Duplex
219 Utica St · Fulton, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +8.4/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$105,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
Affordable start!! Priced below assessment, this 2 family could get you on your way to home ownership by living in one apartment & renting the other. In walking distance to downtown & bus route. Great mechanicals, newer roof, investors, current rental income is $700+, split utilities, tenants pay all utilities.
Key facts
- 4,540 sq ft lot
- Built 1920
- Listed 37 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Two-unit multifamily property; Each unit has separate gas and electric meters; Unit rents: one currently $750 (month-to-month), one currently $925 (month-to-month); Tenants pay all utilities; Operating expense details: see remarks
Exterior
- Parking: Paved parking
- Utilities: Public water connected; Sewer connected
- Home design: Two-story building; Resale property
- Construction: Aluminum siding
- Exterior features: Rectangular residential lot; City street frontage; Lot dimensions approximately 63 x 71
Interior
- Kitchen: Eat-in kitchens in both units
- Bedrooms: One unit with 2 bedrooms; One unit with 1 bedroom
- Flooring: Carpet and varying flooring
- Bathrooms: Each unit has 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Gas forced-air heating
- Interior features: Full basement
- Laundry & utility: Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 3-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $105k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($15k/yr) — positive. Per door: $609/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $105k).
- Recommended offer: $102k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 20.2% vs local median 6.9% in Fulton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 61/100 on livability (#907 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, schools D-, crime F.
- Fulton City School District (town): math 29% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #554 of 590 in NY (top 94%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 115 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 172 units permitted in Oswego County in 2024 (27 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $8k of equity ($726 loan paydown + $7k appreciation (6.8% local appreciation)).
- Oswego County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (6.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $29k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 37 days — a 3% lower offer ($102k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 12y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $26k; list at $105k implies a 304% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.5% of price; built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 37 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.55% ✓
- Cap rate
- 20.20%
- Cash-on-cash
- 49.68%
- DSCR
- 3.21
- GRM
- 3.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $147,019
- List price
- $105,000
- Delta
- -28.58%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 13 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 58 N 6th St | 0.34mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,452 (+9%) | 8mo | $119,900 | $83 | 57 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
6.75% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 59.4%
- Equity multiple
- 4.83×
- Total profit
- $112,699
- Equity at exit
- $71,025
- IRR
- 55.7%
- Equity multiple
- 10.19×
- Total profit
- $270,069
- Equity at exit
- $133,371
Cash invested: $29,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 13069
- Home prices YoY
- 2.3%
- Active inventory
- 115
- Price-to-rent
- 6.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,681 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$551
- Tax from tax record
- −$306 /mo · $3,678/yr
- Insurance
- −$44
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$563
- Net cashflow
- $1,217
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,277 | -5% $1,247 | +0% $1,217 | +5% $1,187 | +10% $1,158 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $1,005 | -5% $1,111 | +0% $1,217 | +5% $1,323 | +10% $1,429 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,270 | -0.5pp $1,244 | base $1,217 | +0.5pp $1,190 | +1.0pp $1,162 |
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 3 | 1 | $2,682 |
| #1 | 3 | 1 | $1,341 |
| #2 | 3 | 1 | $1,341 |
| Total (2 units) | $2,681 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $26,250
- Closing costs
- $3,150
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 312 Utica St Fulton, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1060 | $1,300 | $1.23 | 14d | 1 | 0.09mi |
| 303 S 5th St Fulton, NY | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1800 | $1,850 | $1.03 | 14d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 262 W 4th St S Unit 1 Fulton, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1316 | $1,500 | $1.14 | 44d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 20 Airport Rd Fulton, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,435 | $1.44 | 14d | 2 | 1.21mi |
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $105,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $105,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $105,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $105,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $105,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-13pricedays on market $105,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $113,900 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $113,900 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $113,900 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $113,900 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $113,900 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $113,900 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $113,900 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $113,900 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-05-12$119,900 Active 636-char remark
-
2015-12-08soldstatus $26,000
-
2014-10-08soldstatus $23,500 324-char remark
Show marketing remark (324 chars)
Affordable start!! Priced below assessment, this 2 family could get you on your way to home ownership by living in one apartment & renting the other. In walking distance to downtown & bus route. Great mechanicals, newer roof, investors, current rental income is $700+, split utilities, tenants pay all utilities.
-
2014-10-06soldstatus $23,500
-
2014-01-23$24,900 324-char remark
Show marketing remark (324 chars)
Affordable start!! Priced below assessment, this 2 family could get you on your way to home ownership by living in one apartment & renting the other. In walking distance to downtown & bus route. Great mechanicals, newer roof, investors, current rental income is $700+, split utilities, tenants pay all utilities.
-
2007-01-16soldstatus $39,900
-
2005-09-09soldstatus $25,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,678 · $306/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,678 · $306/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · -0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $32,172
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,882
- − Property taxes
- −$3,678
- − Insurance
- −$525
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,574
- − Management
- −$2,574
- − Depreciation
- −$3,055
- Taxable income
- $13,885
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,332
- After-tax cash flow
- $11,273/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Fulton City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3611700
- Math proficiency
- 29% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▲ 5.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,337
- Composite
- 30.49/100
- National rank
- #6220
- State rank
- #554 of 590 in NY
Livability — Fulton
- Score
- 61/100
- State rank
- #907
- US rank
- #17723
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Fulton, NY
- City population
- 7,313
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,176
Population outlook (Oswego County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 114,465 people
- By 2030
- 109,968 · -3.9%
- By 2040
- 99,205 · -13.3%
- By 2050
- 87,979 · -23.1%
- By 2075
- 65,100 · -43.1%
- By 2100
- 47,117 · -58.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 93% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 3%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 6% Romanian 6% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Oswego
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+24.2) · D 37.9% · R 62.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -26.6pp toward R · 2008: 2.5pp · 2024: -24.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+24.2 2020: R+20.2 2016: R+23.2 2012: D+7.9 2008: D+2.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 6.75%
- Current HPI
- 304.443
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
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Price history
+320.0% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-10 Price Changed $105,000 CNYIS
- 2026-05-26 Price Changed $113,900 CNYIS
- 2026-05-12 Listed $119,900 CNYIS
- 2015-12-08 Sold (Public Records) $26,000 Public Records
- 2014-10-08 Sold (MLS) $23,500 CNYIS
- 2014-10-06 Sold (Public Records) $23,500 Public Records
- 2014-01-23 Listed $24,900 CNYIS
- 2007-01-16 Sold (Public Records) $39,900 Public Records
- 2005-09-09 Sold (Public Records) $25,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+15.9%/yrLatest (2025): $3,678 · +7.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…