1818 Topping Ave · New York, NY 10457

$600,000

4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,488 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 12 Days on market

Built 1899 Est $696k · 14% under ↓ 9% since listing

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Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +19.2/30.0
• ARV discount +13.7/15.0
• Appreciation +7.1/10.0
• DSCR +6.0/10.0
• Schools +5.0/10.0
• 1% rule +4.1/10.0
• Livability +3.8/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks

WELCOME TO THIS INVESTORS DELIGHT. THIS DETACHED HOME REQUIRES TOTAL RENOVATIONS. PLEASE WEAR CLOSED TOE FOOT WEAR WHEN ENTERING THE HOME. THIS IS A LEGAL 2 FAMILY VACANT HOME. Additional Information: HeatingFuel:Oil Above Ground,

Key facts

• Total renovations
• Detached home
• Built 1899

Tags

• DETACHED HOME
• TOTAL RENOVATIONS

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $600k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $645 ($8k/yr) — positive. Per door: $323/mo.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $547k (8.8% below list).
• Recommended offer: $547k (8.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
• Cap rate 7.6% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
• Market conditions: 47 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 6,929 units permitted in Bronx County in 2024 (6,829 in 5+ unit buildings).
• At $5,471/mo this rent would consume 154% of the median local household income ($43k/yr) (locally 8573% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

• In year one you build about $30k of equity ($4k loan paydown + $26k appreciation (4.3% local appreciation)).
• Bronx County population projected at +21% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• At projected returns (4.3% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $168k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$48k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

• Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1899 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→14/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $547,100 (8.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
2. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
3. Built in 1899 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
9. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.91% ✗
• Cap rate: 7.58%
• Cash-on-cash: 4.61%
• DSCR: 1.20
• GRM: 9.1

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $696,384
• Comps found: 1

Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
4465 Park Ave	0.70mi	4/—	1,497 (+1%)	9mo	$700,000	$468	59

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

4.3% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 15.1%
• Equity multiple: 1.92×
• Total profit: $155,329
• Equity at exit: $314,654

10-year hold

• IRR: 16.0%
• Equity multiple: 3.65×
• Total profit: $445,994
• Equity at exit: $523,156

Cash invested: $168,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (CITY): 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
• State New York: 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
• County: — inherits STATE
• City New York: 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34

Rent Stabilization Code; HSTPA; 6+ months in housing court.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 10457

• Home prices YoY: 2.8%
• Active inventory: 47
• Price-to-rent: 18.3×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $5,471 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$3,146
• Tax from tax record: −$281 /mo · $3,367/yr
• Insurance: −$250
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$1,149
• Net cashflow: $645

Break-even live

Break-even rent $4,655

Max offer price $600,000

Occupancy floor 83%

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

Units	Beds	Baths	Est. rent
▸ 2× units	2	1	$5,470
Total (2 units)			$5,471

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $150,000
• Closing costs: $18,000
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 4 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
2311 Crotona Ave Apt 2 Bronx, NY	3.0	1.0	950	$3,350	$3.53	24d	1	1.14mi
2311 Crotona Ave Apt 1 Bronx, NY	3.0	1.0	950	$3,350	$3.53	19d	1	1.14mi
405 W 206th St Unit 1202E New York, NY	3.0	2.0	900	$6,250	$6.94	24d	1	1.30mi
2360 Amsterdam Ave Unit 6A New York, NY	3.0	2.0	1175	$4,500	$3.83	24d	1	1.47mi

Listing history 3 events

1. 2024-09-04
   soldstatus $545,000
2. 2024-09-03
   status Pending
3. 2024-08-08
   listed $600,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

• Current annual tax: $3,367 · $281/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $6,754 · $563/mo
• Expected delta: +$3,386/yr (+$282/mo · 100.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $65,652
• − Mortgage interest: −$33,609
• − Property taxes: −$3,367
• − Insurance: −$3,000
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$5,252
• − Management: −$5,252
• − Depreciation: −$17,455
• Taxable loss: −$2,284
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$548
• After-tax cash flow: $8,288/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

No district data.

Livability — New York

• Score: 75/100
• State rank: #268
• US rank: #4188

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment A- Housing C+ Health & safety A User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: New York, NY
• County: Bronx County · 1,197,324 people
• City population: 7,731,280
• Metro: New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
• Population (ZIP): 79,543
• Household income: $42,683
• Rent vs Own: 94.8% rent · 5.2% own
• Severe rent burden: 8573.0

Population outlook (Bronx County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 1,607,353 people
• By 2030: 1,681,852 · +4.6%
• By 2040: 1,824,421 · +13.5%
• By 2050: 1,945,470 · +21.0%
• By 2075: 2,187,887 · +36.1%
• By 2100: 2,244,136 · +39.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Majority Hispanic (63%)
• Race & ethnicity: Hispanic / Latino 63% Black 32% Two or more races 19% White 2% Native American 1%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 7% Puerto Rican 16% Dominican 31%
• Common ancestry: Hispanic 1%
• Foreign-born: 39% · Canada, United Kingdom, Jamaica
• Languages at home: 33% English-only · Spanish 54% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Arabic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Bronx

• 2024 margin: Solid D (+45.4) · D 72.7% · R 27.3%
• 2008→2024 swing: -32.3pp toward R · 2008: 77.8pp · 2024: 45.4pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+45.4 2020: D+67.6 2016: D+79.1 2012: D+82.9 2008: D+77.8

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▲ 4.30%
• Current HPI: 160.6434
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.60%
• F500 in state: 92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Financial Services	10	$950B
▸Consumer Goods	9	$162B
▸Insurance	4	$225B
▸Telecommunications	2	$144B
▸Pharmaceuticals	2	$112B
▸Media / Entertainment	2	$69B

Price history

-9.2% since first listed

3 events — show timeline

• 2024-09-04 Sold (Public Records) $545,000 Public Records
• 2024-09-03 Pending — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2024-08-08 Listed $600,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+6.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,367 · +1.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.