1003 Marcy Ave Unit B302 · Glassmanor, MD
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $755 – $1,403
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 20.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.2/30.0
- 1% rule +8.6/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +6.4/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.3/5.0
- Schools +1.7/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$139,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
2 Bedroom Condo minutes to National Harbor, Downtown D. C and Metro. This condo features gleaming hardwood floors, gorgeous granite counter tops, stainless steel appliances, washer and dryer combo, maple cabinets and more!
Key facts
- $400 HOA
- Parking
- Built 1965
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $140k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $176 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $140k).
- Recommended offer: $137k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.8% vs local median 4.2% in Glassmanor — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#221 in MD) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, employment B; Watch: health & safety C-, crime F, amenities F.
- Prince George'S County Public Schools (suburban): math 8% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #21 of 24 in MD (top 88%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Potomac High (math 8% / reading 27%, grade F, #179 of 222 statewide, top 82%, 1,253 students, 76% FRL) — zoned schools average 76% FRL vs 53% district-wide (23 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.8%/yr); 223 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,481 units permitted in Prince George's County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($75k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $964 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Prince George's County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 27 days — a 2% lower offer ($137k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts since 15y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $72k; list at $140k implies a 92% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 21% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.36% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.80%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.40%
- DSCR
- 1.24
- GRM
- 6.1
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -12.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.57×
- Total profit
- $-16,712
- Equity at exit
- $20,800
- IRR
- -10.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.47×
- Total profit
- $-20,576
- Equity at exit
- $12,061
Cash invested: $39,060 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 27 Tenant-Leaning
- State Maryland
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 20745
- Rents YoY
- -0.8%
- Active inventory
- 223
- Price-to-rent
- 6.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,893 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$732
- Tax from tax record
- −$130 /mo · $1,562/yr
- Insurance
- −$58
- HOA
- −$400
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$398
- Net cashflow
- $176
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $255 | -5% $215 | +0% $176 | +5% $136 | +10% $97 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $26 | -5% $101 | +0% $176 | +5% $251 | +10% $325 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $246 | -0.5pp $211 | base $176 | +0.5pp $140 | +1.0pp $103 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $34,875
- Closing costs
- $4,185
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5400 Livingston Ter Oxon Hill, MD | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 1175 | $1,650 | $1.40 | 0d | 5 | 0.19mi |
| 1002 Kennebec St Oxon Hill, MD | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 871 | $1,921 | $2.20 | 2d | 12 | 0.21mi |
| 625 Audrey Ln Oxon Hill, MD | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 865 | $1,653 | $1.91 | 23d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 4935 Wall Flower Way Oxon Hill, MD | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1320 | $2,750 | $2.08 | 21d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 716 Audrey Ln Oxon Hill, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1344 | $2,500 | $1.86 | 19d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 1636 Deep Gorge Ct Oxon Hill, MD | 3.0 | 3.5 | 1332 | $2,750 | $2.06 | 44d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 607 Southern Ave SE Oxon Hill, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,199 | $1.33 | 21d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 4805 Springmaid Ln Oxon Hill, MD | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1296 | $2,600 | $2.01 | 19d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 6039 Livingston Rd Oxon Hill, MD | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1200 | $2,500 | $2.08 | 44d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 4632 Livingston Rd SE Washington, DC | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 755 | $1,329 | $1.76 | 25d | 10 | 0.70mi |
| 1311 Southview Dr Oxon Hill, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 628 | $1,827 | $2.91 | 0d | 55 | 0.70mi |
| 819 Quade St Oxon Hill, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1500 | $3,100 | $2.07 | 44d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 820 Southern Ave SE Washington, DC | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 840 | $1,450 | $1.73 | 3d | 65 | 0.78mi |
| 808 Chesapeake St SE Washington, DC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,700 | $2.43 | 25d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 146 Joliet St Unit B Washington, DC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,700 | $2.12 | 25d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 811 Barnaby St SE Apt 101 Washington, DC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,449 | $1.93 | 25d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 625 Chesapeake St SE #205 Washington, DC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 773 | $1,400 | $1.81 | 25d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 625A Chesapeake St SE Unit 101 Washington, DC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 768 | $1,400 | $1.82 | 25d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 4721 1st St SW #203 Washington, DC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 741 | $1,600 | $2.16 | 25d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 713 Brandywine St SE Washington, DC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 707 | $1,650 | $2.33 | 25d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 701 Brandywine St SE #201 Washington, DC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 706 | $1,400 | $1.98 | 19d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 6 Galveston St SW #303 Washington, DC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 708 | $1,700 | $2.40 | 25d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 6009 Oxon Hill Rd Oxon Hill, MD | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 811 | $2,445 | $3.01 | 3d | 16 | 1.02mi |
| 118 Galveston St SW Washington, DC | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 951 | $1,690 | $1.78 | 3d | 10 | 1.02mi |
| 852 Barnaby St SE Washington, DC | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 761 | $1,400 | $1.84 | 16d | 10 | 1.05mi |
| 57 Galveston St SW Washington, DC | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $1,299 | $2.00 | 5d | 5 | 1.06mi |
| 44 Forrester St SW Unit 3 Washington, DC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $2,450 | $2.04 | 25d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 3878 9th St SE Washington, DC | 3.0 | 1.0 | 789 | $2,000 | $2.53 | 25d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 19 Galveston Pl SW #202 Washington, DC | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,400 | $2.00 | 25d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 4040 Livingston Rd SE Washington, DC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,256 | $1.26 | 25d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 2 Elmira St SE Washington, DC | 1.0 | 1.0 | 710 | $1,342 | $1.89 | 25d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 4030 Livingston Rd SE Washington, DC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,648 | $1.65 | 25d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 4660 Martin Luther King Jr Ave SW Washington, DC | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 827 | $1,699 | $2.05 | 4d | 11 | 1.10mi |
| 3868 9th St SE Washington, DC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 740 | $1,450 | $1.96 | 25d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 310 Atlantic St SE Washington, DC | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 754 | $1,875 | $2.49 | 5d | 2 | 1.13mi |
| 310 Atlantic St SE Unit 102B Washington, DC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 859 | $1,875 | $2.18 | 6d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 306 Atlantic St SE Unit 7 Washington, DC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,700 | $2.12 | 25d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 306 Atlantic St SE Unit 7 Washington, DC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 989 | $1,699 | $1.72 | 19d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 59 Galveston Pl SW Unit 2 Washington, DC | 1.0 | 1.0 | 815 | $1,330 | $1.63 | 21d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 59 Galveston Pl SW Unit 4 Washington, DC | 3.0 | 1.0 | 815 | $2,100 | $2.58 | 21d | 1 | 1.15mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $400 · $4,800/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-03-24status Pending
-
2026-03-02price $139,500
-
2026-02-26$145,000 Active
-
2026-02-26historical $145,000
-
2016-08-17soldstatus $72,500
-
2016-07-22soldstatus $72,500 Sold 222-char remark
Show marketing remark (222 chars)
2 Bedroom Condo minutes to National Harbor, Downtown D. C and Metro. This condo features gleaming hardwood floors, gorgeous granite counter tops, stainless steel appliances, washer and dryer combo, maple cabinets and more!
