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312 E Cedar St
B Composite 73.61
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +5.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.9/10.0

$41,000

312 E Cedar St · Warren, AR 71671
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,792 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 144 Days on market
Built 1940 $23/sqft · 71% below area ↓ 2% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

GIVE US A CALL FOR A SHOWING OF THIS LARGE 3 BEDROOM 2 BATH HOME LOCATED JUST A FEW BLOCKS FROM THE DOWNTOWN SQUARE IN WARREN ARKANSAS. All offers must besubmitted at www. vrmproperties.com. Agents must register as a User, enter the property address, and click on "Start Offer". This property may qualify for Seller Financing (Vendee). If property was built prior to 1978, Lead Based Paint Potentially Exists. public remarks will be visible on VRMProperties.com.

Key facts

  • Garage
  • Built 1940
  • Listed 144 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $41k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $676 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $41k).
  • Recommended offer: $36k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#69 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Warren School District (town): math 26% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #198 of 238 in AR (top 83%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 37 active listings in the ZIP.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $884 of equity ($283 loan paydown + $601 appreciation (1.5% local appreciation)).
  • Bradley County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (1.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 144 days — a 12% lower offer ($36k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (38%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $36,080 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 144 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.94%
Cap rate
26.07%
Cash-on-cash
70.63%
DSCR
4.14
GRM
2.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$141,303
List price
$41,000
Delta
-70.98%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
404 E Cedar St 0.13mi 3/1.0 1,756 (-2%) 1mo $63,000 $36 86
306 Pennington St 0.17mi 3/2.0 1,771 (-1%) 12mo $77,500 $44 81
111 N Munn St 0.19mi 3/3.0 1,782 (-1%) 10mo $161,000 $90 78
609 E Cedar 0.37mi 3/2.5 1,724 (-4%) 13mo $140,000 $81 63
415 Cherry 0.62mi 3/2.0 1,700 (-5%) 5mo $145,000 $85 58
308 Turner 0.43mi 3/2.0 1,982 (+11%) 6mo $33,000 $17 57
201 Cemetery St 0.37mi 3/2.0 1,556 (-13%) 11mo $140,000 $90 51
204 E Shields St 0.26mi 3/2.0 1,550 (-14%) 23mo $165,000 $106 46
302 Park Ln 0.58mi 3/2.0 1,979 (+10%) 14mo $139,000 $70 43
411 Halligan St 0.68mi 3/2.5 1,669 (-7%) 15mo $63,000 $38 42
118 Bradley 23 Rd 0.74mi 3/2.0 1,708 (-5%) 21mo $225,000 $132 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

1.47% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
73.9%
Equity multiple
4.90×
Total profit
$44,761
Equity at exit
$15,002
10-year hold
IRR
74.6%
Equity multiple
10.00×
Total profit
$103,332
Equity at exit
$20,737

Cash invested: $11,480 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arkansas
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Only US state where non-payment is criminal. Strongly landlord-favorable; very few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 71671

Home prices YoY
1.3%
Active inventory
37
Price-to-rent
2.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,204 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$215
Tax from tax record
$43 /mo · $520/yr
Insurance
$17
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$253
Net cashflow
$676

Break-even live

Break-even rent $349
Max offer price $41,000
Occupancy floor 39%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$10,250
Closing costs
$1,230
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 14 events

  1. 2026-05-11
    status Under Contract 472-char remark
    Show marketing remark (472 chars)

    GIVE US A CALL FOR A SHOWING OF THIS LARGE 3 BEDROOM 2 BATH HOME LOCATED JUST A FEW BLOCKS FROM THE DOWNTOWN SQUARE IN WARREN ARKANSAS. All offers must besubmitted at www. vrmproperties.com. Agents must register as a User, enter the property address, and click on "Start Offer". This property may qualify for Seller Financing (Vendee). If property was built prior to 1978, Lead Based Paint Potentially Exists. public remarks will be visible on VRMProperties.com.

