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1203 Middlecreek St
D Composite 41.96
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +7.3/30.0
  • Schools +6.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.2/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.9/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +1.5/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$360,000

1203 Middlecreek St · Friendswood, TX 77546
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,066 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 195 Days on market
Built 1983 0.27 ac lot $174/sqft · 19% below area Est $445k · 19% under $29/mo HOA · 1% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Discover comfort, space, and timeless style in this well-loved 4-bedroom, 2-bath home—ready to welcome its next family. The spacious kitchen features granite countertops, a built-in oven, and a generous walk-in pantry, while the adjacent butler’s pantry provides the perfect spot for extra appliances or holiday meal prep. The inviting family room stands out with its floor-to-ceiling wood paneling, cathedral ceiling, and exposed beam, creating a warm and dramatic focal point. With a neutral palette, this home offers the ideal canvas for your personal updates—just the right amount of DIY potential. Don’t miss the chance to make this beautiful Falcon Ridge classic your own— selling As-Is. Friendswood ISD!! Schedule your tour today!

Key facts

  • Butler's pantry
  • Cathedral ceiling
  • Granite countertops

Tags

GRANITE COUNTERTOPSBUILT-IN OVENWALK-IN PANTRYBUTLER'S PANTRYFLOOR-TO-CEILING WOOD PANELINGCATHEDRAL CEILING

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $360k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-473 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $277k (23.2% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $284k (21.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $277k (23.2% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
  • Cap rate 4.7% vs local median 2.4% in Friendswood — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#338 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Friendswood ISD (suburban): math 64% / reading 65% proficiency, ranked #15 of 826 in TX (top 2%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 8% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Zoned schools: C W Cline El (math 62% / reading 67%, grade B, #257 of 4,322 statewide, top 6%, 801 students, 8% FRL); Friendswood J H (math 62% / reading 59%, grade B+, #154 of 1,662 statewide, top 9%, 1,467 students, 0% FRL); Friendswood H S (math 61% / reading 76%, grade B, #144 of 1,632 statewide, top 9%, 1,980 students, 0% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.7%/yr); 512 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; high-income renter base; 3,258 units permitted in Galveston County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $11k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Galveston County population projected at +43% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 195 days — a 12% lower offer ($317k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 7y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $90k (20%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $276,528 (23.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 195 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 23% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.79%
Cap rate
4.72%
Cash-on-cash
-5.63%
DSCR
0.75
GRM
10.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$444,775
List price
$360,000
Delta
-19.06%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1509 Windsor Dr 0.60mi 4/2.0 1,998 (-3%) 1mo $399,900 $200 66
1205 Middlecreek St 0.01mi 4/2.5 2,346 (+14%) 16mo $424,900 $181 62
1712 White Wing Cir 0.14mi 4/3.0 2,366 (+14%) 8mo $464,900 $196 58
1489 Garden Lakes Dr 0.48mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,276 (+10%) 0mo $468,900 $206 55
1531 Briar Bend Dr 0.46mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,289 (+11%) 2mo $429,000 $187 54
1482 Garden Lakes Dr 0.49mi 4/2.0 2,322 (+12%) 10mo $479,000 $206 48
1407 Kent Way 0.73mi 4/2.5 1,936 (-6%) 20mo $385,000 $199 37

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.74% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-26.2%
Equity multiple
0.12×
Total profit
$-88,989
Equity at exit
$53,677
10-year hold
IRR
-23.8%
Equity multiple
-0.18×
Total profit
$-118,525
Equity at exit
$31,126

Cash invested: $100,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 77546

Rents YoY
2.7%
Active inventory
512
Price-to-rent
10.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,837 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,888
Tax from tax record
$647 /mo · $7,766/yr
Insurance
$150
HOA
$29
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$596
Net cashflow
$-473

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,435
Max offer price $276,528
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-269 -5% $-371 +0% $-473 +5% $-574 +10% $-676
Rent -10% $-697 -5% $-585 +0% $-473 +5% $-360 +10% $-248
Rate -1.0pp $-291 -0.5pp $-381 base $-473 +0.5pp $-566 +1.0pp $-661

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$90,000
Closing costs
$10,800
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1408 S Friendswood Dr #804 Friendswood, TX 3.0 3.0 1966 $2,700 $1.37 17d 1 1.15mi
1408 S Friendswood Dr #804 Friendswood, TX 3.0 3.0 1966 $2,700 $1.37 18d 1 1.15mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$29 · $348/yr

