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2102 S Main St
B+ Composite 76.33
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +3.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.6/10.0

$30,000

2102 S Main St · Pine Bluff, AR 71601
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,323 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 1 Days on market
Built 1961 Est $41k · 27% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Great Property for Investor. The best deal in town.

Key facts

  • Built 1961

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $30k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $393 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($749 rent vs $30k).
  • Cap rate 22.0% vs local median 8.7% in Pine Bluff — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 50/100 on livability (#483 in AR) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
  • Pine Bluff School District (urban): math 6% / reading 9% proficiency, ranked #236 of 238 in AR (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 85% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 90 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 62 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $207 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $900 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Jefferson County population projected at -33% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $8k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 4 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $9k; list at $30k implies a 233% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $30,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1961 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.50%
Cap rate
22.00%
Cash-on-cash
56.08%
DSCR
3.50
GRM
3.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$41,013
Comps found
7
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
208 Rutherford Pl 0.31mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,220 (-8%) 2mo $39,000 $32 66
702 W 20th Ave 0.36mi 3/1.0 1,360 (+3%) 18mo $30,000 $22 63
601 E 21st St 0.40mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,428 (+8%) 7mo $9,000 $6 53
1312 Alabama 0.59mi 3/2.0 1,270 (-4%) 14mo $76,000 $60 50
226 Rutherford 0.33mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,129 (-15%) 8mo $35,000 $31 48
910 W 27th Ave 0.62mi 3/2.0 1,389 (+5%) 22mo $78,000 $56 41
1304 S Oak St 0.70mi 3/1.0 1,260 (-5%) 22mo $23,000 $18 41

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
54.4%
Equity multiple
3.40×
Total profit
$20,148
Equity at exit
$4,473
10-year hold
IRR
59.6%
Equity multiple
6.92×
Total profit
$49,766
Equity at exit
$2,594

Cash invested: $8,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arkansas
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Only US state where non-payment is criminal. Strongly landlord-favorable; very few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 71601

Home prices YoY
-2.1%
Active inventory
90
Price-to-rent
3.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$749 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$157
Tax from tax record
$30 /mo · $356/yr
Insurance
$12
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$157
Net cashflow
$393

Break-even live

Break-even rent $252
Max offer price $30,000
Occupancy floor 43%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $410 -5% $401 +0% $393 +5% $384 +10% $376
Rent -10% $333 -5% $363 +0% $393 +5% $422 +10% $452
Rate -1.0pp $408 -0.5pp $400 base $393 +0.5pp $385 +1.0pp $377

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$7,500
Closing costs
$900
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2404 S Walnut St Pine Bluff, AR 2.0 1.0 1100 $700 $0.64 44d 1 0.26mi
304 W Harding Ave Unit 3 Pine Bluff, AR 2.0 1.0 1180 $715 $0.61 44d 1 0.33mi
6 Duplexes Pine Bluff, AR 2.0 1.5–2.0 858 $772 $0.90 44d 5 1.17mi
1907 W 28th Ave Pine Bluff, AR 3.0 1.5 947 $1,150 $1.21 44d 1 1.19mi
1107 S Cypress St Unit 1 Pine Bluff, AR 2.0 1.0 875 $700 $0.80 44d 1 1.25mi
2319 W 27th Ave Unit B Pine Bluff, AR 2.0 1.0 907 $795 $0.88 44d 1 1.41mi

Listing history 10 events

  1. 2026-05-13
    status Under Contract
  2. 2026-05-12
    listed $30,000 Active
  3. 2021-03-01
    historical
  4. 2020-09-02
    listed $65,000 New Listing
  5. 2019-11-14
    historical 51-char remark
    Show marketing remark (51 chars)

    Great Property for Investor. The best deal in town.

  6. 2019-10-21
    soldstatus $9,000 Sold 51-char remark
    Show marketing remark (51 chars)

    Great Property for Investor. The best deal in town.

  7. 2019-10-13
    soldstatus $9,000
  8. 2019-08-19
    status Back on Market 51-char remark
    Show marketing remark (51 chars)

    Great Property for Investor. The best deal in town.

  9. 2019-06-06
    historical Take Backups 51-char remark
    Show marketing remark (51 chars)

    Great Property for Investor. The best deal in town.

  10. 2019-05-13
    listed $13,500 New Listing 51-char remark
    Show marketing remark (51 chars)

    Great Property for Investor. The best deal in town.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$356 · $30/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$356 · $30/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 24% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$8,993
− Mortgage interest
−$1,680
− Property taxes
−$356
− Insurance
−$150
− Repairs & maintenance
−$719
− Management
−$719
− Depreciation
−$873
Taxable income
$4,495
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,079
After-tax cash flow
$3,632/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Pine Bluff School District
NCES district ID
0500026
Math proficiency
6% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
9% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$32,374
Composite
5.86/100
National rank
#10014
State rank
#236 of 238 in AR

Livability — Pine Bluff

Score
50/100
State rank
#483
US rank
#25645

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Pine Bluff, AR
City population
29,578
Population (ZIP)
13,981

Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
63,110 people
By 2030
58,519 · -7.3%
By 2040
49,740 · -21.2%
By 2050
42,331 · -32.9%
By 2075
29,591 · -53.1%
By 2100
21,047 · -66.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (81%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 81% White 13% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson

2024 margin
Strong D (+20.1) · D 59.2% · R 39.2% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
-6.2pp toward R · 2008: 26.3pp · 2024: 20.1pp
All cycles
2024: D+20.1 2020: D+21.7 2016: D+25.3 2012: D+29.0 2008: D+26.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -3.51%
Current HPI
160.3064
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.80%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+122.2% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-13 Pending FSBO.com
  • 2026-05-12 Listed $30,000 FSBO.com
  • 2021-03-01 Listing Removed CARMLS
  • 2020-09-02 Listed $65,000 CARMLS
  • 2019-11-14 Listing Removed CARMLS
  • 2019-10-21 Sold (MLS) $9,000 CARMLS
  • 2019-10-13 Sold (Public Records) $9,000 Public Records
  • 2019-08-19 Relisted CARMLS
  • 2019-06-06 Contingent CARMLS
  • 2019-05-13 Listed $13,500 CARMLS

Property tax history

+94.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $356 · +8.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…