1 Desert Dr · Boles Acres, NM
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.3/30.0
- DSCR +8.9/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +7.0/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$140,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This manufactured home sits on a fully fenced 1/4 acre lot in La Luz, with a 2 car carport, re-roofed in 2018, on permanent foundation, block fence, pistachio trees. 3 bedroom 1.75 bath, large rooms, deck on front and back, 2 storage sheds in yard.
Key facts
- 2 car carport
- Fully fenced
- Pistachio trees
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached parking
- Utilities: Septic tank
- Home design: Manufactured home; Single-story; Residential property
- Construction: Wood siding; Shingle roof
- Exterior features: Deck; Shed(s); Corner lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Oven; Range; Refrigerator
- Flooring: Carpet; Tile
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air; Ceiling fans
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Vaulted ceilings; Walk-in closets; Window coverings
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.75-bath manufactured listed at $140k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $362 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $140k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#47 in NM) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: health & safety C-, schools F, amenities F.
- Alamogordo Public Schools (town): math 26% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #26 of 95 in NM (top 27%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.6%/yr); 444 active listings in the ZIP; 6 units permitted in Otero County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($57k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $968 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Otero County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Questions for the listing agent
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.20% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.40%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.09%
- DSCR
- 1.49
- GRM
- 6.9
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.65% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -1.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.95×
- Total profit
- $-1,848
- Equity at exit
- $20,874
- IRR
- 6.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.49×
- Total profit
- $19,189
- Equity at exit
- $12,105
Cash invested: $39,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State New Mexico
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 88310
- Rents YoY
- 1.6%
- Active inventory
- 444
- Price-to-rent
- 6.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,683 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$734
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$175 /mo · $2,100/yr
- Insurance
- −$58
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$353
- Net cashflow
- $362
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $35,000
- Closing costs
- $4,200
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $140,000 Active 6 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $140,000 Active 5 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $140,000 Active 4 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $140,000 Active 3 DOM
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2026-06-13remarks 248-char remark
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2026-06-13$140,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,198
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,842
- − Property taxes
- −$2,100
- − Insurance
- −$700
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,616
- − Management
- −$1,616
- − Depreciation
- −$4,073
- Taxable income
- $2,251
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$540
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,806/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This manufactured home requires moderate repairs and updates to its kitchen and bathrooms, as well as some landscaping. It has a good roof and is on a permanent foundation, making it a solid investment with room for improvement.
Repairs flagged
- Moderate Kitchen cabinets — Dated appearance
- Moderate Bathroom fixtures — Dated appearance
- Minor Landscaping — Some vegetation needs trimming
Value-add opportunities
- Resale Paint interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal
- Resale Replace countertops — Modern countertops improve functionality and aesthetics
- Resale Update bathroom fixtures — Modern fixtures enhance functionality and aesthetics
- Rental Landscaping — Well-maintained landscaping improves curb appeal and tenant satisfaction
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| Kitchen cabinets · Dated appearance | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| Bathroom fixtures · Dated appearance | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| Landscaping · Some vegetation needs trimming | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 3 items | $6,500–33,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Resale Paint interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal ↑
- Resale Replace countertops — Modern countertops improve functionality and aesthetics ↑
- Resale Update bathroom fixtures — Modern fixtures enhance functionality and aesthetics ↑
- Rental Landscaping — Well-maintained landscaping improves curb appeal and tenant satisfaction ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Alamogordo Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3500030
- Math proficiency
- 26% —
- Reading proficiency
- 39% —
- Median HH income
- $42,194
- Composite
- 30.24/100
- National rank
- #11572
- State rank
- #26 of 95 in NM
Livability — Boles Acres
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #47
- US rank
- #12466
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Otero County · 36,983 people
- City population
- 696
- Metro
- Alamogordo, NM
- Population (ZIP)
- 36,983
- Household income
- $57,214
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1231.0
Population outlook (Otero County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 62,967 people
- By 2030
- 62,164 · -1.3%
- By 2040
- 60,253 · -4.3%
- By 2050
- 58,575 · -7.0%
- By 2075
- 55,411 · -12.0%
- By 2100
- 48,551 · -22.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 56% Hispanic / Latino 31% Two or more races 18% Black 5% Asian 2% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 25%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Lithuanian 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 85% English-only · Spanish 12% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Otero
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+27.0) · D 35.4% · R 62.4% · Other 2.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.7pp toward R · 2008: -19.3pp · 2024: -27.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+27.0 2020: R+25.6 2016: R+29.1 2012: R+28.0 2008: R+19.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -174.88%
- Current HPI
- 181.737
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.65%
- Metro
- Alamogordo, NM
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-12 Listed $140,000 OCAOR
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…