736 Mineral Point Rd · Vinco, PA
Flood risk 9/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 92°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$14,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This spacious home offers incredible potential for the right buyer. Featuring a large footprint, this property is a blank canvas ready for a full renovation. Ideal for a fix-and-flip or long term rental project. Generous room sizes and layout flexibility provides endless possibilities to maximize value. Being sold as-is, bring your vision and turn this property into your next profitable investment.
Key facts
- 8,712 sq ft lot
- Built 1920
- Listed 78 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $14k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $929 ($11k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $14k).
- Recommended offer: $13k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#1,005 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Conemaugh Valley SD (rural): math 30% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #313 of 539 in PA (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 11 active listings in the ZIP; 64 units permitted in Cambria County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $1k of equity ($97 loan paydown + $1k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Cambria County population projected at -28% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $4k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 79 days — a 6% lower offer ($13k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 79 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 9.77% ✓
- Cap rate
- 90.65%
- Cash-on-cash
- 301.26%
- DSCR
- 14.40
- GRM
- 0.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $208,965
- List price
- $14,000
- Delta
- -93.30%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 2 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 18.05×
- Total profit
- $66,821
- Equity at exit
- $12,612
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 39.36×
- Total profit
- $150,378
- Equity at exit
- $27,199
Cash invested: $3,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 15942
- Home prices YoY
- 7.3%
- Active inventory
- 11
- Price-to-rent
- 0.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,368 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$73
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$18 /mo · $210/yr
- Insurance
- −$6
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$56 /mo · $666/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$287
- Net cashflow
- $929
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $3,500
- Closing costs
- $420
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 25 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $14,000 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $14,000 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $14,000 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $14,000 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $14,000 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $14,000 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $14,000 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $14,000 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $14,000 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $14,000 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $14,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $14,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $14,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $14,000 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-04-01$14,000 Active 401-char remark
Show marketing remark (401 chars)
This spacious home offers incredible potential for the right buyer. Featuring a large footprint, this property is a blank canvas ready for a full renovation. Ideal for a fix-and-flip or long term rental project. Generous room sizes and layout flexibility provides endless possibilities to maximize value. Being sold as-is, bring your vision and turn this property into your next profitable investment.
-
2023-08-10price $10,000
-
2023-06-17status Active
-
2023-05-23status Active
-
2023-03-24status Active
-
2023-03-02price $12,900
-
2023-02-28status Active
-
2023-01-24price $14,900
-
2022-11-25status Active
-
2022-05-12$19,900 Active
-
1978-02-01soldstatus $18,400
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,418
- − Mortgage interest
- −$784
- − Property taxes
- −$210
- − Insurance
- −$736
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,313
- − Management
- −$1,313
- − Depreciation
- −$407
- Taxable income
- $11,653
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,797
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,346/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Conemaugh Valley SD
- NCES district ID
- 4206430
- Math proficiency
- 30% ▼ -18.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 56% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,523
- Composite
- 36.16/100
- National rank
- #4739
- State rank
- #313 of 539 in PA
Livability — Vinco
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #1005
- US rank
- #11078
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,134
Population outlook (Cambria County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 122,754 people
- By 2030
- 115,827 · -5.6%
- By 2040
- 101,309 · -17.5%
- By 2050
- 88,379 · -28.0%
- By 2075
- 65,237 · -46.9%
- By 2100
- 46,909 · -61.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (98%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 98% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 8% Italian 6% Iranian 4%
- Foreign-born
- 0% · South Korea
Political lean MEDSL · Cambria
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+39.7) · D 29.8% · R 69.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -40.4pp toward R · 2008: 0.7pp · 2024: -39.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+39.7 2020: R+37.3 2016: R+37.8 2012: R+17.8 2008: D+0.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 11.02%
- Current HPI
- 161.1142
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
-23.9% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-01 Listed $14,000 AHARMLS
- 2023-08-10 Price Changed $10,000 CSMLS
- 2023-06-17 Relisted — CSMLS
- 2023-05-23 Relisted — CSMLS
- 2023-03-24 Relisted — CSMLS
- 2023-03-02 Price Changed $12,900 CSMLS
- 2023-02-28 Relisted — CSMLS
- 2023-01-24 Price Changed $14,900 CSMLS
- 2022-11-25 Relisted — CSMLS
- 2022-05-12 Listed $19,900 CSMLS
- 1978-02-01 Sold (Public Records) $18,400 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.2%/yrLatest (2026): $750 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…