7310 Maple Walk Dr · Atascocita, TX 77346

$199,000

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,628 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 71 Days on market

Built 1981 6,599 sqft lot $122/sqft · 19% below area Est $244k · 19% under $38/mo HOA · 2% of rent

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Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• ARV discount +15.0/15.0
• Cash flow +13.9/30.0
• 1% rule +4.9/10.0
• Appreciation +4.5/10.0
• DSCR +4.2/10.0
• Schools +3.9/10.0
• Livability +3.5/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0

Listing remarks MLS

Well-maintained single-story home in Atascocita South offering a functional layout, vaulted ceilings, and a bright, open design ideal for everyday living and entertaining. The main living area features a corner gas log fireplace and flows seamlessly into the dining space and kitchen with breakfast bar seating, gas range, built-in microwave, and pantry. The spacious primary suite includes dual vanities, a tub/shower combination, and walk-in closet. Two secondary bedrooms provide flexibility for guests, a home office, or additional living space. Recent updates include interior paint, lighting, hardware, and plumbing fixtures. The fully fenced backyard and two-car attached garage add to the home’s overall functionality. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, and Lake Houston with easy access to major commuter routes. Ideal for both homeowners and investors, with the opportunity to purchase as part of a two-property portfolio.

Key facts

• Functional layout
• Single-story home
• Gas range

Tags

• SINGLE-STORY HOME
• FUNCTIONAL LAYOUT
• CORNER GAS LOG FIREPLACE
• BREAKFAST BAR SEATING
• GAS RANGE
• BUILT-IN MICROWAVE

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $199k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $21 ($256/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $197k (1.1% below list).
• Recommended offer: $187k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 4.1% in Atascocita — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 70/100 on livability (#346 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
• Humble ISD (urban): math 38% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #262 of 826 in TX (top 32%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: Rents flat; 669 active listings in the ZIP; 29 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 10d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-0.9%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 71 days — a 6% lower offer ($187k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $187,060 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 71 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.99% ✗
• Cap rate: 6.42%
• Cash-on-cash: 0.46%
• DSCR: 1.02
• GRM: 8.4

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $244,246
• List price: $199,000
• Delta: -18.52%
• Verdict: UNDERPRICED
• Comps: 20 within 1.0 mi

Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
7403 Misty Morning Dr	0.08mi	3/2.0	1,628 (0%)	3mo	$199,900	$123	94
18823 Long Trace Dr	0.25mi	3/2.0	1,644 (+1%)	2mo	$249,100	$152	85
19018 Oakway Dr	0.32mi	3/2.0	1,598 (-2%)	4mo	$235,000	$147	78
7214 Dogwood Trail Dr	0.26mi	3/2.0	1,752 (+8%)	4mo	$205,000	$117	72
7223 Echo Pines Dr	0.39mi	3/2.0	1,692 (+4%)	4mo	$255,000	$151	72
18822 Yaupon Trl	0.38mi	3/2.0	1,712 (+5%)	4mo	$183,000	$107	70
18718 Jodywood Dr	0.39mi	4/2.0 (+1)	1,728 (+6%)	0mo	$225,000	$130	66
7514 Blanco Pines Dr	0.54mi	3/2.0	1,550 (-5%)	4mo	$229,900	$148	64
7322 Logging Trail Dr	0.39mi	4/2.0 (+1)	1,858 (+14%)	1mo	$249,990	$135	53
18614 Atasca Oaks Dr	0.55mi	3/2.5	1,820 (+12%)	2mo	$244,000	$134	51
6715 Atasca South Ct	0.59mi	3/2.0	1,872 (+15%)	4mo	$250,000	$134	44
18623 Polo Meadow Dr	0.72mi	3/2.0	1,822 (+12%)	3mo	$265,000	$145	44

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-0.95% appreciation · 0.09% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -7.9%
• Equity multiple: 0.66×
• Total profit: $-18,688
• Equity at exit: $48,474

10-year hold

• IRR: -4.0%
• Equity multiple: 0.66×
• Total profit: $-19,057
• Equity at exit: $51,276

Cash invested: $55,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Texas: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 77346

• Home prices YoY: -0.4%
• Rents YoY: 0.1%
• Active inventory: 669
• Price-to-rent: 8.4×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,969 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,044
• Tax from tax record: −$369 /mo · $4,432/yr
• Insurance: −$83
• HOA: −$38
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$413
• Net cashflow: $21

