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4884 Waterford Dr
D Composite 40.35
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +12.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.2/15.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.9/10.0
  • DSCR +3.8/10.0
  • Schools +3.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.9/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$259,999

4884 Waterford Dr · Fort Worth, TX 76179
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,536 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 47 Days on market
Built 2003 4,487 sqft lot Est $258k · at est. $17/mo HOA · 1% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Great Opportunity for First-Time Buyers or Investors! This well-maintained single-story home offers 4 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, and 1,532 square feet with a functional split-bedroom floor plan. The layout provides privacy for the primary suite while keeping the secondary bedrooms separate—ideal for families, roommates, or flexible living arrangements. The spacious living area opens to the kitchen dining combo, creating a comfortable space for everyday living. The primary bedroom includes a private bath, while three additional bedrooms provide options for guests, home office space, or additional household members. Major updates done are the roof and HVAC have both been replaced already, h

Key facts

  • Manageable yard
  • Spacious living area
  • Private bath

Tags

SPACIOUS LIVING AREAPRIVATE BATHMAJOR UPDATESREPLACED ROOFREPLACED HVACMANAGEABLE YARD

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Accepts Cash, Conventional, FHA, VA loan, Other; Second mortgage: No
  • HOA & community: Mandatory HOA (Parkview Hills); HOA fee $200 annually; HOA includes full use of facilities and grounds maintenance

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached carport; 2 covered parking spaces; 2-car attached garage
  • Utilities: City water; City sewer; Other utilities
  • Home design: Single family residence; Attached property; Built in 2003; One story
  • Construction: Siding exterior; Slab foundation; Preowned
  • Exterior features: Lot smaller than 0.5 acre; Subdivision: Parkview Hills; Directions: Use GPS

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric range; Disposal; Pantry
  • Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms (all on the main level); Primary bedroom on main level
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Electric heating
  • Interior features: 10 total rooms; Pantry; Walk-in closet(s); One living area; One dining area; Levels: One
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup; Separate laundry room on main level

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $260k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-33 ($-395/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $254k (2.2% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $232k (10.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $232k (10.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 3.9% in Fort Worth — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 80/100 on livability (#49 in TX, #1,954 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
  • Eagle Mt-Saginaw ISD (urban): math 35% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #361 of 826 in TX (top 44%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Copper Creek El (math 34% / reading 45%, grade F, #1,545 of 4,322 statewide, top 38%, 669 students, 41% FRL); Creekview Middle (math 52% / reading 55%, grade C+, #275 of 1,662 statewide, top 17%, 844 students, 50% FRL); Chisholm Trail H S (math 27% / reading 55%, grade F, #774 of 1,632 statewide, top 49%, 2,493 students, 48% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.5%/yr); 1074 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 18,938 units permitted in Tarrant County in 2024 (8,336 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Tarrant County population projected at +41% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 47 days — a 3% lower offer ($252k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts since 23y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $231,573 (10.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 47 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 11% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.89%
Cap rate
6.14%
Cash-on-cash
-0.54%
DSCR
0.98
GRM
9.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$258,048
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4884 Waterford Dr 0.00mi 4/2.0 1,536 (0%) 1mo $259,999 $169 99
4817 Waterford Dr 0.11mi 4/2.0 1,536 (0%) 0mo $260,000 $169 94
4940 Waterford Dr 0.11mi 4/2.0 1,534 (-0%) 1mo $249,900 $163 94
6409 Riverwater Trl 0.28mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,461 (-5%) 1mo $265,000 $181 73
5424 Creek Hill Ln 0.57mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,526 (-1%) 2mo $250,000 $164 66
5325 Northfield Dr 0.40mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,636 (+6%) 1mo $280,000 $171 65
6301 Waterhill Ln 0.43mi 4/2.0 1,755 (+14%) 2mo $285,000 $162 55
4948 Grey Fallow St 0.74mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,474 (-4%) 2mo $263,999 $179 50
7125 Meandering Creek Ln 0.70mi 4/2.5 1,707 (+11%) 1mo $285,699 $167 46
7132 Waterford Creek Ct 0.74mi 4/2.5 1,707 (+11%) 1mo $282,749 $166 44
609 Oak Hollow Trl 0.75mi 4/2.0 1,730 (+13%) 2mo $289,900 $168 43
5628 Shady Springs Trl 0.69mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,706 (+11%) 1mo $250,000 $147 42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.51% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-18.9%
Equity multiple
0.35×
Total profit
$-47,574
Equity at exit
$38,767
10-year hold
IRR
-14.8%
Equity multiple
0.21×
Total profit
$-57,445
Equity at exit
$22,480

