7358 Colleen Park Dr · Burlington, NC
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $906 – $1,684
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 22.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.2/30.0
- ARV discount +12.7/15.0
- Appreciation +5.5/10.0
- DSCR +4.7/10.0
- 1% rule +4.3/10.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Rent growth +3.5/5.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$220,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to this move-in ready townhome in Whitsett, NC, close to Elon University, short drive to Greensboro. This beautiful townhome offers 3 bedrooms, 2 full baths and 1 half bath with a bright open floor plan designed for comfortable living. The spacious living room features a gas log fireplace, creating the perfect spot to relax while enjoying your morning coffee. The home also includes a dining area and large kitchen, ideal for gatherings and everyday living. Enjoy extra space on the 1 garage space for storage or parking as well as to more parking space in the drive way. The primary bedroom offers generous space for a sitting area or home office setup, while the second and third bedroom
Key facts
- Community pool
- Large kitchen
- Gas log fireplace
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Homeowners association with monthly fee; HOA fee approximately $140 per month; HOA covers structure maintenance, road maintenance, and trash
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage (1 car); 2 additional open parking spaces (3 total parking spaces)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service available
- Home design: Townhouse; Two levels; Entry on main level
- Construction: Brick and vinyl siding exterior; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built as a townhouse
- Exterior features: Private maintained road; Lot approximately 0.04 acres
Interior
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms and 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (forced air, natural gas); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Carpet and vinyl flooring
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $220k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $76 ($909/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $206k (6.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $206k (6.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.7% vs local median 3.6% in Burlington — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#123 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: commute D+, schools F, crime F.
- Guilford County Schools (urban): math 39% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #99 of 178 in NC (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.0%/yr); 102 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 3,843 units permitted in Guilford County in 2024 (2,397 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $4k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $2k appreciation (1.0% local appreciation)).
- Guilford County population projected at +26% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (1.0% appreciation + 4.0% rent growth), your $62k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 84 days — a 6% lower offer ($207k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 8 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 22% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 84 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 7% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.93% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.71%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.48%
- DSCR
- 1.07
- GRM
- 8.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $249,008
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7344 Garett Park Dr | 0.05mi | 3/2.5 | 1,472 (-7%) | 3mo | $236,000 | $160 | 84 |
| 7632 Oliver Park Dr | 0.12mi | 3/2.5 | 1,618 (+3%) | 8mo | $255,000 | $158 | 84 |
| 7360 Garett Park Dr | 0.05mi | 3/2.5 | 1,532 (-3%) | 12mo | $247,500 | $162 | 83 |
| 7320 Colleen Park Dr | 0.03mi | 3/2.5 | 1,498 (-5%) | 14mo | $215,000 | $144 | 79 |
| 7452 Garett Park Dr | 0.07mi | 3/2.5 | 1,536 (-2%) | 20mo | $235,000 | $153 | 76 |
| 7501 Oliver Park Dr | 0.02mi | 3/2.5 | 1,743 (+11%) | 9mo | $275,000 | $158 | 74 |
| 7702 Oliver Park Dr | 0.08mi | 3/2.5 | 1,450 (-8%) | 15mo | $230,000 | $159 | 70 |
| 7209 Olmstead Dr Unit C | 0.34mi | 3/2.5 | 1,532 (-3%) | 12mo | $220,000 | $144 | 70 |
| 7213 Olmstead Dr | 0.35mi | 3/2.5 | 1,520 (-4%) | 10mo | $223,500 | $147 | 69 |
| 7213 Olmstead Dr Unit A | 0.35mi | 3/2.5 | 1,520 (-4%) | 10mo | $223,500 | $147 | 69 |
| 7513 Oliver Park Dr | 0.03mi | 3/2.5 | 1,772 (+12%) | 16mo | $273,000 | $154 | 65 |
| 7691 Oliver Park Dr | 0.06mi | 3/2.5 | 1,745 (+11%) | 21mo | $276,000 | $158 | 62 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
1.02% appreciation · 4.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 3.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.18×
- Total profit
- $11,247
- Equity at exit
- $75,285
- IRR
- 8.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.08×
- Total profit
- $66,474
- Equity at exit
- $100,188
Cash invested: $61,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Carolina
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 27377
- Home prices YoY
- 0.4%
- Rents YoY
- 4.0%
- Active inventory
- 102
- Price-to-rent
- 8.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,056 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,154
- Tax from tax record
- −$163 /mo · $1,954/yr
- Insurance
- −$92
- HOA
- −$140
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$432
- Net cashflow
- $76
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $200 | -5% $138 | +0% $76 | +5% $14 | +10% $-49 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-87 | -5% $-5 | +0% $76 | +5% $157 | +10% $238 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $187 | -0.5pp $132 | base $76 | +0.5pp $19 | +1.0pp $-39 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $55,000
- Closing costs
- $6,600
