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73 Corliss Rd
B Composite 70.0
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +5.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$80,000

73 Corliss Rd · St. Albans, VT 05478
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,410 sqft · Other · 14 Days on market
Built 1960 0.55 ac lot $57/sqft · 83% below area

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Property is selling as is. Most likely will need a construction loan or a tear down. Has well and septic is not in use.

Key facts

  • 0.55 acre lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1960

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached or detached 1-car garage
  • Utilities: Drilled well (shared); Private sewer; Electric service listed as other; No internet service reported
  • Home design: Ranch-style single-family home; Existing construction; Facing direction not specified; Entry level not specified
  • Construction: Built in 1960; Wood frame construction; Metal roof; Foundation: crawl space/dirt floor
  • Exterior features: Level, neighborhood lot; Gravel driveway; Dead-end road frontage on a public maintained gravel road

Interior

  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Oil heating; Hot air heating
  • Interior features: Six total rooms; Crawl space basement with dirt floor; Interior access to basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $80k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $837 ($10k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $80k).
  • Cap rate 18.9% vs local median 2.4% in St. Albans — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Zoned schools: St. Albans City Elementary School (math 24% / reading 38%, grade F, #135 of 192 statewide, top 70%, 718 students, 56% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 123 active listings in the ZIP; 200 units permitted in Franklin County in 2024 (25 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $553 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Franklin County population projected to shrink 3% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.8% of price.
Recommended offer $80,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.34%
Cap rate
18.85%
Cash-on-cash
44.85%
DSCR
3.00
GRM
3.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$459,489
List price
$80,000
Delta
-82.59%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
2 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
42.0%
Equity multiple
2.81×
Total profit
$40,441
Equity at exit
$11,928
10-year hold
IRR
48.1%
Equity multiple
5.65×
Total profit
$104,206
Equity at exit
$6,917

Cash invested: $22,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
41 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Vermont
41 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Just-cause in Burlington (2022); strong habitability.

ZIP-level market 05478

Home prices YoY
-28.1%
Active inventory
123
Price-to-rent
3.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,869 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$420
Tax from tax record
$186 /mo · $2,232/yr
Insurance
$33
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$392
Net cashflow
$837

Break-even live

Break-even rent $809
Max offer price $80,000
Occupancy floor 50%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$20,000
Closing costs
$2,400
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-05-12
    status Pending 119-char remark
  2. 2026-04-28
    listed $80,000 Active 119-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast VT · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,232 · $186/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,232 · $186/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,422
− Mortgage interest
−$4,481
− Property taxes
−$2,232
− Insurance
−$400
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,794
− Management
−$1,794
− Depreciation
−$2,327
Taxable income
$9,394
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,254
After-tax cash flow
$7,792/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

No district data.

Livability — St. Albans

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
16,016

Population outlook (Franklin County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
50,374 people
By 2030
50,718 · +0.7%
By 2040
50,557 · +0.4%
By 2050
48,832 · -3.1%
By 2075
43,526 · -13.6%
By 2100
33,970 · -32.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (92%)
Race & ethnicity
White 92% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3% Native American 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 16% Slovak 3% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 3% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Franklin

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 50.0% · R 47.0% · Other 3.0%
2008→2024 swing
-21.8pp toward R · 2008: 24.8pp · 2024: 3.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+3.0 2020: D+9.0 2016: D+3.1 2012: D+23.6 2008: D+24.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -126.12%
Current HPI
322.6117
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

+2.5% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-16 Sold (MLS) $82,000 PrimeMLS
  • 2026-05-12 Pending PrimeMLS
  • 2026-04-28 Listed $80,000 PrimeMLS

Property tax history

-0.3%/yr

Latest (2024): $2,232 · +9.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…