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806 4th St
D Composite 44.55
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +19.2/30.0
  • DSCR +6.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +4.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +3.8/10.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$124,900

806 4th St · Monett, MO 65708
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,164 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 36 Days on market
Built 1910 5,663 sqft lot $107/sqft · 8% above area Est $116k · 8% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Charming 2-bedroom, 1-bathroom home at 806 4th St in Monett, currently serving as a consistent rental property. This 1,164 sq. ft. residence features a practical layout, a detached one-car garage, and is situated on a manageable 0.13-acre lot. Its proximity to Broadway and local schools makes it a highly functional choice for a variety of lifestyles. Whether you're looking for a personal residence with historic character or a turnkey addition to a portfolio, this property offers great versatility. Property has a new roof installed in 2023

Key facts

  • 5,663 sq ft lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1910

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $125k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $134 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $110k (12.1% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $110k (12.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 7.6% vs local median 4.8% in Monett — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#252 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A-, housing B+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Monett R-I (town): math 33% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #168 of 324 in MO (top 52%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Monett Elem. (471 students, 68% FRL); Monett Middle (math 35% / reading 46%, grade F, #180 of 391 statewide, top 47%, 504 students, 63% FRL); Monett High (math 37% / reading 55%, grade D-, #170 of 521 statewide, top 33%, 746 students, 51% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 123 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 57 units permitted in Barry County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Barry County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 36 days — a 3% lower offer ($121k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $109,772 (12.1% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 36 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.88%
Cap rate
7.58%
Cash-on-cash
4.60%
DSCR
1.20
GRM
9.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$115,807
List price
$124,900
Delta
7.85%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
900 5th St 0.15mi 2/1.5 1,134 (-3%) 7mo $144,900 $128 81
304 Frisco St 0.45mi 2/1.0 1,106 (-5%) 4mo $72,000 $65 67
408 5th St 0.25mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,245 (+7%) 2mo $125,000 $100 66
511 2nd St 0.23mi 2/1.0 1,042 (-10%) 7mo $119,000 $114 66
430 W Dunn St 0.55mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,180 (+1%) 4mo $164,900 $140 64
314 Birch St 0.39mi 2/1.0 1,036 (-11%) 0mo $126,900 $122 64
100 E Bond St 0.42mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,064 (-9%) 0mo $179,000 $168 61
300 N Lincoln Ave 0.55mi 2/1.0 1,050 (-10%) 2mo $139,500 $133 57
426 W Dunn St 0.53mi 2/2.0 1,064 (-9%) 0mo $159,000 $149 56
305 7th St 0.38mi 2/1.0 1,028 (-12%) 7mo $149,000 $145 56
201 W Nellie 0.51mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,102 (-5%) 8mo $169,000 $153 54
422 W Dunn St 0.52mi 2/1.0 996 (-14%) 4mo $139,900 $140 48

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-9.2%
Equity multiple
0.66×
Total profit
$-11,766
Equity at exit
$18,623
10-year hold
IRR
0.2%
Equity multiple
1.01×
Total profit
$489
Equity at exit
$10,799

Cash invested: $34,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 65708

Home prices YoY
-16.8%
Active inventory
123
Price-to-rent
9.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,098 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$655
Tax from tax record
$26 /mo · $314/yr
Insurance
$52
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$231
Net cashflow
$134

Break-even live

Break-even rent $928
Max offer price $124,900
Occupancy floor 83%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $205 -5% $169 +0% $134 +5% $99 +10% $63
Rent -10% $47 -5% $91 +0% $134 +5% $177 +10% $221
Rate -1.0pp $197 -0.5pp $166 base $134 +0.5pp $102 +1.0pp $69

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$31,225
Closing costs
$3,747
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
305 8th St Unit 303 Monett, MO 1.0 1.0 750 $775 $1.03 45d 1 0.41mi
46 Whitley Ln Monett, MO 3.0 2.0 1390 $1,550 $1.12 15d 1 0.75mi

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-05-14
    status Pending 544-char remark
    Show marketing remark (544 chars)

    Charming 2-bedroom, 1-bathroom home at 806 4th St in Monett, currently serving as a consistent rental property. This 1,164 sq. ft. residence features a practical layout, a detached one-car garage, and is situated on a manageable 0.13-acre lot. Its proximity to Broadway and local schools makes it a highly functional choice for a variety of lifestyles. Whether you're looking for a personal residence with historic character or a turnkey addition to a portfolio, this property offers great versatility. Property has a new roof installed in 2023

  2. 2026-04-08
    listed $124,900 Active 544-char remark
    Show marketing remark (544 chars)

    Charming 2-bedroom, 1-bathroom home at 806 4th St in Monett, currently serving as a consistent rental property. This 1,164 sq. ft. residence features a practical layout, a detached one-car garage, and is situated on a manageable 0.13-acre lot. Its proximity to Broadway and local schools makes it a highly functional choice for a variety of lifestyles. Whether you're looking for a personal residence with historic character or a turnkey addition to a portfolio, this property offers great versatility. Property has a new roof installed in 2023

  3. 2018-01-12
    soldstatus
  4. 2017-09-26
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$314 · $26/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,212 · $101/mo
Expected delta
+$898/yr (+$75/mo · 286.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,173
− Mortgage interest
−$6,996
− Property taxes
−$314
− Insurance
−$624
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,054
− Management
−$1,054
− Depreciation
−$3,633
Taxable loss
−$503
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$121
After-tax cash flow
$1,729/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Monett R-I
NCES district ID
2921120
Math proficiency
33% ▲ 2.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$42,139
Composite
32.87/100
National rank
#5609
State rank
#168 of 324 in MO

Livability — Monett

Score
66/100
State rank
#252
US rank
#12237

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A- Employment D Housing B+ Health & safety D- User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Monett, MO
City population
12,690
Population (ZIP)
12,690

Population outlook (Barry County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
35,207 people
By 2030
34,460 · -2.1%
By 2040
32,643 · -7.3%
By 2050
30,688 · -12.8%
By 2075
26,898 · -23.6%
By 2100
22,000 · -37.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (68%)
Race & ethnicity
White 68% Hispanic / Latino 25% Two or more races 13% Pacific Islander 2% Native American 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 17% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
10% · Canada
Languages at home
78% English-only · Spanish 20% Other Asian/Pacific 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Barry

2024 margin
Solid R (+63.5) · D 17.8% · R 81.3%
2008→2024 swing
-28.5pp toward R · 2008: -35.0pp · 2024: -63.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+63.5 2020: R+60.8 2016: R+59.7 2012: R+44.7 2008: R+35.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -41.13%
Current HPI
204.0484
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-14 Pending SOMO
  • 2026-04-08 Listed $124,900 SOMO
  • 2018-01-12 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2017-09-26 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+0.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $314 · +8.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…