  2. 2026-05-07
    price $41,000 472-char remark
    Show marketing remark (472 chars)

    GIVE US A CALL FOR A SHOWING OF THIS LARGE 3 BEDROOM 2 BATH HOME LOCATED JUST A FEW BLOCKS FROM THE DOWNTOWN SQUARE IN WARREN ARKANSAS. All offers must besubmitted at www. vrmproperties.com. Agents must register as a User, enter the property address, and click on "Start Offer". This property may qualify for Seller Financing (Vendee). If property was built prior to 1978, Lead Based Paint Potentially Exists. public remarks will be visible on VRMProperties.com.

  3. 2026-04-21
    price $46,000 472-char remark
    Show marketing remark (472 chars)

    GIVE US A CALL FOR A SHOWING OF THIS LARGE 3 BEDROOM 2 BATH HOME LOCATED JUST A FEW BLOCKS FROM THE DOWNTOWN SQUARE IN WARREN ARKANSAS. All offers must besubmitted at www. vrmproperties.com. Agents must register as a User, enter the property address, and click on "Start Offer". This property may qualify for Seller Financing (Vendee). If property was built prior to 1978, Lead Based Paint Potentially Exists. public remarks will be visible on VRMProperties.com.

  4. 2026-03-26
    price $51,000 472-char remark
    Show marketing remark (472 chars)

    GIVE US A CALL FOR A SHOWING OF THIS LARGE 3 BEDROOM 2 BATH HOME LOCATED JUST A FEW BLOCKS FROM THE DOWNTOWN SQUARE IN WARREN ARKANSAS. All offers must besubmitted at www. vrmproperties.com. Agents must register as a User, enter the property address, and click on "Start Offer". This property may qualify for Seller Financing (Vendee). If property was built prior to 1978, Lead Based Paint Potentially Exists. public remarks will be visible on VRMProperties.com.

  5. 2026-02-25
    price $56,000 472-char remark
    Show marketing remark (472 chars)

    GIVE US A CALL FOR A SHOWING OF THIS LARGE 3 BEDROOM 2 BATH HOME LOCATED JUST A FEW BLOCKS FROM THE DOWNTOWN SQUARE IN WARREN ARKANSAS. All offers must besubmitted at www. vrmproperties.com. Agents must register as a User, enter the property address, and click on "Start Offer". This property may qualify for Seller Financing (Vendee). If property was built prior to 1978, Lead Based Paint Potentially Exists. public remarks will be visible on VRMProperties.com.

  6. 2026-01-23
    price $61,000 472-char remark
    Show marketing remark (472 chars)

    GIVE US A CALL FOR A SHOWING OF THIS LARGE 3 BEDROOM 2 BATH HOME LOCATED JUST A FEW BLOCKS FROM THE DOWNTOWN SQUARE IN WARREN ARKANSAS. All offers must besubmitted at www. vrmproperties.com. Agents must register as a User, enter the property address, and click on "Start Offer". This property may qualify for Seller Financing (Vendee). If property was built prior to 1978, Lead Based Paint Potentially Exists. public remarks will be visible on VRMProperties.com.

  7. 2025-03-18
    listed $65,750 New Listing 472-char remark
    Show marketing remark (472 chars)

    GIVE US A CALL FOR A SHOWING OF THIS LARGE 3 BEDROOM 2 BATH HOME LOCATED JUST A FEW BLOCKS FROM THE DOWNTOWN SQUARE IN WARREN ARKANSAS. All offers must besubmitted at www. vrmproperties.com. Agents must register as a User, enter the property address, and click on "Start Offer". This property may qualify for Seller Financing (Vendee). If property was built prior to 1978, Lead Based Paint Potentially Exists. public remarks will be visible on VRMProperties.com.

  8. 2022-12-06
    soldstatus $102,000
  9. 2022-11-30
    status Under Contract 530-char remark
    Show marketing remark (530 chars)

    Charming home, steps away from Warren's infamous red brick streets! Featuring spacious rooms with tall ceilings, 3 great sized bedrooms & 2 full baths, the fireplace is the focal point of the living room that could accommodate families large or small, hardwood floors, built-ins & timeless details flow throughout. This well thought out home has a dedicated laundry room located just off of the enclosed garage so you can come & go without ever entering the outdoor elements. * Offers Subject to court approval.

