15-2 Beverly Ct · East Lexington, VA
Flood risk 9/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $666 – $1,236
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +12.5/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.7/10.0
- DSCR +3.7/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- 1% rule +3.3/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$201,400
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Well-maintained 2 bedroom, 2.5 bath town home located in Pike's Place. Currently rented. Close to Lexington, VMI and W & L. Large living room, convenient kitchen with eat-in dining. Sliding glass door opens to a private rear deck. The Second Level offers 2 bedrooms -- each with a private full bath! New HVAC in 2021. New washer & dryer in 2023. New refrigerator in 2024. Dedicated parking for 2 vehicles. Comfortable personal residence, or a rental investment. Low maintenance living!! Pull down stairs to the attic. 15-2 Beverly Court is currently rented on a month to month lease.
Key facts
- Built 2003
- Listed 312 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.5-bath condo listed at $201k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-97 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $167k (17.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $167k (17.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 2.7% in East Lexington — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#218 in VA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, health & safety A+, cost of living A; Watch: housing C-, employment D, amenities F.
- Rockbridge County Public School District (town): math 43% / reading 67% proficiency, ranked #80 of 131 in VA (top 61%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Central Elementary (math 37% / reading 62%, grade D, #742 of 1,108 statewide, top 70%, 452 students, 70% FRL); Maury River Middle (math 38% / reading 63%, grade C, #226 of 342 statewide, top 67%, 502 students, 70% FRL); Rockbridge County High (math 52% / reading 82%, grade B, #185 of 319 statewide, top 61%, 994 students, 66% FRL) — zoned schools average 69% FRL vs 37% district-wide (31 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 148 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 85 units permitted in Rockbridge County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Rockbridge County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 312 days — a 12% lower offer ($177k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $19k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 312 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 17% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.83% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.11%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.66%
- DSCR
- 0.97
- GRM
- 10.0
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -19.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.31×
- Total profit
- $-38,798
- Equity at exit
- $30,029
- IRR
- -12.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.26×
- Total profit
- $-41,605
- Equity at exit
- $17,413
Cash invested: $56,392 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State Virginia
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 24450
- Home prices YoY
- -22.8%
- Active inventory
- 148
- Price-to-rent
- 10.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,671 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,056
- Tax from tax record
- −$76 /mo · $913/yr
- Insurance
- −$84
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA est. from 1 same-building comp
- −$135
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$351
- Net cashflow
- $-97
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $17 | -5% $-40 | +0% $-97 | +5% $-154 | +10% $-211 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-229 | -5% $-163 | +0% $-97 | +5% $-31 | +10% $35 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $4 | -0.5pp $-46 | base $-97 | +0.5pp $-150 | +1.0pp $-203 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $50,350
- Closing costs
- $6,042
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Triple Crown Dr Unit 25 Lexington, VA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1300 | $2,100 | $1.62 | 16d | 1 | 0.13mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $0 · $0/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-03-22price $201,400 594-char remark
Show marketing remark (594 chars)
Well-maintained 2 bedroom, 2.5 bath town home located in Pike's Place. Currently rented. Close to Lexington, VMI and W & L. Large living room, convenient kitchen with eat-in dining. Sliding glass door opens to a private rear deck. The Second Level offers 2 bedrooms -- each with a private full bath! New HVAC in 2021. New washer & dryer in 2023. New refrigerator in 2024. Dedicated parking for 2 vehicles. Comfortable personal residence, or a rental investment. Low maintenance living!! Pull down stairs to the attic. 15-2 Beverly Court is currently rented on a month to month lease.
-
2026-03-02status Active 594-char remark
Show marketing remark (594 chars)
Well-maintained 2 bedroom, 2.5 bath town home located in Pike's Place. Currently rented. Close to Lexington, VMI and W & L. Large living room, convenient kitchen with eat-in dining. Sliding glass door opens to a private rear deck. The Second Level offers 2 bedrooms -- each with a private full bath! New HVAC in 2021. New washer & dryer in 2023. New refrigerator in 2024. Dedicated parking for 2 vehicles. Comfortable personal residence, or a rental investment. Low maintenance living!! Pull down stairs to the attic. 15-2 Beverly Court is currently rented on a month to month lease.
