2102 S Main St · Pine Bluff, AR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,499 – $2,785
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 24.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +3.2/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.6/10.0
$30,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great Property for Investor. The best deal in town.
Key facts
- Built 1961
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $30k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $393 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($749 rent vs $30k).
- Cap rate 22.0% vs local median 8.7% in Pine Bluff — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 50/100 on livability (#483 in AR) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
- Pine Bluff School District (urban): math 6% / reading 9% proficiency, ranked #236 of 238 in AR (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 85% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 90 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 62 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $207 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $900 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Jefferson County population projected at -33% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $8k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 4 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $9k; list at $30k implies a 233% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1961 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.50% ✓
- Cap rate
- 22.00%
- Cash-on-cash
- 56.08%
- DSCR
- 3.50
- GRM
- 3.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $41,013
- Comps found
- 7
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 208 Rutherford Pl | 0.31mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,220 (-8%) | 2mo | $39,000 | $32 | 66 |
| 702 W 20th Ave | 0.36mi | 3/1.0 | 1,360 (+3%) | 18mo | $30,000 | $22 | 63 |
| 601 E 21st St | 0.40mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,428 (+8%) | 7mo | $9,000 | $6 | 53 |
| 1312 Alabama | 0.59mi | 3/2.0 | 1,270 (-4%) | 14mo | $76,000 | $60 | 50 |
| 226 Rutherford | 0.33mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,129 (-15%) | 8mo | $35,000 | $31 | 48 |
| 910 W 27th Ave | 0.62mi | 3/2.0 | 1,389 (+5%) | 22mo | $78,000 | $56 | 41 |
| 1304 S Oak St | 0.70mi | 3/1.0 | 1,260 (-5%) | 22mo | $23,000 | $18 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 54.4%
- Equity multiple
- 3.40×
- Total profit
- $20,148
- Equity at exit
- $4,473
- IRR
- 59.6%
- Equity multiple
- 6.92×
- Total profit
- $49,766
- Equity at exit
- $2,594
Cash invested: $8,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arkansas
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 71601
- Home prices YoY
- -2.1%
- Active inventory
- 90
- Price-to-rent
- 3.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $749 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$157
- Tax from tax record
- −$30 /mo · $356/yr
- Insurance
- −$12
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$157
- Net cashflow
- $393
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $410 | -5% $401 | +0% $393 | +5% $384 | +10% $376 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $333 | -5% $363 | +0% $393 | +5% $422 | +10% $452 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $408 | -0.5pp $400 | base $393 | +0.5pp $385 | +1.0pp $377 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $7,500
- Closing costs
- $900
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2404 S Walnut St Pine Bluff, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $700 | $0.64 | 44d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 304 W Harding Ave Unit 3 Pine Bluff, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1180 | $715 | $0.61 | 44d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 6 Duplexes Pine Bluff, AR | 2.0 | 1.5–2.0 | 858 | $772 | $0.90 | 44d | 5 | 1.17mi |
| 1907 W 28th Ave Pine Bluff, AR | 3.0 | 1.5 | 947 | $1,150 | $1.21 | 44d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 1107 S Cypress St Unit 1 Pine Bluff, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 875 | $700 | $0.80 | 44d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 2319 W 27th Ave Unit B Pine Bluff, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 907 | $795 | $0.88 | 44d | 1 | 1.41mi |
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-05-13status Under Contract
-
2026-05-12$30,000 Active
-
2021-03-01historical
-
2020-09-02$65,000 New Listing
-
2019-11-14historical 51-char remark
Show marketing remark (51 chars)
Great Property for Investor. The best deal in town.
-
2019-10-21soldstatus $9,000 Sold 51-char remark
Show marketing remark (51 chars)
Great Property for Investor. The best deal in town.
-
2019-10-13soldstatus $9,000
-
2019-08-19status Back on Market 51-char remark
Show marketing remark (51 chars)
Great Property for Investor. The best deal in town.
-
2019-06-06historical Take Backups 51-char remark
Show marketing remark (51 chars)
Great Property for Investor. The best deal in town.
-
2019-05-13$13,500 New Listing 51-char remark
Show marketing remark (51 chars)
Great Property for Investor. The best deal in town.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $356 · $30/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $356 · $30/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 24% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $8,993
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,680
- − Property taxes
- −$356
- − Insurance
- −$150
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$719
- − Management
- −$719
- − Depreciation
- −$873
- Taxable income
- $4,495
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,079
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,632/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pine Bluff School District
- NCES district ID
- 0500026
- Math proficiency
- 6% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 9% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $32,374
- Composite
- 5.86/100
- National rank
- #10014
- State rank
- #236 of 238 in AR
Livability — Pine Bluff
- Score
- 50/100
- State rank
- #483
- US rank
- #25645
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Pine Bluff, AR
- City population
- 29,578
- Population (ZIP)
- 13,981
Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 63,110 people
- By 2030
- 58,519 · -7.3%
- By 2040
- 49,740 · -21.2%
- By 2050
- 42,331 · -32.9%
- By 2075
- 29,591 · -53.1%
- By 2100
- 21,047 · -66.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (81%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 81% White 13% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+20.1) · D 59.2% · R 39.2% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -6.2pp toward R · 2008: 26.3pp · 2024: 20.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+20.1 2020: D+21.7 2016: D+25.3 2012: D+29.0 2008: D+26.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -3.51%
- Current HPI
- 160.3064
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.80%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 1 | $681B |
|
||
| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $53B |
|
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| Retail / Energy | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $12B |
|
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| Energy | 1 | $4B |
|
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Price history
+122.2% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-13 Pending — FSBO.com
- 2026-05-12 Listed $30,000 FSBO.com
- 2021-03-01 Listing Removed — CARMLS
- 2020-09-02 Listed $65,000 CARMLS
- 2019-11-14 Listing Removed — CARMLS
- 2019-10-21 Sold (MLS) $9,000 CARMLS
- 2019-10-13 Sold (Public Records) $9,000 Public Records
- 2019-08-19 Relisted — CARMLS
- 2019-06-06 Contingent — CARMLS
- 2019-05-13 Listed $13,500 CARMLS
Property tax history
+94.3%/yrLatest (2025): $356 · +8.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…