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3451 W 155th St
B- Composite 66.42
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +20.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +13.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +6.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.5/10.0

$228,000

3451 W 155th St · Markham, IL 60428
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,260 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 72 Days on market
Built 2001 Est $260k · 12% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

See the potential in this spacious 4-bedroom, 2.5-bath home on an oversized lot in Markham. Enjoy the beauty of nature right outside your front door! This home features a formal dining room, an open-concept kitchen ideal for entertaining, and a generously sized primary bedroom complete with a private bath and relaxing jacuzzi tub. The large basement offers many options to finish to your specifications. A built-in deck provides the ideal space for outdoor gatherings, and the attached 2-car garage adds convenience. This home is being sold as is with room sizes estimated. See this one today and make it yours!

Key facts

  • Formal dining room
  • Open-concept kitchen
  • Private bath

Tags

OVERSIZED LOTFORMAL DINING ROOMOPEN-CONCEPT KITCHENPRIVATE BATHJACUZZI TUBLARGE BASEMENT

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Property located in Markham, Bremen township
  • HOA & community: No master association fee required

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage (2-car); 2 total parking spaces
  • Utilities: Lake Michigan water source; Public sewer
  • Home design: Detached single-family home; 2-story house; Fee simple ownership
  • Construction: Built ~21-25 years ago; Vinyl siding and brick exterior
  • Exterior features: Lot less than 0.25 acre; Lot dimensions listed as 13300

Interior

  • Kitchen: Spacious kitchen on the main floor (30 x 15)
  • Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms; Master bedroom on the second floor (36 x 19); Three additional bedrooms on the second floor (each approx. 13 x 14)
  • Flooring: Carpet in bedrooms and master bedroom
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: 8 total rooms; Unfinished full basement
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry room on the second floor (8 x 10)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $228k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $317 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $228k).
  • Recommended offer: $214k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.0% vs local median 10.2% in Markham — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#186 in IL, #3,539 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D, amenities D, employment D.
  • Bremen Chsd 228 (suburban): math 15% / reading 17% proficiency, ranked #468 of 620 in IL (top 76%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 65 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $24k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $23k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $64k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$39k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 72 days — a 6% lower offer ($214k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $214,320 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 72 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.05%
Cap rate
7.96%
Cash-on-cash
5.96%
DSCR
1.27
GRM
7.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$259,900
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
15831 Trumbull Ave 0.45mi 4/3.0 (+1) 2,300 (+2%) 4mo $267,000 $116 64
3348 Willow Ln 0.40mi 4/2.0 (+1) 2,080 (-8%) 3mo $250,000 $120 61
3831 W 154th St 0.51mi 4/2.5 (+1) 2,354 (+4%) 6mo $225,000 $96 57
15624 Sawyer Ave 0.47mi 3/2.5 2,058 (-9%) 8mo $213,000 $103 55
3252 W 155th St 0.47mi 4/3.0 (+1) 2,240 (-1%) 17mo $240,000 $107 54
15619 Homan Ave 0.32mi 4/2.5 (+1) 2,573 (+14%) 5mo $235,000 $91 51
3910 W 155th St 0.55mi 3/3.0 2,187 (-3%) 19mo $295,000 $135 49
3849 W 154th Pl 0.52mi 4/2.5 (+1) 2,367 (+5%) 18mo $210,000 $89 46
3542 W 160th St 0.56mi 4/2.5 (+1) 2,139 (-5%) 14mo $267,000 $125 46
3334 Heather Dr 0.47mi 3/1.5 2,036 (-10%) 17mo $225,000 $111 45
3807 153rd Pl 0.49mi 3/2.0 1,961 (-13%) 17mo $249,900 $127 41
3810 153rd St 0.55mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,949 (-14%) 8mo $225,000 $115 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
28.6%
Equity multiple
3.26×
Total profit
$144,413
Equity at exit
$205,400
10-year hold
IRR
24.9%
Equity multiple
7.41×
Total profit
$409,457
Equity at exit
$442,954

Cash invested: $63,840 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 60428

Home prices YoY
8.5%
Active inventory
65
Price-to-rent
7.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,396 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,196
Tax est. 1.5%
$285 /mo · $3,420/yr
Insurance
$95
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$503
Net cashflow
$317

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,995
Max offer price $228,000
Occupancy floor 82%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$57,000
Closing costs
$6,840
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3952 153rd St Midlothian, IL 4.0 2.0 1677 $2,396 $1.43 2d 1 0.72mi

Listing history 14 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $228,000 Active 72 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    statusdays on market $228,000 Active 71 DOM
  3. 2026-06-04
    days on market $228,000 Contingent - Continue to Show 91 DOM
  4. 2026-06-03
    days on market $228,000 Contingent - Continue to Show 90 DOM
  5. 2026-06-02
    days on market $228,000 Contingent - Continue to Show 89 DOM
  6. 2026-06-01
    days on market $228,000 Contingent - Continue to Show 88 DOM
  7. 2026-05-31
    days on market $228,000 Contingent - Continue to Show 87 DOM
  8. 2026-05-16
    historical Contingent - Continue to Show
  9. 2026-04-28
    status Active
  10. 2026-03-20
    historical Contingent - Continue to Show
  11. 2026-03-04
    listed $228,000 Active
  12. 2025-09-21
    historical
  13. 2025-08-03
    price
  14. 2025-06-03
    listed Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$28,752
− Mortgage interest
−$12,772
− Property taxes
−$3,420
− Insurance
−$1,140
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,300
− Management
−$2,300
− Depreciation
−$6,633
Taxable income
$187
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$45
After-tax cash flow
$3,761/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Bremen Chsd 228
NCES district ID
1707050
Math proficiency
15% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
17% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$57,625
Composite
15.32/100
National rank
#9327
State rank
#468 of 620 in IL

Livability — Markham

Score
76/100
State rank
#186
US rank
#3539

Category grades

Amenities D Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime D Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety C+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Markham, IL
City population
10,980
Population (ZIP)
10,980

Population outlook (Cook County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
5,347,519 people
By 2030
5,357,703 · +0.2%
By 2040
5,324,924 · -0.4%
By 2050
5,230,762 · -2.2%
By 2075
4,785,735 · -10.5%
By 2100
4,188,836 · -21.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (69%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 69% Hispanic / Latino 17% White 11% Two or more races 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 16%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada
Languages at home
86% English-only · Spanish 14%

Political lean MEDSL · Cook

2024 margin
Solid D (+42.0) · D 70.4% · R 28.4% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-11.4pp toward R · 2008: 53.4pp · 2024: 42.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+42.0 2020: D+50.3 2016: D+53.0 2012: D+49.4 2008: D+53.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 23.63%
Current HPI
302.333
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-16 Contingent MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-28 Relisted MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-20 Contingent MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-04 Listed $228,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-09-21 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-08-03 Price Changed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-06-03 Listed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+4.5%/yr

Latest (2023): $12,529 · -5.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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