-
2026-02-18historical 594-char remark
Show marketing remark (594 chars)
Well-maintained 2 bedroom, 2.5 bath town home located in Pike's Place. Currently rented. Close to Lexington, VMI and W & L. Large living room, convenient kitchen with eat-in dining. Sliding glass door opens to a private rear deck. The Second Level offers 2 bedrooms -- each with a private full bath! New HVAC in 2021. New washer & dryer in 2023. New refrigerator in 2024. Dedicated parking for 2 vehicles. Comfortable personal residence, or a rental investment. Low maintenance living!! Pull down stairs to the attic. 15-2 Beverly Court is currently rented on a month to month lease.
-
2025-12-16status Active 594-char remark
Show marketing remark (594 chars)
Well-maintained 2 bedroom, 2.5 bath town home located in Pike's Place. Currently rented. Close to Lexington, VMI and W & L. Large living room, convenient kitchen with eat-in dining. Sliding glass door opens to a private rear deck. The Second Level offers 2 bedrooms -- each with a private full bath! New HVAC in 2021. New washer & dryer in 2023. New refrigerator in 2024. Dedicated parking for 2 vehicles. Comfortable personal residence, or a rental investment. Low maintenance living!! Pull down stairs to the attic. 15-2 Beverly Court is currently rented on a month to month lease.
-
2025-12-16historical 594-char remark
Show marketing remark (594 chars)
Well-maintained 2 bedroom, 2.5 bath town home located in Pike's Place. Currently rented. Close to Lexington, VMI and W & L. Large living room, convenient kitchen with eat-in dining. Sliding glass door opens to a private rear deck. The Second Level offers 2 bedrooms -- each with a private full bath! New HVAC in 2021. New washer & dryer in 2023. New refrigerator in 2024. Dedicated parking for 2 vehicles. Comfortable personal residence, or a rental investment. Low maintenance living!! Pull down stairs to the attic. 15-2 Beverly Court is currently rented on a month to month lease.
-
2025-12-04status Active 594-char remark
Show marketing remark (594 chars)
Well-maintained 2 bedroom, 2.5 bath town home located in Pike's Place. Currently rented. Close to Lexington, VMI and W & L. Large living room, convenient kitchen with eat-in dining. Sliding glass door opens to a private rear deck. The Second Level offers 2 bedrooms -- each with a private full bath! New HVAC in 2021. New washer & dryer in 2023. New refrigerator in 2024. Dedicated parking for 2 vehicles. Comfortable personal residence, or a rental investment. Low maintenance living!! Pull down stairs to the attic. 15-2 Beverly Court is currently rented on a month to month lease.
-
2025-12-01historical 594-char remark
Show marketing remark (594 chars)
Well-maintained 2 bedroom, 2.5 bath town home located in Pike's Place. Currently rented. Close to Lexington, VMI and W & L. Large living room, convenient kitchen with eat-in dining. Sliding glass door opens to a private rear deck. The Second Level offers 2 bedrooms -- each with a private full bath! New HVAC in 2021. New washer & dryer in 2023. New refrigerator in 2024. Dedicated parking for 2 vehicles. Comfortable personal residence, or a rental investment. Low maintenance living!! Pull down stairs to the attic. 15-2 Beverly Court is currently rented on a month to month lease.
-
2025-11-07price $210,000 594-char remark
Show marketing remark (594 chars)
Well-maintained 2 bedroom, 2.5 bath town home located in Pike's Place. Currently rented. Close to Lexington, VMI and W & L. Large living room, convenient kitchen with eat-in dining. Sliding glass door opens to a private rear deck. The Second Level offers 2 bedrooms -- each with a private full bath! New HVAC in 2021. New washer & dryer in 2023. New refrigerator in 2024. Dedicated parking for 2 vehicles. Comfortable personal residence, or a rental investment. Low maintenance living!! Pull down stairs to the attic. 15-2 Beverly Court is currently rented on a month to month lease.
-
2025-11-03price $215,000 594-char remark
Show marketing remark (594 chars)
Well-maintained 2 bedroom, 2.5 bath town home located in Pike's Place. Currently rented. Close to Lexington, VMI and W & L. Large living room, convenient kitchen with eat-in dining. Sliding glass door opens to a private rear deck. The Second Level offers 2 bedrooms -- each with a private full bath! New HVAC in 2021. New washer & dryer in 2023. New refrigerator in 2024. Dedicated parking for 2 vehicles. Comfortable personal residence, or a rental investment. Low maintenance living!! Pull down stairs to the attic. 15-2 Beverly Court is currently rented on a month to month lease.