Cash invested: $72,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 76179

Rents YoY
1.5%
Active inventory
1074
Price-to-rent
9.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,316 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,363
Tax from tax record
$374 /mo · $4,483/yr
Insurance
$108
HOA
$17
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$486
Net cashflow
$-33

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,357
Max offer price $254,182
Occupancy floor 96%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $114 -5% $41 +0% $-33 +5% $-107 +10% $-180
Rent -10% $-216 -5% $-124 +0% $-33 +5% $59 +10% $150
Rate -1.0pp $98 -0.5pp $33 base $-33 +0.5pp $-100 +1.0pp $-169

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$65,000
Closing costs
$7,800
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
6701 Meadow Way Ln Fort Worth, TX 4.0 2.0 1532 $1,950 $1.27 24d 1 0.03mi
4921 Waterford Dr Fort Worth, TX 4.0 2.5 1975 $1,200 $0.61 1d 1 0.09mi
4937 Waterford Dr Fort Worth, TX 3.0 2.5 1810 $1,879 $1.04 26d 1 0.12mi
5008 Waterford Dr Fort Worth, TX 4.0 2.5 1972 $2,100 $1.06 5d 1 0.14mi
5008 Waterford Dr Fort Worth, TX 4.0 2.5 1972 $2,100 $1.06 26d 1 0.14mi
6612 Waterhill Ln Fort Worth, TX 3.0 2.5 1842 $1,995 $1.08 14d 1 0.18mi
5100 Waterford Dr Fort Worth, TX 3.0 2.5 1848 $1,850 $1.00 26d 1 0.18mi
6433 Riverwater Trl Fort Worth, TX 3.0 2.0 1150 $2,100 $1.83 26d 1 0.24mi
4545 Waterford Dr Fort Worth, TX 4.0 2.5 1960 $2,086 $1.06 14d 1 0.25mi
6812 Valley Creek Dr Fort Worth, TX 4.0 2.0 1764 $1,950 $1.11 22d 1 0.25mi
6933 Meadow Way Ln Fort Worth, TX 4.0 2.5 1942 $1,955 $1.01 22d 1 0.25mi
6933 Meadow Way Ln Fort Worth, TX 4.0 2.5 1942 $2,021 $1.04 24d 1 0.25mi
4964 Creek Ridge Trl Fort Worth, TX 3.0 2.5 2177 $2,140 $0.98 24d 1 0.27mi
6848 Valley Creek Dr Fort Worth, TX 3.0 2.0 1537 $1,875 $1.22 1d 1 0.27mi
6409 Riverwater Trl Fort Worth, TX 3.0 2.0 1461 $1,900 $1.30 1d 1 0.30mi
6316 Downeast Dr Fort Worth, TX 3.0 2.0 1265 $1,825 $1.44 3d 1 0.35mi
6304 Downeast Dr Fort Worth, TX 3.0 2.0 1587 $1,900 $1.20 14d 1 0.38mi
6521 Trident Ct Fort Worth, TX 4.0 2.0 1802 $2,195 $1.22 1d 1 0.41mi
5344 Brahma Trl Fort Worth, TX 3.0 2.0 1720 $2,295 $1.33 26d 1 0.45mi
5344 Brahma Trl Fort Worth, TX 3.0 2.0 1720 $2,195 $1.28 9d 1 0.45mi
102 Bedford Cir Saginaw, TX 3.0 2.5 1490 $2,319 $1.56 18d 1 0.49mi
306 Yorkshire Ct Saginaw, TX 3.0 2.5 1667 $2,459 $1.48 8d 1 0.56mi
206 Hardwick Dr Saginaw, TX 3.0–4.0 2.5–3.0 1747 $2,659 $1.52 1d 1 0.58mi
109 Kimberly Ct Saginaw, TX 4.0 3.0 1865 $2,579 $1.38 24d 1 0.58mi
205 Hockliffe Ct Saginaw, TX 3.0 2.5 1667 $2,439 $1.46 1d 1 0.59mi
1039 Fallgate Dr Saginaw, TX 4.0 2.5 2004 $2,569 $1.28 14d 1 0.59mi
1034 Fallgate Dr Saginaw, TX 4.0 2.5 2004 $2,569 $1.28 26d 1 0.60mi
110 Kimberly Ct Saginaw, TX 4.0 3.0 1865 $2,549 $1.37 24d 1 0.60mi
202 Hockliffe Ct Saginaw, TX 4.0 3.0 1865 $2,559 $1.37 14d 1 0.61mi
109 Cherwell Ct Saginaw, TX 4.0 3.0 1865 $2,599 $1.39 14d 1 0.61mi
101 Canterbury Dr Saginaw, TX 4.0 2.0 1866 $2,191 $1.17 14d 1 0.61mi
1029 Fallgate Dr Saginaw, TX 4.0 2.5 2004 $2,669 $1.33 5d 1 0.62mi
209 Wingfield Rd Saginaw, TX 4.0 3.0 1865 $2,639 $1.42 1d 1 0.62mi
1026 Fallgate Dr Saginaw, TX 4.0 2.5 2004 $2,609 $1.30 14d 1 0.62mi
110 Cherwell Ct Saginaw, TX 4.0 3.0 1865 $2,599 $1.39 14d 1 0.63mi
106 Cherwell Ct Saginaw, TX 3.0 2.5 1667 $2,489 $1.49 8d 1 0.63mi
5612 Northfield Dr Fort Worth, TX 3.0 2.0 1336 $1,983 $1.48 1d 1 0.63mi
1025 Fallgate Dr Saginaw, TX 4.0 2.5 2004 $2,629 $1.31 8d 1 0.64mi
6333 S Chesterfield Dr Fort Worth, TX 4.0 2.0 1522 $2,111 $1.39 9d 1 0.64mi
206 Wingfield Rd Saginaw, TX 4.0 3.0 1865 $2,639 $1.42 1d 1 0.64mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$17 · $204/yr

