FENCED2 CAR CARPORTPERMANENT FOUNDATIONBLOCK FENCEPISTACHIO TREESDECK ON FRONT AND BACK

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached parking
  • Utilities: Septic tank
  • Home design: Manufactured home; Single-story; Residential property
  • Construction: Wood siding; Shingle roof
  • Exterior features: Deck; Shed(s); Corner lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Oven; Range; Refrigerator
  • Flooring: Carpet; Tile
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air; Ceiling fans
  • Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Vaulted ceilings; Walk-in closets; Window coverings
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.75-bath manufactured listed at $140k. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $362 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $140k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#47 in NM) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: health & safety C-, schools F, amenities F.
  • Alamogordo Public Schools (town): math 26% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #26 of 95 in NM (top 27%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.6%/yr); 444 active listings in the ZIP; 6 units permitted in Otero County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($57k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $968 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Otero County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer $140,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.20%
Cap rate
9.40%
Cash-on-cash
11.09%
DSCR
1.49
GRM
6.9

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.65% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-1.3%
Equity multiple
0.95×
Total profit
$-1,848
Equity at exit
$20,874
10-year hold
IRR
6.9%
Equity multiple
1.49×
Total profit
$19,189
Equity at exit
$12,105

Cash invested: $39,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
State New Mexico
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice but with cure rights; relocation assistance in some cities.

ZIP-level market 88310

Rents YoY
1.6%
Active inventory
444
Price-to-rent
6.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,683 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$734
Tax est. 1.5%
$175 /mo · $2,100/yr
Insurance
$58
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$353
Net cashflow
$362

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,225
Max offer price $140,000
Occupancy floor 73%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$35,000
Closing costs
$4,200
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $140,000 Active 6 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $140,000 Active 5 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $140,000 Active 4 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $140,000 Active 3 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    remarks 248-char remark
  6. 2026-06-13
    listed $140,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,198
− Mortgage interest
−$7,842
− Property taxes
−$2,100
− Insurance
−$700
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,616
− Management
−$1,616
− Depreciation
−$4,073
Taxable income
$2,251
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$540
After-tax cash flow
$3,806/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Fair 45/100 Moderate rehab

This manufactured home requires moderate repairs and updates to its kitchen and bathrooms, as well as some landscaping. It has a good roof and is on a permanent foundation, making it a solid investment with room for improvement.

Repairs flagged

  • Moderate Kitchen cabinets — Dated appearance
  • Moderate Bathroom fixtures — Dated appearance
  • Minor Landscaping — Some vegetation needs trimming

Value-add opportunities

  • Resale Paint interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal
  • Resale Replace countertops — Modern countertops improve functionality and aesthetics
  • Resale Update bathroom fixtures — Modern fixtures enhance functionality and aesthetics
  • Rental Landscaping — Well-maintained landscaping improves curb appeal and tenant satisfaction

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
Kitchen cabinets · Dated appearance Moderate $3,000–15,000
Bathroom fixtures · Dated appearance Moderate $3,000–15,000
Landscaping · Some vegetation needs trimming Minor $500–3,000
Total estimated repair cost · 3 items $6,500–33,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Resale Paint interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal
  • Resale Replace countertops — Modern countertops improve functionality and aesthetics
  • Resale Update bathroom fixtures — Modern fixtures enhance functionality and aesthetics
  • Rental Landscaping — Well-maintained landscaping improves curb appeal and tenant satisfaction

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Alamogordo Public Schools
NCES district ID
3500030
Math proficiency
26%
Reading proficiency
39%
Median HH income
$42,194
Composite
30.24/100
National rank
#11572
State rank
#26 of 95 in NM

Livability — Boles Acres

Score
65/100
State rank
#47
US rank
#12466

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Otero County · 36,983 people
City population
696
Metro
Alamogordo, NM
Population (ZIP)
36,983
Household income
$57,214
Rent vs Own
34.4% rent · 65.6% own
Severe rent burden
1231.0

Population outlook (Otero County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
62,967 people
By 2030
62,164 · -1.3%
By 2040
60,253 · -4.3%
By 2050
58,575 · -7.0%
By 2075
55,411 · -12.0%
By 2100
48,551 · -22.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
Race & ethnicity
White 56% Hispanic / Latino 31% Two or more races 18% Black 5% Asian 2% Native American 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 25%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Lithuanian 2% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada
Languages at home
85% English-only · Spanish 12% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Otero

2024 margin
Strong R (+27.0) · D 35.4% · R 62.4% · Other 2.2%
2008→2024 swing
-7.7pp toward R · 2008: -19.3pp · 2024: -27.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+27.0 2020: R+25.6 2016: R+29.1 2012: R+28.0 2008: R+19.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -174.88%
Current HPI
181.737
Rent YoY
▲ 1.65%
Metro
Alamogordo, NM
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-06-12 Listed $140,000 OCAOR

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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