-
2025-06-30$220,000 Active 594-char remark
Show marketing remark (594 chars)
Well-maintained 2 bedroom, 2.5 bath town home located in Pike's Place. Currently rented. Close to Lexington, VMI and W & L. Large living room, convenient kitchen with eat-in dining. Sliding glass door opens to a private rear deck. The Second Level offers 2 bedrooms -- each with a private full bath! New HVAC in 2021. New washer & dryer in 2023. New refrigerator in 2024. Dedicated parking for 2 vehicles. Comfortable personal residence, or a rental investment. Low maintenance living!! Pull down stairs to the attic. 15-2 Beverly Court is currently rented on a month to month lease.
-
2022-12-06soldstatus $182,000 365-char remark
Show marketing remark (365 chars)
Sweet, well-maintained 2 bedroom/2.5 bath townhome located in Pikes Place! Close to Lexington, VMI and W & L. Spacious living room, quaint kitchen with eat-in area and a private back deck. Laundry area and 1/2 bath are located on the first floor. Second level offers 2 bedrooms, each with a private full bath!!! Currently Rented through May 2023. New HVAC 2021.
-
2022-12-06soldstatus $182,000
Show marketing remark (365 chars)
Sweet, well-maintained 2 bedroom/2.5 bath townhome located in Pikes Place! Close to Lexington, VMI and W & L. Spacious living room, quaint kitchen with eat-in area and a private back deck. Laundry area and 1/2 bath are located on the first floor. Second level offers 2 bedrooms, each with a private full bath!!! Currently Rented through May 2023. New HVAC 2021.
-
2022-10-13$182,000 365-char remark
Show marketing remark (365 chars)
Sweet, well-maintained 2 bedroom/2.5 bath townhome located in Pikes Place! Close to Lexington, VMI and W & L. Spacious living room, quaint kitchen with eat-in area and a private back deck. Laundry area and 1/2 bath are located on the first floor. Second level offers 2 bedrooms, each with a private full bath!!! Currently Rented through May 2023. New HVAC 2021.
-
2018-11-27soldstatus $121,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $913 · $76/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,651 · $138/mo
- Expected delta
- +$738/yr (+$62/mo · 80.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,054
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,282
- − Property taxes
- −$913
- − Insurance
- −$1,804
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,604
- − Management
- −$1,604
- − HOA
- −$1,620
- − Depreciation
- −$5,859
- Taxable loss
- −$4,633
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,112
- After-tax cash flow
- $-57/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Rockbridge County Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 5103370
- Math proficiency
- 43% ▼ -41.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 67% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,021
- Composite
- 46.65/100
- National rank
- #2408
- State rank
- #80 of 131 in VA
Livability — East Lexington
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #218
- US rank
- #7157
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- East Lexington, VA
- County
- Rockbridge County · 17,714 people
- Metro
- nan
- Population (ZIP)
- 17,714
- Household income
- $76,587
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 429.0
Population outlook (Rockbridge County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 22,549 people
- By 2030
- 22,381 · -0.7%
- By 2040
- 21,488 · -4.7%
- By 2050
- 20,054 · -11.1%
- By 2075
- 16,228 · -28.0%
- By 2100
- 11,598 · -48.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 86% Two or more races 5% Black 4% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 4% Italian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · China, Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 2% Chinese 1% Korean 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Rockbridge
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+33.8) · D 32.6% · R 66.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.2pp toward R · 2008: -13.6pp · 2024: -33.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+33.8 2020: R+32.4 2016: R+29.6 2012: R+17.8 2008: R+13.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -83.84%
- Current HPI
- 283.7394
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- nan
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.40%
- F500 in state
- 50
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 4 | $236B |
|
||
| Technology / Defense | 3 | $32B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 2 | $176B |
|
||
| Utilities | 2 | $27B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $25B |
|
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| Technology | 2 | $15B |
|
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Price history
+65.8% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-22 Price Changed $201,400 RHR
- 2026-03-02 Relisted — RHR
- 2026-02-18 Delisted — RHR
- 2025-12-16 Relisted — RHR
- 2025-12-16 Delisted — RHR
- 2025-12-04 Relisted — RHR
- 2025-12-01 Delisted — RHR
- 2025-11-07 Price Changed $210,000 RHR
- 2025-11-03 Price Changed $215,000 RHR
- 2025-06-30 Listed $220,000 RHR
- 2022-12-06 Sold (Public Records) $182,000 Public Records
- 2022-12-06 Sold (MLS) $182,000 RHR
- 2022-10-13 Listed $182,000 RHR
- 2018-11-27 Sold (Public Records) $121,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.5%/yrLatest (2025): $913 · +4.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…