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-04-30
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-03
    status Active
  3. 2026-03-28
    historical Active Option Contract
  4. 2026-03-14
    listed $259,999 Active
  5. 2025-03-12
    historical $1,799
  6. 2025-03-07
    price $1,799
  7. 2025-01-22
    listed $1,899
  8. 2024-01-28
    historical $1,899
  9. 2023-12-14
    listed $1,899
  10. 2023-12-04
    historical $1,950
  11. 2023-11-04
    listed $1,950
  12. 2022-12-04
    historical
  13. 2013-11-14
    soldstatus
  14. 2004-01-28
    soldstatus
  15. 2003-12-16
    historical
  16. 2003-09-04
    listed $100,990

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$4,483 · $374/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,758 · $396/mo
Expected delta
+$275/yr (+$23/mo · 6.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 24% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$27,789
− Mortgage interest
−$14,564
− Property taxes
−$4,483
− Insurance
−$1,300
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,223
− Management
−$2,223
− HOA
−$204
− Depreciation
−$7,564
Taxable loss
−$4,772
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,145
After-tax cash flow
$750/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Eagle Mt-Saginaw ISD
NCES district ID
4817700
Math proficiency
35% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
42% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$72,781
Composite
35.41/100
National rank
#4945
State rank
#361 of 826 in TX

Livability — Fort Worth

Score
80/100
State rank
#49
US rank
#1954

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Fort Worth, TX
County
Tarrant County · 2,033,669 people
City population
911,619
Metro
Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
Population (ZIP)
80,090
Household income
$107,428
Rent vs Own
20.9% rent · 79.1% own
Severe rent burden
1494.0

Population outlook (Tarrant County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,380,417 people
By 2030
2,578,900 · +8.3%
By 2040
2,974,995 · +25.0%
By 2050
3,350,489 · +40.8%
By 2075
4,216,909 · +77.2%
By 2100
4,741,527 · +99.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
Race & ethnicity
White 53% Hispanic / Latino 28% Two or more races 14% Black 12% Asian 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 22% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
81% English-only · Spanish 15% Other Asian/Pacific 2% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Tarrant

2024 margin
Lean R (+5.1) · D 46.7% · R 51.9% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
+6.6pp toward D · 2008: -11.7pp · 2024: -5.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+5.1 2020: D+0.2 2016: R+8.7 2012: R+15.7 2008: R+11.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -137.12%
Current HPI
237.6676
Rent YoY
▲ 1.51%
Metro
Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+157.5% since first listed
16 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-30 Pending NTREIS
  • 2026-04-03 Relisted NTREIS
  • 2026-03-28 Contingent NTREIS
  • 2026-03-14 Listed $259,999 NTREIS
  • 2025-03-12 Rental Removed $1,799 APPFOLIO
  • 2025-03-07 Price Changed $1,799 APPFOLIO
  • 2025-01-22 Listed for Rent $1,899 APPFOLIO
  • 2024-01-28 Rental Removed $1,899 APPFOLIO
  • 2023-12-14 Listed for Rent $1,899 APPFOLIO
  • 2023-12-04 Rental Removed $1,950 APPFOLIO
  • 2023-11-04 Listed for Rent $1,950 APPFOLIO
  • 2022-12-04 Rental Removed APPFOLIO
  • 2013-11-14 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2004-01-28 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2003-12-16 Listing Removed NTREIS
  • 2003-09-04 Listed $100,990 NTREIS

Property tax history

+4.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,483 · -17.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…