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,942

Max offer price $199,000

Occupancy floor 94%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $49,750
• Closing costs: $5,970
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 29 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
7403 Misty Morning Dr Humble, TX	3.0	2.0	1628	$1,900	$1.17	17d	1	0.09mi
7131 Maple Walk Dr Humble, TX	3.0	2.0	1808	$1,895	$1.05	5d	1	0.15mi
7515 Echo Pines Dr Humble, TX	3.0	2.0	1655	$1,850	$1.12	43d	1	0.38mi
7002 Echo Pines Dr Humble, TX	3.0	2.0	1738	$1,869	$1.08	15d	1	0.47mi
18718 Walden Forest Dr Humble, TX	4.0	2.0	2224	$2,600	$1.17	1d	1	0.56mi
18810 Woodbreeze Dr Humble, TX	4.0	2.5	2200	$2,279	$1.04	24d	1	0.61mi
18835 Atasca Oaks Dr Humble, TX	3.0	2.0	1432	$1,829	$1.28	5d	1	0.64mi
6227 Spruce Bough Ct Humble, TX	3.0	2.0	1432	$1,800	$1.26	43d	1	0.80mi
7315 Wisteria Chase Pl Humble, TX	3.0	2.0	1232	$1,232	$1.00	19d	1	0.81mi
18199 W Lake Houston Pkwy Atascocita, TX	2.0	2.0	1064	$1,485	$1.40	5d	1	1.02mi
18199 W Lake Houston Pkwy Unit HALH Atascocita, TX	2.0	2.0	1064	$1,485	$1.40	12d	1	1.02mi
6519 Kings Glen Dr Humble, TX	1.0–3.0	1.0–2.5	1255	$2,813	$2.24	1d	16	1.13mi
14100 Will Clayton Pkwy Humble, TX	1.0–3.0	1.0–2.0	1040	$1,910	$1.84	12d	1	1.18mi
14100 Will Clayton Pkwy Unit 14137 Humble, TX	2.0	2.0	1184	$1,627	$1.37	43d	1	1.21mi
14100 Will Clayton Pkwy Unit 14133 Humble, TX	3.0	2.0	1393	$1,910	$1.37	43d	1	1.21mi
14100 Will Clayton Pkwy Unit 2228 Humble, TX	2.0	2.0	1064	$1,392	$1.31	2d	1	1.21mi
14100 Will Clayton Pkwy Unit 14157 Humble, TX	2.0	2.0	1064	$1,424	$1.34	10d	1	1.21mi
14100 Will Clayton Pkwy Unit 3165 Humble, TX	3.0	2.0	1393	$1,867	$1.34	2d	1	1.21mi
14100 Will Clayton Pkwy Unit 2162 Humble, TX	2.0	2.0	1064	$1,400	$1.32	5d	1	1.21mi
14100 Will Clayton Pkwy Unit 3174 Humble, TX	3.0	2.0	1393	$1,910	$1.37	10d	1	1.21mi
8300 Farm to Market 1960 Rd E Unit 2174 Humble, TX	2.0	2.0	1070	$1,314	$1.23	10d	1	1.24mi
8300 Farm to Market 1960 Rd E Unit 424 Humble, TX	2.0	2.0	1070	$1,290	$1.21	5d	1	1.24mi
8300 Farm to Market 1960 Rd E Unit 2112 Humble, TX	2.0	2.0	1070	$1,282	$1.20	2d	1	1.24mi
20618 Carmine Oak Ct Humble, TX	3.0	2.0	2087	$2,195	$1.05	43d	1	1.25mi
17571 W Lake Houston Pkwy Humble, TX	2.0	1.0–2.0	922	$1,950	$2.11	1d	43	1.32mi
17577 W Lake Houston Pkwy Atascocita, TX	2.0	2.0	1099	$1,830	$1.67	43d	1	1.33mi
17417 W Lake Houston Pkwy Humble, TX	1.0–2.0	1.0–2.0	956	$1,795	$1.88	3d	12	1.43mi
17923 Diamond Peak Ct Humble, TX	4.0	2.0	2171	$2,336	$1.08	5d	1	1.43mi
17401 W Lake Houston Pkwy Humble, TX	1.0–3.0	1.0–2.0	1085	$2,163	$1.99	1d	42	1.44mi