  10. 2022-11-30
    soldstatus $102,000 Sold 530-char remark
    Show marketing remark (530 chars)

    Charming home, steps away from Warren's infamous red brick streets! Featuring spacious rooms with tall ceilings, 3 great sized bedrooms & 2 full baths, the fireplace is the focal point of the living room that could accommodate families large or small, hardwood floors, built-ins & timeless details flow throughout. This well thought out home has a dedicated laundry room located just off of the enclosed garage so you can come & go without ever entering the outdoor elements. * Offers Subject to court approval.

  11. 2022-10-14
    historical Take Backups 530-char remark
    Show marketing remark (530 chars)

    Charming home, steps away from Warren's infamous red brick streets! Featuring spacious rooms with tall ceilings, 3 great sized bedrooms & 2 full baths, the fireplace is the focal point of the living room that could accommodate families large or small, hardwood floors, built-ins & timeless details flow throughout. This well thought out home has a dedicated laundry room located just off of the enclosed garage so you can come & go without ever entering the outdoor elements. * Offers Subject to court approval.

  12. 2022-09-28
    price $109,000 530-char remark
    Show marketing remark (530 chars)

    Charming home, steps away from Warren's infamous red brick streets! Featuring spacious rooms with tall ceilings, 3 great sized bedrooms & 2 full baths, the fireplace is the focal point of the living room that could accommodate families large or small, hardwood floors, built-ins & timeless details flow throughout. This well thought out home has a dedicated laundry room located just off of the enclosed garage so you can come & go without ever entering the outdoor elements. * Offers Subject to court approval.

  13. 2022-08-31
    listed $115,000 New Listing 530-char remark
    Show marketing remark (530 chars)

    Charming home, steps away from Warren's infamous red brick streets! Featuring spacious rooms with tall ceilings, 3 great sized bedrooms & 2 full baths, the fireplace is the focal point of the living room that could accommodate families large or small, hardwood floors, built-ins & timeless details flow throughout. This well thought out home has a dedicated laundry room located just off of the enclosed garage so you can come & go without ever entering the outdoor elements. * Offers Subject to court approval.

  14. 2002-09-09
    soldstatus $42,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$520 · $43/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$520 · $43/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,447
− Mortgage interest
−$2,297
− Property taxes
−$520
− Insurance
−$205
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,156
− Management
−$1,156
− Depreciation
−$1,193
Taxable income
$7,922
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,901
After-tax cash flow
$6,207/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Warren School District
NCES district ID
0500006
Math proficiency
26% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
21% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$32,986
Composite
19.22/100
National rank
#8810
State rank
#198 of 238 in AR

Livability — Warren

Score
69/100
State rank
#69
US rank
#8546

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Warren, AR
Population (ZIP)
8,788

Population outlook (Bradley County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
10,347 people
By 2030
9,925 · -4.1%
By 2040
9,122 · -11.8%
By 2050
8,336 · -19.4%
By 2075
6,893 · -33.4%
By 2100
5,721 · -44.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
Race & ethnicity
White 52% Black 28% Hispanic / Latino 16% Native American 6% Two or more races 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 16%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1% Serbian 1% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada
Languages at home
86% English-only · Spanish 14%

Political lean MEDSL · Bradley

2024 margin
Solid R (+39.0) · D 29.9% · R 69.0% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-24.6pp toward R · 2008: -14.4pp · 2024: -39.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+39.0 2020: R+30.7 2016: R+23.4 2012: R+18.5 2008: R+14.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 1.47%
Current HPI
114.1937
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.80%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-2.4% since first listed
14 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-11 Pending CARMLS
  • 2026-05-07 Price Changed $41,000 CARMLS
  • 2026-04-21 Price Changed $46,000 CARMLS
  • 2026-03-26 Price Changed $51,000 CARMLS
  • 2026-02-25 Price Changed $56,000 CARMLS
  • 2026-01-23 Price Changed $61,000 CARMLS
  • 2025-03-18 Listed $65,750 CARMLS
  • 2022-12-06 Sold (Public Records) $102,000 Public Records
  • 2022-11-30 Pending CARMLS
  • 2022-11-30 Sold (MLS) $102,000 CARMLS
  • 2022-10-14 Contingent CARMLS
  • 2022-09-28 Price Changed $109,000 CARMLS
  • 2022-08-31 Listed $115,000 CARMLS
  • 2002-09-09 Sold (Public Records) $42,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+22.5%/yr

Latest (2024): $520 · +448.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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