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1626 Daisy Park Dr Whitsett, NC | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1419 | $1,750 | $1.23 | 24d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 225 Brycewood Dr Burlington, NC | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1929 | $1,860 | $0.96 | 24d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 1950 Glenkirk Dr Burlington, NC | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2076 | $2,295 | $1.11 | 21d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 708 Hawthorn Ridge Dr Whitsett, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2200 | $2,330 | $1.06 | 15d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 541 NC Highway 61 Whitsett, NC | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1422 | $1,839 | $1.29 | 15d | 10 | 1.40mi |
| 1022 Poets Walk Rd Unit 1 Whitsett, NC | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1706 | $1,850 | $1.08 | 22d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 941 Poets Walk Rd Whitsett, NC | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1598 | $1,850 | $1.16 | 24d | 1 | 1.47mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $140 · $1,680/yr
- Likely covers
- gas
Listing history 35 events
-
2026-06-15status $220,000 Pending 84 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $220,000 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $220,000 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $220,000 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $220,000 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $220,000 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $220,000 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-03pricedays on market $220,000 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $235,000 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $235,000 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $235,000 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $235,000 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-05-08price $235,000
-
2026-03-23$240,000 Active
-
2026-01-31historical
-
2025-12-06price $250,000
-
2025-09-27$260,000 Active
-
2024-01-29historical
-
2023-11-30price $244,000
-
2023-11-02price $245,000
-
2023-10-09$250,000 Active
-
2022-07-06soldstatus $215,000 Closed
-
2022-07-06soldstatus $215,000
-
2022-07-06soldstatus $215,000
-
2022-07-06soldstatus $215,000 Closed
-
2022-07-06soldstatus $215,000 Closed
-
2022-07-06soldstatus $215,000
-
2022-05-24status Pending
-
2022-05-24status Pending
-
2022-05-24status Pending
-
2022-05-20$200,000 Active
-
2022-05-20$200,000
-
2022-05-20$200,000
-
2022-05-20$200,000 Active
-
2022-05-20$200,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,954 · $163/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,954 · $163/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 5/10 Major 22% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,667
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,323
- − Property taxes
- −$1,954
- − Insurance
- −$1,100
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,973
- − Management
- −$1,973
- − HOA
- −$1,680
- − Depreciation
- −$6,400
- Taxable loss
- −$2,736
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$657
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,566/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Guilford County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3701920
- Math proficiency
- 39% ▲ 1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,315
- Composite
- 35.78/100
- National rank
- #4842
- State rank
- #99 of 178 in NC
Livability — Burlington
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #123
- US rank
- #7396
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Burlington, NC
- County
- Guilford County · 487,190 people
- City population
- 88,508
- Metro
- Greensboro-High Point, NC
- Population (ZIP)
- 10,885
- Household income
- $90,181
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 356.0
Population outlook (Guilford County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 584,596 people
- By 2030
- 616,851 · +5.5%
- By 2040
- 678,451 · +16.1%
- By 2050
- 734,788 · +25.7%
- By 2075
- 862,985 · +47.6%
- By 2100
- 948,704 · +62.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 52% Black 34% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 5% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 6% Italian 3% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 2% Chinese 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Guilford
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+21.8) · D 60.2% · R 38.4% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.5pp toward D · 2008: 18.4pp · 2024: 21.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+21.8 2020: D+23.1 2016: D+20.0 2012: D+16.5 2008: D+18.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 1.02%
- Current HPI
- 232.0638
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.00%
- Metro
- Greensboro-High Point, NC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 26
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 2 | $213B |
|
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| Retail | 2 | $95B |
|
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| Industrial Conglomerate | 1 | $38B |
|
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $30B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 1 | $19B |
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Price history
+17.5% since first listed23 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-08 Price Changed $235,000 TMLS
- 2026-03-23 Listed $240,000 TMLS
- 2026-01-31 Listing Removed — TMLS
- 2025-12-06 Price Changed $250,000 TMLS
- 2025-09-27 Listed $260,000 TMLS
- 2024-01-29 Listing Removed — TMLS
- 2023-11-30 Price Changed $244,000 TMLS
- 2023-11-02 Price Changed $245,000 TMLS
- 2023-10-09 Listed $250,000 TMLS
- 2022-07-06 Sold (Public Records) $215,000 Public Records
- 2022-07-06 Sold (MLS) $215,000 AMLSNC
- 2022-07-06 Sold (MLS) $215,000 Triad MLS
- 2022-07-06 Sold (MLS) $215,000 AMLSNC
- 2022-07-06 Sold (MLS) $215,000 TMLS
- 2022-07-06 Sold (MLS) $215,000 TMLS
- 2022-05-24 Pending — TMLS
- 2022-05-24 Pending — AMLSNC
- 2022-05-24 Pending — Triad MLS
- 2022-05-20 Listed $200,000 AMLSNC
- 2022-05-20 Listed $200,000 Triad MLS
- 2022-05-20 Listed $200,000 AMLSNC
- 2022-05-20 Listed $200,000 TMLS
- 2022-05-20 Listed $200,000 TMLS
Property tax history
+2.3%/yrLatest (2025): $1,954 · -0.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…