Listing history 24 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $360,000 Active 195 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $360,000 Active 192 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $360,000 Active 191 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $360,000 Active 190 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $360,000 Active 189 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $360,000 Active 187 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $360,000 Active 183 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $360,000 Active 182 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $360,000 Active 181 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $360,000 Active 178 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $360,000 Active 177 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $360,000 Active 176 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $360,000 Active 175 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $360,000 Active 174 DOM
  15. 2026-02-27
    price $360,000 767-char remark
    Show marketing remark (767 chars)

    Discover comfort, space, and timeless style in this well-loved 4-bedroom, 2-bath home—ready to welcome its next family. The spacious kitchen features granite countertops, a built-in oven, and a generous walk-in pantry, while the adjacent butler’s pantry provides the perfect spot for extra appliances or holiday meal prep. The inviting family room stands out with its floor-to-ceiling wood paneling, cathedral ceiling, and exposed beam, creating a warm and dramatic focal point. With a neutral palette, this home offers the ideal canvas for your personal updates—just the right amount of DIY potential. Don’t miss the chance to make this beautiful Falcon Ridge classic your own— selling As-Is. Friendswood ISD!! Schedule your tour today!

  16. 2026-01-27
    price $399,000 767-char remark
    Show marketing remark (767 chars)

    Discover comfort, space, and timeless style in this well-loved 4-bedroom, 2-bath home—ready to welcome its next family. The spacious kitchen features granite countertops, a built-in oven, and a generous walk-in pantry, while the adjacent butler’s pantry provides the perfect spot for extra appliances or holiday meal prep. The inviting family room stands out with its floor-to-ceiling wood paneling, cathedral ceiling, and exposed beam, creating a warm and dramatic focal point. With a neutral palette, this home offers the ideal canvas for your personal updates—just the right amount of DIY potential. Don’t miss the chance to make this beautiful Falcon Ridge classic your own— selling As-Is. Friendswood ISD!! Schedule your tour today!

  17. 2025-12-17
    price $420,000 767-char remark
    Show marketing remark (767 chars)

    Discover comfort, space, and timeless style in this well-loved 4-bedroom, 2-bath home—ready to welcome its next family. The spacious kitchen features granite countertops, a built-in oven, and a generous walk-in pantry, while the adjacent butler’s pantry provides the perfect spot for extra appliances or holiday meal prep. The inviting family room stands out with its floor-to-ceiling wood paneling, cathedral ceiling, and exposed beam, creating a warm and dramatic focal point. With a neutral palette, this home offers the ideal canvas for your personal updates—just the right amount of DIY potential. Don’t miss the chance to make this beautiful Falcon Ridge classic your own— selling As-Is. Friendswood ISD!! Schedule your tour today!

  18. 2025-12-08
    listed $450,000 Active 767-char remark
    Show marketing remark (767 chars)

    Discover comfort, space, and timeless style in this well-loved 4-bedroom, 2-bath home—ready to welcome its next family. The spacious kitchen features granite countertops, a built-in oven, and a generous walk-in pantry, while the adjacent butler’s pantry provides the perfect spot for extra appliances or holiday meal prep. The inviting family room stands out with its floor-to-ceiling wood paneling, cathedral ceiling, and exposed beam, creating a warm and dramatic focal point. With a neutral palette, this home offers the ideal canvas for your personal updates—just the right amount of DIY potential. Don’t miss the chance to make this beautiful Falcon Ridge classic your own— selling As-Is. Friendswood ISD!! Schedule your tour today!

  19. 2019-05-03
    soldstatus
  20. 2019-05-02
    soldstatus Sold 864-char remark
    Show marketing remark (864 chars)

    Traditional Beauty located in Popular Falcon Ridge! This comfortable and practical home features 4 bedrooms and 2 full baths. You will fall in love with the space this home offers to the next family that calls it home! The roof was replaced in 2016 along with A/C and garage door. The kitchen is roomy and offers granite counter tops, built-in oven There's plenty of storage in the walk-in pantry! The butler's pantry is perfect for extra appliances or to use as a prep area for holiday meals! The family room is adorned with floor to ceiling stunning wood paneling and boast a cathedral style ceiling with exposed beam. A pretty clean palette to make it your own! Just enough DIY projects to make it fun but not overwhelming. Being Sold AS-IS - in addition to items in Seller's Disclosure, needs updating, no flooring in hallways to bedrooms. Take a look today!

