3451 W 155th St · Markham, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.9/30.0
- ARV discount +13.0/15.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +6.7/10.0
- 1% rule +5.5/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.5/10.0
$228,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
See the potential in this spacious 4-bedroom, 2.5-bath home on an oversized lot in Markham. Enjoy the beauty of nature right outside your front door! This home features a formal dining room, an open-concept kitchen ideal for entertaining, and a generously sized primary bedroom complete with a private bath and relaxing jacuzzi tub. The large basement offers many options to finish to your specifications. A built-in deck provides the ideal space for outdoor gatherings, and the attached 2-car garage adds convenience. This home is being sold as is with room sizes estimated. See this one today and make it yours!
Key facts
- Formal dining room
- Open-concept kitchen
- Private bath
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property located in Markham, Bremen township
- HOA & community: No master association fee required
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage (2-car); 2 total parking spaces
- Utilities: Lake Michigan water source; Public sewer
- Home design: Detached single-family home; 2-story house; Fee simple ownership
- Construction: Built ~21-25 years ago; Vinyl siding and brick exterior
- Exterior features: Lot less than 0.25 acre; Lot dimensions listed as 13300
Interior
- Kitchen: Spacious kitchen on the main floor (30 x 15)
- Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms; Master bedroom on the second floor (36 x 19); Three additional bedrooms on the second floor (each approx. 13 x 14)
- Flooring: Carpet in bedrooms and master bedroom
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: 8 total rooms; Unfinished full basement
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room on the second floor (8 x 10)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $228k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $317 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $228k).
- Recommended offer: $214k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.0% vs local median 10.2% in Markham — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#186 in IL, #3,539 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D, amenities D, employment D.
- Bremen Chsd 228 (suburban): math 15% / reading 17% proficiency, ranked #468 of 620 in IL (top 76%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 65 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $24k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $23k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $64k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$39k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 72 days — a 6% lower offer ($214k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 72 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.05% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.96%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.96%
- DSCR
- 1.27
- GRM
- 7.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $259,900
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15831 Trumbull Ave | 0.45mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 2,300 (+2%) | 4mo | $267,000 | $116 | 64 |
| 3348 Willow Ln | 0.40mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,080 (-8%) | 3mo | $250,000 | $120 | 61 |
| 3831 W 154th St | 0.51mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,354 (+4%) | 6mo | $225,000 | $96 | 57 |
| 15624 Sawyer Ave | 0.47mi | 3/2.5 | 2,058 (-9%) | 8mo | $213,000 | $103 | 55 |
| 3252 W 155th St | 0.47mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 2,240 (-1%) | 17mo | $240,000 | $107 | 54 |
| 15619 Homan Ave | 0.32mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,573 (+14%) | 5mo | $235,000 | $91 | 51 |
| 3910 W 155th St | 0.55mi | 3/3.0 | 2,187 (-3%) | 19mo | $295,000 | $135 | 49 |
| 3849 W 154th Pl | 0.52mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,367 (+5%) | 18mo | $210,000 | $89 | 46 |
| 3542 W 160th St | 0.56mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,139 (-5%) | 14mo | $267,000 | $125 | 46 |
| 3334 Heather Dr | 0.47mi | 3/1.5 | 2,036 (-10%) | 17mo | $225,000 | $111 | 45 |
| 3807 153rd Pl | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 | 1,961 (-13%) | 17mo | $249,900 | $127 | 41 |
| 3810 153rd St | 0.55mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,949 (-14%) | 8mo | $225,000 | $115 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 28.6%
- Equity multiple
- 3.26×
- Total profit
- $144,413
- Equity at exit
- $205,400
- IRR
- 24.9%
- Equity multiple
- 7.41×
- Total profit
- $409,457
- Equity at exit
- $442,954
Cash invested: $63,840 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 60428
- Home prices YoY
- 8.5%
- Active inventory
- 65
- Price-to-rent
- 7.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,396 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,196
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$285 /mo · $3,420/yr
- Insurance
- −$95
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$503
- Net cashflow
- $317
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $57,000
- Closing costs
- $6,840
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3952 153rd St Midlothian, IL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1677 | $2,396 | $1.43 | 2d | 1 | 0.72mi |
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $228,000 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-18statusdays on market $228,000 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $228,000 Contingent - Continue to Show 91 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $228,000 Contingent - Continue to Show 90 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $228,000 Contingent - Continue to Show 89 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $228,000 Contingent - Continue to Show 88 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $228,000 Contingent - Continue to Show 87 DOM
-
2026-05-16historical Contingent - Continue to Show
-
2026-04-28status Active
-
2026-03-20historical Contingent - Continue to Show
-
2026-03-04$228,000 Active
-
2025-09-21historical
-
2025-08-03price
-
2025-06-03Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $28,752
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,772
- − Property taxes
- −$3,420
- − Insurance
- −$1,140
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,300
- − Management
- −$2,300
- − Depreciation
- −$6,633
- Taxable income
- $187
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$45
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,761/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bremen Chsd 228
- NCES district ID
- 1707050
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 17% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $57,625
- Composite
- 15.32/100
- National rank
- #9327
- State rank
- #468 of 620 in IL
Livability — Markham
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #186
- US rank
- #3539
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Markham, IL
- City population
- 10,980
- Population (ZIP)
- 10,980
Population outlook (Cook County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,347,519 people
- By 2030
- 5,357,703 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 5,324,924 · -0.4%
- By 2050
- 5,230,762 · -2.2%
- By 2075
- 4,785,735 · -10.5%
- By 2100
- 4,188,836 · -21.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (69%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 69% Hispanic / Latino 17% White 11% Two or more races 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 16%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 14%
Political lean MEDSL · Cook
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+42.0) · D 70.4% · R 28.4% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.4pp toward R · 2008: 53.4pp · 2024: 42.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+42.0 2020: D+50.3 2016: D+53.0 2012: D+49.4 2008: D+53.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 23.63%
- Current HPI
- 302.333
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
||
| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
|
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Price history
7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-16 Contingent — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-28 Relisted — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-20 Contingent — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-04 Listed $228,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-09-21 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-08-03 Price Changed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-06-03 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+4.5%/yrLatest (2023): $12,529 · -5.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…