HOA detail

• Monthly dues: $38 · $456/yr
• Likely covers: gas

Listing history 19 events

1. 2026-06-18
   days on market $199,000 Active 71 DOM
2. 2026-06-17
   days on market $199,000 Active 70 DOM
3. 2026-06-16
   days on market $199,000 Active 69 DOM
4. 2026-06-15
   days on market $199,000 Active 68 DOM
5. 2026-06-13
   days on market $199,000 Active 66 DOM
6. 2026-06-13
   days on market $199,000 Active 65 DOM
7. 2026-06-10
   status $199,000 Active 62 DOM
8. 2026-06-09
   days on market $199,000 Pending 62 DOM
9. 2026-06-08
   days on market $199,000 Pending 61 DOM
10. 2026-06-07
    statusdays on market $199,000 Pending 60 DOM
11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $199,000 Active 57 DOM
12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $199,000 Active 56 DOM
13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $199,000 Active 55 DOM
14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $199,000 Active 54 DOM
15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $199,000 Active 53 DOM
16. 2026-04-08
    listed $199,000 Active 947-char remark

    Show marketing remark (947 chars)

    Well-maintained single-story home in Atascocita South offering a functional layout, vaulted ceilings, and a bright, open design ideal for everyday living and entertaining. The main living area features a corner gas log fireplace and flows seamlessly into the dining space and kitchen with breakfast bar seating, gas range, built-in microwave, and pantry. The spacious primary suite includes dual vanities, a tub/shower combination, and walk-in closet. Two secondary bedrooms provide flexibility for guests, a home office, or additional living space. Recent updates include interior paint, lighting, hardware, and plumbing fixtures. The fully fenced backyard and two-car attached garage add to the home’s overall functionality. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, and Lake Houston with easy access to major commuter routes. Ideal for both homeowners and investors, with the opportunity to purchase as part of a two-property portfolio.

17. 2026-03-31
    historical $1,775
18. 2026-03-04
    listed $1,775
19. 1993-02-26
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $4,432 · $369/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $4,432 · $369/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $23,623
• − Mortgage interest: −$11,147
• − Property taxes: −$4,432
• − Insurance: −$995
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,890
• − Management: −$1,890
• − HOA: −$456
• − Depreciation: −$5,789
• Taxable loss: −$2,976
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$714
• After-tax cash flow: $970/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Humble ISD
• NCES district ID: 4823910
• Math proficiency: 38% ▼ -11.00%
• Reading proficiency: 44% ▼ -7.00%
• Median HH income: $83,946
• Composite: 38.55/100
• National rank: #4171
• State rank: #262 of 826 in TX

Livability — Atascocita

• Score: 70/100
• State rank: #346
• US rank: #7586

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B- Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Atascocita, TX
• County: Harris County · 4,702,590 people
• City population: 79,538
• Metro: Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
• Population (ZIP): 79,538
• Household income: $122,241
• Rent vs Own: 18.3% rent · 81.7% own
• Severe rent burden: 1072.0

Population outlook (Harris County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 5,571,493 people
• By 2030: 6,089,821 · +9.3%
• By 2040: 7,142,806 · +28.2%
• By 2050: 8,185,864 · +46.9%
• By 2075: 10,574,329 · +89.8%
• By 2100: 12,109,958 · +117.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.70)
• Race & ethnicity: White 42% Hispanic / Latino 28% Black 21% Two or more races 18% Asian 4%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 20% Puerto Rican 2%
• Common ancestry: Lithuanian 4% Slovak 1% Italian 1%
• Foreign-born: 10% · Canada, Vietnam, China
• Languages at home: 78% English-only · Spanish 17% Other Indo-European 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Harris

• 2024 margin: Lean D (+5.5) · D 52.0% · R 46.4% · Other 1.6%
• 2008→2024 swing: +3.9pp toward D · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: 5.5pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+5.5 2020: D+13.3 2016: D+12.4 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+1.6

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -0.95%
• Current HPI: 218.0478
• Rent YoY: ▲ 0.09%
• Metro: Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.95%
• F500 in state: 110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Energy	16	$1,198B
▸Technology	5	$198B
▸Engineering / Construction	4	$72B
▸Energy Services	3	$60B
▸Utilities	3	$41B
▸Healthcare	2	$330B

Price history

+11111.3% since first listed

4 events — show timeline

• 2026-04-08 Listed $199,000 HARMLS
• 2026-03-31 Rental Removed $1,775 HARMLS
• 2026-03-04 Listed for Rent $1,775 HARMLS
• 1993-02-26 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records

Property tax history

+3.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,432 · +9.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.