  21. 2019-04-07
    status Pending 864-char remark
    Show marketing remark (864 chars)

    Traditional Beauty located in Popular Falcon Ridge! This comfortable and practical home features 4 bedrooms and 2 full baths. You will fall in love with the space this home offers to the next family that calls it home! The roof was replaced in 2016 along with A/C and garage door. The kitchen is roomy and offers granite counter tops, built-in oven There's plenty of storage in the walk-in pantry! The butler's pantry is perfect for extra appliances or to use as a prep area for holiday meals! The family room is adorned with floor to ceiling stunning wood paneling and boast a cathedral style ceiling with exposed beam. A pretty clean palette to make it your own! Just enough DIY projects to make it fun but not overwhelming. Being Sold AS-IS - in addition to items in Seller's Disclosure, needs updating, no flooring in hallways to bedrooms. Take a look today!

  22. 2019-03-26
    status Option Pending 864-char remark
    Show marketing remark (864 chars)

    Traditional Beauty located in Popular Falcon Ridge! This comfortable and practical home features 4 bedrooms and 2 full baths. You will fall in love with the space this home offers to the next family that calls it home! The roof was replaced in 2016 along with A/C and garage door. The kitchen is roomy and offers granite counter tops, built-in oven There's plenty of storage in the walk-in pantry! The butler's pantry is perfect for extra appliances or to use as a prep area for holiday meals! The family room is adorned with floor to ceiling stunning wood paneling and boast a cathedral style ceiling with exposed beam. A pretty clean palette to make it your own! Just enough DIY projects to make it fun but not overwhelming. Being Sold AS-IS - in addition to items in Seller's Disclosure, needs updating, no flooring in hallways to bedrooms. Take a look today!

  23. 2019-03-17
    listed $257,000 Active 864-char remark
    Show marketing remark (864 chars)

    Traditional Beauty located in Popular Falcon Ridge! This comfortable and practical home features 4 bedrooms and 2 full baths. You will fall in love with the space this home offers to the next family that calls it home! The roof was replaced in 2016 along with A/C and garage door. The kitchen is roomy and offers granite counter tops, built-in oven There's plenty of storage in the walk-in pantry! The butler's pantry is perfect for extra appliances or to use as a prep area for holiday meals! The family room is adorned with floor to ceiling stunning wood paneling and boast a cathedral style ceiling with exposed beam. A pretty clean palette to make it your own! Just enough DIY projects to make it fun but not overwhelming. Being Sold AS-IS - in addition to items in Seller's Disclosure, needs updating, no flooring in hallways to bedrooms. Take a look today!

  24. 1989-02-01
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$7,766 · $647/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$7,766 · $647/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$34,048
− Mortgage interest
−$20,166
− Property taxes
−$7,766
− Insurance
−$1,800
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,724
− Management
−$2,724
− HOA
−$348
− Depreciation
−$10,473
Taxable loss
−$11,952
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,868
After-tax cash flow
$-2,802/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Friendswood ISD
NCES district ID
4819950
Math proficiency
64% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
65% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$109,699
Composite
60.52/100
National rank
#841
State rank
#15 of 826 in TX

Livability — Friendswood

Score
70/100
State rank
#338
US rank
#7362

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living B- Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Friendswood, TX
County
Galveston County · 357,330 people
City population
54,789
Metro
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
Population (ZIP)
54,789
Household income
$123,756
Rent vs Own
24.0% rent · 76.0% own
Severe rent burden
1350.0

Population outlook (Galveston County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
390,640 people
By 2030
425,226 · +8.9%
By 2040
493,765 · +26.4%
By 2050
559,698 · +43.3%
By 2075
719,260 · +84.1%
By 2100
819,628 · +109.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (67%)
Race & ethnicity
White 67% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 11% Asian 7% Black 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 13%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 3% Italian 3% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
10% · Canada, Vietnam, China
Languages at home
84% English-only · Spanish 7% Other Indo-European 3% Vietnamese 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Galveston

2024 margin
Strong R (+27.4) · D 35.7% · R 63.1% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-7.9pp toward R · 2008: -19.5pp · 2024: -27.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+27.4 2020: R+22.6 2016: R+22.6 2012: R+26.9 2008: R+19.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -160.03%
Current HPI
243.7934
Rent YoY
▲ 2.74%
Metro
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+40.1% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-27 Price Changed $360,000 HARMLS
  • 2026-01-27 Price Changed $399,000 HARMLS
  • 2025-12-17 Price Changed $420,000 HARMLS
  • 2025-12-08 Listed $450,000 HARMLS
  • 2019-05-03 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2019-05-02 Sold (MLS) HARMLS
  • 2019-04-07 Pending HARMLS
  • 2019-03-26 Pending HARMLS
  • 2019-03-17 Listed $257,000 HARMLS
  • 1989-02-01 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+5.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $7,766 · +0.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…