-
2016-07-22soldstatus $72,500 222-char remark
Show marketing remark (222 chars)
2 Bedroom Condo minutes to National Harbor, Downtown D. C and Metro. This condo features gleaming hardwood floors, gorgeous granite counter tops, stainless steel appliances, washer and dryer combo, maple cabinets and more!
-
2016-07-08status Contract 222-char remark
Show marketing remark (222 chars)
2 Bedroom Condo minutes to National Harbor, Downtown D. C and Metro. This condo features gleaming hardwood floors, gorgeous granite counter tops, stainless steel appliances, washer and dryer combo, maple cabinets and more!
-
2016-06-03$75,000 Active 222-char remark
Show marketing remark (222 chars)
2 Bedroom Condo minutes to National Harbor, Downtown D. C and Metro. This condo features gleaming hardwood floors, gorgeous granite counter tops, stainless steel appliances, washer and dryer combo, maple cabinets and more!
-
2016-06-03$75,000 222-char remark
Show marketing remark (222 chars)
2 Bedroom Condo minutes to National Harbor, Downtown D. C and Metro. This condo features gleaming hardwood floors, gorgeous granite counter tops, stainless steel appliances, washer and dryer combo, maple cabinets and more!
-
2015-08-16historical Expired
-
2015-08-16historical
-
2015-06-30price
-
2015-05-16Active
-
2015-05-16$74,000
-
2011-04-16historical
-
2011-04-16historical
-
2011-03-15Active
-
2011-03-15$99,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,562 · $130/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,562 · $130/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 20% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,718
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,814
- − Property taxes
- −$1,562
- − Insurance
- −$698
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,817
- − Management
- −$1,817
- − HOA
- −$4,800
- − Depreciation
- −$4,058
- Taxable income
- $151
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$36
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,073/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Prince George'S County Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2400510
- Math proficiency
- 8% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $73,967
- Composite
- 16.82/100
- National rank
- #9151
- State rank
- #21 of 24 in MD
Livability — Glassmanor
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #221
- US rank
- #11088
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Glassmanor, MD
- County
- Prince Georges County · 919,866 people
- Metro
- Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV
- Population (ZIP)
- 28,605
- Household income
- $75,236
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1770.0
Population outlook (Prince George's County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,005,426 people
- By 2030
- 1,048,416 · +4.3%
- By 2040
- 1,123,425 · +11.7%
- By 2050
- 1,183,220 · +17.7%
- By 2075
- 1,306,202 · +29.9%
- By 2100
- 1,408,179 · +40.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 56% Hispanic / Latino 30% White 6% Two or more races 6% Asian 4% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Common ancestry
- Scotch-Irish 1%
- Foreign-born
- 23% · Canada, China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 67% English-only · Spanish 26% Tagalog/Filipino 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Prince George's
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+75.2) · D 86.3% · R 11.2% · Other 2.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.3pp toward R · 2008: 78.5pp · 2024: 75.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+75.2 2020: D+80.5 2016: D+81.0 2012: D+80.9 2008: D+78.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -250.85%
- Current HPI
- 300.5172
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.80%
- Metro
- Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.97%
- F500 in state
- 12
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 1 | $71B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
||
| Hotels | 1 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $7B |
|
||
| Real Estate | 1 | $6B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
+39.6% since first listed19 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-24 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-03-02 Price Changed $139,500 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-02-26 Listed $145,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-02-26 Coming Soon $145,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2016-08-17 Sold (Public Records) $72,500 Public Records
- 2016-07-22 Sold (MLS) $72,500 BRIGHT MLS
- 2016-07-22 Sold (MLS) $72,500 MRIS
- 2016-07-08 Pending — MRIS
- 2016-06-03 Listed $75,000 MRIS
- 2016-06-03 Listed $75,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2015-08-16 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2015-08-16 Delisted — MRIS
- 2015-06-30 Price Changed — MRIS
- 2015-05-16 Listed — MRIS
- 2015-05-16 Listed $74,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2011-04-16 Delisted — MRIS
- 2011-04-16 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2011-03-15 Listed — MRIS
- 2011-03-15 Listed $99,900 BRIGHT MLS
Property tax history
+4.9%/yrLatest (2025): $1,562 · +21.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…